Week 5 Game Scripts to Target in Daily Fantasy Football

Green Bay Packers vs. New York Giants

Over/Under: 48.0
Packers Implied Team Total: 27.75
Giants Implied Team Total: 20.25

Do you feel a strange feeling of emptiness when you look at this week's Vegas lines and don't see any games with a 50-plus point over/under? Admittedly, playing daily fantasy isn't as fun without the New Orleans Saints defense to attack, but this matchup could end up producing similarly exciting fantasy numbers. The 48-point over/under comes in as the second-highest on the slate, as does Green Bay's 27.75-point implied team total.

This game also sets up as a potentially pass-heavy shootout with both the Green Bay Packers and New York Giants profiling as funnel defenses. Green Bay has allowed an absurd 1.8 yards per carry and has the best Adjusted Defensive Rushing NEP per play in the league, but the Packers rank fourth-worst in Adjusted Defensive Passing NEP per drop back. New York's 17th-ranked Adjusted Defensive Rushing NEP per play pales in comparison to Green Bay, but it looks great compared to their defense, which ranks 23rd Adjusted Defensive Passing NEP per drop back.

This is also a huge pace-up game for Green Bay as the Giants' opponents have run 67.75 plays per game against them -- the sixth-most in the league. Green Bay ranks 30th in offensive plays per game (58) and their offensive players should all see a slight boost in production if they match New York's pace of play.

Aaron Rodgers, QB, Green Bay Packers

FanDuel Price: $9,100

Aaron Rodgers gets a chance to build off of his four-touchdown performance in another home matchup. Over the past three seasons, Rodgers has averaged 42 more passing yards and a touchdown more per game at Lambeau Field. When playing at home with Jordy Nelson at his disposal during that time, Rodgers has averaged 282 passing yards and 3.2 touchdowns per game. In five home games that he's had Jordy and at least a 48-point over/under, those averages have jumped up to a ludicrous 321 yards and 3.4 touchdowns per game, good for 28.5 FanDuel points per game, according to the Rotoviz Game Splits App.

In nine games over the past three seasons that he has played with Nelson and Green Bay has won by at least seven, Rodgers has averaged 5.4 more FanDuel points behind 3.3 passing touchdowns per game. It's not going to be easy to pay over $9,000 for Rodgers with other quarterbacks in good spots, but he has the highest projected raw fantasy point total among any quarterback on the slate.

Odell Beckham Jr., WR, New York Giants

FanDuel Price: $8,500

Odell Beckham has struggled from a fantasy perspective to start the season, but the only thing really missing from his on-field production is the touchdowns. Through four games last year, Beckham had 24 catches for 307 yards. Through four games this season, he has 22 catches for 303 yards. His 39 targets are more than any receiver who doesn't have a touchdown this year, and considering his impressive career 8.7% touchdown rate, some touchdown regression seems headed his way.

In a matchup against Green Bay's funnel defense, a bounce-back performance could be coming. In their two most recent games, Green Bay has watched Marvin Jones and Stefon Diggs combine for 15 catches, 387 receiving yards, and 3 touchdowns. Their best corner, Sam Shields, has already been ruled out.

As covered with Brandon Marshall, the opposing team's number-one receiver is the second-most correlated position with a successful quarterback performance, so if you expect big things from Rodgers, Beckham makes for an excellent correlation play.

Others to Consider

The more obvious pairing with Rodgers is Jordy Nelson, who has caught a touchdown in every game and has posted an improved FanDuel point output each week. Most recently, he dropped 25.1 FanDuel points against the Detroit Lions. A game stack with Rodgers, Beckham, and Nelson is an expensive pairing, but it is also one with immense upside.