NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Thursday 2/16/23
Here, we'll focus on utilizing daily fantasy basketball projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are focusing on the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.
The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.
Please note that betting lines and our daily fantasy basketball projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Nikola Vucevic Under 4.5 Assists (-150)
I think the -150 juice is worth swallowing on this one.
Nikola Vucevic has dished out at least five assists only once in his past seven games. He's got four total assists over the past two outings and is averaging 3.4 dimes per night for the campaign.
Being sans DeMar DeRozan -- who is out -- puts a little more playmaking on Vucevic, but even without DDR on the court, Vucevic is recording just 3.8 assists per 36 minutes, according to CourtQ. He finished with three assists in 36.5 minutes last night when DeRozan sat out.
Our projects have Vucevic totaling 3.8 assists tonight.
Bradley Beal Under 1.5 Made Threes (+102)
Bradley Beal is up against the Minnesota Timberwolves, and it should be a tough spot for him to get going from three.
Over the past 15 games, Minnesota has given up a three-point attempt rate of 33.9%, the third-lowest in the NBA in that span.
Beal played the T-Wolves once already this season and went 1 for 4 from beyond the arc in that game. He's typically not a high-volume shooter from three, and that's especially true when he's sharing the court with Kyle Kuzma and Kristaps Porzingis, which will be the case today. In that split, he averages 1.9 made threes on 5.2 three-point attempts per 36 minutes, according to CourtIQ.
With those three all suiting up two nights ago, Beal went 1 for 5 from deep.
Our model projects him to make 1.6 of 4.9 threes on Thursday. With a +102 price on the over, this is a good bet to zero in on.