MLB Betting: Home Run, Strikeout, and Run Total Projections for Tuesday 9/13/22
Just how likely is a homer from a certain player tonight? How many runs will Team X score? And can the pitcher you're eying go over his strikeout prop?
To find out, I leveraged numberFire's batter and pitcher projections plus team implied totals to try to answer those questions.
Here are today's results to help us navigate daily fantasy baseball and MLB betting opportunities at MLB odds.
(Please note that these projections are subject to change throughout the day and as lineups are confirmed. To see the most current projections, check out our projections pages.)
Team Run Total Projections
| Team | Opp SP | O/U | Implied Total |
5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIN | Johan Oviedo | 9.5 | 5.00 | 38.4% | 23.8% | 13.3% | 6.8% | 3.2% |
| PIT | Luis Cessa | 9.5 | 4.50 | 29.7% | 16.9% | 8.7% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| BAL | Cory Abbott | 8.5 | 4.63 | 31.9% | 18.6% | 9.8% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| BOS | Gerrit Cole | 8.5 | 3.82 | 18.7% | 9.3% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| CHW | Chad Kuhl | 8.5 | 4.89 | 36.5% | 22.2% | 12.2% | 6.1% | 2.8% |
| COL | Michael Kopech | 8.5 | 3.61 | 15.7% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| KC | Joe Ryan | 8.5 | 3.70 | 17.0% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| MIN | Kris Bubic | 8.5 | 4.80 | 34.9% | 20.9% | 11.3% | 5.6% | 2.5% |
| NYY | Nick Pivetta | 8.5 | 4.68 | 32.8% | 19.3% | 10.2% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| OAK | Cole Ragans | 8.5 | 3.96 | 20.9% | 10.7% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| TEX | Ken Waldichuk | 8.5 | 4.54 | 30.4% | 17.4% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| WSH | Dean Kremer | 8.5 | 3.87 | 19.5% | 9.8% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| ARI | Clayton Kershaw | 8.0 | 3.42 | 13.2% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| ATL | Jakob Junis | 8.0 | 4.46 | 29.0% | 16.4% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| CLE | Jose Suarez | 8.0 | 4.20 | 24.7% | 13.3% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| DET | Hunter Brown | 8.0 | 3.23 | 10.9% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| HOU | Drew Hutchison | 8.0 | 4.77 | 34.4% | 20.5% | 11.0% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
| LAA | Cody Morris | 8.0 | 3.80 | 18.4% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| LAD | Merrill Kelly | 8.0 | 4.58 | 31.1% | 17.9% | 9.3% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| SF | Kyle Wright | 8.0 | 3.54 | 14.8% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| MIL | Jordan Montgomery | 7.5 | 3.25 | 11.1% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| STL | Matt Bush | 7.5 | 4.25 | 25.5% | 13.8% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| TB | Julian Merryweather | 7.5 | 3.43 | 13.3% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| TOR | Jeffrey Springs | 7.5 | 4.07 | 22.6% | 11.8% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| MIA | Bailey Falter | 7.0 | 3.65 | 16.3% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| PHI | Sandy Alcantara | 7.0 | 3.35 | 12.3% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| SD | Logan Gilbert | 7.0 | 3.47 | 13.8% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| SEA | Yu Darvish | 7.0 | 3.53 | 14.6% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| CHC | Jacob deGrom | 6.5 | 2.23 | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| NYM | Adrian Sampson | 6.5 | 4.27 | 25.8% | 14.1% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
Pitcher Strikeout Projections
| Pitcher | Opp | K Proj |
