Daily Fantasy Basketball Game Scripts to Target on 1/12/17

LaMarcus Aldridge, PF, San Antonio Spurs

FanDuel Price: $7,600

LaMarcus Aldridge and the San Antonio Spurs are heavy favorites against the Los Angeles Lakers, as their 14.5-point spread is the largest on the slate. San Antonio has an implied team total of 112.5 points, which is 6.5 points higher than their season scoring average. That is the biggest increase in scoring any team is expected to see tonight.

Per the RotoViz Game Splits App, Aldridge has played in just one game with an implied team total of at least 112.5 points over the past two seasons, so instead, let's take a look at games the Spurs have been projected for at least 110 points.

He has averaged 36.2 FanDuel points in this situation, up from 31.7 in all other games. He's also performed better when playing in games with at least a 210.5-point over/under, which is what this game is projected for. He's averaged 36 FanDuel points in such games while playing as a member of the Spurs.

Blowout is a real concern, but a look at Aldridge's previous performances in similar spots offers some ease of mind. In games the Spurs have been favored by 14.5 or more points over the past two seasons, he has averaged 32.9 FanDuel points, up from 31.9 in all other games.

The Lakers have really struggled against power forwards, allowing the second-most FanDuel points per game to the position. This could certainly get ugly, but Aldridge might be able to reach value in three quarters given the matchup. If Los Angeles can keep it close, he could end up crushing value.