MLB Betting: Home Run, Strikeout, and Run Total Projections for Friday 9/9/22
Just how likely is a homer from a certain player tonight? How many runs will Team X score? And can the pitcher you're eying go over his strikeout prop?
To find out, I leveraged numberFire's batter and pitcher projections plus team implied totals to try to answer those questions.
Here are today's results to help us navigate daily fantasy baseball and MLB betting opportunities at MLB odds.
(Please note that these projections are subject to change throughout the day and as lineups are confirmed. To see the most current projections, check out our projections pages.)
Team Run Total Projections
| Team | Opp SP | O/U | Implied Total |
5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | Zach Davies | 10.5 | 5.35 | 44.5% | 29.1% | 17.2% | 9.3% | 4.6% |
| ARI | German Marquez | 10.5 | 5.15 | 41.0% | 26.0% | 15.0% | 7.8% | 3.8% |
| PHI | Patrick Corbin | 8.5 | 5.07 | 39.6% | 24.8% | 14.1% | 7.3% | 3.4% |
| HOU | Michael Lorenzen | 8.0 | 4.70 | 33.2% | 19.5% | 10.4% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| LAD | Mike Clevinger | 8.5 | 4.69 | 33.0% | 19.4% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| STL | Roansy Contreras | 8.0 | 4.62 | 31.8% | 18.5% | 9.7% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| MIL | Nick Lodolo | 8.5 | 4.60 | 31.4% | 18.2% | 9.5% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| BAL | Brayan Bello | 8.5 | 4.47 | 29.2% | 16.5% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| KC | Joey Wentz | 8.5 | 4.45 | 28.9% | 16.3% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| TOR | Dane Dunning | 8.0 | 4.33 | 26.8% | 14.8% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| SF | Drew Smyly | 8.0 | 4.30 | 26.3% | 14.4% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| CHW | James Kaprielian | 7.5 | 4.12 | 23.4% | 12.4% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| DET | Daniel Lynch | 8.5 | 4.05 | 22.3% | 11.6% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| BOS | Austin Voth | 8.5 | 4.03 | 22.0% | 11.4% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| CIN | Jason Alexander | 8.5 | 3.90 | 19.9% | 10.1% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| SD | Dustin May | 8.5 | 3.81 | 18.6% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| CLE | Dylan Bundy | 7.5 | 3.75 | 17.7% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| MIN | Cal Quantrill | 7.5 | 3.75 | 17.7% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| NYY | Drew Rasmussen | 7.5 | 3.75 | 17.7% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| TB | Frankie Montas | 7.5 | 3.75 | 17.7% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| CHC | Carlos Rodon | 8.0 | 3.70 | 17.0% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| TEX | Ross Stripling | 8.0 | 3.67 | 16.6% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| ATL | Robbie Ray | 7.0 | 3.55 | 14.9% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| SEA | Charlie Morton | 7.0 | 3.45 | 13.6% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| WSH | Noah Syndergaard | 8.5 | 3.43 | 13.3% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| OAK | Lucas Giolito | 7.5 | 3.38 | 12.7% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| PIT | Miles Mikolas | 8.0 | 3.38 | 12.7% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| LAA | Lance McCullers | 8.0 | 3.30 | 11.7% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
Pitcher Strikeout Projections
