FanDuel Premier League Matches to Target in Matchweek 4
Matchweek 4 in the Premier League is the first weekend of play following the transfer window, so old faces will pop up in new places. FanDuel will present a six-game main slate for the third time this season as players return from international duty.
|Saturday, September 9th|
|Bournemouth at Arsenal|
|West Brom at Brighton|
|Tottenham at Everton|
|Chelsea at Leicester City|
|Watford at Southampton|
|Manchester United at Stoke City|
The biggest match of the day will not appear on the slate as Manchester City hosts Liverpool. That would have been a good match for fantasy goodness, but there is a better alternative. The first match to target has the highest over/under of the weekend, so let's start at the Emirates Stadium.
Arsenal vs. Bournemouth
The last time these two teams met it ended in a 3-3 draw. There has been at least two goals scored in each of the last four matches between the two. Both teams are averaging over 50% possession, and Arsenal is managing over 17 shots per match. Arsenal have already conceded eight goals to Bournemouth's five. That all sounds like a recipe for goals.
Alexis Sanchez should be available for Arsenal, but the transfer saga and woes for the Chilean National Team make his inclusion a volatile situation. It would be easy to question his focus (or desire) as he heads back to Arsenal. The $10,500 price tag might be too steep until Sanchez shows he has regained his form.
Arsenal still has plenty of capable players that can contribute fantasy points. Granit Xhaka, Danny Welbeck, and Mesut Ozil are all averaging more than 18 FanDuel points per match. Welbeck could keep his place in the side with the sell of Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain, but striker Alexandre Lacazette is the big money signing that needs to be on the team sheet.
Bournemouth is expected to roll out a five-man midfield against an Arsenal team that was crushed by Liverpool last time out. While wing-backs Charlie Daniels and Adam Smith will have some value, the real threats are Josh King and Jermain Defoe, the latter of whom has scored against Arsenal for three different teams.
Dan Gosling also has some value with Junior Stanislas still out with a groin injury. Gosling is only $4,000 and earned 11 fantasy points in his only game this season.
This match could feature two teams starting with a back three. Both teams may find it hard to get through the midfield, but they should find space on the wings. Bournemouth is not afraid to try the long ball while Arsenal will try the through ball. There should be some fireworks in this match.
Southampton vs. Watford
It is always a good idea to pick a game that is not a marquee match, and the fixture at St. Mary's Stadium probably won't draw much attention. Although the last time these two teams met there were seven goals scored, this time around is expected to be more of a defensive game. Oddsmakers are calling for either a 1-0 Southampton win or a 1-1 draw.
Watford have an extensive injury and suspension list, so the advantage goes to Southampton. The Saints will play within their game and use possession wisely.
Knowing they are playing a team with a short bench should allow their defenders to pick up the pressure and try to regain the ball quickly. Virgil van Dijk could be one of those players hoping to secure a clean sheet for Southampton as he returned to first-team training this week, but his match fitness is in question after his drawn out transfer saga.
Although the ultimate value could be on defense and in net for both squads in a tight game, Nathan Redmond should be considered a smart play. He has been directly involved in five goals in his last three matches against Watford. He has averaged close to 20 FanDuel points through the first three weeks of the season. Redmond is a big part of the reason that Southampton are sixth in the league in shots per match.
With Southampton expected to own possession, that puts the pressure on the Watford back line. Christian Kabasele is a great value play at $4,500 as he will likely rack up defensive action points. Midfielder Nathaniel Chalobah had four clearances, one block, one interception, and drew four fouls last time out, so he could be a sneaky low-owned play at $6,000.
Watford is off to a good start and have managed five goals thus far. Even with a depleted roster, they will come in with confidence.