MLB Betting: Home Run, Strikeout, and Run Total Projections for Tuesday 10/4/22
Just how likely is a homer from a certain player tonight? How many runs will Team X score? And can the pitcher you're eying go over his strikeout prop?
To find out, I leveraged numberFire's batter and pitcher projections plus team implied totals to try to answer those questions.
Here are today's results to help us navigate daily fantasy baseball and MLB betting opportunities at MLB odds.
(Please note that these projections are subject to change throughout the day and as lineups are confirmed. To see the most current projections, check out our projections pages.)
Team Run Total Projections
| Team | Opp SP | O/U | Implied Total |
5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAD | Ryan Feltner |
7.5 | 4.83 | 35.4% | 21.3% | 11.6% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
| ATL | Braxton Garrett |
8.0 | 4.43 | 28.5% | 16.0% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| CIN | Javier Assad |
8.5 | 4.29 | 26.2% | 14.3% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| NYM | Paolo Espino |
7.0 | 4.29 | 26.2% | 14.3% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| CHC | Luis Cessa |
8.5 | 4.21 | 24.8% | 13.4% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| SD | Carlos Rodon |
7.5 | 4.07 | 22.6% | 11.8% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| CHW | Josh Winder |
7.5 | 3.99 | 21.3% | 11.0% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| HOU | Ranger Suarez |
7.0 | 3.99 | 21.3% | 11.0% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| CLE | Daniel Lynch |
7.0 | 3.93 | 20.4% | 10.4% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| NYY | Spencer Howard |
7.0 | 3.90 | 19.9% | 10.1% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| SEA | Eduardo Rodriguez |
7.0 | 3.88 | 19.6% | 9.9% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| STL | JT Brubaker |
7.5 | 3.84 | 19.0% | 9.5% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| TB | Nathan Eovaldi |
7.5 | 3.84 | 19.0% | 9.5% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| BAL | Mitch White |
7.5 | 3.77 | 18.0% | 8.8% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| TOR | Mike Baumann |
7.5 | 3.73 | 17.4% | 8.4% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| LAA | Cole Irvin |
7.0 | 3.70 | 17.0% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| BOS | Jeffrey Springs |
7.5 | 3.66 | 16.4% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| PIT | Dakota Hudson |
7.5 | 3.66 | 16.4% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| NYY | Jon Gray |
7.0 | 3.61 | 15.7% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| ARI | Eric Lauer |
7.0 | 3.58 | 15.3% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| MIA | Jake Odorizzi |
8.0 | 3.57 | 15.2% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| MIN | Lucas Giolito |
7.5 | 3.51 | 14.4% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| SF | Sean Manaea |
7.5 | 3.43 | 13.3% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| MIL | Zac Gallen |
7.0 | 3.42 | 13.2% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| TEX | Jameson Taillon |
7.0 | 3.39 | 12.8% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| OAK | Michael Lorenzen |
7.0 | 3.30 | 11.7% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| DET | Chris Flexen |
7.0 | 3.12 | 9.6% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| TEX | Gerrit Cole |
7.0 | 3.10 | 9.4% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| KC | Cal Quantrill |
7.0 | 3.07 | 9.1% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| PHI | Justin Verlander |
7.0 | 3.01 | 8.5% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| WSH | Taijuan Walker |
7.0 | 2.71 | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| COL | Julio Urias |
