MLB Betting: Home Run, Strikeout, and Run Total Projections for Tuesday 8/2/22
Just how likely is a homer from a certain player tonight? How many runs will Team X score? And can the pitcher you're eying go over his strikeout prop?
To find out, I leveraged numberFire's batter and pitcher projections plus team implied totals to try to answer those questions.
Here are today's results to help us navigate daily fantasy baseball and MLB betting opportunities at MLB odds.
(Please note that these projections are subject to change throughout the day and as lineups are confirmed. To see the most current projections, check out our projections pages.)
Team Run Total Projections
| Team | Opp SP | O/U | Implied Total |
5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | Matt Manning | 9.0 | 5.08 | 39.8% | 25.0% | 14.2% | 7.3% | 3.5% |
| ATL | Nick Nelson | 8.5 | 5.04 | 39.1% | 24.4% | 13.8% | 7.1% | 3.3% |
| NYM | Cory Abbott | 8.0 | 4.99 | 38.2% | 23.6% | 13.2% | 6.7% | 3.1% |
| MIL | Bryse Wilson | 8.0 | 4.81 | 35.1% | 21.1% | 11.4% | 5.6% | 2.5% |
| STL | Keegan Thompson | 8.5 | 4.75 | 34.0% | 20.2% | 10.9% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| NYY | Logan Gilbert | 8.5 | 4.71 | 33.3% | 19.7% | 10.5% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| CHW | Brad Keller | 8.5 | 4.68 | 32.8% | 19.3% | 10.2% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| HOU | Kutter Crawford | 8.0 | 4.58 | 31.1% | 17.9% | 9.3% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| SD | Ryan Feltner | 7.5 | 4.49 | 29.5% | 16.8% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| TEX | Jordan Lyles | 8.5 | 4.45 | 28.9% | 16.3% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| LAD | Alex Wood | 8.0 | 4.28 | 26.0% | 14.2% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| BAL | Spencer Howard | 8.5 | 4.05 | 22.3% | 11.6% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| CLE | Zac Gallen | 7.5 | 3.96 | 20.9% | 10.7% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| DET | Chris Archer | 9.0 | 3.92 | 20.2% | 10.3% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| LAA | Cole Irvin | 7.5 | 3.89 | 19.8% | 10.0% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| KC | Lucas Giolito | 8.5 | 3.82 | 18.7% | 9.3% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| SEA | Jameson Taillon | 8.5 | 3.79 | 18.3% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| CHC | Adam Wainwright | 8.5 | 3.75 | 17.7% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| SF | Tyler Anderson | 8.0 | 3.72 | 17.3% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| MIA | Graham Ashcraft | 7.0 | 3.69 | 16.8% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| TOR | Drew Rasmussen | 7.0 | 3.69 | 16.8% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| OAK | Noah Syndergaard | 7.5 | 3.61 | 15.7% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| ARI | Triston McKenzie | 7.5 | 3.54 | 14.8% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| PHI | Spencer Strider | 8.5 | 3.46 | 13.7% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| BOS | Cristian Javier | 8.0 | 3.42 | 13.2% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| CIN | Braxton Garrett | 7.0 | 3.31 | 11.8% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| TB | Kevin Gausman | 7.0 | 3.31 | 11.8% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| PIT | Corbin Burnes | 8.0 | 3.19 | 10.4% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| COL | Yu Darvish | 7.5 | 3.01 | 8.5% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| WSH | Jacob deGrom | 8.0 | 3.01 | 8.5% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Pitcher Strikeout Projections
