NBA

NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Thursday 4/27/23

Austan Kas  —  @AustanKas Apr 27th, 2023

Here, we'll focus on utilizing daily fantasy basketball projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are focusing on the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.

The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place live in-game props with ease.

Please note that betting lines and our daily projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.

Robert Williams Over 1.5 Blocks (+112)

I wrote up this bet for Game 5, and Robert Williams recorded a whopping zero blocks despite logging 27 minutes. Yay. But I'm going back to the well again today because I think the process is sound.

The matchup is a big part of it. The Atlanta Hawks usually play with at least one big -- either Clint Capela or Onyeka Okongwu -- which results in good minutes for opposing centers. As such, across the last 30 games of the regular season, the Hawks gave up 2.2 blocks per game to centers, the 10th-most.

Despite the zero-swat game last time out, Williams has blocked at least a pair of shots in two of the last four games of the series and in 6 of his past 11 games overall.

I think the over is worth a roll of the dice at this plus-money price.

Jayson Tatum to Be the Top Point Scorer (+110)

Jayson Tatum had an off game last time out, scoring just 19 points, but he had poured in at least 25 in each of the four games before that one, including 29, 29 and 31 from Game 2 to Game 4.

The Hawks struggled to defend power forwards all year, surrendering the third-most points per night to the position.

Tatum has played Atlanta seven times this season, and he's gone for 29-plus points in four of the seven games. With a chance to avoid a Game 7, Tatum should be aggressive from the jump today.

This likely comes down to one of Tatum, Trae Young (+250) or Jaylen Brown (+310). Our model projects Tatum to score 30.4 points tonight -- 3.5 more than anyone else. We have Young at 26.9 points and Brown at 24.6. The +110 price looks like a number we can take advantage of.