4 Daily Fantasy Baseball Stacks for 6/1/15
Each day here on numberFire, we'll be providing you with four potential offenses to stack in your daily fantasy lineups. These are the offenses that provide huge run potential on that given day based on matchups and other factors.
After reading through these suggestions, make sure to check out our daily projections. These can either let you know which players to include in each stack, or which guy best complements said stack.
Another great tool is our custom optimal lineups, which are available for premium subscribers. Within the tool, we've added the option to stack teams -- you choose the team you want to stack, show how many players you want to use within the stack, and the tool will create a lineup based on this that you can then customize.
Now, let's get to the stacks. I did not include the Dodgers at Coors in here because you already know to try to squeeze some of their hitters into your lineup. Here are the other teams you should be targeting in daily fantasy baseball today.
It appears as though that sick, logic-defying Nationals offense of early May has gone by the wayside. They have rejoined the ranks of the plebeians by averaging 2.5 runs per game over their past 10. Today, though, they get a sweet match-up and temperatures in the 90's, which is perfect for the re-launch of this rocket.
Here's a little perspective into how R.A. Dickey's season has gone so far. Fangraphs has this value calculation that shows what kind of money a player could get on the free agency market based on their Wins Above Replacement. Thus far, Dickey would have to pay a team $2.4 million dollars to start 10 games. You and I have higher fWAR's than Dickey so far (unless you are Jeremy Guthrie, in which case I hate stats and take back everything bad I have ever written about you which is nothing).
One thing to keep in mind with Dickey is that he has reverse platoon splits. This year, lefties have a .332 wOBA off of him while righties are elevated at .354. Obviously, this does not mean you automatically fade Bryce Harper, but remember not to give lefties a bump in your valuation just because of Dickey's handedness.
The Orioles overall this season have been fairly disappointing in how they have played against left-handed pitching. They rank 22nd in the league in wOBA off of lefties just one year after they were sixth in the stat. One thing they can do, though, is hit for pop.
The reason Baltimore's wOBA is so low is because they just simply don't walk against lefties. Their 4.4 walk percentage is by far the lowest in the league, which has taken a beating on their on-base percentage. This hasn't affected their slugging, which sits 12th in the league. That should be a factor against Brett Oberholtzer, who has a career 36.9 groundball rate in his career.
This will be Oberholtzer's first start since coming off the disabled list with a finger injury. His pre-season numberFire ERA projection was at 4.83, so, yes, this man is a good stack candidate. For his career, he has very even platoon splits, which could leave Chris Davis in play. He has himself a tasty little .625 slugging percentage against south paws. This stack takes a pretty decent hit if Adam Jones is out of the lineup again, but it could still be viable.
This is not a stack I'd roll with in 50/50's. With an over/under of just 6.5, that would be muy bad process. But I wouldn't rule out a suddenly resurgent Pirates offense against Ryan Vogelsong, who joins Dickey in the negative fWAR club.
In his 51 innings this year, Vogelsong has a 4.24 ERA with a 5.13 FIP and 4.58 xFIP. His groundball rate is better than last year at 41.6 percent, though that's still below the league average mark. You could say things have been better.
Of the nine home runs Vogelsong has allowed, eight of them have been to left-handed batters, despite having faced 47 fewer lefties than righties. On the whole, lefties are slashing .299/.379/.662 against him, so bring out the full arsenal of Pirates swinging from that side. This would most definitely include Pedro Alvarez, who's slashing at a .267/.348/.519 clip an will only cost you $4,100 on DraftKings.
I'm not a huge believer in the Braves offense, but they've got a mighty fine situation today. They're playing at Chase Field, which is always conducive towards runs aplenty. Today, however, could be extra saucy with the projected game-time temperature at 100 degrees. There will be very little humidity which doesn't help, but the balls should still soar tonight.
Through his first seven starts, Archie Bradley has not been able to figure out his control. He's sitting at 5.58 walks per nine innings, helping to elevate his FIP to 4.46. He has actually walked more batters in his past five games (13) than he has struck out (12), which should indicate a high volume of base-runners for the Braves in this one.
Because this is a stack of a team that is not usually worthy of the stack, the prices are quite sweet, indeed, for Atlanta. Freddie Freeman, who has a .507 slugging percentage against righties this year, is the highest priced Braves hitter at $4,300. Everyone else is below $4,000. This would allow for a combo stack with a higher-powered offense or for you to splurge on pitching. It might not be a bad outlet to explore despite the potential for a shutdown performance by Bradley.