| Pitcher | Opp | K Proj |
3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corbin Burnes | PIT | 7.8 | 95.2% | 88.8% | 79.0% | 66.2% | 51.9% | 38.0% | 25.9% |
| Yu Darvish | COL | 7.5 | 94.0% | 86.6% | 75.6% | 61.9% | 47.2% | 33.5% | 22.1% |
| Cristian Javier | BOS | 7.2 | 92.8% | 84.4% | 72.3% | 57.8% | 43.0% | 29.6% | 18.9% |
| Kevin Gausman | TB | 6.6 | 89.5% | 78.7% | 64.5% | 48.9% | 34.2% | 22.0% | 13.1% |
| Lucas Giolito | KC | 6.4 | 88.3% | 76.8% | 62.1% | 46.2% | 31.7% | 20.0% | 11.7% |
| Spencer Strider | PHI | 6.2 | 86.7% | 74.3% | 58.9% | 42.9% | 28.7% | 17.6% | 10.0% |
| Triston McKenzie | ARI | 6.0 | 84.6% | 71.1% | 54.9% | 38.9% | 25.2% | 15.0% | 8.2% |
| Braxton Garrett | CIN | 5.4 | 78.3% | 62.2% | 44.9% | 29.4% | 17.5% | 9.5% | 4.7% |
| Tyler Anderson | SF | 5.3 | 77.8% | 61.5% | 44.2% | 28.7% | 17.0% | 9.2% | 4.5% |
| Zac Gallen | CLE | 5.3 | 76.8% | 60.2% | 42.8% | 27.5% | 16.1% | 8.6% | 4.2% |
| Alex Wood | LAD | 5.1 | 75.1% | 58.0% | 40.5% | 25.6% | 14.6% | 7.6% | 3.6% |
| Logan Gilbert | NYY | 5.0 | 73.9% | 56.5% | 38.9% | 24.2% | 13.7% | 7.0% | 3.3% |
| Jameson Taillon | SEA | 5.0 | 73.6% | 56.1% | 38.6% | 23.9% | 13.4% | 6.9% | 3.2% |
| Noah Syndergaard | OAK | 4.9 | 72.6% | 54.9% | 37.4% | 22.9% | 12.7% | 6.4% | 3.0% |
| Jordan Lyles | TEX | 4.8 | 71.2% | 53.1% | 35.6% | 21.5% | 11.7% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
| Adam Wainwright | CHC | 4.8 | 69.8% | 51.5% | 34.0% | 20.2% | 10.9% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| Cole Irvin | LAA | 4.5 | 65.4% | 46.4% | 29.4% | 16.6% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Drew Rasmussen | TOR | 4.4 | 64.7% | 45.6% | 28.7% | 16.1% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Jacob deGrom | WSH | 4.4 | 63.2% | 43.9% | 27.2% | 15.0% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Kutter Crawford | HOU | 4.3 | 63.0% | 43.7% | 27.0% | 14.9% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Keegan Thompson | STL | 4.3 | 62.6% | 43.3% | 26.7% | 14.7% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Reiss Knehr | COL | 4.3 | 61.6% | 42.2% | 25.7% | 13.9% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Brad Keller | CHW | 4.2 | 60.8% | 41.4% | 25.0% | 13.5% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Cory Abbott | NYM | 4.2 | 59.7% | 40.2% | 24.0% | 12.8% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Graham Ashcraft | MIA | 3.8 | 52.0% | 32.6% | 18.0% | 8.8% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Chris Archer | DET | 3.6 | 48.9% | 29.7% | 15.9% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Matt Manning | MIN | 3.6 | 47.6% | 28.6% | 15.0% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Bryse Wilson | MIL | 3.5 | 45.9% | 27.1% | 14.0% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Feltner | SD | 3.4 | 44.8% | 26.1% | 13.3% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Jose Urena | SD | 3.2 | 40.4% | 22.5% | 10.9% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Spencer Howard | BAL | 3.2 | 39.3% | 21.6% | 10.3% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Nick Nelson | ATL | 2.4 | 21.1% | 9.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Daily Batter Home Run Projections
You can view all MLB game and prop odds at MLB odds.
Notes: The "Split Adv?" column refers to whether a batter is starting the game against a pitcher of the opposite handedness. "Home Run PF" refers to home run park factor for the batter's handedness; data from FanGraphs. "xHR Odds" indicate what a player's home run odds should be given the home run probability; this helps seek value.
