Fantasy Football: 5 Historical Vegas Trends You Should Know for Week 2

Take a Chance on John Brown as a Favorite

Looking for an upside tournament play who is likely to have low ownership for Week 2? Look no further than John Brown, who has excelled as a favorite in his career.

I know, Brown is coming off a week where the Arizona Cardinals were favored versus the New England Patriots, and he caught one stinking pass for eight yards. This recency bias should lead to low ownership on Brown.

In 23 career games as a favorite, Brown has averaged 13.1 PPR points per game, which is twice as much as he scores as an underdog. In 2015, Brown averaged 14.96 PPR points per game as a favorite.

The Cards are currently favored by 6.5 points versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Their implied total of 28.25 indicates that bookmakers think the Cardinals will score around four touchdowns. That's the third-highest implied total in Week 2.

Brown's quarterback, Carson Palmer, has also done well as a favorite over the past two years with the Cardinals, averaging 23.58 fantasy points per game as a favorite.

Another reason for this upside play is Brown's cheap price of $6,600, which is tied for the 30th-most expensive receiver on the slate.