| Pitcher | Opp | K Proj |
3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Morton | SEA | 7.2 | 92.7% | 84.2% | 72.0% | 57.5% | 42.7% | 29.3% | 18.7% |
| Carlos Rodon | CHC | 7.0 | 91.8% | 82.6% | 69.8% | 54.9% | 40.0% | 27.0% | 16.8% |
| Lance McCullers | LAA | 6.5 | 89.1% | 78.1% | 63.7% | 48.0% | 33.3% | 21.3% | 12.6% |
| Robbie Ray | ATL | 6.4 | 87.7% | 75.9% | 60.9% | 45.0% | 30.5% | 19.1% | 11.0% |
| David Peterson | MIA | 5.7 | 82.2% | 67.6% | 50.8% | 34.9% | 21.8% | 12.5% | 6.6% |
| Frankie Montas | TB | 5.7 | 82.1% | 67.4% | 50.7% | 34.7% | 21.7% | 12.4% | 6.5% |
| Nick Lodolo | MIL | 5.7 | 82.1% | 67.4% | 50.7% | 34.7% | 21.7% | 12.4% | 6.5% |
| Lucas Giolito | OAK | 5.7 | 81.5% | 66.5% | 49.7% | 33.8% | 20.9% | 11.9% | 6.2% |
| Drew Rasmussen | NYY | 5.1 | 75.3% | 58.2% | 40.7% | 25.7% | 14.7% | 7.7% | 3.7% |
| Edward Cabrera | NYM | 5.0 | 73.2% | 55.6% | 38.1% | 23.5% | 13.1% | 6.7% | 3.1% |
| Noah Syndergaard | WSH | 4.9 | 71.9% | 54.0% | 36.5% | 22.2% | 12.2% | 6.1% | 2.8% |
| Dustin May | SD | 4.8 | 70.9% | 52.7% | 35.2% | 21.2% | 11.5% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| Daniel Lynch | DET | 4.8 | 70.9% | 52.7% | 35.2% | 21.2% | 11.5% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| German Marquez | ARI | 4.8 | 70.6% | 52.4% | 34.9% | 20.9% | 11.3% | 5.6% | 2.5% |
| Roansy Contreras | STL | 4.6 | 66.9% | 48.1% | 30.9% | 17.8% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Dane Dunning | TOR | 4.5 | 65.9% | 47.0% | 29.9% | 17.0% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Drew Smyly | SF | 4.4 | 63.5% | 44.3% | 27.5% | 15.3% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Ross Stripling | TEX | 4.4 | 63.5% | 44.3% | 27.5% | 15.3% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Miles Mikolas | PIT | 4.4 | 63.4% | 44.1% | 27.3% | 15.1% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Mike Clevinger | LAD | 4.4 | 63.2% | 43.9% | 27.2% | 15.0% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Patrick Corbin | PHI | 4.3 | 62.1% | 42.8% | 26.2% | 14.3% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| James Kaprielian | CHW | 4.2 | 60.8% | 41.4% | 25.0% | 13.5% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Jason Alexander | CIN | 4.2 | 59.7% | 40.2% | 24.0% | 12.8% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Austin Voth | BOS | 4.1 | 58.2% | 38.7% | 22.7% | 11.9% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Cal Quantrill | MIN | 4.0 | 55.9% | 36.3% | 20.9% | 10.7% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Dylan Bundy | CLE | 3.9 | 54.1% | 34.6% | 19.5% | 9.8% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Zach Davies | COL | 3.9 | 54.1% | 34.6% | 19.5% | 9.8% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Brayan Bello | BAL | 3.7 | 49.5% | 30.3% | 16.3% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Michael Lorenzen | HOU | 3.0 | 35.5% | 18.6% | 8.5% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Joey Wentz | KC | 2.6 | 26.4% | 12.3% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Daily Batter Home Run Projections
You can view all MLB game and prop odds at MLB odds.
Notes: The "Split Adv?" column refers to whether a batter is starting the game against a pitcher of the opposite handedness. "Home Run PF" refers to home run park factor for the batter's handedness; data from FanGraphs. "xHR Odds" indicate what a player's home run odds should be given the home run probability; this helps seek value.