| Batter | Team | Split Adv? |
HR PF |
Opp SP |
HR Prob% |
xHR Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | NYY | No | 103 | Logan Gilbert | 31.9% | +215 |
| Pete Alonso | NYM | No | 106 | Cory Abbott | 29.1% | +245 |
| Yordan Alvarez | HOU | Yes | 102 | Kutter Crawford | 26.6% | +275 |
| Eugenio Suarez | SEA | No | 103 | Jameson Taillon | 24.7% | +305 |
| Christian Walker | ARI | No | 99 | Triston McKenzie | 24.5% | +310 |
| Corey Seager | TEX | Yes | 101 | Jordan Lyles | 22.4% | +345 |
| Jose Altuve | HOU | No | 101 | Kutter Crawford | 22.0% | +355 |
| Hunter Renfroe | MIL | No | 92 | Bryse Wilson | 22.0% | +355 |
| Matt Olson | ATL | Yes | 100 | Nick Nelson | 21.7% | +360 |
| Byron Buxton | MIN | No | 98 | Matt Manning | 21.6% | +365 |
| Willy Adames | MIL | No | 92 | Bryse Wilson | 21.6% | +365 |
| Anthony Rizzo | NYY | Yes | 109 | Logan Gilbert | 21.4% | +365 |
| Jeremy Pena | HOU | No | 101 | Kutter Crawford | 21.0% | +375 |
| Jonah Heim | TEX | Yes | 101 | Jordan Lyles | 20.8% | +380 |
| Luke Voit | SD | No | 96 | Ryan Feltner | 20.7% | +380 |
| Nolan Arenado | STL | No | 91 | Keegan Thompson | 20.4% | +390 |
| Trea Turner | LAD | Yes | 90 | Alex Wood | 20.3% | +395 |
| Juan Soto | WSH | Yes | 104 | Jacob deGrom | 20.2% | +395 |
| Adolis Garcia | TEX | No | 95 | Jordan Lyles | 20.1% | +400 |
| Jorge Polanco | MIN | Yes | 99 | Matt Manning | 20.0% | +400 |
| Rhys Hoskins | PHI | No | 97 | Spencer Strider | 19.9% | +405 |
| Brandon Nimmo | NYM | Yes | 104 | Cory Abbott | 19.6% | +410 |
| Salvador Perez | KC | No | 106 | Lucas Giolito | 19.5% | +415 |
| Jose Ramirez | CLE | Yes | 103 | Zac Gallen | 19.4% | +415 |
| Ketel Marte | ARI | Yes | 103 | Triston McKenzie | 19.4% | +415 |
| Manny Machado | SD | No | 96 | Ryan Feltner | 19.2% | +420 |
| Shohei Ohtani | LAA | No | 108 | Cole Irvin | 19.1% | +420 |
| Marcus Semien | TEX | No | 95 | Jordan Lyles | 19.0% | +425 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | STL | No | 91 | Keegan Thompson | 18.9% | +430 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | TOR | No | 94 | Drew Rasmussen | 18.9% | +430 |
| Taylor Ward | LAA | Yes | 103 | Cole Irvin | 18.9% | +430 |
| Josh Naylor | CLE | Yes | 103 | Zac Gallen | 18.8% | +430 |
| Brandon Drury | CIN | Yes | 90 | Braxton Garrett | 18.7% | +435 |
| Jared Walsh | LAA | No | 108 | Cole Irvin | 18.6% | +435 |
| Gleyber Torres | NYY | No | 103 | Logan Gilbert | 18.5% | +440 |
| Seth Brown | OAK | Yes | 108 | Noah Syndergaard | 18.3% | +445 |
| C.J. Cron | COL | No | 96 | Yu Darvish | 18.1% | +455 |
| Ryan Mountcastle | BAL | No | 95 | Spencer Howard | 17.9% | +455 |
| Kyle Schwarber | PHI | Yes | 100 | Spencer Strider | 17.8% | +460 |
| Dan Vogelbach | NYM | Yes | 104 | Cory Abbott | 17.8% | +465 |
| Kyle Tucker | HOU | Yes | 102 | Kutter Crawford | 17.5% | +470 |
| Austin Hays | BAL | No | 95 | Spencer Howard | 17.4% | +475 |
| Rougned Odor | BAL | Yes | 101 | Spencer Howard | 17.4% | +475 |
