3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Friday 3/3/23
Here, we'll focus on utilizing daily fantasy basketball projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are focusing on the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.
The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.
Please note that betting lines and our daily fantasy basketball projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Al Horford Over 5.5 Rebounds (-146)
Al Horford has racked up at least six rebounds in six of his past eight games, and I like his chances to do it again tonight.
Horford is up against the Brooklyn Nets. Brooklyn is really struggling on the glass with their new lineup, sitting dead last in rebound rate over the past five games.
The veteran Boston Celtics' big man grabbed 6.1 rebounds per game in February and is averaging 6.2 rebounds per night for the season.
The big worry here is blowout risk as the C's are 11.5-point favorites. But as long as Horford gets his usual minutes, he can soar past this, and he might be able to hit the over in abbreviated run, too.
Our model has him totaling 7.2 rebounds on Friday night.
Jordan Poole Over 4.5 Assists (-130)
The over on Jordan Poole's assists prop is another bet our algorithm is into.
Poole has gotten to handle the ball more in the absence of Stephen Curry, and that's led to increased assist totals. In February, Poole averaged 5.7 assists per night, and he's dished out five-plus dimes in 6 of his previous 10 games.
The game environment and matchup should help. The Golden State Warriors are hosting the New Orleans Pelicans in a clash with a 230.5-point total and 4.5-point spread. New Orleans has given up the 13th-most assists per game to the point-guard position (8.8).
We project Poole to hand out 5.4 assists.
Nikola Jokic to Record a Triple-Double (-110)
Nikola Jokic has notched a triple-double in 13 of his past 17 games. He's averaging 24.6 points, 11.7 rebounds and 10.0 assists for the year and is coming off an amazing February in which he put up averages of 22.6 points, 14.2 boards and 10 dimes for the month.
A Memphis Grizzlies squad that is still sans Steven Adams is unlikely to slow down Jokic. The Grizz have allowed the most rebounds per night to centers over the last 15 games as well as the sixth-most assists in that span.
Jokic has recorded a points-rebounds double-double in 12 straight games. It's the assists that are likely to be the biggest hurdle tonight. That was the case the last time he played Memphis as he recorded just three helpers. But he had a 13-13-13 triple-double in his other meeting with the Grizzlies.
Our numbers have Jokic finishing with 22.9 points, 13.7 rebounds and 10.0 assists.
If you want to roll the dice on the Denver Nuggets -- who are a 5.5-point home favorite -- getting the win, you can bet Jokic to get a triple-double and the Nuggets to win at a price of +156.