3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob deGrom | CHC | 7.6 | 94.6% | 87.8% | 77.4% | 64.1% | 49.6% | 35.7% | 24.0% |
| Gerrit Cole | BOS | 7.5 | 94.0% | 86.6% | 75.6% | 61.9% | 47.2% | 33.5% | 22.1% |
| Yu Darvish | SEA | 7.0 | 92.0% | 83.0% | 70.3% | 55.5% | 40.6% | 27.5% | 17.3% |
| Alek Manoah | TB | 6.7 | 89.9% | 79.5% | 65.5% | 50.0% | 35.2% | 22.9% | 13.8% |
| Joe Ryan | KC | 6.0 | 84.5% | 71.0% | 54.8% | 38.7% | 25.1% | 14.9% | 8.1% |
| Clayton Kershaw | ARI | 5.8 | 83.1% | 68.9% | 52.3% | 36.3% | 23.0% | 13.4% | 7.1% |
| Sandy Alcantara | PHI | 5.6 | 80.9% | 65.8% | 48.8% | 33.0% | 20.3% | 11.4% | 5.9% |
| Jeffrey Springs | TOR | 5.6 | 80.6% | 65.3% | 48.3% | 32.5% | 19.9% | 11.2% | 5.7% |
| Logan Gilbert | SD | 5.5 | 80.3% | 64.9% | 47.8% | 32.0% | 19.5% | 10.9% | 5.6% |
| Nick Pivetta | NYY | 5.4 | 79.1% | 63.3% | 46.1% | 30.5% | 18.3% | 10.1% | 5.1% |
| Jose Suarez | CLE | 5.3 | 76.8% | 60.2% | 42.8% | 27.5% | 16.1% | 8.6% | 4.2% |
| Merrill Kelly | LAD | 5.1 | 75.0% | 57.9% | 40.3% | 25.4% | 14.5% | 7.6% | 3.6% |
| Kyle Wright | SF | 5.1 | 74.3% | 57.0% | 39.5% | 24.7% | 14.0% | 7.2% | 3.4% |
| Michael Kopech | COL | 5.0 | 72.8% | 55.1% | 37.5% | 23.1% | 12.8% | 6.5% | 3.0% |
| Jordan Montgomery | MIL | 4.8 | 70.4% | 52.2% | 34.7% | 20.8% | 11.2% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Jake Cousins | STL | 4.7 | 68.7% | 50.2% | 32.8% | 19.3% | 10.2% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Jakob Junis | ATL | 4.6 | 67.3% | 48.5% | 31.3% | 18.1% | 9.4% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Bailey Falter | MIA | 4.4 | 63.5% | 44.3% | 27.5% | 15.3% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Mitch White | TB | 4.3 | 62.1% | 42.8% | 26.2% | 14.3% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Kris Bubic | MIN | 4.3 | 61.6% | 42.2% | 25.7% | 13.9% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Cory Abbott | BAL | 4.2 | 60.5% | 41.0% | 24.7% | 13.3% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Hunter Brown | DET | 4.1 | 58.4% | 38.9% | 22.9% | 12.0% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Johan Oviedo | CIN | 4.1 | 58.2% | 38.7% | 22.7% | 11.9% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Ken Waldichuk | TEX | 4.0 | 56.8% | 37.3% | 21.6% | 11.2% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Chad Kuhl | CHW | 4.0 | 56.5% | 36.9% | 21.3% | 11.0% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Raynel Espinal | PIT | 3.8 | 52.4% | 33.0% | 18.3% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Dean Kremer | WSH | 3.8 | 52.2% | 32.8% | 18.1% | 8.9% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Luis Cessa | PIT | 3.8 | 52.0% | 32.6% | 18.0% | 8.8% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Drew Hutchison | HOU | 3.5 | 46.1% | 27.3% | 14.1% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Adrian Sampson | NYM | 3.5 | 46.1% | 27.3% | 14.1% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Yonny Chirinos | TOR | 3.4 | 44.6% | 26.0% | 13.2% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Luis Ortiz | CIN | 3.3 | 42.4% | 24.1% | 12.0% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Cole Ragans | OAK | 3.0 | 34.6% | 18.0% | 8.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Cody Morris | LAA | 2.6 | 27.3% | 12.8% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Josh Fleming | TOR | 1.7 | 9.5% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Merryweather | TB | 1.5 | 6.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Bush | STL | 1.3 | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Merryweather | TB | 1.5 | 6.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Bush | STL | 1.3 | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Daily Batter Home Run Projections
You can view all MLB game and prop odds at MLB odds.