| Darick Hall | PHI | Yes | 100 | Spencer Strider | 17.2% | +480 |
| Cal Raleigh | SEA | Yes | 109 | Jameson Taillon | 17.1% | +485 |
| Tyrone Taylor | MIL | No | 92 | Bryse Wilson | 17.0% | +490 |
| Cedric Mullins | BAL | Yes | 101 | Spencer Howard | 16.7% | +500 |
| Nathaniel Lowe | TEX | Yes | 101 | Jordan Lyles | 16.7% | +500 |
| Adley Rutschman | BAL | Yes | 101 | Spencer Howard | 16.7% | +500 |
| Ji-Man Choi | TB | Yes | 92 | Kevin Gausman | 16.7% | +500 |
| Carlos Correa | MIN | No | 98 | Matt Manning | 16.6% | +500 |
| Christian Yelich | MIL | Yes | 95 | Bryse Wilson | 16.5% | +505 |
| Rowdy Tellez | MIL | Yes | 95 | Bryse Wilson | 16.5% | +505 |
| C.J. Cron | COL | No | 96 | Reiss Knehr | 16.4% | +510 |
| Daulton Varsho | ARI | Yes | 103 | Triston McKenzie | 16.3% | +510 |
| Bryan Reynolds | PIT | Yes | 95 | Corbin Burnes | 15.9% | +530 |
| Jeimer Candelario | DET | Yes | 99 | Chris Archer | 15.8% | +530 |
| Luke Voit | SD | No | 96 | Jose Urena | 15.8% | +535 |
| Max Stassi | LAA | Yes | 103 | Cole Irvin | 15.5% | +545 |
| Javier Baez | DET | No | 98 | Chris Archer | 15.4% | +550 |
| Jose Miranda | MIN | No | 98 | Matt Manning | 15.4% | +550 |
| Josh Donaldson | NYY | No | 103 | Logan Gilbert | 15.4% | +550 |
| Ramon Laureano | OAK | No | 103 | Noah Syndergaard | 15.4% | +550 |
| Luis Urias | MIL | No | 92 | Bryse Wilson | 15.2% | +555 |
| Manny Machado | SD | No | 96 | Jose Urena | 15.1% | +560 |
| Jorge Alfaro | SD | No | 96 | Jose Urena | 15.1% | +560 |
| Alex Bregman | HOU | No | 101 | Kutter Crawford | 15.1% | +560 |
| Josh Bell | WSH | Yes | 104 | Jacob deGrom | 15.1% | +560 |
| Andrew Vaughn | CHW | No | 106 | Brad Keller | 15.1% | +565 |
| Alek Thomas | ARI | Yes | 103 | Triston McKenzie | 15.0% | +565 |
| Jarred Kelenic | SEA | Yes | 109 | Jameson Taillon | 15.0% | +565 |
| George Springer | TOR | No | 94 | Drew Rasmussen | 14.9% | +570 |
| Andrew Velazquez | LAA | Yes | 103 | Cole Irvin | 14.8% | +575 |
| Jonathan India | CIN | Yes | 90 | Braxton Garrett | 14.5% | +590 |
| Willson Contreras | CHC | No | 91 | Adam Wainwright | 14.5% | +590 |
| MJ Melendez | KC | Yes | 111 | Lucas Giolito | 14.5% | +590 |
| Joey Votto | CIN | No | 92 | Braxton Garrett | 14.4% | +595 |
| Eloy Jimenez | CHW | No | 106 | Brad Keller | 14.4% | +595 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | TOR | No | 94 | Drew Rasmussen | 14.3% | +600 |
| Ty France | SEA | No | 103 | Jameson Taillon | 14.0% | +610 |
| Charlie Blackmon | COL | Yes | 95 | Reiss Knehr | 14.0% | +615 |
| Charlie Blackmon | COL | Yes | 95 | Yu Darvish | 14.0% | +615 |
| Marcell Ozuna | ATL | No | 97 | Nick Nelson | 14.0% | +615 |
| Wilmer Flores | SF | Yes | 90 | Tyler Anderson | 13.9% | +620 |
| Mookie Betts | LAD | Yes | 90 | Alex Wood | 13.9% | +620 |
| Patrick Wisdom | CHC | No | 91 | Adam Wainwright | 13.9% | +620 |
| Harold Castro | DET | Yes | 99 | Chris Archer | 13.8% | +620 |
| J.D. Martinez | BOS | No | 101 | Cristian Javier | 13.8% | +625 |
