Fantasy Football: 5 Historical Vegas Trends You Should Know for Week 14

Start Donte Moncrief as a Favorite

The Indianapolis Colts are coming off a Monday night demolition of the New York Jets. This week, the Colts are 6.5-point home favorites against the Houston Texans and have an implied total of 26.5 points, the second highest in Week 14.

This means good things for T.Y. Hilton and Andrew Luck, but don't forget about wideout Donte Moncrief. Since the start of 2015, Moncrief has scored 11.35 half-PPR points per game when the Colts were favored. That's about four points higher than what he's scored as an underdog.

Moncrief has quietly scored a touchdown in five straight games since returning from injury, which has gone without much fanfare due to his lack of yardage -- he hasn't cracked 70 yards receiving in a game all season. Now, he's also set to square off against the Texans' solid pass defense, which could prevent potential owners from rostering him.

That being said, the pass-catcher is an advantageous tournament play because of his cheap price and safe floor. He is currently priced at $6,400 on FanDuel, which ranks 24th among wideouts.

You can expect Hilton to have high ownership and even Dwayne Allen after his touchdown trifecta just days ago, but the smart money is on Moncrief to continue his touchdown streak.