Fantasy Football: 5 Historical Vegas Trends You Should Know for Week 5

Start T.Y. Hilton as a Favorite

Indianapolis Colts wide receiver T.Y. Hilton has performed much better in his career when his team has been favored. Over his career, he has averaged 13.54 points per game in half-PPR formats when the Colts were favored. When the Colts were underdogs, his production dropped to an average of 9.06 half-PPR points per game.

This week's clash with the Chicago Bears game opened with the Colts being favored by 4 points and has slightly risen to the current spread of 4.5 points. The Colts have an implied total of 26 points, which is the sixth-highest of the week. The over/under for the game is 47.5 points, which is the fourth-highest of the week.

Another favorable trend for Hilton is the performance of the Colts in the games following a loss. Since the start of 2012, the year Andrew Luck debuted, the Colts have gone 18-7 against the spread in the game following a loss -- although the Colts will be first team to not have a bye immediately after playing in London.

Hilton has a reasonable cost of $7,700 on FanDuel -- the 11th-highest among all wideouts -- making him enticing in both cash games and tournaments.