MLB Betting: Home Run, Strikeout, and Run Total Projections for Tuesday 9/27/22
Just how likely is a homer from a certain player tonight? How many runs will Team X score? And can the pitcher you're eying go over his strikeout prop?
To find out, I leveraged numberFire's batter and pitcher projections plus team implied totals to try to answer those questions.
Here are today's results to help us navigate daily fantasy baseball and MLB betting opportunities at MLB odds.
(Please note that these projections are subject to change throughout the day and as lineups are confirmed. To see the most current projections, check out our projections pages.)
Team Run Total Projections
| Team | Opp SP | O/U | Implied Total |
5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL | Paolo Espino | 8.5 | 4.95 | 37.5% | 23.1% | 12.8% | 6.5% | 3.0% |
| HOU | Zach Davies | 8.0 | 4.70 | 33.2% | 19.5% | 10.4% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| BOS | Kyle Bradish | 9.0 | 4.67 | 32.6% | 19.1% | 10.1% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| LAA | James Kaprielian | 8.0 | 4.62 | 31.8% | 18.5% | 9.7% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| BAL | Michael Wacha | 9.0 | 4.33 | 26.8% | 14.8% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| STL | Adrian Houser | 8.5 | 4.32 | 26.7% | 14.7% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| SEA | Jesus Tinoco | 7.5 | 4.31 | 26.5% | 14.5% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| MIL | Miles Mikolas | 8.5 | 4.18 | 24.4% | 13.0% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| NYM | Pablo Lopez | 7.0 | 4.08 | 22.7% | 11.9% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| NYY | Jose Berrios | 8.0 | 4.04 | 22.1% | 11.5% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| SF | German Marquez | 7.0 | 3.96 | 20.9% | 10.7% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| TOR | Jameson Taillon | 8.0 | 3.96 | 20.9% | 10.7% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| DET | Zack Greinke | 7.5 | 3.78 | 18.1% | 8.9% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| SD | Tyler Anderson | 7.5 | 3.77 | 18.0% | 8.8% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| LAD | Blake Snell | 7.5 | 3.73 | 17.4% | 8.4% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| KC | Joey Wentz | 7.5 | 3.72 | 17.3% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| CHW | Bailey Ober | 7.0 | 3.63 | 16.0% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| PHI | Marcus Stroman | 6.5 | 3.60 | 15.6% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| PIT | Hunter Greene | 7.0 | 3.57 | 15.2% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| WSH | Kyle Muller | 8.5 | 3.55 | 14.9% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| CLE | Corey Kluber | 6.5 | 3.49 | 14.1% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| CIN | Mitch Keller | 7.0 | 3.43 | 13.3% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| OAK | Patrick Sandoval | 8.0 | 3.38 | 12.7% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| MIN | Lance Lynn | 7.0 | 3.37 | 12.6% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| ARI | Lance McCullers | 8.0 | 3.30 | 11.7% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| TEX | Robbie Ray | 7.5 | 3.19 | 10.4% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| COL | Logan Webb | 7.0 | 3.04 | 8.8% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| TB | Shane Bieber | 6.5 | 3.01 | 8.5% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| MIA | Carlos Carrasco | 7.0 | 2.92 | 7.6% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| CHC | Zack Wheeler | 6.5 | 2.90 | 7.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Pitcher Strikeout Projections