7.5 | 2.67 | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Pitcher Strikeout Projections
| Pitcher | Opp | K Proj |
3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerrit Cole |
TEX | 7.1 | 92.2% | 83.4% | 70.9% | 56.2% | 41.3% | 28.1% | 17.8% |
| Lucas Giolito |
MIN | 6.4 | 88.4% | 77.0% | 62.2% | 46.4% | 31.8% | 20.1% | 11.8% |
| Carlos Rodon |
SD | 6.2 | 86.5% | 74.0% | 58.4% | 42.4% | 28.3% | 17.3% | 9.8% |
| Justin Verlander |
PHI | 6.2 | 86.3% | 73.7% | 58.1% | 42.1% | 28.0% | 17.1% | 9.6% |
| Julio Urias |
COL | 6.1 | 86.0% | 73.2% | 57.5% | 41.5% | 27.4% | 16.6% | 9.3% |
| Zac Gallen |
MIL | 5.9 | 84.1% | 70.3% | 54.0% | 37.9% | 24.4% | 14.4% | 7.8% |
| Carlos Carrasco |
WSH | 5.9 | 83.6% | 69.6% | 53.2% | 37.1% | 23.7% | 13.9% | 7.5% |
| Eric Lauer |
ARI | 5.5 | 79.4% | 63.6% | 46.4% | 30.8% | 18.6% | 10.2% | 5.2% |
| Ranger Suarez |
HOU | 5.5 | 79.4% | 63.6% | 46.4% | 30.8% | 18.6% | 10.2% | 5.2% |
| Jeffrey Springs |
BOS | 5.2 | 76.6% | 59.9% | 42.4% | 27.2% | 15.8% | 8.4% | 4.1% |
| Braxton Garrett |
ATL | 5.1 | 74.9% | 57.7% | 40.2% | 25.3% | 14.4% | 7.5% | 3.6% |
| Taijuan Walker |
WSH | 5.1 | 74.7% | 57.5% | 40.0% | 25.1% | 14.3% | 7.4% | 3.5% |
| Jon Gray |
NYY | 5.0 | 73.4% | 55.8% | 38.2% | 23.6% | 13.2% | 6.7% | 3.1% |
| JT Brubaker |
STL | 5.0 | 73.2% | 55.6% | 38.1% | 23.5% | 13.1% | 6.7% | 3.1% |
| Jameson Taillon |
TEX | 4.9 | 72.4% | 54.5% | 37.0% | 22.6% | 12.5% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
| Sean Manaea |
SF | 4.9 | 71.9% | 54.0% | 36.5% | 22.2% | 12.2% | 6.1% | 2.8% |
| Cal Quantrill |
KC | 4.9 | 71.6% | 53.6% | 36.1% | 21.9% | 12.0% | 6.0% | 2.7% |
| Nathan Eovaldi |
TB | 4.8 | 70.3% | 52.0% | 34.6% | 20.6% | 11.1% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Chris Flexen |
DET | 4.6 | 67.8% | 49.1% | 31.8% | 18.5% | 9.7% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Daniel Lynch |
CLE | 4.4 | 64.6% | 45.5% | 28.5% | 16.0% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Michael Lorenzen |
OAK | 4.4 | 63.7% | 44.5% | 27.7% | 15.4% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Matt Boyd |
DET | 4.3 | 62.3% | 43.0% | 26.3% | 14.4% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Cole Irvin |
LAA | 4.3 | 62.1% | 42.8% | 26.2% | 14.3% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Jake Odorizzi |
MIA | 4.3 | 61.7% | 42.4% | 25.8% | 14.1% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Eduardo Rodriguez |
SEA | 4.2 | 59.9% | 40.4% | 24.2% | 12.9% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Dakota Hudson |
PIT | 3.9 | 55.5% | 35.9% | 20.6% | 10.5% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Josh Winder |
CHW | 3.9 | 54.3% | 34.8% | 19.6% | 9.9% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Ryan Feltner |
LAD | 3.8 | 51.8% | 32.4% | 17.9% | 8.7% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Mitch White |
BAL | 3.7 | 51.2% | 31.9% | 17.4% | 8.4% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Garrett Hill |
SEA | 3.7 | 51.0% | 31.7% | 17.3% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Javier Assad |
CIN | 3.7 | 51.0% | 31.7% | 17.3% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Paolo Espino |
NYM | 3.6 | 47.4% | 28.4% | 14.9% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Cory Abbott |
NYM | 3.5 | 45.7% | 26.9% | 13.8% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Spencer Howard |
NYY | 3.4 | 43.1% | 24.7% | 12.3% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Luis Cessa |
CHC | 3.3 | 41.1% | 23.0% | 11.2% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Mike Baumann |
TOR | 2.8 | 31.0% | 15.4% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Daily Batter Home Run Projections
You can view all MLB game and prop odds at MLB odds.
