7 NFL FanDuel Value Plays for Week 13

Dion Lewis, RB, Tennessee Titans

Price: $5,500

Sticking with the Titans' offense, the Jets have been below-average against the run by our metrics, ranking 18th.

The Titans have a reasonable 24.0-point implied total, and Tennessee sitting as 7.5-point favorites should lend itself to some volume for the Titans' backs.

Dion Lewis doesn't have the kind of strong fantasy numbers that Mariota does recently (averaging 9.8 FanDuel points per game over his last four), but his volume has been there. Volume is always what we're looking for at running back, and the lack of recent production just means that we get Lewis' volume at a steep discount.

Lewis has at least 12 opportunities (rush attempts plus targets) in each of his last five games, and if we take out the Week 11 game in which Mariota exited early, Lewis has at least 14 opportunities in each game.

Even keeping Week 11 in the sample, we've seen Lewis average 13.8 carries and 4.2 targets per game over those last five, which is already enough to make him a terrific value at this price.

If we look at just the Titans' two wins in that sample, though, which makes sense to do since they're favored heavily here, Lewis notched 19 and 20 carries, adding 6 targets in those games and hitting 22 and 23 opportunities. That is workhorse-type volume that you usually need to pay up for.