NBA

5 NBA FanDuel Value Plays to Target on Monday 1/30/23

One of the keys to finding success in daily fantasy basketball is uncovering potential value plays.

If you're looking to roster a stud player or two, you need to consider squeezing one of these lower-salaried options into your lineup.

Let's take a look at some players who can help fill in the gaps in your lineup on FanDuel tonight, using numberFire's daily fantasy basketball projections as a guide.

Tim Hardaway Jr., SG/SF, Dallas Mavericks
Dwight Powell, C/PF, Dallas Mavericks

Hardaway Jr.'s FanDuel Salary: $5,300
Powell's FanDuel Salary: $5,000

I'm technically featuring just Tim Hardaway Jr. and Dwight Powell, but Dorian Finney-Smith ($5,300) is also involved here. I just didn't want to get too heavy on the Dallas Mavericks recommendations and skimp elsewhere on a bigger slate.

All three are trending toward prime value territory on Monday night in a matchup against the Detroit Pistons because the Mavericks are without both Christian Wood and Maxi Kleber. Oh, and that Luka Doncic guy is questionable.

Even while Doncic is projected for a full workload early in the day, these three all rate out well from a value standpoint in numberFire's model.

The best value rating (i.e. FanDuel point per $1,000 projection) among the trio belongs to Hardaway Jr.; he's got a mark of 5.54 and is expected to produce 29.4 fantasy points over 34.9 minutes of action against the lowly Pistons' defense.

Finney-Smith is next up at 5.08 with Powell at 5.03, so it's a real take-your-pick situation.

It's just a good opportunity from matchup-meets-minutes standpoint for all three of them, and we don't need to complicate it more than that.

Alec Burks, PG/SG, Detroit Pistons

FanDuel Salary: $5,000

On the other side of that game, we can look to Alec Burks to balance out some Detroit/Dallas value stacks.

Burks has started in consecutive games, his only two starts of the season, and has averaged 28.9 minutes 10.5 field goal attempts (including 7.5 three-point attempts), 20.5 points, 3.5 rebounds, and 3.0 assists. That -- plus the other stats -- has led to 30.2 FanDuel points per game in the two-game sample.

Overall, Burks has averaged 1.00 FanDuel points per minute on the season. Against bottom-10 defenses, that has bumped up to 1.08 in 10 such games.

Seth Curry, PG/SG, Brooklyn Nets

FanDuel Salary: $5,200

The Brooklyn Nets are in need of some extra minutes. Via the official NBA injury report, Kevin Durant is out, Ben Simmons is questionable, and T.J. Warren is doubtful.

That's playing part in a minutes projection of 31.4 for Seth Curry in a matchup against the Los Angeles Lakers.

In six games with at least 30 minutes of action, Curry has averaged 11.7 shots (including 5.5 three-point attempts) for 16.8 points and 24.5 FanDuel points per game.

Additionally, the Lakers are allowing a top-six number of three-point attempts per game. Against teams in the bottom 10 in three-point defense (by volume), Curry generates 0.53 points per minute and 0.92 FanDuel points per minute. Those are up from rates of 0.45 and 0.72, respectively, against all other opponents.

Aaron Wiggins, SG, Oklahoma City Thunder

FanDuel Salary: $4,200

Sometimes you need a bit of extra savings, and in that case, you have to take on some imperfections.

For Aaron Wiggins, that primarily comes in the form of per-minute output. Wiggins is averaging only 0.76 FanDuel points per minute for the full season.

But with the Oklahoma City Thunder thinned out in terms of depth, he is projected for 28.4 minutes tonight. That comes with a projection of just 21.0 raw FanDuel points, but that works out to an even 5.00 FanDuel points per $1,000.

Wiggins, in eight starts, has averaged 30.0 minutes and 24.8 FanDuel points.