NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Tuesday 1/31/23
Here, we'll focus on utilizing daily fantasy basketball projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are focusing on the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.
The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.
Please note that betting lines and our daily fantasy basketball projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Kyle Lowry Under 9.5 Points (-115)
With Jimmy Butler confirmed as being available to play, I'm liking the under on Kyle Lowry's points prop.
Lowry has been held to nine or fewer points in five of his last seven games. He hasn't topped 31.1 minutes in any game in that span, and he's taken single-digit shots in five of the seven contests. Lowry's usage rate with Butler on the floor this year is just 16.0%, per CourtIQ, which ranks seventh among the Miami Heat's regulars.
The matchup is in our favor, too. Miami is at the Cleveland Cavaliers, a team that has given up the third-fewest points per night to point guards (9.5).
Our projections have Lowry right at this line as we peg him to score 9.6 points. I'm siding with the under.
Quentin Grimes Over 10.5 Points (-108)
Quentin Grimes is at home today against the Los Angeles Lakers, and I like his chances to get at least 11 points.
The matchup is certainly there.
LA has surrendered the ninth-most points per game to two-guards (23.9) and will be sans Patrick Beverley, who is a pest defensively on the perimeter. The Lakers are a middling 19th in defensive rating and sit 4th in pace. That makes them a huge pace-up spot for the New York Knicks, who play at the fourth-slowest pace.
Grimes is a low-usage player who hasn't topped 10 points in any of his previous five games. But he plays a lot of minutes -- at least 33.0 in four straight -- and can take advantage of the matchup.
We project Grimes to score 11.3 points on Tuesday.
Another bet that correlates well with this and may be worth a look is taking a shot on over 2.5 made threes for Grimes, which is priced at +152. Our model has Grimes going 2.9 of 7.7 from three.