Notes: The "Split Adv?" column refers to whether a batter is starting the game against a pitcher of the opposite handedness. "Home Run PF" refers to home run park factor for the batter's handedness; data from FanGraphs. "xHR Odds" indicate what a player's home run odds should be given the home run probability; this helps seek value.
| Batter | Team | Split Adv? |
HR PF |
Opp SP |
HR Prob% |
xHR Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander | BAL | Yes | 104 | Cory Abbott | 27.3% | +265 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | STL | No | 91 | Jake Cousins | 25.6% | +290 |
| Bryan Reynolds | PIT | Yes | 113 | Raynel Espinal | 25.2% | +295 |
| Bryan Reynolds | PIT | Yes | 113 | Luis Cessa | 25.2% | +295 |
| Rodolfo Castro | PIT | Yes | 113 | Raynel Espinal | 25.2% | +295 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | TOR | No | 101 | Yonny Chirinos | 24.8% | +305 |
| Rodolfo Castro | PIT | Yes | 113 | Luis Cessa | 24.2% | +315 |
| Shohei Ohtani | LAA | Yes | 103 | Cody Morris | 24.2% | +315 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | TOR | No | 101 | Yonny Chirinos | 23.9% | +320 |
| Adley Rutschman | BAL | Yes | 104 | Cory Abbott | 23.8% | +320 |
| Pete Alonso | NYM | No | 98 | Adrian Sampson | 23.5% | +325 |
| Yordan Alvarez | HOU | Yes | 94 | Drew Hutchison | 22.7% | +340 |
| Aaron Judge | NYY | No | 99 | Nick Pivetta | 22.7% | +340 |
| Adolis Garcia | TEX | Yes | 95 | Ken Waldichuk | 22.6% | +340 |
| Luke Voit | WSH | No | 106 | Dean Kremer | 22.3% | +350 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | TOR | Yes | 101 | Jeffrey Springs | 22.0% | +355 |
| Cedric Mullins | BAL | Yes | 104 | Cory Abbott | 21.8% | +360 |
| Joey Meneses | WSH | No | 106 | Dean Kremer | 21.7% | +360 |
| Mike Trout | LAA | No | 99 | Cody Morris | 21.7% | +360 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | TOR | Yes | 101 | Jeffrey Springs | 21.5% | +365 |
| Randy Arozarena | TB | No | 101 | Mitch White | 21.0% | +375 |
| Nolan Arenado | STL | No | 91 | Jake Cousins | 20.9% | +380 |
| Oneil Cruz | PIT | Yes | 113 | Raynel Espinal | 20.8% | +380 |
| Sean Murphy | OAK | Yes | 95 | Cole Ragans | 20.6% | +385 |
| Willy Adames | MIL | Yes | 91 | Jordan Montgomery | 20.4% | +390 |
| Rafael Devers | BOS | Yes | 93 | Gerrit Cole | 20.1% | +395 |
| C.J. Cron | COL | No | 106 | Michael Kopech | 20.1% | +400 |
| Randy Arozarena | TB | No | 101 | Alek Manoah | 19.9% | +400 |
| Kyle Garlick | MIN | Yes | 98 | Kris Bubic | 19.9% | +400 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | NYY | No | 99 | Nick Pivetta | 19.6% | +410 |
| Manny Machado | SD | No | 99 | Logan Gilbert | 19.6% | +410 |
| Gleyber Torres | NYY | No | 99 | Nick Pivetta | 19.6% | +410 |
| Taylor Ward | LAA | No | 99 | Cody Morris | 19.6% | +410 |
| Matt Olson | ATL | Yes | 87 | Jakob Junis | 19.6% | +410 |
| Ryan Mountcastle | BAL | No | 106 | Cory Abbott | 19.5% | +415 |
| Salvador Perez | KC | No | 98 | Joe Ryan | 19.5% | +415 |