| Pitcher | Opp | K Proj |
3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robbie Ray | TEX | 7.0 | 91.9% | 82.8% | 70.1% | 55.2% | 40.3% | 27.2% | 17.1% |
| Blake Snell | LAD | 7.0 | 91.6% | 82.3% | 69.4% | 54.4% | 39.5% | 26.6% | 16.5% |
| Shane Bieber | TB | 6.9 | 91.1% | 81.5% | 68.2% | 53.1% | 38.2% | 25.4% | 15.7% |
| Lance McCullers | ARI | 6.4 | 88.3% | 76.7% | 61.9% | 46.1% | 31.6% | 19.9% | 11.6% |
| Patrick Sandoval | OAK | 6.0 | 85.1% | 71.8% | 55.8% | 39.7% | 25.9% | 15.5% | 8.5% |
| Lance Lynn | MIN | 6.0 | 84.9% | 71.5% | 55.4% | 39.4% | 25.6% | 15.3% | 8.4% |
| Hunter Greene | PIT | 6.0 | 84.8% | 71.4% | 55.3% | 39.2% | 25.5% | 15.2% | 8.3% |
| Carlos Carrasco | MIA | 5.9 | 83.8% | 69.9% | 53.5% | 37.4% | 24.0% | 14.1% | 7.6% |
| Tyler Anderson | SD | 5.5 | 79.7% | 64.1% | 46.9% | 31.2% | 18.9% | 10.5% | 5.3% |
| Logan Webb | COL | 5.4 | 78.9% | 63.0% | 45.7% | 30.1% | 18.1% | 9.9% | 5.0% |
| Michael Wacha | BAL | 5.4 | 78.6% | 62.5% | 45.2% | 29.7% | 17.7% | 9.7% | 4.8% |
| Zack Wheeler | CHC | 5.1 | 74.2% | 56.8% | 39.3% | 24.5% | 13.9% | 7.1% | 3.4% |
| Pablo Lopez | NYM | 5.0 | 73.4% | 55.8% | 38.2% | 23.6% | 13.2% | 6.7% | 3.1% |
| Jose Berrios | NYY | 4.9 | 71.6% | 53.6% | 36.1% | 21.9% | 12.0% | 6.0% | 2.7% |
| Marcus Stroman | PHI | 4.8 | 70.7% | 52.6% | 35.1% | 21.1% | 11.4% | 5.6% | 2.5% |
| Corey Kluber | CLE | 4.8 | 70.1% | 51.8% | 34.4% | 20.5% | 11.0% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
| Jameson Taillon | TOR | 4.8 | 70.1% | 51.8% | 34.4% | 20.5% | 11.0% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
| Mitch Keller | CIN | 4.8 | 70.0% | 51.6% | 34.2% | 20.4% | 11.0% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
| Kyle Bradish | BOS | 4.7 | 68.6% | 50.0% | 32.6% | 19.1% | 10.1% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Bailey Ober | CHW | 4.5 | 65.9% | 47.0% | 29.9% | 17.0% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Kyle Muller | WSH | 4.4 | 64.7% | 45.6% | 28.7% | 16.1% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Miles Mikolas | MIL | 4.4 | 63.9% | 44.7% | 27.8% | 15.5% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| German Marquez | SF | 4.3 | 61.9% | 42.6% | 26.0% | 14.2% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| James Kaprielian | LAA | 4.2 | 60.8% | 41.4% | 25.0% | 13.5% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Zach Davies | HOU | 4.0 | 55.7% | 36.1% | 20.7% | 10.6% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Adrian Houser | STL | 3.6 | 49.1% | 29.9% | 16.0% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Zack Greinke | DET | 3.6 | 47.4% | 28.4% | 14.9% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Joey Wentz | KC | 3.5 | 47.2% | 28.2% | 14.8% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Paolo Espino | ATL | 3.1 | 36.8% | 19.7% | 9.1% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jesus Tinoco | SEA | 1.0 | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Daily Batter Home Run Projections
You can view all MLB game and prop odds at MLB odds.
Notes: The "Split Adv?" column refers to whether a batter is starting the game against a pitcher of the opposite handedness. "Home Run PF" refers to home run park factor for the batter's handedness; data from FanGraphs. "xHR Odds" indicate what a player's home run odds should be given the home run probability; this helps seek value.