| Batter | Team | Split Adv? |
HR PF |
Opp SP |
HR Prob% |
xHR Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.D. Davis | SF | Yes | 103 | Drew Smyly | 26.2% | +280 |
| Rhys Hoskins | PHI | Yes | 110 | Patrick Corbin | 25.4% | +295 |
| Hunter Renfroe | MIL | Yes | 103 | Nick Lodolo | 25.3% | +295 |
| Evan Longoria | SF | Yes | 103 | Drew Smyly | 24.8% | +300 |
| Austin Riley | ATL | Yes | 99 | Robbie Ray | 24.7% | +305 |
| Yordan Alvarez | HOU | Yes | 102 | Michael Lorenzen | 24.5% | +310 |
| Rafael Devers | BOS | Yes | 110 | Austin Voth | 24.2% | +315 |
| Anthony Santander | BAL | Yes | 110 | Brayan Bello | 23.2% | +330 |
| Kyle Schwarber | PHI | No | 106 | Patrick Corbin | 23.1% | +335 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | KC | Yes | 92 | Joey Wentz | 22.6% | +345 |
| Luke Voit | WSH | No | 110 | Noah Syndergaard | 21.8% | +360 |
| Nolan Arenado | STL | No | 92 | Roansy Contreras | 21.6% | +365 |
| J.D. Martinez | BOS | No | 112 | Austin Voth | 21.5% | +365 |
| Juan Soto | SD | Yes | 95 | Dustin May | 21.4% | +365 |
| Daulton Varsho | ARI | Yes | 109 | German Marquez | 21.4% | +365 |
| Wilmer Flores | SF | Yes | 103 | Drew Smyly | 21.2% | +370 |
| Nolan Gorman | STL | Yes | 95 | Roansy Contreras | 20.9% | +375 |
| Randal Grichuk | COL | No | 108 | Zach Davies | 20.9% | +380 |
| Corey Seager | TEX | Yes | 101 | Ross Stripling | 20.8% | +380 |
| Manny Machado | SD | No | 96 | Dustin May | 20.7% | +380 |
| Keston Hiura | MIL | Yes | 103 | Nick Lodolo | 20.7% | +385 |
| William Contreras | ATL | Yes | 99 | Robbie Ray | 20.6% | +385 |
| Tyler O'Neill | STL | No | 92 | Roansy Contreras | 20.6% | +385 |
| Adley Rutschman | BAL | Yes | 110 | Brayan Bello | 20.4% | +390 |
| Christian Walker | ARI | No | 108 | German Marquez | 20.4% | +390 |
| Aaron Judge | NYY | No | 103 | Drew Rasmussen | 20.2% | +395 |
| Willy Adames | MIL | Yes | 103 | Nick Lodolo | 20.1% | +400 |
| Marcell Ozuna | ATL | Yes | 99 | Robbie Ray | 20.1% | +400 |
| Max Muncy | LAD | Yes | 95 | Mike Clevinger | 19.9% | +400 |
| J.T. Realmuto | PHI | Yes | 110 | Patrick Corbin | 19.8% | +405 |
| Nick Pratto | KC | No | 92 | Joey Wentz | 19.6% | +410 |
| Carlos Correa | MIN | No | 98 | Cal Quantrill | 19.5% | +415 |
| Tyrone Taylor | MIL | Yes | 103 | Nick Lodolo | 19.5% | +415 |
| Bryce Harper | PHI | No | 106 | Patrick Corbin | 19.4% | +415 |
| Seth Brown | OAK | Yes | 92 | Lucas Giolito | 18.9% | +430 |
| Jose Abreu | CHW | No | 94 | James Kaprielian | 18.9% | +430 |
| Jake Cave | MIN | Yes | 99 | Cal Quantrill | 18.9% | +430 |
| Joey Bart | SF | Yes | 103 | Drew Smyly | 18.9% | +430 |
| Jose Altuve | HOU | No | 101 | Michael Lorenzen | 18.8% | +430 |
| C.J. Cron | COL | No | 108 | Zach Davies | 18.6% | +440 |
