NBA Player Prop Bets to Target: Nuggets at Lakers (Game 4)
Here, we'll focus on utilizing daily fantasy basketball projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are focusing on the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.
The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place live in-game props with ease.
Please note that betting lines and our daily projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
D'Angelo Russell Under 16.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-108)
D'Angelo Russell has a plus/minus of -53 through three games against the Denver Nuggets, which is bonkers considering that the first two games were decided by just six and five points. I'm not sure how the Los Angeles Lakers can justify keeping D-Lo in the starting five and/or giving him significant minutes.
Russell logged only 20 minutes in Game 3, and I think that could be on the high end of his range of outcomes today, which leads me to the under on Russell's points, rebounds and assists (PRA) total.
But this recommendation isn't based solely on the assumption Russell plays fewer minutes. Even while getting 26.7 minutes per night so far in this series, D-Lo has averaged 7.0 points, 2.0 rebounds and 4.0 assists for a total of only 13.0 PRA.
Russell's PRA prop has dropped each game of this series. We cashed the under at 20.5 in Game 2, and the under also hit at a line of 19.5 in Game 3. It's down to 16.5 for tonight, but I don't think that's low enough. I'm backing the under once more, and unless Russell gets hot from the field, I think we're in good shape.
Dennis Schroder Over 7.5 Points (-130)
This correlates with Russell seeing less run as I think Dennis Schroder will be one of the beneficiaries of that.
Schroder has been fairly impactful for LA through three games, tallying a plus/minus of just -7 while the Lakers are -22 for the series. He played 30 and 32 minutes in the first two games and was headed for a similar total in Game 3 if he hadn't fouled out. It wouldn't surprise me if he starts today as the Lakers clearly need Schroder's defense against Jamal Murray.
Schroder is mostly an afterthought offensively, but he's averaged 8.2 points and 7.2 shots -- including 2.7 three-point tries -- over his last nine games. He's also an 85.7% free-throw shooter this year, which could come in handy for this prop.
I think Schroder will be on the court a lot in a must-win Game 4, and our model has Schroder netting 8.2 points.