NCAAB

NCAA Tournament: Which Teams Could Be Seeded Too Low on Selection Sunday?

Sal Cacciatore  —  @SCacc8 Feb 15th, 2018
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Florida State Seminoles

nF Rating: 24

nF Projected Seed: 8

Bracket Matrix Projected Seed: 9

Florida State is getting a raw deal from the RPI, which has the 18-8 Seminoles rated just 46th.

Ignoring point differential does a disservice to the 'Noles, who are tied for 32nd nationally in terms of average scoring margin (+9.4) and have done so against the 43rd-most difficult schedule in the country, according to KenPom (where FSU is ranked 23rd).

FSU’s wins have been big (its average margin of victory is +16.2) while its losses have been narrow (with an average margin of defeat of 5.9). The squad has also slightly underperformed in close games, going 4-6 in contests decided by six points or fewer.

The ratings suggest they should be in line for a 6 seed, while it currently seems like the ‘Noles are actually headed for an 8-9 matchup. If that holds true, they could potentially make for a very difficult Round of 32 matchup for a 1 seed.

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