4 Daily Fantasy Baseball Stacks for 9/24/15
Each day here on numberFire, we'll be providing you with four potential offenses to stack in your daily fantasy lineups. These are the offenses that provide huge run potential on that given day based on matchups and other factors.
After reading through these suggestions, make sure to check out our daily projections. These can either let you know which players to include in each stack, or which guy best complements said stack.
Another great tool is our custom optimal lineups, which are available for premium subscribers. Within the tool, we've added the option to stack teams -- you choose the team you want to stack, show how many players you want to use within the stack, and the tool will create a lineup based on this that you can then customize.
Now, let's get to the stacks. As a note, these stacks do not include the game at Coors between the Colorado Rockies and Pittsburgh Pirates. You already know to have ownership at Coors -- I don't need to tell you that. Here are the other teams you should be targeting in daily fantasy baseball today.
Not even park factor can contain the Rangers right now. After posting 10 runs last night, they have now scored at least 8 runs in 6 of their last 10 games. That's a'ight. I hate stacking teams playing in the O.co Coliseum, but the Rangers are hard to resist.
Today will mark the 11th start of the season for Oakland Athletics righty Chris Bassitt. However, it will be his first since August 26th as he has been dealing with some shoulder troubles of late. In 73 1/3 big-league innings this year (he also had five appearances out of the bullpen in a separate stint in the Majors), Bassitt has a 4.53 xFIP. He averages 6.63 strikeouts and 2.82 walks per nine innings with a low ground-ball rate. Those obviously aren't utterly atrocious numbers, but when you combine them with the Rangers' streaking and Bassitt's bum shoulder, it's enough to call for a stack.
Because O.co Coliseum sits 26th in home run park factor this year, I'm going to favor Rangers hitters who skew more towards line drives. If he's in the lineup, obviously Joey Gallo would be great at a 33.3 line-drive percentage. He very well may not be, though, so Shin-Soo Choo, Adrian Beltre, and Mitch Moreland all provide decent marks in this category. If they can get a couple well-struck balls in the gap, then the Rangers should be able to lop on some fantasy points today.
The Nationals may have hit peak DGAF. They have scored a combined four runs over the past two nights despite drawing six walks one night and facing a struggling Chris Tillman in the other. They are the most frustrating team to figure out in the league right now. But, they've still got a 0.9 percent shot at the playoffs, according to algorithms, so maybe they'll try today. Maybe. No guarantees.
On paper, the matchup looks good with Tyler Wilson throwing for the Baltimore Orioles. Wilson is now up to 29 innings pitched in the Majors, but he still has only racked up 8 strikeouts. The seven walks are fine in a vacuum, but when you put them next to the eight strikeouts, you get a bit of a problem. His swinging-strike percentage is 5.8 with an 87.6 contact rate, meaning that number won't get a whole lot higher. The Nationals should be gluttonous with their base runners today.
It looks like Jayson Werth is finally healthy. After dealing with injuries the whole season, dude is starting to cook at the plate again. Over his past 157 plate appearances, Werth has 8 home runs to go with a .279/.376/.551 slash. Those stats have also been validated with a 38.8 hard-hit rate over that span. With this going in his favor, Werth seems like a solid play in this contest.
New York Mets
Josh Smith is probably going to want to forget the first four starts of his big-league career. The Cincinnati Reds' starter made three starts at the end of the first half and one Saturday. In those four outings, he has walked a whopping 15 batters. Granted, that number was only two in his most recent start, but he might have a control problem. In step the Mets, another team that has seen some frustration of late.
The Mets enter this one having lost six of their last eight games. Obviously wins don't matter for stacking, but the runs haven't been there, either -- they're averaging 2.38 runs per game over that span. Whew. They've shuffled their lineup around and everything, but it just doesn't seem to be clicking right now. So, why risk it here?
Targeting cold streaks is generally a good strategy in daily fantasy when you have reason to believe that the streak is not a signal of what lies ahead. You can snag top-level players at reduced prices simply because they've had a bad few games. Now, you'll want to make sure that this isn't because of an injury or anything, but if you can hop on a guy like Yoenis Cespedes when he snaps out of a long stretch of misery, you'll find yourself swimming in happiness, my friend.
Yeah, I'm not super ecstatic about this one, either. I don't mind the Kansas City Royals in this slot, but their isolated slugging percentage against lefties combined with James Paxton's ground-ball nature seem like a recipe for singles night at Kauffman Stadium. So, we'll instead get a little weird with the Marlins.
This stack is less about the Marlins (why would it be?) than it is about Alec Asher. Through his first four big-league starts, he holds an xFIP of 5.76 with 5.12 strikeouts and 3.26 walks per nine innings. In 24 starts this year between Double-A and Triple-A with the Philadelphia Phillies and Texas Rangers, Asher had a 4.87 FIP. All of that seems to add up to why Vegas has the over/under at 8.5 with the Marlins -162. Those are decent enough totals to warrant looking the Marlins' way.
Now comes the hard part: who on this wonderful Earth to you select from that roster? I'm leaning towards guys like Marcell Ozuna and Derek Dietrich, who have hard-hit rates of 42.6 and 33.1 respectively in the second half of the season. Additionally, Christian Yelich has come on strong recently as his hard-hit rate is also 33.3 in the second half and 43.8 since he returned from his most recent ding on August 30th. I may not go full stack here, but selective bats from the matchup seems like an all right idea in this situation.