| Cedric Mullins | BAL | Yes | 110 | Brayan Bello | 18.5% | +440 |
| Trevor Story | BOS | No | 112 | Austin Voth | 18.5% | +440 |
| Ryan Mountcastle | BAL | No | 112 | Brayan Bello | 18.5% | +440 |
| Travis d'Arnaud | ATL | Yes | 99 | Robbie Ray | 18.3% | +445 |
| Pete Alonso | NYM | No | 90 | Edward Cabrera | 18.3% | +445 |
| Franmil Reyes | CHC | Yes | 103 | Carlos Rodon | 18.2% | +450 |
| Thairo Estrada | SF | Yes | 103 | Drew Smyly | 18.2% | +450 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | STL | No | 92 | Roansy Contreras | 18.0% | +455 |
| Adolis Garcia | TEX | No | 95 | Ross Stripling | 17.9% | +455 |
| Gavin Sheets | CHW | Yes | 92 | James Kaprielian | 17.8% | +460 |
| Joey Meneses | WSH | No | 110 | Noah Syndergaard | 17.6% | +470 |
| Mookie Betts | LAD | No | 96 | Mike Clevinger | 17.5% | +470 |
| Will Smith | LAD | No | 96 | Mike Clevinger | 17.5% | +470 |
| Matt Olson | ATL | No | 96 | Robbie Ray | 17.5% | +470 |
| George Springer | TOR | No | 95 | Dane Dunning | 17.4% | +475 |
| Jake Fraley | CIN | Yes | 101 | Jason Alexander | 17.4% | +475 |
| Jonathan India | CIN | No | 103 | Jason Alexander | 17.3% | +480 |
| Dermis Garcia | OAK | No | 94 | Lucas Giolito | 17.2% | +480 |
| Bryan Reynolds | PIT | Yes | 95 | Miles Mikolas | 17.1% | +485 |
| Mike Toglia | COL | Yes | 109 | Zach Davies | 17.1% | +485 |
| Trea Turner | LAD | No | 96 | Mike Clevinger | 17.0% | +490 |
| Kyle Tucker | HOU | Yes | 102 | Michael Lorenzen | 16.9% | +495 |
| Salvador Perez | KC | Yes | 92 | Joey Wentz | 16.7% | +500 |
| Jose Miranda | MIN | No | 98 | Cal Quantrill | 16.6% | +500 |
| Joey Gallo | LAD | Yes | 95 | Mike Clevinger | 16.5% | +505 |
| Martin Maldonado | HOU | No | 101 | Michael Lorenzen | 16.4% | +510 |
| Ji-Man Choi | TB | Yes | 109 | Frankie Montas | 16.4% | +510 |
| Justin Turner | LAD | No | 96 | Mike Clevinger | 16.4% | +510 |
| Luis Urias | MIL | Yes | 103 | Nick Lodolo | 16.2% | +515 |
| Marcus Semien | TEX | No | 95 | Ross Stripling | 16.2% | +515 |
| Matt Chapman | TOR | No | 95 | Dane Dunning | 16.2% | +515 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | TOR | No | 95 | Dane Dunning | 16.2% | +515 |
| Sean Murphy | OAK | No | 94 | Lucas Giolito | 16.1% | +520 |
| Eric Haase | DET | Yes | 92 | Daniel Lynch | 16.1% | +520 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | NYY | No | 103 | Drew Rasmussen | 16.0% | +525 |
| Randy Arozarena | TB | No | 103 | Frankie Montas | 16.0% | +525 |
| Jose Ramirez | CLE | Yes | 99 | Dylan Bundy | 15.8% | +530 |
| Austin Hays | BAL | No | 112 | Brayan Bello | 15.8% | +535 |
| Ryan McMahon | COL | Yes | 109 | Zach Davies | 15.7% | +535 |
| Shohei Ohtani | LAA | Yes | 102 | Lance McCullers | 15.6% | +545 |
