NFL

2017 NFL Power Rankings: Week 15

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Teams 22nd to 13th

The aforementioned weak AFC means Tennessee is still a good bet to make the playoffs, but performances like Sunday’s make it hard to have much confidence in the Titans making any noise.

RankTeamnERDRecPlayoff OddsOff. NEP RankDef. NEP RankChange
22Tennessee Titans-3.738-577.3%2021-4
21Dallas Cowboys-2.857-64.6%1230+3
20Arizona Cardinals-2.696-70.0%289+2
19Denver Broncos-1.994-90.0%323+2
18Chicago Bears-1.614-90.0%246+1
17Houston Texans-1.54-90.0%1619-2
16Detroit Lions-1.497-68.7%1917+1
15Kansas City Chiefs-0.187-654.6%827+1
14Green Bay Packers0.227-611.8%11220
13Washington Redskins0.835-80.0%1811-1

Tennessee was held to 3.6 yards per play in a 12-7 loss in Arizona that dropped the Titans out of first place in the AFC South. It was another lackluster performance from an offense that has failed to build off a promising campaign in 2016.

The Titans were tied for ninth in yards per play and 13th in opponent-adjusted NEP per play last season, partly on the strength of a passing game that was tied for 11th in both NEP per dropback and net yards per dropback. This season, the passing game has taken a step back, as Tennessee is just 29th in NEP per dropback. This is partly due to interceptions and touchdowns, as the Titans rank second from the bottom in terms of both interception (4.0%) and touchdown rate (3.2%).

Their struggles go deeper though, as they are also tied for 20th in raw net yards per dropback, which seems to stem from a decline in big plays through the air.

Marcus Mariota only completed 61.2% of his passes last season, which was well below the league average and is completing 62.2% of them this year. Last season, he did a lot more with his successful throws, ranking fourth in the league in yards per completion (12.4). This season, he is averaging just 11.5, which is tied for 16th.