NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Tuesday 4/12/22
Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up within the betting market to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball.
Here we'll focus on utilizing our projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are using the odds provided at NBA Finals odds to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.
The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.
Please note that betting lines and our player projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Kyrie Irving Under 28.5 Points (-110)
While admitting that matchups oftentimes don't matter for elite-level offensive players like Kyrie Irving, this is a pretty difficult spot for him tonight versus the Cleveland Cavaliers.
Over the last 15 games, Cleveland has permitted just 22.4 points per game to point guards, the 10th-fewest in that time. For the season, the Cavs have surrendered the eighth-fewest points per night to floor generals (22.5), and the return of Evan Mobley should present Kyrie with quite the obstacle on Irving's forays to the hoop.
In addition to that, the Cavs are only 24th in pace over the last 10 games -- compared to the Nets' ranking of 6th -- so this is a big pace-down spot for Brooklyn.
Our model projects Kyrie to net 28.1 points, which is right at this line. With just two games going tonight, lines are sharp, as you'd expect. I like taking the under on Irving's points prop.
Reggie Jackson Over 16.5 Points (-120)
While Reggie Jackson hasn't scored more than 11 points in any of his past three games, he is in a nice matchup tonight against the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Minnesota is giving up the third-most points per game to point guards over the past 30 contests (25.6). Minnesota (first in pace over the last 10) is also a big pace-up matchup for the Los Angeles Clippers (20th).
The return of Paul George has taken some shots away from Jackson, but when on the floor this year with PG-13, Jackson still owns a solid 24.1% usage rate, per RotoGrinders' CourtIQ. That's only 1.9 percentage points below Jackson's season-long mark, and the 24.1% usage rate is the second-best clip on LA in the split with George on the court.
We project Jackson to pour in 17.8 points, making the over an enticing bet.