NHL Daily Fantasy Helper: Monday 3/6/23
NHL DFS is similar to MLB in terms of how you build lineups, how you view stacking, and how to value players.
Two main points to always focus on in NHL DFS are what lines the players are on and making sure the goalies you are rostering are confirmed as the starters. Two of the best resources for that are LeftWingLock.com and DailyFaceOff.com. That is where you can find updated forward and power-play lines for each team, along with which goalies are confirmed as the starters.
Let's jump in and take a look at today's slate and some players to consider for your lineups.
Goalie to Target
Cam Talbot ($8,800): The Ottawa Senators are -275 road favorites against the Chicago Blackhawks, making this a very straightforward matchup for Talbot. The Senators are rolling right now and will look to continue that versus one of the weakest teams in the league -- and put Talbot in a spot for the win.
Over the last month, the Blackhawks are scoring 2.15 goals per 60 minutes in five-on-five situations, which is the fourth-worst in the league. Over that same time, Chicago is also in the bottom 10 of the league for the most goals (3.01) allowed per 60 minutes in five-on-five situations. That doesn't look good when the Senators are scoring a whopping 3.44 goals per 60 minutes in five-on-five situations during that same time. This is a very lopsided matchup in favor of the Senators tonight.
Brady Tkachuk ($8,400): As noted, the Senators' offense is cookin' right now, and that has resulted in them scoring at least five goals in five straight games. Their offense starts early and often, and given this soft matchup against the Blackhawks, we should see the Senators as a popular team in all formats.
Over the last 10 games, Tkachuk has 12 NHL points and 42 shots on goal, giving him a solid floor along with a high fantasy ceiling to reach for. Tkachuk hasn't found the back of the net in the last two games, which is actually a bit surprising given how many goals they have been scoring recently.
With his role on the first forward line and the first power-play unit, he is in a great spot to find the back of the net versus a bad defense.
Matt Duchene ($6,300): The Nashville Predators have been hit with a few injuries recently and on top of that, they made a few trades at the deadline to send some players elsewhere. This has left their forward group a bit depleted and makes Duchene their clear top option.
He's going up against the Vancouver Canucks, who are allowing 3.16 goals per 60 minutes in five-on-five situations over the last month, which is the sixth-worst in the league. Due to all of the changes in their roster, Duchene is taking a leading role in their offense and has piled up 9 NHL points, 29 shots on goal, and 7 blocked shots in his last 10 games. Between his salary and his role, Duchene is viable in all formats tonight.
Jack Quinn ($4,600): Quinn is under $5K and now playing on the top forward line and the second power-play unit for the Buffalo Sabres. Tonight's matchup against the Edmonton Oilers has a juicy 7.0 over/under and sets up to be an elite fantasy matchup. Over the last month, both teams are in the top 11 of the league for the most goals scored while also being in the bottom 10 of the league for the most goals allowed per 60 minutes in five-on-five situations.
All offense and zero defense is the theme of this game. Quinn is a solid value option, and over his last five games, he has five NHL points and nine shots on goal. With the high scoring expectation for this game, it's always good to get exposure to it with a value option.
Sean Durzi ($5,700): Durzi is the defender on the second power-play unit for the Los Angeles Kings, who come in with a solid 3.51 implied goal total against the Washington Capitals tonight. It's been a tough season for the Capitals, and it's gotten worse as the year has gone on. Over the last month, they are allowing 3.40 goals per 60 minutes in five-on-five situations, which is the third-worst in the league.
Durzi has a bit of offensive upside with that role but also offers good point-per-dollar value. Over his last 10 games, he has 8 NHL points, 18 shots on goal, and 12 blocked shots.