NASCAR Betting Guide for the GoBowling at the Glen

Picking NASCAR race winners is nearly impossible because of how much has to go right on the track to end up in victory lane. The pit stops have to be perfect, the driver has to avoid pit road penalties and accidents, and crew chiefs need to make the right adjustments to be one of the best cars at the end of a race to give the driver the chance to win.

Below we will cover the best bets of the weekend, but numberFire always has you covered when it comes to NASCAR. Check out the track preview for additional information on the history at this track, and the driver preview will give you some names to watch in this weekend's race.

Here's where to put smart money for Go Bowling at the Glen:

At the Top

Kyle Busch (+280): It feels obligatory to include Kyle Busch here, seeing that many could say that he is "due" to win a race soon, having not won a race since the first Pocono outing two months ago. But, as per usual, the numbers line up for Busch to win. As far as driver rating is concerned, he is leading the field in that statistic (113.7) in all races run since Chicago if we exclude the Daytona race. And let's not forget to mention that he has the best track history among all drivers as well. Coming into this race with an average driver rating of 114.1. I am certainly in the crowd of people saying that he is due to win, and this might be the place where he can.

Martin Truex Jr. (+350): It's safe to say that Martin Truex is the king of road courses so far this season, having won at Sonoma with ease it seemed like. For that reason, he is certainly in contention to win again at a road course this season at Watkins Glen. He does not have the same kind of positive momentum coming into this race as Kyle Busch does, in fact, it seems as if Truex is in a bit of a slump, relative to his abilities of course. As he is being outdriven by the like of Harvick, Hamlin, and even Erik Jones. Given his great track history and general history on road courses, I believe that Truex is primed to win this week.

Value Spots

Erik Jones (+2800): Speaking of Erik Jones, let's talk about how great of a value bet he is here. Like I mentioned earlier, as far as momentum leading up to this race is concerned, Erik Jones has the fourth-best driver rating amongst all drivers heading into this race in his last 5 (101.1). He has quietly put together 4 top 10 and 3 top 5 finishes as he drives to defend his spot in the playoffs. And let's not forget his average finish of 3.8 in those four races. Jones is also a monster on these road courses. In his two races here at Watkins Glen, he has a driver rating of 101.8. Which includes 2 top-ten finishes and one finish in the top 5. Jones is a great value here and should be in the running to win.

Kyle Larson (+4000): My confidence in Larson winning here is certainly not as great as I feel about Jones, but the guy is a 40/1 bet this week, I can't pass that up on a driver with as much on-track talent as Larson does. Larson comes into this race struggling a bit, with a driver rating of 94.1 in his last 4 races. This includes a relatively paltry average finish of 11. So why make a bet on this long-shot? Because with teammate Kurt Busch with him at Chip Ganassi racing, there is a way now for Larson to learn the way of the road course that he did not get before. I feel as if Larson can now learn and become a better road course racer, and the Glen is a great place for him to test this new-found knowledge. And at +4000, there are worse bets on the board.

Long Shots

Matt Dibenedetto (+8000): This can be classified more as a fandom bet, but I love me a good Dibenedetto bet this weekend. Quick story, I was at the Pocono race last week and I had heard that the #95 team was finally selling Diben merchandise. I had looked and scoured at every hauler at the track and saw nothing, and then, the magical moment, a small tent by a porto-potty had the hats. Was very happy to snag one! And then, I was able to walk on pit road pre-race and not only got my picture with the #95 car itself, but was spotted by one of the crew members and got to talk to him for a bit. Was a great time! Anyway, Matt showed some road promise earlier this season after coming in 4th place at Sonoma. His team was one of the few smart enough to realize that you need to pit toward the end of stage one to get the track position needed to place well in the final two stages. I would think he goes back there again and gives himself the chance to win this thing. Oh, would I love to see Dibenedetto in the playoffs.

Ryan Newman (+8000): Like Matt, Newman's team was also smart in the pit strategy game at Sonoma, where he finished 7th. Now, I would guess that other teams will now come privy to the strategy, and I will assume Newman and the #6 team will keep doing what worked for them before. Newman has actually been running okay recently, coming into this race with a driver rating of 73.9, which is better than some talented drivers in this field, Chase Elliot most notably. I believe that Newman will keep himself in the top 10 at least throughout the final two stages of the race and possibly set himself up for victory.