Fantasy Football: 5 Historical Vegas Trends You Should Know for Week 8

Avoid T.Y. Hilton as an Underdog

The Indianapolis Colts are 10.5-point underdogs against the Cincinnati Bengals. It has been a rough season for T.Y. Hilton without Andrew Luck and things may get worse on Sunday. Over the past two and a half seasons, Hilton has performed poorly when the Colts were underdogs.

Hilton's scoring output essentially doubled in games where the Colts were favored. The numbers get even worse when the Colts were underdogs of a touchdown or more.

Hilton is priced at $7,200 on FanDuel, ranking 15th among wideouts. Even in a week with many teams on bye, Hilton is unlikely to reach the top-15 in scoring. I would avoid him in all formats.