5 NFL Red Zone Trends to Monitor for Week 13
Christian McCaffrey's Touchdowns Aren't a Fluke
Sure, nine touchdowns over his last five games isn't a pace that we're likely to see Christian McCaffrey keep up for long, but with they way he has dominated the red zone work in Carolina, his big scoring numbers have been no fluke.
Over his last five games, McCaffrey's lowest market share of the Panthers' red zone opportunities (rushes plus targets) in any week has been 42.8%. For context, only three players (including McCaffrey) have an opportunity market share over 42.8% on the year.
Overall, in those five games, McCaffrey's red zone opportunity market share sits at 55.4%, and that has elevated his season-long mark to 44.3% -- good for third in the NFL.
The Carolina Panthers aren't going to keep generating running 22 red zone snaps in a game, like they did in Week 12, but McCaffrey's recent touchdown explosion includes games in Weeks 10 and 11 that saw the Panthers combine for only 10 red zone opportunities over two weeks.
The team is averaging 9.3 red zone snaps per game, and dominating the bulk of that workload is going to let McCaffrey continue to find the end zone with regularity.