3 Daily Fantasy Football Players to Avoid in Week 16
Jordan Howard, RB, Chicago Bears
FanDuel Price: $6,000
DraftKings Price: $4,300
With 16-plus carries in 4 of his last 5 games and another potential heavy running game script this week as a 4.0-point favorite, Jordan Howard profiles as a solid mid-tier running back option.
But there are some warning signs to consider here. The Chicago Bears will travel to the San Francisco 49ers, who rank 12th against the run per our metrics, and a look back from Weeks 9 through 14 show they've been pretty stout:
Week | Name | Rush Attempts | Rush Yards | Yards per Carry |
---|---|---|---|---|
9 | David Johnson | 16 | 59 | 3.69 |
10 | Doug Martin | 10 | 49 | 4.90 |
11 | Saquon Barkley | 20 | 67 | 3.35 |
12 | Peyton Barber | 18 | 47 | 2.61 |
13 | Chris Carson | 13 | 69 | 5.31 |
14 | Phillip Lindsay | 14 | 30 | 2.14 |
TOTALS | 91 | 321 | 3.53 |
Among the 32 running backs with 125 or more carries, Howard has been pretty inefficient, posting a Rushing Net Expected Points (NEP) per carry mark of -0.09. Given his lack of involvement in the passing game, where he has only 22 targets on the year, a challenging matchup plus a mediocre implied team total of only 23.25 points makes the Bears running back tough to roster.