Notes: The "Split Adv?" column refers to whether a batter is starting the game against a pitcher of the opposite handedness. "Home Run PF" refers to home run park factor for the batter's handedness; data from FanGraphs. "xHR Odds" indicate what a player's home run odds should be given the home run probability; this helps seek value.
| Batter | Team | Split Adv? |
HR PF |
Opp SP |
HR Prob% |
xHR Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso | NYM | No | 98 | Cory Abbott | 25.5% | +290 |
| Christian Walker | ARI | Yes | 103 | Eric Lauer | 25.3% | +295 |
| Jake Fraley | CIN | Yes | 113 | Javier Assad | 24.8% | +305 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | TOR | No | 112 | Mike Baumann | 22.8% | +340 |
| Gavin Sheets | CHW | Yes | 111 | Josh Winder | 22.5% | +345 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | STL | No | 92 | JT Brubaker | 22.5% | +345 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | TOR | No | 112 | Mike Baumann | 22.3% | +350 |
| Trayce Thompson | LAD | No | 107 | Ryan Feltner | 22.1% | +355 |
| Eugenio Suarez | SEA | No | 99 | Garrett Hill | 21.9% | +360 |
| Shohei Ohtani | LAA | No | 92 | Cole Irvin | 21.6% | +360 |
| Mookie Betts | LAD | No | 107 | Ryan Feltner | 21.6% | +365 |
| Will Smith | LAD | No | 107 | Ryan Feltner | 21.6% | +365 |
| Francisco Lindor | NYM | Yes | 95 | Cory Abbott | 21.6% | +365 |
| Cal Raleigh | SEA | Yes | 99 | Eduardo Rodriguez | 21.4% | +365 |
| Corey Seager | TEX | Yes | 101 | Jameson Taillon | 21.1% | +375 |
| Rowdy Tellez | MIL | Yes | 101 | Zac Gallen | 21.1% | +375 |
| Eloy Jimenez | CHW | No | 106 | Josh Winder | 20.9% | +380 |
| Rhys Hoskins | PHI | No | 101 | Justin Verlander | 20.7% | +385 |
| Matt Chapman | TOR | No | 112 | Mike Baumann | 20.7% | +385 |
| Jose Altuve | HOU | Yes | 101 | Ranger Suarez | 20.7% | +385 |
| Eduardo Escobar | NYM | Yes | 95 | Cory Abbott | 20.6% | +385 |
| Hunter Renfroe | MIL | No | 103 | Zac Gallen | 20.5% | +390 |
| C.J. Cron | COL | Yes | 107 | Julio Urias | 20.4% | +390 |
| Ty France | SEA | Yes | 99 | Eduardo Rodriguez | 20.4% | +390 |
| Cal Raleigh | SEA | Yes | 96 | Garrett Hill | 20.3% | +395 |
| Aaron Judge | NYY | No | 95 | Spencer Howard | 20.3% | +395 |
| Aaron Judge | NYY | No | 95 | Jon Gray | 20.3% | +395 |
| Max Muncy | LAD | Yes | 102 | Ryan Feltner | 20.2% | +395 |
| Joey Gallo | LAD | Yes | 102 | Ryan Feltner | 20.2% | +395 |
| Jesus Sanchez | MIA | Yes | 92 | Jake Odorizzi | 20.1% | +395 |
| Mike Trout | LAA | Yes | 94 | Cole Irvin | 20.1% | +395 |
| Eugenio Suarez | SEA | Yes | 99 | Eduardo Rodriguez | 19.8% | +405 |
| Pete Alonso | NYM | No | 98 | Paolo Espino | 19.7% | +405 |
| Seth Brown | OAK | Yes | 92 | Michael Lorenzen | 19.7% | +410 |
| Bryan Reynolds | PIT | Yes | 95 | Dakota Hudson | 19.6% | +410 |
| Danny Jansen | TOR | No | 112 | Mike Baumann | 19.5% | +410 |
