NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Tuesday 4/26/22
Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up within the betting market to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball.
Here we'll focus on utilizing our projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are using the odds provided at NBA Finals odds to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.
The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.
Please note that betting lines and our player projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Gabe Vincent Over 2.5 Rebounds (+132)
Kyle Lowry is out tonight, and that should lead to a lot of minutes for Gabe Vincent.
With Lowry on the sidelines last game, Vincent started, logged 27.4 minutes and snared 3 rebounds. The Miami Heat won that game by 24 points, so Vincent might have seen even more run if the game was close. In short, he should see good minutes tonight in Game 5.
In the three games in this series in which he's played at least 25 minutes, Vincent has grabbed at least three rebounds in two of the games, and we project him to total 2.8 boards in this one. Getting this at a price of +132 makes it a great prop for Tuesday.
I will say this -- I do worry that Victor Oladipo could siphon some minutes from Vincent after a good showing in Game 4. But as long as Vincent starts, I think it's all systems go for this prop.
Brandon Ingram Under 26.5 Points (-120)
Ahead of Game 2, I plugged the under on Brandon Ingram's points prop at a line of 24.5 points. That worked out super well as Ingram netted 37 that game and has followed it up with 34 and 30 points in Games 3 and 4, respectively.
But I'm back on the under for Game 5.
Ingram has been a monster the last three games and is a huge reason why this series is 2-2. But I don't think he'll keep shooting it as well as he has been. Over the past three, Ingram is hitting 55.6% of his shots, including 7 of 14 from deep (50.0%) and 24 for 28 from the free-throw line (85.7%).
In the regular season, Ingram shot 46.1% overall and just 32.7% from three -- well below what he's done during his recent tear. He did make 82.6% of his freebies on the year, but he attempted just 5.0 per game, compared to the 9.3 he's taking per night over the last three.
Our model has Ingram regressing tonight, projecting him to score 24.6 points.