| Brandon Lowe | TB | Yes | 92 | Kevin Gausman | 13.7% | +630 |
| Nolan Gorman | STL | Yes | 97 | Keegan Thompson | 13.6% | +635 |
| Jake McCarthy | ARI | Yes | 103 | Triston McKenzie | 13.6% | +635 |
| Carlos Santana | SEA | Yes | 109 | Jameson Taillon | 13.5% | +640 |
| Gary Sanchez | MIN | No | 98 | Matt Manning | 13.5% | +645 |
| Trent Grisham | SD | Yes | 95 | Ryan Feltner | 13.4% | +650 |
| Ramon Urias | BAL | No | 95 | Spencer Howard | 13.1% | +665 |
| Randy Arozarena | TB | No | 94 | Kevin Gausman | 13.0% | +670 |
| Francisco Lindor | NYM | Yes | 104 | Cory Abbott | 13.0% | +670 |
| Mark Canha | NYM | No | 106 | Cory Abbott | 12.9% | +675 |
| Kolten Wong | MIL | Yes | 95 | Bryse Wilson | 12.7% | +685 |
| Trent Grisham | SD | Yes | 95 | Jose Urena | 12.7% | +685 |
| Jake Cronenworth | SD | Yes | 95 | Jose Urena | 12.7% | +685 |
| Elias Diaz | COL | No | 96 | Reiss Knehr | 12.6% | +695 |
| Elias Diaz | COL | No | 96 | Yu Darvish | 12.6% | +695 |
| Brendan Rodgers | COL | No | 96 | Reiss Knehr | 12.6% | +695 |
| Christian Vazquez | HOU | No | 101 | Kutter Crawford | 12.4% | +705 |
| Josh Rojas | ARI | Yes | 103 | Triston McKenzie | 12.1% | +725 |
| Gio Urshela | MIN | No | 98 | Matt Manning | 12.1% | +725 |
| Ronald Acuna | ATL | No | 97 | Nick Nelson | 12.0% | +735 |
| Anthony Santander | BAL | Yes | 101 | Spencer Howard | 11.9% | +735 |
| Joey Bart | SF | Yes | 90 | Tyler Anderson | 11.9% | +740 |
| Brendan Rodgers | COL | No | 96 | Yu Darvish | 11.9% | +740 |
| Ezequiel Duran | TEX | No | 95 | Jordan Lyles | 11.8% | +750 |
| Tucker Barnhart | DET | Yes | 99 | Chris Archer | 11.7% | +750 |
| Bobby Dalbec | BOS | No | 101 | Cristian Javier | 11.7% | +755 |
| Matt Chapman | TOR | No | 94 | Drew Rasmussen | 11.7% | +755 |
| Andrew McCutchen | MIL | No | 92 | Bryse Wilson | 11.5% | +775 |
| Nelson Cruz | WSH | No | 106 | Jacob deGrom | 11.4% | +775 |
| Jose Abreu | CHW | No | 106 | Brad Keller | 11.4% | +775 |
| Maikel Franco | WSH | No | 106 | Jacob deGrom | 11.4% | +775 |
| Jake Cronenworth | SD | Yes | 95 | Ryan Feltner | 11.3% | +785 |
| Bryan De La Cruz | MIA | No | 90 | Graham Ashcraft | 11.2% | +790 |
| Mike Papierski | CIN | Yes | 90 | Braxton Garrett | 11.2% | +790 |
| Sean Murphy | OAK | No | 103 | Noah Syndergaard | 11.2% | +795 |
| Kyle Lewis | SEA | No | 103 | Jameson Taillon | 11.2% | +795 |
| Jesse Winker | SEA | Yes | 109 | Jameson Taillon | 11.2% | +795 |
| Freddie Freeman | LAD | No | 87 | Alex Wood | 11.2% | +795 |
| Vimael Machin | OAK | Yes | 108 | Noah Syndergaard | 11.1% | +805 |
| Danny Jansen | TOR | No | 94 | Drew Rasmussen | 11.0% | +810 |
| Chas McCormick | HOU | No | 101 | Kutter Crawford | 11.0% | +810 |
| Starling Marte | NYM | No | 106 | Cory Abbott | 10.7% | +835 |
| Andres Gimenez | CLE | Yes | 103 | Zac Gallen | 10.6% | +840 |
| Nolan Jones | CLE | Yes | 103 | Zac Gallen | 10.6% | +840 |
| Jurickson Profar | SD | Yes | 95 | Ryan Feltner | 10.6% | +840 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | SF | No | 87 | Tyler Anderson | 10.6% | +845 |