| Patrick Wisdom | CHC | No | 111 | Luis Cessa | 19.4% | +415 |
| Manny Machado | SD | Yes | 96 | Carlos Rodon | 19.4% | +415 |
| Nolan Arenado | STL | No | 92 | JT Brubaker | 19.3% | +420 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | NYY | No | 95 | Spencer Howard | 19.3% | +420 |
| Joey Meneses | WSH | No | 98 | Carlos Carrasco | 19.2% | +420 |
| Joey Meneses | WSH | No | 98 | Taijuan Walker | 19.2% | +420 |
| Anthony Santander | BAL | Yes | 110 | Mitch White | 19.0% | +425 |
| Willson Contreras | CHC | No | 111 | Luis Cessa | 18.8% | +430 |
| Francisco Lindor | NYM | Yes | 95 | Paolo Espino | 18.6% | +440 |
| Yoan Moncada | CHW | Yes | 111 | Josh Winder | 18.5% | +440 |
| Ryan Mountcastle | BAL | No | 112 | Mitch White | 18.3% | +445 |
| Randy Arozarena | TB | No | 99 | Nathan Eovaldi | 18.3% | +445 |
| Mitch Haniger | SEA | Yes | 99 | Eduardo Rodriguez | 18.1% | +450 |
| Dan Vogelbach | NYM | Yes | 95 | Cory Abbott | 18.1% | +455 |
| Anthony Rizzo | NYY | Yes | 101 | Spencer Howard | 17.8% | +460 |
| Anthony Rizzo | NYY | Yes | 101 | Jon Gray | 17.8% | +460 |
| Mitch Haniger | SEA | No | 99 | Garrett Hill | 17.8% | +465 |
| George Springer | TOR | No | 112 | Mike Baumann | 17.7% | +465 |
| Seiya Suzuki | CHC | No | 111 | Luis Cessa | 17.6% | +470 |
| TJ Friedl | CIN | Yes | 113 | Javier Assad | 17.5% | +470 |
| Bryce Harper | PHI | Yes | 102 | Justin Verlander | 17.4% | +475 |
| Willy Adames | MIL | No | 103 | Zac Gallen | 17.2% | +480 |
| Gio Urshela | MIN | No | 106 | Lucas Giolito | 17.0% | +490 |
| Gary Sanchez | MIN | No | 106 | Lucas Giolito | 17.0% | +490 |
| Franmil Reyes | CHC | No | 111 | Luis Cessa | 17.0% | +490 |
| Christopher Morel | CHC | No | 111 | Luis Cessa | 17.0% | +490 |
| Austin Riley | ATL | Yes | 90 | Braxton Garrett | 16.8% | +495 |
| Freddie Freeman | LAD | Yes | 102 | Ryan Feltner | 16.8% | +495 |
| Marcus Semien | TEX | No | 95 | Gerrit Cole | 16.7% | +500 |
| Nathaniel Lowe | TEX | Yes | 101 | Gerrit Cole | 16.6% | +500 |
| Brandon Drury | SD | Yes | 96 | Carlos Rodon | 16.5% | +505 |
| J.D. Davis | SF | Yes | 96 | Sean Manaea | 16.5% | +505 |
| Dan Vogelbach | NYM | Yes | 95 | Paolo Espino | 16.4% | +510 |
| Marcell Ozuna | ATL | Yes | 90 | Braxton Garrett | 16.3% | +515 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | SF | No | 95 | Sean Manaea | 16.1% | +520 |
| Ty France | SEA | No | 99 | Garrett Hill | 16.1% | +525 |
| Jonah Heim | TEX | Yes | 101 | Gerrit Cole | 16.0% | +525 |
| Jeremy Pena | HOU | Yes | 101 | Ranger Suarez | 15.9% | +525 |
| Wilmer Flores | SF | Yes | 96 | Sean Manaea | 15.9% | +530 |
| Michael Harris II | ATL | No | 92 | Braxton Garrett | 15.7% | +535 |
| Gleyber Torres | NYY | No | 95 | Spencer Howard | 15.5% | +545 |
| Adolis Garcia | TEX | No | 95 | Gerrit Cole | 15.5% | +545 |
| Rodolfo Castro | PIT | Yes | 95 | Dakota Hudson | 15.2% | +555 |
