4 Daily Fantasy Baseball Value Plays for 4/5/16
The universe decided not to allow daily fantasy players to settle in and get cozy to start the season this year, with two games being postponed yesterday, providing people with plenty of headaches and broken keyboards. We can only hope that today things go a little bit more smoothly and that the patches of gray hair we were given yesterday will start to fade.
It can also be stressful to try to build lineups if your favorite pitching options have you breaking the bank or if you're looking to roster a few of the top bats on the slate. To help you keep some of your sanity there, we've gone through and picked out four of the best value plays of the night, guys who will give you some wiggle room under the salary cap while also being well positioned to give you solid production.
Let's look at those players.
Corey Dickerson, OF, Tampa Bay Rays
FanDuel Price: $3,300
Corey Dickerson has been great against right-handed pitching throughout his career, posting a .399 wOBA and .267 ISO. Any time he's against a righty, he should be on your radar.
His matchup tonight is a great one. Though the 125.1 inning sample size isn't huge, Aaron Sanchez has some pretty extreme splits against lefties and righties and has given up a .351 wOBA with only a 12.9 percent strikeout rate against left-handers through his career.
With both guys having such extreme splits, this matchup gives you a really appealing price tag on a hitter in Dickerson who has a good chance at producing some outstanding numbers.
Franklin Gutierrez, OF, Seattle Mariners
FanDuel Price: $2,400
Franklin Gutierrez is coming off of the best season of his career, as he posted a .410 wOBA in his 189 plate appearances in 2015. He has fared well against lefties through his whole career, with a .360 wOBA and .200 ISO, numbers that he blew away last season, with a .411 wOBA and .298 ISO.
He has a good matchup tonight against the left-handed Martin Perez, who is one of the worst starters on the slate. His 4.21 career SIERA is the third-worst on the slate, while his strikeout rate is the lowest. He doesn't fare well against right-handed bats, giving up a .334 wOBA and sporting a fairly ugly 13.3 percent strikeout rate.
Gutierrez's salary is incredibly low tonight, and with such a terrific matchup, he's a great way to free up some cap space when building your lineup.
Yasiel Puig, OF, Los Angeles Dodgers
FanDuel Price: $2,900
James Shields is making his season debut on the mound tonight coming off of what was one of the worst seasons of his career in 2015, where he posted a 3.73 SIERA while allowing 1.47 home runs per nine and sporting a 9.4 percent walk rate, both by far the worst marks of his career. His numbers are just about that same against right- and left-handed hitting.
Yasiel Puig doesn't have very dramatic splits by handedness either, hitting a slightly lower wOBA (.374) but higher ISO (.197) against righties. 2015 was very much a down year for Puig, which has his salary low to start this season. His career numbers remain encouraging though, and with a fairly favorable matchup against Shields tonight, he makes for a solid value play.
David Peralta, OF, Arizona Diamondbacks
FanDuel Price: $3,300
It's looking like it will be hard to go too far wrong targeting Diamondbacks hitters tonight. Their implied run total of 4.79 is the highest on the slate, they're playing in one of the more hitter-friendly parks in the league, and they're up against a shaky pitcher in Chad Bettis.
Bettis' career 4.3 SIERA is the highest among pitchers on the slate, while his strikeout rate is the second-lowest on the slate and his walk rate is the third-highest. He has struggled against hitters on both sides of the plate, giving up a .340 wOBA to lefties and .380 to righties.
David Peralta has some pretty extreme splits by pitcher handedness, and while he struggles against lefties, he has been excellent against right-handed pitchers, with a .386 career wOBA and a .214 ISO. Against Bettis, who may be the worst righty on the slate, Peralta's in for a big night.