| Brandon Nimmo | NYM | Yes | 92 | Edward Cabrera | 15.5% | +545 |
| Dan Vogelbach | NYM | Yes | 92 | Edward Cabrera | 15.5% | +545 |
| Andrew Vaughn | CHW | No | 94 | James Kaprielian | 15.5% | +545 |
| Rodolfo Castro | PIT | Yes | 95 | Miles Mikolas | 15.3% | +555 |
| Jack Suwinski | PIT | Yes | 95 | Miles Mikolas | 15.3% | +555 |
| Andres Gimenez | CLE | Yes | 99 | Dylan Bundy | 15.2% | +560 |
| Dansby Swanson | ATL | Yes | 99 | Robbie Ray | 15.0% | +565 |
| Brandon Crawford | SF | No | 96 | Drew Smyly | 14.9% | +570 |
| Michael Brosseau | MIL | Yes | 103 | Nick Lodolo | 14.8% | +575 |
| Nelson Velazquez | CHC | Yes | 103 | Carlos Rodon | 14.8% | +575 |
| Jake Lamb | SEA | Yes | 96 | Charlie Morton | 14.8% | +575 |
| Jonah Heim | TEX | Yes | 101 | Ross Stripling | 14.8% | +575 |
| Gleyber Torres | NYY | No | 103 | Drew Rasmussen | 14.7% | +580 |
| Mike Trout | LAA | No | 101 | Lance McCullers | 14.5% | +590 |
| Xander Bogaerts | BOS | No | 112 | Austin Voth | 14.3% | +600 |
| Enrique Hernandez | BOS | No | 112 | Austin Voth | 14.3% | +600 |
| Eugenio Suarez | SEA | No | 99 | Charlie Morton | 14.2% | +600 |
| TJ Friedl | CIN | Yes | 101 | Jason Alexander | 14.1% | +610 |
| Spencer Steer | CIN | No | 103 | Jason Alexander | 14.0% | +610 |
| Cody Bellinger | LAD | Yes | 95 | Mike Clevinger | 14.0% | +615 |
| Trent Grisham | SD | Yes | 95 | Dustin May | 14.0% | +615 |
| Lars Nootbaar | STL | Yes | 95 | Roansy Contreras | 14.0% | +615 |
| MJ Melendez | KC | No | 92 | Joey Wentz | 13.9% | +620 |
| Josh Naylor | CLE | Yes | 99 | Dylan Bundy | 13.8% | +620 |
| Taylor Ward | LAA | No | 101 | Lance McCullers | 13.8% | +625 |
| Elvis Andrus | CHW | No | 94 | James Kaprielian | 13.6% | +635 |
| Mitch Haniger | SEA | No | 99 | Charlie Morton | 13.6% | +635 |
| Ty France | SEA | No | 99 | Charlie Morton | 13.6% | +635 |
| Julio Rodriguez | SEA | No | 99 | Charlie Morton | 13.6% | +635 |
| Corbin Carroll | ARI | Yes | 109 | German Marquez | 13.5% | +640 |
| Cal Raleigh | SEA | Yes | 96 | Charlie Morton | 13.5% | +640 |
| Nathaniel Lowe | TEX | Yes | 101 | Ross Stripling | 13.4% | +645 |
| Freddie Freeman | LAD | Yes | 95 | Mike Clevinger | 13.4% | +650 |
| Michael Harris II | ATL | No | 96 | Robbie Ray | 13.3% | +650 |
| Trey Mancini | HOU | No | 101 | Michael Lorenzen | 13.1% | +660 |
| Bo Bichette | TOR | No | 95 | Dane Dunning | 13.1% | +665 |
| Ramon Laureano | OAK | No | 94 | Lucas Giolito | 13.0% | +670 |
| Shea Langeliers | OAK | No | 94 | Lucas Giolito | 13.0% | +670 |
| Ronald Acuna | ATL | Yes | 99 | Robbie Ray | 12.9% | +675 |
| Gary Sanchez | MIN | No | 98 | Cal Quantrill | 12.8% | +680 |
| Jake McCarthy | ARI | Yes | 109 | German Marquez | 12.7% | +685 |
| Oneil Cruz | PIT | Yes | 95 | Miles Mikolas | 12.7% | +685 |