| Elvis Andrus | CHW | No | 106 | Josh Winder | 15.1% | +565 |
| Jose Abreu | CHW | No | 106 | Josh Winder | 15.1% | +565 |
| Taylor Ward | LAA | Yes | 94 | Cole Irvin | 15.0% | +565 |
| Kyle Schwarber | PHI | Yes | 102 | Justin Verlander | 14.9% | +570 |
| Stone Garrett | ARI | Yes | 103 | Eric Lauer | 14.9% | +575 |
| Matt Olson | ATL | No | 92 | Braxton Garrett | 14.8% | +575 |
| Corey Seager | TEX | Yes | 101 | Gerrit Cole | 14.8% | +575 |
| Lane Thomas | WSH | No | 98 | Carlos Carrasco | 14.7% | +580 |
| Lane Thomas | WSH | No | 98 | Taijuan Walker | 14.7% | +580 |
| David Villar | SF | Yes | 96 | Sean Manaea | 14.7% | +580 |
| Juan Soto | SD | No | 95 | Carlos Rodon | 14.7% | +580 |
| Lars Nootbaar | STL | Yes | 95 | JT Brubaker | 14.6% | +585 |
| Albert Pujols | STL | No | 92 | JT Brubaker | 14.6% | +585 |
| Trea Turner | LAD | No | 107 | Ryan Feltner | 14.5% | +590 |
| Gunnar Henderson | BAL | Yes | 110 | Mitch White | 14.5% | +590 |
| J.D. Martinez | BOS | Yes | 99 | Jeffrey Springs | 14.4% | +595 |
| Javier Baez | DET | Yes | 99 | Matt Boyd | 14.4% | +595 |
| Bryan De La Cruz | MIA | No | 90 | Jake Odorizzi | 14.3% | +600 |
| Salvador Perez | KC | No | 99 | Cal Quantrill | 14.2% | +600 |
| Javier Baez | DET | No | 99 | Chris Flexen | 14.2% | +600 |
| Jordan Luplow | ARI | Yes | 103 | Eric Lauer | 14.2% | +605 |
| Nathaniel Lowe | TEX | Yes | 101 | Jameson Taillon | 14.1% | +610 |
| Travis d'Arnaud | ATL | Yes | 90 | Braxton Garrett | 13.9% | +620 |
| Adolis Garcia | TEX | No | 95 | Jameson Taillon | 13.8% | +625 |
| Jose Miranda | MIN | No | 106 | Lucas Giolito | 13.7% | +630 |
| Rougned Odor | BAL | Yes | 110 | Mitch White | 13.7% | +630 |
| Spencer Torkelson | DET | Yes | 99 | Matt Boyd | 13.7% | +630 |
| Jonathan India | CIN | No | 111 | Javier Assad | 13.6% | +635 |
| Jarred Kelenic | SEA | Yes | 96 | Garrett Hill | 13.5% | +640 |
| Oswaldo Cabrera | NYY | Yes | 101 | Jon Gray | 13.5% | +645 |
| Eduardo Escobar | NYM | Yes | 95 | Paolo Espino | 13.4% | +645 |
| Oneil Cruz | PIT | Yes | 95 | Dakota Hudson | 13.4% | +645 |
| Austin Slater | SF | Yes | 96 | Sean Manaea | 13.4% | +650 |
| Kyle Tucker | HOU | No | 102 | Ranger Suarez | 13.4% | +650 |
| Trey Mancini | HOU | Yes | 101 | Ranger Suarez | 13.3% | +655 |
| Wander Franco | TB | Yes | 93 | Nathan Eovaldi | 13.2% | +660 |
| Josh Donaldson | NYY | No | 95 | Spencer Howard | 13.1% | +660 |
| Marcus Semien | TEX | No | 95 | Jameson Taillon | 13.1% | +660 |
| Kyle Higashioka | NYY | No | 95 | Jon Gray | 13.1% | +660 |
| Matt Wallner | MIN | Yes | 111 | Lucas Giolito | 13.1% | +665 |
| Andrew Vaughn | CHW | No | 106 | Josh Winder | 13.1% | +665 |
| Carlos Santana | SEA | Yes | 99 | Eduardo Rodriguez | 13.0% | +665 |
| Oscar Gonzalez | CLE | Yes | 99 | Daniel Lynch | 13.0% | +665 |
| Shea Langeliers | OAK | No | 94 | Michael Lorenzen | 13.0% | +665 |