| Dan Vogelbach | NYM | Yes | 95 | Adrian Sampson | 19.4% | +415 |
| Trea Turner | LAD | No | 93 | Merrill Kelly | 19.3% | +420 |
| Joc Pederson | SF | Yes | 87 | Kyle Wright | 19.1% | +425 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | KC | No | 98 | Joe Ryan | 18.9% | +430 |
| Albert Pujols | STL | No | 91 | Jake Cousins | 18.9% | +430 |
| TJ Friedl | CIN | Yes | 113 | Luis Ortiz | 18.9% | +430 |
| Oneil Cruz | PIT | Yes | 113 | Luis Cessa | 18.9% | +430 |
| Austin Riley | ATL | No | 90 | Jakob Junis | 18.8% | +430 |
| Kyle Tucker | HOU | Yes | 94 | Drew Hutchison | 18.7% | +435 |
| Gavin Sheets | CHW | Yes | 111 | Chad Kuhl | 18.7% | +435 |
| Josh Donaldson | NYY | No | 99 | Nick Pivetta | 18.5% | +440 |
| Eugenio Suarez | SEA | No | 99 | Yu Darvish | 18.5% | +440 |
| Jonathan India | CIN | No | 111 | Luis Ortiz | 18.3% | +445 |
| Shea Langeliers | OAK | Yes | 95 | Cole Ragans | 18.3% | +445 |
| Hunter Renfroe | MIL | Yes | 91 | Jordan Montgomery | 18.3% | +445 |
| Francisco Lindor | NYM | Yes | 95 | Adrian Sampson | 18.3% | +445 |
| Jake Fraley | CIN | Yes | 113 | Luis Ortiz | 18.3% | +450 |
| Bo Bichette | TOR | No | 101 | Yonny Chirinos | 18.2% | +450 |
| Juan Soto | SD | Yes | 96 | Logan Gilbert | 17.8% | +460 |
| Eloy Jimenez | CHW | No | 106 | Chad Kuhl | 17.7% | +465 |
| Luis Robert | CHW | No | 106 | Chad Kuhl | 17.7% | +465 |
| Max Muncy | LAD | Yes | 99 | Merrill Kelly | 17.7% | +465 |
| Joey Gallo | LAD | Yes | 99 | Merrill Kelly | 17.7% | +465 |
| Cody Bellinger | LAD | Yes | 99 | Merrill Kelly | 17.7% | +465 |
| Danny Jansen | TOR | No | 101 | Yonny Chirinos | 17.6% | +465 |
| Jose Altuve | HOU | No | 99 | Drew Hutchison | 17.4% | +475 |
| Mitch Haniger | SEA | No | 99 | Yu Darvish | 17.4% | +475 |
| Kyle Schwarber | PHI | Yes | 92 | Sandy Alcantara | 17.3% | +480 |
| Corey Seager | TEX | No | 101 | Ken Waldichuk | 17.2% | +480 |
| Ben Gamel | PIT | Yes | 113 | Raynel Espinal | 16.9% | +490 |
| Emmanuel Rivera | ARI | Yes | 93 | Clayton Kershaw | 16.8% | +495 |
| Cal Raleigh | SEA | Yes | 96 | Yu Darvish | 16.7% | +500 |
| Yoan Moncada | CHW | Yes | 111 | Chad Kuhl | 16.7% | +500 |
| Ryan McMahon | COL | Yes | 111 | Michael Kopech | 16.7% | +500 |
| Mookie Betts | LAD | No | 93 | Merrill Kelly | 16.5% | +505 |
| Freddie Freeman | LAD | Yes | 99 | Merrill Kelly | 16.5% | +505 |
| TJ Friedl | CIN | Yes | 113 | Johan Oviedo | 16.2% | +520 |
| Trevor Story | BOS | No | 99 | Gerrit Cole | 16.2% | +520 |
| Bryce Harper | PHI | Yes | 92 | Sandy Alcantara | 16.1% | +520 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | SF | Yes | 87 | Kyle Wright | 16.0% | +525 |
| Chris Taylor | LAD | No | 93 | Merrill Kelly | 16.0% | +525 |
| Mike Toglia | COL | Yes | 111 | Michael Kopech | 15.9% | +525 |
| Eduardo Escobar | NYM | Yes | 95 | Adrian Sampson | 15.9% | +530 |
| Ramon Laureano | OAK | Yes | 95 | Cole Ragans | 15.9% | +530 |
