MLB

MLB Power Rankings Update: The Braves Are the Worst Team in Baseball

The Atlanta Braves are in rebuild mode, and our advanced analytics definitely show that to be the case.

Here at numberFire, we like math. We're not about subjectivity. So when we calculate our power rankings, it's not based on what our eyes are telling us or what our feelings say. It's based on straight up math.

For baseball, we use our nERD metric to show how good a team actually is performing. nERD, for those of you who are unaware, tells us how many runs a team should win by against a league-average opponent on a neutral field. A nERD of 1.00, for instance, means that team would beat an ordinary one by a run. If that team was facing a squad with a nERD of -0.5, we'd expect them to win by 1.5 runs.

Take a look at how things are shaping up around Major League Baseball, sorted by nERD.

TeamPlayoffsChampsDivisionnERD
#1Chicago Cubs98.70%23.80%91.80%2.43
#2Boston Red Sox75.50%12.00%50.00%1.77
#3St. Louis Cardinals44.60%3.50%5.40%1.23
#4Los Angeles Dodgers65.80%8.40%44.20%1.22
#5Seattle Mariners58.60%6.20%40.30%1.00
#6Cleveland Indians65.90%7.80%52.80%0.95
#7Washington Nationals79.20%7.40%54.20%0.90
#8New York Mets66.30%5.00%35.70%0.65
#9Toronto Blue Jays55.00%6.00%26.20%0.59
#10San Francisco Giants68.80%4.80%50.70%0.43
#11Pittsburgh Pirates28.80%1.00%2.60%0.36
#12Tampa Bay Rays9.70%0.60%3.10%0.28
#13Baltimore Orioles41.00%2.50%16.30%0.27
#14Detroit Tigers28.60%1.40%16.80%0.03
#15Houston Astros23.30%1.40%11.70%-0.06
#16Miami Marlins29.30%1.10%9.30%-0.10
#17Kansas City Royals32.00%1.60%19.90%-0.25
#18Texas Rangers60.80%3.10%40.60%-0.27
#19Chicago White Sox19.50%0.60%10.50%-0.29
#20New York Yankees13.90%0.60%4.40%-0.35
#21Arizona Diamondbacks4.50%0.30%2.40%-0.44
#22Los Angeles Angels11.80%0.60%5.40%-0.46
#23Colorado Rockies6.40%0.30%2.50%-0.69
#24Milwaukee Brewers2.40%0.00%0.10%-0.82
#25San Diego Padres1.00%0.00%0.20%-0.85
#26Oakland Athletics4.40%0.10%1.90%-0.92
#27Philadelphia Phillies4.30%0.00%0.80%-0.94
#28Minnesota Twins0.00%0.00%0.00%-1.41
#29Cincinnati Reds0.20%0.00%0.00%-1.65
#30Atlanta Braves0.10%0.00%0.00%-1.66