FanDuel Premier League Matches to Target in Matchweek 5
Matchweek 5 in the Premier League brings an interesting slate of games with a Friday night contest and four matches on Sunday. Seven of the fixtures have clear favorites while only one match has a projected over/under below 2.5 goals. Goals could be a common sight after the first weekend after European group play.
There is one clear team to target for scoring this week as Manchester City have a great matchup against Bournemouth. While it may be chalk, the ceiling is just too high to ignore.
Let's take a look at two matches to zero in on for DFS this weekend.
Manchester City vs. Bournemouth
The over/under for this game is set at three with City as the clear favorite. They come off a convincing win in the Champions League against Borussia Monchengladbach that was postponed a day due to weather. City now looks to be the second team in top-flight history to win their opening five matches in consecutive years. That feat looks to be a near certainty as City take the pitch this weekend for their 250th Premier League match in the Etihad Stadium.
Pep Guardiola believes his team could produce something special this year, and they have been led by Sergio Aguero, who bagged a hat trick in the Champions League opener. Aguero has nine goals in five games under Guardiola, but he will miss this one as part of his three-game ban.
That makes Kelechi Iheanacho a great play. With an affordable £6.6 million salary, Iheanacho will likely be the player to fill in at striker for City. He started in place of Aguero in the Manchester Derby and netted a goal, finishing the match with 31 FanDuel points.
City's midfielders will be hot commodities this weekend, as well. Kevin De Bruyne and Raheem Sterling lead the pack, with both averaging over 20 points per game. De Bruyne creates more chances and has almost double the goal attempts of Sterling.
De Bruyne played the entire match on Wednesday while Sterling came out in the 79th minute. He was replaced by Leroy Sane, who is an intriguing option should Guardiola decide to rest any of his regulars. Sane recorded an assist in his 11 minutes of work and will only cost £9.4 million this weekend. Sane is coming off his best season as a professional while looking to break into the crowded midfield in his first campaign with City.
The Cherries' Joshua King does offer some value this weekend. He is only £7.7 million and is averaging almost two shots a game across four appearances. He was credited with four clearances last week, showing his willingness to put in work on the defensive side, as well. Bournemouth should spend plenty to time play defense in this one.
If you need salary relief, consider Junior Stanislas or Jack Wilshere, both of whom are under £6 million. Stanislas totaled 18.25 points last week while Wilshere was given his debut.
Southampton vs. Swansea City
This one will be off the radar for most. However, Southampton have not kept a clean sheet in their last 16 Premier League matches, the longest current run in the league. The Saints also play a match in the Europa League on Thursday and have yet to see club-record signing Sofiane Boufal on the field.
The last time these teams met at St. Mary's Stadium, the match ended 3-1. While that was a comfortable win for Southampton, this season has been anything but comfortable. They have yet to win in the Premier League and have lost four points due to penalties. The Saints have given up goals on penalties in each of their last three games.
Southampton's run of form against Swansea should give them cause for optimism as they have won five of eight matches versus the Swans in the Premier League. However, Swansea is coming off an improbable draw against Chelsea, which should give them confidence against a winless Southampton side.
Manager Francesco Guidolin moved Swansea to a 3-5-1-1 formation for the draw. The formation gives more flexibility to the striker and center-back roles, even though it is new to most of the Swansea players. The formation also allows Fernando Llorente and Borja Baston to interchange at the tip of the offense. A good way to counter the narrow formations employee by Claude Puel at Southampton is to attack down the flanks, so there is a tactical showdown brewing.
If Swansea can get the tactical upper hand, then Jefferson Montero could be set free on the wing. Montero is only £6 million on FanDuel, but he could have space to send in crosses toward Llorente.
Llorente's price tag is only £6.5 million. If Guidolin is up for the risk, he could also start Modou Barrow -- who is £6 million -- opposite Montero.
Pay close attention to the formations announced with the team news on Sunday as the wide men for Swansea could be in for big days. Don't forget Leroy Fer. He has scored three of Swansea's four league goals. Gylfi Sigurdsson may have added value this week as the primary penalty taker for Swansea.
Travel will not be an issue for Southampton this weekend. Puel has also had a plan to rotate players for their Europa League contests. Many of the first-choice players should be available on Sunday. Dusan Tadic and Nathan Redmond make good plays as the downfall of the new Swansea formation can be space in the middle.
This fixture is about two teams that have a lot to prove. It could feature frequent swings in momentum, searching crosses and plenty of counter attacking. If you buy into the chaotic nature of this game, it could propel you to a good payout over the weekend.