5 Historical Vegas Trends You Should Know for Week 3

Run It Back With Zach Ertz

Zach Ertz offers a dope way to attack the Eagles-Colts game by getting Philly's target leader (23) in what should be a high-scoring affair. Ertz has been the centerpiece of the Eagles' passing game so far this year. He leads the Eagles' pass-game weapons in target share (27.71%) and snap share (95.40), and he's tied with Nelson Agholor for targets within the 20, 10, and goal-line

Ertz now gets to play as a touchdown favorite, where he's been at his best. When Philly has been at least a touchdown favorite, Ertz has averaged 12.01 half-PPR points per game and 63.44 yards across nine games -- compared to 8.46 points and 48.28 yards outside of the split (67 games)

Combine his success in similar spots with the return of Carson Wentz, and Ertz could easily see some touchdown regression as he's yet to score through two weeks despite his 23 targets and stout red-zone usage. At $7,000, Ertz is one of the few elite options at tight end this week.