5 Historical Vegas Trends You Should Know for Week 12

Play Matt Ryan With a High Total

The Atlanta Falcons - New Orleans Saints game is quickly approaching a 60-point total. The game opened at 59 and has moved a half point upwards already. This is good news for Matt Ryan, who thrives in shootouts.

The most notable aspect of this split is that when the total exceeds 50, Ryan's volume is similar but his efficiency skyrockets. With totals of 50 or more, he averages 8.4 yards per attempt with a 5.2% touchdown rate. But when it's 49 or lower, those marks drop to 7.4 yards per attempt and a 4.5% touchdown rate.

Per numberFire's power rankings, Ryan has led the Falcons to the fourth-best passing attack this year and he finds himself as a top-five passer this week according to numberFire's projections. With home-favorite Brees on the small Thanksgiving slate, Ryan is the ideal pivot play and still takes advantage of a likely high-scoring affair.