NBA

Daily Fantasy Basketball Game Scripts to Target on 1/11/17

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Trevor Ariza, SF, Houston Rockets

FanDuel Price: $5,800

Trevor Ariza and the Houston Rockets are projected for 110.5 points against the Wolves today, and as we hit on earlier, this game has the second-highest over/under on the slate.

In games with at least a 110.5 point over/under over the past two seasons, Ariza has averaged 27.1 FanDuel points, up from 24 points in all other games. He's also played better in games with at least a 218 point over/under, averaging 27.2 FanDuel points.

The Timberwolves have been one of the worst teams at defending opposing small forwards this season, allowing the seventh-most FanDuel points per game to the position. Starting small forward Andrew Wiggins has been a complete liability on defense, ranking dead last among 80 qualified small forwards in real defensive plus-minus.

Ariza also should benefit from the absence of teammate Eric Gordon, who had taken 18.6 shots per game over his past five games and 23.7 usage rate on the season ranks second on the team. Despite coming off the bench, Gordon was spending a lot of time with the first unit and taking shots from Ariza.

In a great matchup, with all the minutes he can handle at his disposal, Ariza should thrive in this game as long as game script holds up.