| Batter | Team | Split Adv? |
HR PF |
Opp SP |
HR Prob% |
xHR Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | NYY | No | 101 | Jose Berrios | 28.3% | +255 |
| Joc Pederson | SF | Yes | 87 | German Marquez | 27.6% | +260 |
| Bryce Harper | PHI | Yes | 96 | Marcus Stroman | 26.0% | +285 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | STL | No | 103 | Adrian Houser | 25.1% | +300 |
| Yordan Alvarez | HOU | Yes | 102 | Zach Davies | 24.9% | +300 |
| William Contreras | ATL | No | 106 | Paolo Espino | 24.7% | +305 |
| Kyle Schwarber | PHI | Yes | 96 | Marcus Stroman | 24.4% | +310 |
| Mike Trout | LAA | No | 103 | James Kaprielian | 24.3% | +310 |
| Austin Riley | ATL | No | 106 | Paolo Espino | 23.8% | +320 |
| Adolis Garcia | TEX | Yes | 99 | Robbie Ray | 23.7% | +320 |
| David Villar | SF | No | 90 | German Marquez | 23.4% | +325 |
| Nolan Arenado | STL | No | 103 | Adrian Houser | 23.3% | +330 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | NYY | No | 101 | Jose Berrios | 23.0% | +335 |
| Matt Chapman | TOR | No | 101 | Jameson Taillon | 23.0% | +335 |
| Mookie Betts | LAD | Yes | 96 | Blake Snell | 22.8% | +340 |
| Patrick Wisdom | CHC | No | 103 | Zack Wheeler | 22.3% | +350 |
| Travis d'Arnaud | ATL | No | 106 | Paolo Espino | 22.3% | +350 |
| Rafael Devers | BOS | Yes | 93 | Kyle Bradish | 22.1% | +355 |
| Bryan Reynolds | PIT | Yes | 95 | Hunter Greene | 21.9% | +355 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | TOR | No | 101 | Jameson Taillon | 21.5% | +365 |
| Manny Machado | SD | Yes | 96 | Tyler Anderson | 21.2% | +370 |
| Dansby Swanson | ATL | No | 106 | Paolo Espino | 21.2% | +370 |
| Pete Alonso | NYM | No | 98 | Pablo Lopez | 21.1% | +375 |
| Oneil Cruz | PIT | Yes | 95 | Hunter Greene | 20.9% | +375 |
| Shohei Ohtani | LAA | Yes | 108 | James Kaprielian | 20.7% | +385 |
| Jack Suwinski | PIT | Yes | 95 | Hunter Greene | 20.4% | +390 |
| Rhys Hoskins | PHI | No | 103 | Marcus Stroman | 20.2% | +395 |
| Willy Adames | MIL | No | 103 | Miles Mikolas | 20.2% | +395 |
| Matt Olson | ATL | Yes | 104 | Paolo Espino | 20.2% | +395 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | TOR | No | 101 | Jameson Taillon | 19.9% | +400 |
| Rowdy Tellez | MIL | Yes | 101 | Miles Mikolas | 19.7% | +405 |
| Albert Pujols | STL | No | 103 | Adrian Houser | 19.7% | +410 |
| Michael Harris II | ATL | Yes | 104 | Paolo Espino | 19.6% | +410 |
| Carlos Santana | SEA | Yes | 96 | Jesus Tinoco | 19.5% | +410 |
| Gavin Sheets | CHW | Yes | 99 | Bailey Ober | 19.4% | +415 |
| Jose Altuve | HOU | No | 101 | Zach Davies | 19.4% | +415 |
| Josh Donaldson | NYY | No | 101 | Jose Berrios | 19.4% | +415 |
| Danny Jansen | TOR | No | 101 | Jameson Taillon | 19.4% | +415 |
| Luke Voit | WSH | Yes | 106 | Kyle Muller | 18.6% | +435 |
| Lane Thomas | WSH | Yes | 106 | Kyle Muller | 18.6% | +435 |
| Stuart Fairchild | CIN | No | 92 | Mitch Keller | 18.6% | +440 |
| J.D. Martinez | BOS | No | 99 | Kyle Bradish | 18.5% | +440 |
| Cedric Mullins | BAL | Yes | 93 | Michael Wacha | 18.5% | +440 |
| Trea Turner | LAD | Yes | 96 | Blake Snell | 18.5% | +440 |
