4 Daily Fantasy Baseball Stacks for 7/20/15
Each day here on numberFire, we'll be providing you with four potential offenses to stack in your daily fantasy lineups. These are the offenses that provide huge run potential on that given day based on matchups and other factors.
After reading through these suggestions, make sure to check out our daily projections. These can either let you know which players to include in each stack, or which guy best complements said stack.
Another great tool is our custom optimal lineups, which are available for premium subscribers. Within the tool, we've added the option to stack teams -- you choose the team you want to stack, show how many players you want to use within the stack, and the tool will create a lineup based on this that you can then customize.
Now, let's get to the stacks. These do not include the game at Coors, but the over/under is 11 for a reason there. You best be getting ownership in that puppy. Here are the other teams you should be targeting in daily fantasy baseball today.
Los Angeles Dodgers
This slate is odd. There are a ton of bad pitchers going, but most of them are facing offenses that are bad against their handedness. Matt Wisler isn't a bad pitcher, but the Dodgers are really good against right-handed pitchers, and that's enough for me.
Wisler should end up being a sweet little pitcher for the Braves. Right now, though, his strikeouts are low enough and he gives up enough fly balls to warrant a targeting in stacks against quality offenses. His SIERA is at 4.40 with a 4.43 xFIP, meaning he could be in for a tough night against the Dodgers.
The main bane of Wisler's short existence in the big leagues has been left-handed batters. Against them, he has issued as many walks as he has strikeouts, and they have chalked up more fly balls. This is bad news bears against the Dodgers with the likes of Joc Pederson, Adrian Gonzalez and Yasmani Grandal (if he returns from his jaw injury). It should also play well to the reverse-split tendencies of Justin Turner, giving you plenty of options from which to choose.
Clayton Richard has pitched in parts of seven big-league seasons. Over those years, he has never once had a SIERA lower than 4.20, which was back in 2008 with the White Sox. The Reds' offense isn't as good as it once was against lefties with all of their injuries, but they should still be in line for a decent effort tonight.
In his last full season in the majors (2012), Richard struggled mightily against right-handed batters. In these situations, Richard averaged only 3.91 strikeouts per nine innings, and his ground-ball rate was significantly lower than it was against lefties. It's been a while since then, but he has exhibited those same tendencies in the snippets of seasons we've seen since then.
You probably could have figured out that it's smart to include guys like Todd Frazier, Jay Bruce and Marlon Byrd, but Eugenio Suarez really isn't a terrible option, either. As long as he doesn't hit in front of the pitcher (the suck zone of fantasy potential) again, I'd feel free to plop him into my roster tonight.
Tampa Bay Rays
And now we get into the danger zone. The Rays rank 26th in the league in wOBA against right-handed pitchers, which means their names should never show up on this list. However, they happen to be facing David Buchanan, who has gotten off to a slow start in his first two seasons. We'll see which side budges from its norm.
In his career against left-handed batters, Buchanan has averaged 4.23 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.95 walks. Those numbers are much worse than his totals against righties, even though his slash very much favors those from the right-hand side. I'd lean more toward the left-handed batters in this instance, which is a smattering of utter weirdness in the Rays' lineup.
I am an unabashed lover of John Jaso. He doesn't catch, he has catcher eligibility, and he hits at the top of the order. For tonight, he also brings the left-handed element into play, and he's only $3,700 on DraftKings. The lineup as a whole is unappealing, but a combination of top-of-the-order bats against Buchanan could play well.
Los Angeles Angels
I went back and forth on this one a bunch. Vegas makes both the Tigers and Mariners seem intriguing with an over/under of nine. I would not fault anyone for stacking against J.A. Happ with the struggles he has had against right-handed batters and on the road in previous years, but his SIERA is a bit low for my blood. As for the Mariners, their offense is pretty gross, even in a matchup against Alfredo Simon. An alternative option would be the Diamondbacks against David Phelps with the park factor advantage, but the Angels' surging offense is very tempting in a matchup like the one they have in game two tonight.
It's always difficult to decide how to handle knuckle-ballers like Steven Wright. Wright's numbers indicate he should be a stack target, and his knuckler has gotten knocked around by most opponents. I'm not totally sold that this will be a boon of a matchup, but I do think it's worth a shot.
One of Wright's four starts earlier in the season did come against the Angels. In 6.1 innings, he recorded two strikeouts while walking one. That's more important than run and hit totals when looking at such a worthlessly small sample size. It's not a bad idea to target the Angels' left-handed bats because, unlike the common perception on knucklers, Wright has actually allowed better numbers to lefties over his career.