| MJ Melendez | KC | Yes | 103 | Cal Quantrill | 13.0% | +670 |
| Spencer Torkelson | DET | No | 99 | Chris Flexen | 13.0% | +670 |
| Mark Canha | NYM | No | 98 | Paolo Espino | 12.9% | +675 |
| Luke Voit | WSH | No | 98 | Carlos Carrasco | 12.9% | +675 |
| Luke Voit | WSH | No | 98 | Taijuan Walker | 12.9% | +675 |
| Ryan McMahon | COL | No | 102 | Julio Urias | 12.8% | +680 |
| Oswaldo Cabrera | NYY | Yes | 101 | Spencer Howard | 12.8% | +680 |
| Jack Suwinski | PIT | Yes | 95 | Dakota Hudson | 12.8% | +685 |
| Andrew McCutchen | MIL | No | 103 | Zac Gallen | 12.7% | +685 |
| Jarred Kelenic | SEA | No | 96 | Eduardo Rodriguez | 12.7% | +690 |
| Ian Happ | CHC | Yes | 113 | Luis Cessa | 12.6% | +695 |
| Chas McCormick | HOU | Yes | 101 | Ranger Suarez | 12.6% | +695 |
| Elias Diaz | COL | Yes | 107 | Julio Urias | 12.4% | +705 |
| Brendan Rodgers | COL | Yes | 107 | Julio Urias | 12.4% | +705 |
| Sean Murphy | OAK | No | 94 | Michael Lorenzen | 12.4% | +705 |
| Carlos Correa | MIN | No | 106 | Lucas Giolito | 12.4% | +710 |
| Luke Maile | CLE | Yes | 99 | Daniel Lynch | 12.3% | +710 |
| Hunter Dozier | KC | No | 99 | Cal Quantrill | 12.3% | +710 |
| Cedric Mullins | BAL | Yes | 110 | Mitch White | 12.3% | +715 |
| Bo Bichette | TOR | No | 112 | Mike Baumann | 12.2% | +720 |
| Cody Bellinger | LAD | Yes | 102 | Ryan Feltner | 12.2% | +720 |
| Corbin Carroll | ARI | No | 101 | Eric Lauer | 12.1% | +725 |
| Orlando Arcia | ATL | Yes | 90 | Braxton Garrett | 12.0% | +730 |
| J.T. Realmuto | PHI | No | 101 | Justin Verlander | 11.9% | +745 |
| Martin Maldonado | HOU | Yes | 101 | Ranger Suarez | 11.8% | +745 |
| Anthony Rendon | LAA | Yes | 94 | Cole Irvin | 11.8% | +745 |
| Conner Capel | OAK | Yes | 92 | Michael Lorenzen | 11.8% | +750 |
| Christian Bethancourt | TB | No | 99 | Nathan Eovaldi | 11.7% | +760 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | KC | No | 99 | Cal Quantrill | 11.7% | +760 |
| Yordan Alvarez | HOU | No | 102 | Ranger Suarez | 11.6% | +760 |
| Tommy Pham | BOS | Yes | 99 | Jeffrey Springs | 11.6% | +760 |
| Jake Cave | MIN | Yes | 111 | Lucas Giolito | 11.6% | +760 |
| Jesse Winker | SEA | Yes | 96 | Garrett Hill | 11.6% | +765 |
| Adley Rutschman | BAL | Yes | 110 | Mitch White | 11.5% | +770 |
| Josh Bell | SD | Yes | 96 | Carlos Rodon | 11.3% | +785 |
| Thairo Estrada | SF | Yes | 96 | Sean Manaea | 11.3% | +785 |
| Josh Jung | TEX | No | 95 | Gerrit Cole | 11.2% | +790 |
| Nick Castellanos | PHI | No | 101 | Justin Verlander | 11.2% | +795 |
| Josh Naylor | CLE | No | 103 | Daniel Lynch | 11.1% | +800 |
| Jo Adell | LAA | Yes | 94 | Cole Irvin | 11.1% | +800 |
| Alex Bregman | HOU | Yes | 101 | Ranger Suarez | 11.1% | +800 |
| Yandy Diaz | TB | No | 99 | Nathan Eovaldi | 11.0% | +810 |
| Dylan Moore | SEA | No | 99 | Garrett Hill | 11.0% | +810 |
