NBA

NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Friday 4/21/23

Austan Kas  —  @AustanKas Apr 21st, 2023

Here, we'll focus on utilizing daily fantasy basketball projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are focusing on the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.

The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place live in-game props with ease.

Please note that betting lines and our daily projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.

Nikola Jokic to Record a Triple-Double (+210)

Nikola Jokic had 27 points, 9 rebounds and 9 assists in Game 2. I think he gets over the triple-double hump tonight in Game 3.

In the regular season, Jokic averaged 24.5 points, 11.8 boards and 9.8 dimes. He played the Minnesota Timberwolves three times in the regular season and triple-doubled in two of the games.

Jokic is -650 to double-double, and our model projects him to record 24.5 points and 11.8 rebounds. This will likely come down to assists. He's now played Minnesota five times, and he's posted an average of 10.6 assists in those five outings. The Wolves gave up the most assists per night to centers in the regular season.

We have Jokic forecasted for 8.8 assists in addition to the 24.5 points and 11.8 rebounds. I think he's got a better chance to get a triple-double than the 32.3% odds this +210 price implies.

Al Horford Over 2.5 Assists (-162)

Al Horford has gone over 2.5 assists in 15 of his past 17 games, including 7 of his previous 8.

One of the two exceptions in that span came in Game 2 of this series versus the Atlanta Hawks, but Horford is averaging 4.0 potential assists per game in the series.

On top of that, Horford has played 35.0 minutes per night through two playoff games -- up from the 30.5 he averaged in the regular season. With those 30.5 minutes per game in the regular season, Horford averaged 3.0 dimes per contest.

Our model likes this one quite as bit as we project Horford for 3.6 assists. Even with the -162 juice, this bet is an appealing prop.