3 Daily Fantasy Baseball Hitters to Avoid on 5/4/16
As is the case in most daily fantasy sports, finding information on players you might want to roster is a lot easier than finding players to avoid.
While you can get away with a zero from a hitter in daily fantasy, you certainly don't want to target guys whose matchups aren't enticing.
Here are three hitters you may want to lessen your exposure to or even fade altogether on Wednesday.
Marcell Ozuna, OF, Miami Marlins
FanDuel Price: $3,200
Marcell Ozuna has been red hot coming into Wednesday. He has clubbed three home runs in his last three games, and he is averaging nearly 23 FanDuel points per game in those three games. However, the right-hander hit two of those home runs off of left-handed pitchers, and now, he faces off against Rubby De La Rosa, who has been very good both against righties and overall in his last two starts.
De La Rosa owns a wOBA against righties of .272 this season against 57 total batters, and pitching in Marlins Park should only help his numbers. For his career, righties have a wOBA of .301 against him, and this season he owns a strikeout rate of 35.1 percent against righties. He also has great batted ball stats for his career against righties, posting a hard hit rate of 29.5 percent and a fly ball rate of 26.3 percent.
While Ozuna has crushed left-handed pitching this season, he has been a little less effective against righties. His wOBA drops to .283 this season against right-handed pitching, while his ISO drops to .133 -- compared to .647 against lefties.
His hard hit rate also plummets to 24.1 percent against righties. With these drastic splits and with De La Rosa looking sharp against righties, it might be wise to bet on this being the game that Ozuna ends his recent power hitting streak.
Welington Castillo, C, Arizona Diamondbacks
FanDuel Price: $3,200
In the same game, Welington Castillo also has a tougher than average matchup for a right-hander, as he and the rest of the D-backs face off against Jose Fernandez. The Marlinsâ€™ ace has had some hiccups so far this season, but he has also looked dominant in some of his starts. His control is still off some, as he has walked 10 batters in his last 18 innings of work, but one constant with Fernandez so far this season and in his career is his success against right-handed hitters.
Fernandez has an insane strikeout rate of 46.8 percent against righties this season against 62 total batters, and those hittersâ€™ wOBA this season is only .260. These arenâ€™t far from his career numbers either: righties own a wOBA of only .210 for Fernandezâ€™s career.
Castillo, on the other hand, has struggled with right-handed pitching, especially right-handed power pitchers. So far this season, Castillo owns a wOBA against righties of .298, and a strikeout rate of 28.1 percent. These are both pretty close to his career numbers as well, and while he may see some plate appearances against the bullpen given Fernandez's short leash, it may be wise to find another catcher, especially with Castillo on the road in Marlins Park.
Travis Shaw, 3B, Boston Red Sox
FanDuel Price: $3,400
Travis Shaw made an appearance on the landmines just 24 hours ago, and he is back once again here on Wednesday night. He ended up 0-3 on Tuesday evening against a White Sox lefty, and now, he has another matchup against a southpaw from the South Side in Carlos Rodon.
Rodon has been lights out against lefties in his short career. Left-handers have a wOBA of only .230 against him since last season, and so far throughout the small sample size of this season, that number drops nearly 100 points to .131. Rodon has a career strikeout rate of 26.2 percent against lefties.
I mentioned it yesterday, but it bears repeating that Shaw, who also hasnâ€™t had many Major League at-bats against lefties, has still struggled mightily against them. Shaw lowered his average against lefties this season to .100 after last night, and his wOBA against lefties is .107. While this could be an outlier after he crushed lefties to start his career in 2015, it could also be the start of a trend of lefties being able to figure out the young third baseman.