| C.J. Cron | COL | No | 90 | Logan Webb | 18.3% | +445 |
| Kyle Tucker | HOU | Yes | 102 | Zach Davies | 18.1% | +450 |
| J.T. Realmuto | PHI | No | 103 | Marcus Stroman | 17.9% | +460 |
| Taylor Ward | LAA | No | 103 | James Kaprielian | 17.9% | +460 |
| Francisco Lindor | NYM | Yes | 95 | Pablo Lopez | 17.7% | +465 |
| Rodolfo Castro | PIT | Yes | 95 | Hunter Greene | 17.7% | +465 |
| Ronald Acuna | ATL | No | 106 | Paolo Espino | 17.7% | +465 |
| Salvador Perez | KC | Yes | 99 | Joey Wentz | 17.7% | +465 |
| Mark Mathias | TEX | Yes | 99 | Robbie Ray | 17.7% | +465 |
| Chas McCormick | HOU | No | 101 | Zach Davies | 17.6% | +465 |
| Dermis Garcia | OAK | Yes | 103 | Patrick Sandoval | 17.6% | +470 |
| Anthony Rizzo | NYY | Yes | 94 | Jose Berrios | 17.6% | +470 |
| Joey Meneses | WSH | Yes | 106 | Kyle Muller | 17.3% | +480 |
| Will Smith | LAD | Yes | 96 | Blake Snell | 17.2% | +480 |
| Gleyber Torres | NYY | No | 101 | Jose Berrios | 17.0% | +485 |
| Bo Bichette | TOR | No | 101 | Jameson Taillon | 17.0% | +485 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | KC | Yes | 99 | Joey Wentz | 17.0% | +485 |
| Gio Urshela | MIN | No | 98 | Lance Lynn | 16.6% | +500 |
| Josh Jung | TEX | Yes | 99 | Robbie Ray | 16.4% | +510 |
| Andrew McCutchen | MIL | No | 103 | Miles Mikolas | 16.0% | +525 |
| Hunter Renfroe | MIL | No | 103 | Miles Mikolas | 16.0% | +525 |
| Eloy Jimenez | CHW | No | 98 | Bailey Ober | 16.0% | +525 |
| Trayce Thompson | LAD | Yes | 96 | Blake Snell | 16.0% | +525 |
| Corey Seager | TEX | No | 96 | Robbie Ray | 16.0% | +525 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | SF | Yes | 87 | German Marquez | 16.0% | +525 |
| Juan Soto | SD | No | 95 | Tyler Anderson | 15.8% | +530 |
| George Springer | TOR | No | 101 | Jameson Taillon | 15.8% | +535 |
| Alex Bregman | HOU | No | 101 | Zach Davies | 15.8% | +535 |
| Kyle Higashioka | NYY | No | 101 | Jose Berrios | 15.8% | +535 |
| Ryan Mountcastle | BAL | No | 99 | Michael Wacha | 15.5% | +545 |
| Nathaniel Lowe | TEX | No | 96 | Robbie Ray | 15.5% | +545 |
| Elvis Andrus | CHW | No | 98 | Bailey Ober | 15.4% | +550 |
| Tyler Naquin | NYM | Yes | 95 | Pablo Lopez | 15.3% | +555 |
| Yoan Moncada | CHW | Yes | 99 | Bailey Ober | 15.2% | +560 |
| Anthony Santander | BAL | Yes | 93 | Michael Wacha | 15.0% | +565 |
| Adley Rutschman | BAL | Yes | 93 | Michael Wacha | 15.0% | +565 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | SF | Yes | 87 | German Marquez | 14.8% | +575 |
| Cal Raleigh | SEA | Yes | 96 | Jesus Tinoco | 14.8% | +575 |
| Eduardo Escobar | NYM | Yes | 95 | Pablo Lopez | 14.7% | +580 |
| Dan Vogelbach | NYM | Yes | 95 | Pablo Lopez | 14.7% | +580 |
| Wilmer Flores | SF | No | 90 | German Marquez | 14.4% | +595 |
| Jose Ramirez | CLE | Yes | 103 | Corey Kluber | 14.3% | +600 |
| Randy Arozarena | TB | No | 99 | Shane Bieber | 14.2% | +600 |
| Carlos Correa | MIN | No | 98 | Lance Lynn | 14.1% | +610 |
| Austin Barnes | LAD | Yes | 96 | Blake Snell | 14.0% | +615 |
| Jeremy Pena | HOU | No | 101 | Zach Davies | 13.8% | +625 |
| Marcus Semien | TEX | Yes | 99 | Robbie Ray | 13.6% | +635 |
| Aristides Aquino | CIN | No | 92 | Mitch Keller | 13.4% | +645 |