| Kole Calhoun | TEX | Yes | 101 | Ross Stripling | 12.7% | +690 |
| Kyle Farmer | CIN | No | 103 | Jason Alexander | 12.6% | +690 |
| Lewis Brinson | SF | Yes | 103 | Drew Smyly | 12.6% | +695 |
| Ian Happ | CHC | Yes | 103 | Carlos Rodon | 12.6% | +695 |
| Seiya Suzuki | CHC | Yes | 103 | Carlos Rodon | 12.6% | +695 |
| Starling Marte | NYM | No | 90 | Edward Cabrera | 12.5% | +700 |
| Alec Bohm | PHI | Yes | 110 | Patrick Corbin | 12.5% | +700 |
| Jeremy Pena | HOU | No | 101 | Michael Lorenzen | 12.4% | +705 |
| Elias Diaz | COL | No | 108 | Zach Davies | 12.4% | +705 |
| Michael Chavis | PIT | No | 92 | Miles Mikolas | 12.1% | +725 |
| Alex Verdugo | BOS | Yes | 110 | Austin Voth | 12.1% | +730 |
| Tommy Pham | BOS | No | 112 | Austin Voth | 12.0% | +735 |
| Ramon Urias | BAL | No | 112 | Brayan Bello | 12.0% | +735 |
| Andrew McCutchen | MIL | Yes | 103 | Nick Lodolo | 11.8% | +745 |
| Nick Gordon | MIN | Yes | 99 | Cal Quantrill | 11.7% | +750 |
| Alex Bregman | HOU | No | 101 | Michael Lorenzen | 11.7% | +755 |
| Chas McCormick | HOU | No | 101 | Michael Lorenzen | 11.7% | +755 |
| Eduardo Escobar | NYM | Yes | 92 | Edward Cabrera | 11.7% | +755 |
| Jurickson Profar | SD | Yes | 95 | Dustin May | 11.3% | +785 |
| Tommy Edman | STL | Yes | 95 | Roansy Contreras | 11.3% | +785 |
| Rougned Odor | BAL | Yes | 110 | Brayan Bello | 11.2% | +790 |
| Avisail Garcia | MIA | Yes | 90 | David Peterson | 11.2% | +790 |
| Jorge Mateo | BAL | No | 112 | Brayan Bello | 11.2% | +795 |
| Aristides Aquino | CIN | No | 103 | Jason Alexander | 11.2% | +795 |
| Ketel Marte | ARI | Yes | 109 | German Marquez | 11.2% | +795 |
| Alek Thomas | ARI | Yes | 109 | German Marquez | 11.2% | +795 |
| Kerry Carpenter | DET | No | 92 | Daniel Lynch | 11.1% | +800 |
| Alejandro Kirk | TOR | No | 95 | Dane Dunning | 11.1% | +800 |
| Lane Thomas | WSH | No | 110 | Noah Syndergaard | 11.0% | +805 |
| Eloy Jimenez | CHW | No | 94 | James Kaprielian | 11.0% | +810 |
| Romy Gonzalez | CHW | No | 94 | James Kaprielian | 11.0% | +810 |
| Hunter Dozier | KC | Yes | 92 | Joey Wentz | 10.7% | +835 |
| Corey Dickerson | STL | Yes | 95 | Roansy Contreras | 10.6% | +840 |
| Ha-Seong Kim | SD | No | 96 | Dustin May | 10.5% | +855 |
| Jose Trevino | NYY | No | 103 | Drew Rasmussen | 10.4% | +860 |
| Charlie Blackmon | COL | Yes | 109 | Zach Davies | 10.3% | +865 |
| Brandon Lowe | TB | Yes | 109 | Frankie Montas | 10.3% | +865 |
| Yoan Moncada | CHW | Yes | 92 | James Kaprielian | 10.3% | +870 |
| Luis Robert | CHW | No | 94 | James Kaprielian | 10.3% | +870 |
| Steven Kwan | CLE | Yes | 99 | Dylan Bundy | 10.3% | +875 |
| Yulieski Gurriel | HOU | No | 101 | Michael Lorenzen | 10.2% | +880 |