| Bryan De La Cruz | MIA | Yes | 90 | Bailey Falter | 15.8% | +535 |
| Randal Grichuk | COL | No | 106 | Michael Kopech | 15.7% | +535 |
| Ramon Urias | BAL | No | 106 | Cory Abbott | 15.7% | +535 |
| Jonathan India | CIN | No | 111 | Johan Oviedo | 15.6% | +540 |
| Carlos Correa | MIN | Yes | 98 | Kris Bubic | 15.6% | +540 |
| Gary Sanchez | MIN | Yes | 98 | Kris Bubic | 15.6% | +540 |
| Jose Miranda | MIN | Yes | 98 | Kris Bubic | 15.6% | +540 |
| Alex Bregman | HOU | No | 99 | Drew Hutchison | 15.5% | +545 |
| Chas McCormick | HOU | No | 99 | Drew Hutchison | 15.5% | +545 |
| Jake Fraley | CIN | Yes | 113 | Johan Oviedo | 15.4% | +545 |
| Jack Suwinski | PIT | Yes | 113 | Raynel Espinal | 15.4% | +545 |
| Tyler Naquin | NYM | Yes | 95 | Adrian Sampson | 15.3% | +555 |
| Dermis Garcia | OAK | Yes | 95 | Cole Ragans | 15.2% | +560 |
| MJ Melendez | KC | Yes | 99 | Joe Ryan | 15.2% | +560 |
| Rougned Odor | BAL | Yes | 104 | Cory Abbott | 15.1% | +560 |
| Austin Hays | BAL | No | 106 | Cory Abbott | 15.1% | +565 |
| Nathaniel Lowe | TEX | No | 101 | Ken Waldichuk | 15.0% | +565 |
| Rhys Hoskins | PHI | No | 90 | Sandy Alcantara | 15.0% | +570 |
| Michael Chavis | PIT | No | 111 | Raynel Espinal | 14.9% | +570 |
| Tommy Pham | BOS | No | 99 | Gerrit Cole | 14.9% | +570 |
| Michael Harris II | ATL | Yes | 87 | Jakob Junis | 14.8% | +575 |
| Ben Gamel | PIT | Yes | 113 | Luis Cessa | 14.7% | +580 |
| Jack Suwinski | PIT | Yes | 113 | Luis Cessa | 14.7% | +580 |
| Ian Happ | CHC | Yes | 95 | Jacob deGrom | 14.7% | +580 |
| George Springer | TOR | Yes | 101 | Jeffrey Springs | 14.6% | +585 |
| Matt Chapman | TOR | No | 101 | Yonny Chirinos | 14.5% | +590 |
| Travis d'Arnaud | ATL | No | 90 | Jakob Junis | 14.4% | +595 |
| Wil Myers | SD | No | 99 | Logan Gilbert | 14.2% | +600 |
| Jo Adell | LAA | No | 99 | Cody Morris | 14.2% | +600 |
| Paul DeJong | STL | No | 91 | Jake Cousins | 13.9% | +620 |
| Marcus Semien | TEX | Yes | 95 | Ken Waldichuk | 13.9% | +620 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | KC | Yes | 99 | Joe Ryan | 13.8% | +620 |
| Lane Thomas | WSH | No | 106 | Dean Kremer | 13.7% | +630 |
| Andrew Vaughn | CHW | No | 106 | Chad Kuhl | 13.7% | +630 |
| Alan Trejo | COL | No | 106 | Michael Kopech | 13.7% | +630 |
| Will Smith | LAD | No | 93 | Merrill Kelly | 13.5% | +640 |
| Andres Gimenez | CLE | No | 103 | Jose Suarez | 13.5% | +640 |
| Carlos Santana | SEA | Yes | 96 | Yu Darvish | 13.5% | +640 |
| Jake Cronenworth | SD | Yes | 96 | Logan Gilbert | 13.5% | +640 |
| Franmil Reyes | CHC | No | 98 | Jacob deGrom | 13.5% | +645 |
| Andrew McCutchen | MIL | Yes | 91 | Jordan Montgomery | 13.4% | +650 |
| Luis Urias | MIL | Yes | 91 | Jordan Montgomery | 13.4% | +650 |
| Tyrone Taylor | MIL | Yes | 91 | Jordan Montgomery | 13.4% | +650 |
| Brandon Nimmo | NYM | Yes | 95 | Adrian Sampson | 13.4% | +650 |
| Nick Pratto | KC | Yes | 99 | Joe Ryan | 13.2% | +660 |
| Danny Jansen | TOR | Yes | 101 | Jeffrey Springs | 13.1% | +660 |