| TJ Friedl | CIN | Yes | 95 | Mitch Keller | 13.4% | +650 |
| Sean Murphy | OAK | Yes | 103 | Patrick Sandoval | 13.4% | +650 |
| Chris Taylor | LAD | Yes | 96 | Blake Snell | 13.3% | +650 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | KC | No | 94 | Joey Wentz | 13.1% | +665 |
| Riley Adams | WSH | Yes | 106 | Kyle Muller | 12.9% | +675 |
| Josh Naylor | CLE | Yes | 103 | Corey Kluber | 12.9% | +675 |
| Gary Sanchez | MIN | No | 98 | Lance Lynn | 12.8% | +680 |
| Kolten Wong | MIL | Yes | 101 | Miles Mikolas | 12.7% | +690 |
| Justin Turner | LAD | Yes | 96 | Blake Snell | 12.6% | +695 |
| Javier Baez | DET | No | 99 | Zack Greinke | 12.2% | +720 |
| Seth Brown | OAK | No | 108 | Patrick Sandoval | 12.1% | +725 |
| Andres Gimenez | CLE | Yes | 103 | Corey Kluber | 12.1% | +725 |
| Brandon Marsh | PHI | Yes | 96 | Marcus Stroman | 12.1% | +725 |
| Luis Garcia | WSH | Yes | 106 | Kyle Muller | 12.1% | +725 |
| A.J. Pollock | CHW | No | 98 | Bailey Ober | 12.1% | +725 |
| Jose Abreu | CHW | No | 98 | Bailey Ober | 12.1% | +725 |
| Jose Miranda | MIN | No | 98 | Lance Lynn | 12.1% | +725 |
| Daulton Varsho | ARI | Yes | 102 | Lance McCullers | 12.0% | +730 |
| Corbin Carroll | ARI | Yes | 102 | Lance McCullers | 12.0% | +730 |
| Lars Nootbaar | STL | Yes | 101 | Adrian Houser | 11.9% | +735 |
| Oswaldo Cabrera | NYY | Yes | 94 | Jose Berrios | 11.9% | +740 |
| Max Stassi | LAA | No | 103 | James Kaprielian | 11.9% | +740 |
| Luis Rengifo | LAA | Yes | 108 | James Kaprielian | 11.9% | +745 |
| Alex Verdugo | BOS | Yes | 93 | Kyle Bradish | 11.8% | +745 |
| Gunnar Henderson | BAL | Yes | 93 | Michael Wacha | 11.8% | +745 |
| Nick Gordon | MIN | Yes | 99 | Lance Lynn | 11.7% | +750 |
| Martin Maldonado | HOU | No | 101 | Zach Davies | 11.7% | +755 |
| Christian Bethancourt | TB | No | 99 | Shane Bieber | 11.5% | +770 |
| Mitch Haniger | SEA | No | 99 | Jesus Tinoco | 11.5% | +770 |
| Eric Haase | DET | No | 99 | Zack Greinke | 11.5% | +770 |
| Dylan Moore | SEA | No | 99 | Jesus Tinoco | 11.5% | +770 |
| Freddie Freeman | LAD | No | 95 | Blake Snell | 11.5% | +775 |
| Vaughn Grissom | ATL | No | 106 | Paolo Espino | 11.4% | +775 |
| J.P. Crawford | SEA | Yes | 96 | Jesus Tinoco | 11.4% | +775 |
| Hunter Dozier | KC | Yes | 99 | Joey Wentz | 11.4% | +775 |
| Andrew Vaughn | CHW | No | 98 | Bailey Ober | 11.4% | +775 |
| MJ Melendez | KC | No | 94 | Joey Wentz | 11.4% | +780 |
| Franmil Reyes | CHC | No | 103 | Zack Wheeler | 11.2% | +795 |
| Brandon Crawford | SF | Yes | 87 | German Marquez | 11.1% | +800 |
| Jurickson Profar | SD | Yes | 96 | Tyler Anderson | 11.1% | +800 |
| Brandon Drury | SD | Yes | 96 | Tyler Anderson | 11.1% | +800 |
| Triston Casas | BOS | Yes | 93 | Kyle Bradish | 11.1% | +800 |
| Jake Cave | MIN | Yes | 99 | Lance Lynn | 11.0% | +810 |
| Christian Walker | ARI | No | 101 | Lance McCullers | 11.0% | +810 |
| Conner Capel | OAK | No | 108 | Patrick Sandoval | 10.8% | +825 |
| Enrique Hernandez | BOS | No | 99 | Kyle Bradish | 10.8% | +830 |
| Spencer Torkelson | DET | No | 99 | Zack Greinke | 10.8% | +830 |