| Nick Pratto | KC | Yes | 111 | Lucas Giolito | 10.5% | +850 |
| Kole Calhoun | TEX | Yes | 101 | Jordan Lyles | 10.4% | +860 |
| Stephen Piscotty | OAK | No | 103 | Noah Syndergaard | 10.4% | +860 |
| Alejandro Kirk | TOR | No | 94 | Drew Rasmussen | 10.3% | +870 |
| Riley Greene | DET | Yes | 99 | Chris Archer | 10.3% | +875 |
| Christian Arroyo | BOS | No | 101 | Cristian Javier | 10.2% | +880 |
| Tommy Edman | STL | Yes | 97 | Keegan Thompson | 10.1% | +895 |
| Carson Kelly | ARI | No | 99 | Triston McKenzie | 10.0% | +895 |
| Jesus Aguilar | MIA | No | 90 | Graham Ashcraft | 9.9% | +910 |
| A.J. Pollock | CHW | No | 106 | Brad Keller | 9.9% | +910 |
| Austin Riley | ATL | No | 97 | Nick Nelson | 9.9% | +915 |
| Randal Grichuk | COL | No | 96 | Reiss Knehr | 9.8% | +925 |
| Connor Joe | COL | No | 96 | Yu Darvish | 9.8% | +925 |
| Jorge Mateo | BAL | No | 95 | Spencer Howard | 9.7% | +935 |
| Jose Trevino | NYY | No | 103 | Logan Gilbert | 9.6% | +940 |
| Bo Bichette | TOR | No | 94 | Drew Rasmussen | 9.6% | +945 |
| Jake Lamb | LAD | No | 87 | Alex Wood | 9.5% | +955 |
| Cody Bellinger | LAD | No | 87 | Alex Wood | 9.5% | +955 |
| Jason Vosler | SF | No | 87 | Tyler Anderson | 9.5% | +955 |
| Alex Kirilloff | MIN | Yes | 99 | Matt Manning | 9.5% | +955 |
| Tommy Pham | BOS | No | 101 | Cristian Javier | 9.5% | +955 |
| Tony Kemp | OAK | Yes | 108 | Noah Syndergaard | 9.4% | +960 |
| Luis Rengifo | LAA | Yes | 103 | Cole Irvin | 9.4% | +965 |
| Jo Adell | LAA | Yes | 103 | Cole Irvin | 9.4% | +965 |
| Corey Dickerson | STL | Yes | 97 | Keegan Thompson | 9.3% | +975 |
| Ryan McMahon | COL | Yes | 95 | Reiss Knehr | 9.1% | +995 |
| Oneil Cruz | PIT | Yes | 95 | Corbin Burnes | 9.1% | +995 |
| Nick Castellanos | PHI | No | 97 | Spencer Strider | 9.1% | +995 |
| Yadiel Hernandez | WSH | Yes | 104 | Jacob deGrom | 9.1% | +1000 |
| Will Smith | LAD | Yes | 90 | Alex Wood | 9.1% | +1005 |
| Randal Grichuk | COL | No | 96 | Yu Darvish | 9.0% | +1005 |
| Jarren Duran | BOS | Yes | 102 | Cristian Javier | 8.9% | +1020 |
| David Peralta | TB | Yes | 92 | Kevin Gausman | 8.9% | +1025 |
| DJ LeMahieu | NYY | No | 103 | Logan Gilbert | 8.8% | +1030 |
| Bryson Stott | PHI | Yes | 100 | Spencer Strider | 8.8% | +1040 |
| Yoan Moncada | CHW | Yes | 111 | Brad Keller | 8.8% | +1040 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes | PIT | No | 92 | Corbin Burnes | 8.7% | +1050 |
| Seiya Suzuki | CHC | No | 91 | Adam Wainwright | 8.6% | +1060 |
| Christopher Morel | CHC | No | 91 | Adam Wainwright | 8.6% | +1060 |
| Ian Happ | CHC | Yes | 97 | Adam Wainwright | 8.6% | +1070 |
| Zach McKinstry | CHC | Yes | 97 | Adam Wainwright | 8.6% | +1070 |
| Jonathan Schoop | DET | No | 98 | Chris Archer | 8.5% | +1085 |
| Jurickson Profar | SD | Yes | 95 | Jose Urena | 8.4% | +1090 |
| Omar Narvaez | MIL | Yes | 95 | Bryse Wilson | 8.4% | +1090 |
| J.T. Realmuto | PHI | No | 97 | Spencer Strider | 8.4% | +1095 |
