NFL

5 Historical Vegas Trends You Should Know for Week 8

Use your ← → (arrow) keys to browse the slideshow

Watkins is a Sneaky Play as a Favorite

Sammy Watkins has been an affordable, high-volatility play since joining the Kansas City Chiefs. He's commanding just 16-percent of the Chiefs targets but on a passing attack that ranks first in numberFire's Power Rankings, that is enough to have boom weeks. This week the Chiefs are favored by ten points. When favored by a field goal or more, Watkins has been at his best:

Favorited By Catches/G Yards/G Touchdowns/G
3 or more 4.1 71.0 0.7
2 or fewer 3.5 50.7 0.3


Being picked to win is typically advantageous, and Watkins is no exception. The Chiefs also have a 31.75 implied score, the second highest of the slate. At just $6,400, Watkins is a worthwhile risk in tournaments.