| Oscar Gonzalez | CLE | No | 99 | Corey Kluber | 10.8% | +830 |
| Wander Franco | TB | Yes | 103 | Shane Bieber | 10.6% | +840 |
| Zack Collins | PIT | Yes | 95 | Hunter Greene | 10.6% | +840 |
| Ryan McMahon | COL | Yes | 87 | Logan Webb | 10.5% | +855 |
| Carson Kelly | ARI | No | 101 | Lance McCullers | 10.2% | +880 |
| Xander Bogaerts | BOS | No | 99 | Kyle Bradish | 10.0% | +895 |
| Tommy Pham | BOS | No | 99 | Kyle Bradish | 10.0% | +895 |
| Austin Hays | BAL | No | 99 | Michael Wacha | 10.0% | +895 |
| Yu Chang | BOS | No | 99 | Kyle Bradish | 10.0% | +895 |
| Ramon Urias | BAL | No | 99 | Michael Wacha | 10.0% | +895 |
| Jarred Kelenic | SEA | Yes | 96 | Jesus Tinoco | 10.0% | +900 |
| Nick Fortes | MIA | No | 98 | Carlos Carrasco | 10.0% | +905 |
| Cal Mitchell | PIT | Yes | 95 | Hunter Greene | 9.9% | +910 |
| Mike Toglia | COL | Yes | 87 | Logan Webb | 9.8% | +920 |
| Willi Castro | DET | Yes | 94 | Zack Greinke | 9.8% | +920 |
| Riley Greene | DET | Yes | 94 | Zack Greinke | 9.8% | +920 |
| Ketel Marte | ARI | Yes | 102 | Lance McCullers | 9.7% | +925 |
| Pavin Smith | ARI | Yes | 102 | Lance McCullers | 9.7% | +925 |
| Jonathan India | CIN | No | 92 | Mitch Keller | 9.4% | +965 |
| Amed Rosario | CLE | No | 99 | Corey Kluber | 9.3% | +975 |
| Sam Haggerty | SEA | Yes | 96 | Jesus Tinoco | 9.2% | +985 |
| Randal Grichuk | COL | No | 90 | Logan Webb | 9.2% | +985 |
| Elias Diaz | COL | No | 90 | Logan Webb | 9.2% | +985 |
| Garrett Cooper | MIA | No | 98 | Carlos Carrasco | 9.2% | +985 |
| Lewin Diaz | MIA | Yes | 95 | Carlos Carrasco | 9.1% | +995 |
| Michael Taylor | KC | Yes | 99 | Joey Wentz | 9.1% | +1005 |
| Christian Yelich | MIL | Yes | 101 | Miles Mikolas | 8.9% | +1025 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | WSH | Yes | 106 | Kyle Muller | 8.8% | +1040 |
| Kyle Farmer | CIN | No | 92 | Mitch Keller | 8.7% | +1050 |
| Spencer Steer | CIN | No | 92 | Mitch Keller | 8.7% | +1050 |
| Mickey Moniak | LAA | Yes | 108 | James Kaprielian | 8.6% | +1065 |
| Livan Soto | LAA | Yes | 108 | James Kaprielian | 8.6% | +1065 |
| Jonathan Schoop | DET | No | 99 | Zack Greinke | 8.5% | +1070 |
| Thairo Estrada | SF | No | 90 | German Marquez | 8.5% | +1070 |
| Jose Siri | TB | No | 99 | Shane Bieber | 8.5% | +1070 |
| Charlie Blackmon | COL | Yes | 87 | Logan Webb | 8.4% | +1085 |
| Jason Vosler | SF | Yes | 87 | German Marquez | 8.4% | +1085 |
| Ben Gamel | PIT | Yes | 95 | Hunter Greene | 8.4% | +1090 |
| Sam Huff | TEX | Yes | 99 | Robbie Ray | 8.2% | +1115 |
| Tommy Edman | STL | Yes | 101 | Adrian Houser | 8.1% | +1140 |
| Matt Vierling | PHI | No | 103 | Marcus Stroman | 8.0% | +1145 |
| Christopher Morel | CHC | No | 103 | Zack Wheeler | 8.0% | +1145 |
| Ha-Seong Kim | SD | Yes | 96 | Tyler Anderson | 8.0% | +1150 |
| Trey Mancini | HOU | No | 101 | Zach Davies | 7.9% | +1165 |
| Austin Hedges | CLE | No | 99 | Corey Kluber | 7.7% | +1190 |
| Myles Straw | CLE | No | 99 | Corey Kluber | 7.7% | +1190 |
| Jorge Mateo | BAL | No | 99 | Michael Wacha | 7.7% | +1190 |
| Ian Happ | CHC | Yes | 96 | Zack Wheeler | 7.7% | +1200 |
| Bryson Stott | PHI | Yes | 96 | Marcus Stroman | 7.7% | +1200 |