| Jake McCarthy | ARI | No | 101 | Eric Lauer | 10.9% | +815 |
| Austin Hays | BAL | No | 112 | Mitch White | 10.7% | +835 |
| Jorge Mateo | BAL | No | 112 | Mitch White | 10.7% | +835 |
| Christian Yelich | MIL | Yes | 101 | Zac Gallen | 10.7% | +835 |
| Nico Hoerner | CHC | No | 111 | Luis Cessa | 10.6% | +845 |
| P.J. Higgins | CHC | No | 111 | Luis Cessa | 10.6% | +845 |
| Andres Gimenez | CLE | No | 103 | Daniel Lynch | 10.5% | +850 |
| Triston Casas | BOS | No | 93 | Jeffrey Springs | 10.2% | +885 |
| Dylan Moore | SEA | Yes | 99 | Eduardo Rodriguez | 10.2% | +885 |
| Randal Grichuk | COL | Yes | 107 | Julio Urias | 10.1% | +895 |
| Sean Bouchard | COL | Yes | 107 | Julio Urias | 10.1% | +895 |
| Mike Toglia | COL | Yes | 107 | Julio Urias | 10.1% | +895 |
| Dansby Swanson | ATL | Yes | 90 | Braxton Garrett | 10.0% | +900 |
| Mark Contreras | MIN | Yes | 111 | Lucas Giolito | 10.0% | +900 |
| Alejandro Kirk | TOR | No | 112 | Mike Baumann | 9.9% | +910 |
| Jurickson Profar | SD | Yes | 96 | Carlos Rodon | 9.9% | +910 |
| Lewin Diaz | MIA | Yes | 92 | Jake Odorizzi | 9.8% | +915 |
| Kyle Farmer | CIN | No | 111 | Javier Assad | 9.8% | +920 |
| Sergio Alcantara | ARI | Yes | 103 | Eric Lauer | 9.7% | +925 |
| Diego Castillo | PIT | No | 92 | Dakota Hudson | 9.6% | +940 |
| Mark Canha | NYM | No | 98 | Cory Abbott | 9.5% | +955 |
| Riley Adams | WSH | No | 98 | Carlos Carrasco | 9.5% | +955 |
| Riley Adams | WSH | No | 98 | Taijuan Walker | 9.5% | +955 |
| A.J. Pollock | CHW | No | 106 | Josh Winder | 9.4% | +960 |
| Xander Bogaerts | BOS | Yes | 99 | Jeffrey Springs | 9.4% | +965 |
| Yu Chang | BOS | Yes | 99 | Jeffrey Springs | 9.4% | +965 |
| Bobby Dalbec | BOS | Yes | 99 | Jeffrey Springs | 9.4% | +965 |
| Ronald Acuna | ATL | Yes | 90 | Braxton Garrett | 9.3% | +970 |
| Kyle Stowers | BAL | Yes | 110 | Mitch White | 9.1% | +995 |
| Spencer Steer | CIN | No | 111 | Javier Assad | 9.0% | +1010 |
| Jose Siri | TB | No | 99 | Nathan Eovaldi | 8.9% | +1030 |
| Harold Castro | DET | Yes | 96 | Chris Flexen | 8.8% | +1035 |
| Corey Dickerson | STL | Yes | 95 | JT Brubaker | 8.7% | +1050 |
| Josh Harrison | CHW | No | 106 | Josh Winder | 8.6% | +1055 |
| Robert Refsnyder | BOS | Yes | 99 | Jeffrey Springs | 8.6% | +1060 |
| Robbie Grossman | ATL | Yes | 90 | Braxton Garrett | 8.6% | +1060 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | KC | Yes | 103 | Cal Quantrill | 8.6% | +1065 |
| Michael Massey | KC | Yes | 103 | Cal Quantrill | 8.6% | +1065 |
| Stephen Vogt | OAK | Yes | 92 | Michael Lorenzen | 8.5% | +1080 |
| Aaron Hicks | NYY | Yes | 101 | Jon Gray | 8.4% | +1085 |
| Kolten Wong | MIL | Yes | 101 | Zac Gallen | 8.4% | +1085 |
| Ha-Seong Kim | SD | Yes | 96 | Carlos Rodon | 8.4% | +1090 |
| Avisail Garcia | MIA | No | 90 | Jake Odorizzi | 8.1% | +1130 |
| Cal Mitchell | PIT | Yes | 95 | Dakota Hudson | 8.0% | +1150 |