| Dansby Swanson | ATL | No | 97 | Nick Nelson | 8.4% | +1095 |
| Luis Guillorme | NYM | Yes | 104 | Cory Abbott | 8.3% | +1110 |
| Jeff McNeil | NYM | Yes | 104 | Cory Abbott | 8.3% | +1110 |
| Josh Harrison | CHW | No | 106 | Brad Keller | 8.2% | +1115 |
| Tim Anderson | CHW | No | 106 | Brad Keller | 8.2% | +1115 |
| Hunter Dozier | KC | No | 106 | Lucas Giolito | 8.2% | +1115 |
| Leody Taveras | TEX | Yes | 101 | Jordan Lyles | 8.1% | +1140 |
| Michael Harris II | ATL | Yes | 100 | Nick Nelson | 8.0% | +1150 |
| Nico Hoerner | CHC | No | 91 | Adam Wainwright | 7.9% | +1165 |
| Yasmani Grandal | CHW | Yes | 111 | Brad Keller | 7.9% | +1165 |
| Myles Straw | CLE | No | 99 | Zac Gallen | 7.7% | +1190 |
| Eric Hosmer | SD | Yes | 95 | Ryan Feltner | 7.6% | +1210 |
| Ryan McMahon | COL | Yes | 95 | Yu Darvish | 7.6% | +1210 |
| Travis d'Arnaud | ATL | No | 97 | Nick Nelson | 7.6% | +1215 |
| Orlando Arcia | ATL | No | 97 | Nick Nelson | 7.6% | +1215 |
| Albert Almora Jr. | CIN | Yes | 90 | Braxton Garrett | 7.5% | +1225 |
| Luis Gonzalez | SF | Yes | 90 | Tyler Anderson | 7.5% | +1225 |
| Tyler Nevin | BAL | No | 95 | Spencer Howard | 7.5% | +1240 |
| Santiago Espinal | TOR | No | 94 | Drew Rasmussen | 7.4% | +1255 |
| Franchy Cordero | BOS | Yes | 102 | Cristian Javier | 7.3% | +1270 |
| Brandon Marsh | LAA | No | 108 | Cole Irvin | 7.3% | +1275 |
| Tyler O'Neill | STL | No | 91 | Keegan Thompson | 7.2% | +1295 |
| Frank Schwindel | CHC | No | 91 | Adam Wainwright | 7.2% | +1295 |
| Eddie Rosario | ATL | Yes | 100 | Nick Nelson | 7.2% | +1295 |
| Akil Baddoo | DET | Yes | 99 | Chris Archer | 7.1% | +1310 |
| Kyle Isbel | KC | Yes | 111 | Lucas Giolito | 7.0% | +1335 |
| Rafael Ortega | CHC | Yes | 97 | Adam Wainwright | 7.0% | +1335 |
| Dylan Carlson | STL | Yes | 97 | Keegan Thompson | 7.0% | +1335 |
| Brendan Donovan | STL | Yes | 97 | Keegan Thompson | 7.0% | +1335 |
| Aaron Hicks | NYY | Yes | 109 | Logan Gilbert | 6.9% | +1355 |
| Ben Gamel | PIT | Yes | 95 | Corbin Burnes | 6.8% | +1365 |
| David Fletcher | LAA | Yes | 103 | Cole Irvin | 6.8% | +1375 |
| Donovan Solano | CIN | Yes | 90 | Braxton Garrett | 6.8% | +1375 |
| Ha-Seong Kim | SD | No | 96 | Jose Urena | 6.8% | +1380 |
| Ha-Seong Kim | SD | No | 96 | Ryan Feltner | 6.8% | +1380 |
| Lewin Diaz | MIA | Yes | 92 | Graham Ashcraft | 6.6% | +1405 |
| Cesar Hernandez | WSH | Yes | 104 | Jacob deGrom | 6.6% | +1420 |
| Seth Beer | ARI | Yes | 103 | Triston McKenzie | 6.5% | +1435 |
| Kevin Newman | PIT | No | 92 | Corbin Burnes | 6.5% | +1440 |
| Elvis Andrus | OAK | No | 103 | Noah Syndergaard | 6.4% | +1470 |
| Miguel Rojas | MIA | No | 90 | Graham Ashcraft | 6.4% | +1470 |
| Victor Reyes | DET | Yes | 99 | Chris Archer | 6.3% | +1495 |
| Xander Bogaerts | BOS | No | 101 | Cristian Javier | 6.3% | +1500 |
| Yulieski Gurriel | HOU | No | 101 | Kutter Crawford | 6.3% | +1500 |
| Jake Meyers | HOU | No | 101 | Kutter Crawford | 6.3% | +1500 |