| Elias Diaz | COL | No | 106 | Michael Kopech | 12.9% | +675 |
| Jose Ramirez | CLE | Yes | 99 | Jose Suarez | 12.9% | +675 |
| Ty France | SEA | No | 99 | Yu Darvish | 12.9% | +675 |
| Jurickson Profar | SD | Yes | 96 | Logan Gilbert | 12.8% | +680 |
| Kyle Farmer | CIN | No | 111 | Luis Ortiz | 12.7% | +690 |
| Aristides Aquino | CIN | No | 111 | Johan Oviedo | 12.7% | +690 |
| Michael Chavis | PIT | No | 111 | Luis Cessa | 12.7% | +690 |
| Tyler O'Neill | STL | No | 91 | Jake Cousins | 12.6% | +690 |
| Wander Franco | TB | Yes | 94 | Alek Manoah | 12.6% | +695 |
| Kerry Carpenter | DET | Yes | 94 | Hunter Brown | 12.6% | +695 |
| Charles Leblanc | MIA | Yes | 90 | Bailey Falter | 12.6% | +695 |
| Josh Jung | TEX | Yes | 95 | Ken Waldichuk | 12.5% | +700 |
| Christian Bethancourt | TB | No | 101 | Alek Manoah | 12.4% | +705 |
| Brandon Marsh | PHI | Yes | 92 | Sandy Alcantara | 12.4% | +710 |
| Stone Garrett | ARI | Yes | 93 | Clayton Kershaw | 12.2% | +715 |
| J.D. Martinez | BOS | No | 99 | Gerrit Cole | 12.2% | +720 |
| Enrique Hernandez | BOS | No | 99 | Gerrit Cole | 12.2% | +720 |
| Jose Abreu | CHW | No | 106 | Chad Kuhl | 12.2% | +720 |
| Gio Urshela | MIN | Yes | 98 | Kris Bubic | 12.1% | +730 |
| Victor Caratini | MIL | Yes | 91 | Jordan Montgomery | 12.0% | +730 |
| Jeff McNeil | NYM | Yes | 95 | Adrian Sampson | 12.0% | +730 |
| Aristides Aquino | CIN | No | 111 | Luis Ortiz | 11.9% | +740 |
| Garrett Cooper | MIA | Yes | 90 | Bailey Falter | 11.9% | +740 |
| Wilmer Flores | SF | No | 90 | Kyle Wright | 11.9% | +740 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | SF | Yes | 87 | Kyle Wright | 11.8% | +750 |
| Chad Pinder | OAK | Yes | 95 | Cole Ragans | 11.8% | +750 |
| Christian Bethancourt | TB | No | 101 | Mitch White | 11.7% | +755 |
| George Springer | TOR | No | 101 | Yonny Chirinos | 11.7% | +755 |
| Matt Chapman | TOR | Yes | 101 | Jeffrey Springs | 11.6% | +760 |
| Justin Turner | LAD | No | 93 | Merrill Kelly | 11.6% | +765 |
| Julio Rodriguez | SEA | No | 99 | Yu Darvish | 11.5% | +770 |
| Owen Miller | CLE | Yes | 99 | Jose Suarez | 11.4% | +775 |
| Oscar Gonzalez | CLE | Yes | 99 | Jose Suarez | 11.4% | +775 |
| Seiya Suzuki | CHC | No | 98 | Jacob deGrom | 11.4% | +775 |
| Luis Rengifo | LAA | Yes | 103 | Cody Morris | 11.4% | +780 |
| Keston Hiura | MIL | Yes | 91 | Jordan Montgomery | 11.3% | +785 |
| Christian Walker | ARI | Yes | 93 | Clayton Kershaw | 10.8% | +825 |
| Xander Bogaerts | BOS | No | 99 | Gerrit Cole | 10.8% | +830 |
| Javier Baez | DET | No | 99 | Hunter Brown | 10.8% | +830 |
| Trey Mancini | HOU | No | 99 | Drew Hutchison | 10.8% | +830 |
| Jeremy Pena | HOU | No | 99 | Drew Hutchison | 10.8% | +830 |
| Jesse Winker | SEA | Yes | 96 | Yu Darvish | 10.7% | +835 |
| Jake McCarthy | ARI | No | 99 | Clayton Kershaw | 10.6% | +840 |
| Michael Brosseau | MIL | Yes | 91 | Jordan Montgomery | 10.6% | +840 |
| Joey Bart | SF | No | 90 | Kyle Wright | 10.6% | +845 |