| Jo Adell | LAA | No | 101 | Lance McCullers | 10.2% | +880 |
| Victor Caratini | MIL | Yes | 103 | Nick Lodolo | 10.2% | +880 |
| P.J. Higgins | CHC | Yes | 103 | Carlos Rodon | 10.2% | +880 |
| Javier Baez | DET | Yes | 92 | Daniel Lynch | 10.0% | +900 |
| Ryan Kreidler | DET | Yes | 92 | Daniel Lynch | 10.0% | +900 |
| Matt Vierling | PHI | Yes | 110 | Patrick Corbin | 10.0% | +905 |
| Vaughn Grissom | ATL | Yes | 99 | Robbie Ray | 9.9% | +915 |
| Luis Gonzalez | SF | Yes | 103 | Drew Smyly | 9.4% | +965 |
| David Villar | SF | Yes | 103 | Drew Smyly | 9.4% | +965 |
| Riley Greene | DET | No | 92 | Daniel Lynch | 9.4% | +965 |
| Keibert Ruiz | WSH | Yes | 106 | Noah Syndergaard | 9.3% | +980 |
| Michael Taylor | KC | Yes | 92 | Joey Wentz | 9.2% | +985 |
| Myles Straw | CLE | No | 98 | Dylan Bundy | 9.2% | +985 |
| Jake Cronenworth | SD | Yes | 95 | Dustin May | 9.1% | +995 |
| Luis Rengifo | LAA | Yes | 102 | Lance McCullers | 8.9% | +1020 |
| Francisco Lindor | NYM | Yes | 92 | Edward Cabrera | 8.9% | +1025 |
| Max Stassi | LAA | No | 101 | Lance McCullers | 8.7% | +1050 |
| Luis Garcia | WSH | No | 110 | Noah Syndergaard | 8.5% | +1070 |
| Mark Canha | NYM | No | 90 | Edward Cabrera | 8.5% | +1070 |
| Willi Castro | DET | Yes | 92 | Daniel Lynch | 8.5% | +1080 |
| Gio Urshela | MIN | No | 98 | Cal Quantrill | 8.5% | +1085 |
| Amed Rosario | CLE | No | 98 | Dylan Bundy | 8.5% | +1085 |
| Josh Bell | SD | Yes | 95 | Dustin May | 8.4% | +1090 |
| Carson Kelly | ARI | No | 108 | German Marquez | 8.4% | +1090 |
| Alan Trejo | COL | No | 108 | Zach Davies | 8.4% | +1090 |
| Jerar Encarnacion | MIA | Yes | 90 | David Peterson | 8.3% | +1105 |
| Vimael Machin | OAK | Yes | 92 | Lucas Giolito | 8.1% | +1125 |
| Cavan Biggio | TOR | Yes | 101 | Dane Dunning | 8.1% | +1140 |
| Christian Bethancourt | TB | No | 103 | Frankie Montas | 8.0% | +1145 |
| Yandy Diaz | TB | No | 103 | Frankie Montas | 8.0% | +1145 |
| Brandon Marsh | PHI | No | 106 | Patrick Corbin | 7.9% | +1170 |
| Oscar Gonzalez | CLE | No | 98 | Dylan Bundy | 7.7% | +1205 |
| Nick Madrigal | CHC | Yes | 103 | Carlos Rodon | 7.7% | +1205 |
| Nelson Cruz | WSH | No | 110 | Noah Syndergaard | 7.7% | +1205 |
| Brendan Donovan | STL | Yes | 95 | Roansy Contreras | 7.6% | +1210 |
| Brian Anderson | MIA | Yes | 90 | David Peterson | 7.5% | +1225 |
| Harold Castro | DET | No | 92 | Daniel Lynch | 7.5% | +1225 |
| Wil Myers | SD | No | 96 | Dustin May | 7.5% | +1230 |
| Christian Yelich | MIL | No | 101 | Nick Lodolo | 7.5% | +1230 |
| Yadier Molina | STL | No | 92 | Roansy Contreras | 7.2% | +1280 |
| Jean Segura | PHI | Yes | 110 | Patrick Corbin | 7.2% | +1290 |
| Edmundo Sosa | PHI | Yes | 110 | Patrick Corbin | 7.2% | +1290 |
