NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Friday 4/22/22
Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up within the betting market to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball.
Here we'll focus on utilizing our projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are using the odds provided at NBA Finals odds to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.
The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.
Please note that betting lines and our player projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Zach LaVine Over 2.5 Made Three-Pointers (-136)
Over the final 15 games of the regular season, the Milwaukee Bucks allowed the second-highest three-point attempt rate (44.8%).
The matchup should help Zach LaVine hit at least three triples.
Through two games in the series, he has jacked up 14 total three-point tries, making 5 of them. After a 2-for-10 effort from beyond the arc in Game 1, LaVine went 3-for-4 from deep in Game 2. In two regular-season meetings with the Bucks, LaVine went 3 for 10 and 4 of 7 from three.
We project him to make 3.2 treys on 8.1 attempts in Game 3.
Mikal Bridges Under 16.5 Points (-108)
With Devin Booker sidelined, there is some volatility with the Phoenix Suns' props. Sure, we can look at how the Suns' players fared with Booker off the floor this season, but no one knows for sure how the extra minutes and shots will be divvied up in the postseason.
Mikal Bridges averaged just 14.2 points per game this year, so this line implies he'll get a boost today sans Booker. While that may happen, our model likes the under at this line.
With Book off the court this season, Bridges owned a mere 16.0% usage rate, which is an increase of only 0.7 percentage points from his overall usage rate, per RotoGrinders' CourtIQ. The biggest usage risers in the split were Chris Paul, Cameron Payne and Jae Crowder. Bridges' usage didn't change much.
Could that be different in the playoffs? Absolutely. And Bridges scored it well in Game 2, pouring in 19 points -- although it took a super-efficient 7-for-11 shooting performance, including 2 of 3 from deep.
In a matchup with a blah 211.0-point total and with this being a pace-down clash for the Suns, Bridges projects for 15.4 points in Game 3, according to our algorithm.