| Spencer Steer | CIN | No | 111 | Luis Ortiz | 10.3% | +870 |
| Tommy Edman | STL | Yes | 97 | Jake Cousins | 10.1% | +895 |
| Jonathan Schoop | DET | No | 99 | Hunter Brown | 10.0% | +895 |
| Bo Bichette | TOR | Yes | 101 | Jeffrey Springs | 10.0% | +895 |
| Alejandro Kirk | TOR | Yes | 101 | Jeffrey Springs | 10.0% | +895 |
| Josh Bell | SD | Yes | 96 | Logan Gilbert | 10.0% | +900 |
| Dansby Swanson | ATL | No | 90 | Jakob Junis | 9.9% | +910 |
| Ronald Acuna | ATL | No | 90 | Jakob Junis | 9.9% | +910 |
| Romy Gonzalez | CHW | No | 106 | Chad Kuhl | 9.9% | +910 |
| Cal Mitchell | PIT | Yes | 113 | Raynel Espinal | 9.8% | +920 |
| Cal Mitchell | PIT | Yes | 113 | Luis Cessa | 9.8% | +920 |
| Brian Anderson | MIA | Yes | 90 | Bailey Falter | 9.8% | +920 |
| Nick Fortes | MIA | Yes | 90 | Bailey Falter | 9.8% | +920 |
| Alejandro Kirk | TOR | No | 101 | Yonny Chirinos | 9.5% | +955 |
| Martin Maldonado | HOU | No | 99 | Drew Hutchison | 9.3% | +975 |
| Max Stassi | LAA | No | 99 | Cody Morris | 9.3% | +975 |
| Yulieski Gurriel | HOU | No | 99 | Drew Hutchison | 9.3% | +975 |
| Jorge Alfaro | SD | No | 99 | Logan Gilbert | 9.3% | +975 |
| J.T. Realmuto | PHI | No | 90 | Sandy Alcantara | 9.2% | +985 |
| Vaughn Grissom | ATL | No | 90 | Jakob Junis | 9.2% | +985 |
| Mark Canha | NYM | No | 98 | Adrian Sampson | 9.2% | +985 |
| Elvis Andrus | CHW | No | 106 | Chad Kuhl | 9.1% | +1000 |
| Wander Franco | TB | Yes | 94 | Mitch White | 9.1% | +1005 |
| Austin Hedges | CLE | Yes | 99 | Jose Suarez | 9.1% | +1005 |
| Mike Ford | LAA | Yes | 103 | Cody Morris | 9.0% | +1010 |
| Charlie Blackmon | COL | Yes | 111 | Michael Kopech | 8.8% | +1040 |
| Yasmani Grandal | CHW | Yes | 111 | Chad Kuhl | 8.8% | +1040 |
| Sam Huff | TEX | Yes | 95 | Ken Waldichuk | 8.7% | +1045 |
| Michael Massey | KC | Yes | 99 | Joe Ryan | 8.7% | +1050 |
| Yandy Diaz | TB | No | 101 | Alek Manoah | 8.7% | +1050 |
| Yandy Diaz | TB | No | 101 | Mitch White | 8.7% | +1050 |
| Ketel Marte | ARI | Yes | 93 | Clayton Kershaw | 8.6% | +1070 |
| Carson Kelly | ARI | Yes | 93 | Clayton Kershaw | 8.6% | +1070 |
| David Villar | SF | No | 90 | Kyle Wright | 8.5% | +1070 |
| David Peralta | TB | Yes | 94 | Mitch White | 8.3% | +1105 |
| Jonathan Aranda | TB | Yes | 94 | Alek Manoah | 8.3% | +1105 |
| Miguel Rojas | MIA | Yes | 90 | Bailey Falter | 8.3% | +1105 |
| Jorge Mateo | BAL | No | 106 | Cory Abbott | 8.2% | +1115 |
| Drew Waters | KC | Yes | 99 | Joe Ryan | 7.9% | +1165 |
| Manuel Margot | TB | No | 101 | Mitch White | 7.9% | +1165 |
| Santiago Espinal | TOR | No | 101 | Yonny Chirinos | 7.9% | +1165 |
| Jose Siri | TB | No | 101 | Alek Manoah | 7.9% | +1165 |
| Thairo Estrada | SF | No | 90 | Kyle Wright | 7.8% | +1180 |
| Ha-Seong Kim | SD | No | 99 | Logan Gilbert | 7.7% | +1190 |
| Robbie Grossman | ATL | Yes | 87 | Jakob Junis | 7.7% | +1190 |
| Spencer Steer | CIN | No | 111 | Johan Oviedo | 7.7% | +1195 |
