MLB Betting: Home Run, Strikeout, and Run Total Projections for Friday 7/15/22
Just how likely is a homer from a certain player tonight? How many runs will Team X score? And can the pitcher you're eying go over his strikeout prop?
To find out, I leveraged numberFire's batter and pitcher projections plus team implied totals to try to answer those questions.
Here are today's results to help us navigate daily fantasy baseball and MLB betting opportunities at MLB odds.
(Please note that these projections are subject to change throughout the day and as lineups are confirmed. To see the most current projections, check out our projections pages.)
Team Run Total Projections
| Team | Opp SP | O/U | Implied Total |
5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | Jose Quintana | 11.0 | 5.91 | 54.0% | 37.9% | 24.4% | 14.4% | 7.8% |
| TOR | Zack Greinke | 8.5 | 5.41 | 45.6% | 30.0% | 18.0% | 9.8% | 4.9% |
| ATL | Patrick Corbin | 9.5 | 5.24 | 42.6% | 27.4% | 16.0% | 8.5% | 4.1% |
| PIT | German Marquez | 11.0 | 5.09 | 40.0% | 25.1% | 14.3% | 7.4% | 3.5% |
| CLE | Drew Hutchison | 8.5 | 4.84 | 35.6% | 21.5% | 11.7% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
| MIN | Michael Kopech | 9.0 | 4.79 | 34.7% | 20.8% | 11.2% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| NYY | Nathan Eovaldi | 8.5 | 4.69 | 33.0% | 19.4% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| NYM | Marcus Stroman | 9.0 | 4.67 | 32.6% | 19.1% | 10.1% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| STL | Hunter Greene | 8.5 | 4.63 | 31.9% | 18.6% | 9.8% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| HOU | Cole Irvin | 8.0 | 4.58 | 31.1% | 17.9% | 9.3% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| LAD | Patrick Sandoval | 8.0 | 4.58 | 31.1% | 17.9% | 9.3% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| SEA | Taylor Hearn | 8.0 | 4.46 | 29.0% | 16.4% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| CHC | Taijuan Walker | 9.0 | 4.33 | 26.8% | 14.8% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| SD | Madison Bumgarner | 7.5 | 4.27 | 25.8% | 14.1% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| WSH | Ian Anderson | 9.5 | 4.26 | 25.7% | 13.9% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| CHW | Devin Smeltzer | 9.0 | 4.21 | 24.8% | 13.4% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| CIN | Andre Pallante | 8.5 | 3.87 | 19.5% | 9.8% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| MIA | Kyle Gibson | 7.0 | 3.86 | 19.3% | 9.7% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| TB | Tyler Wells | 7.5 | 3.82 | 18.7% | 9.3% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| BOS | Jordan Montgomery | 8.5 | 3.81 | 18.6% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| BAL | Luis Patino | 7.5 | 3.68 | 16.7% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| DET | Zach Plesac | 8.5 | 3.66 | 16.4% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| MIL | Alex Wood | 7.0 | 3.63 | 16.0% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| TEX | Robbie Ray | 8.0 | 3.54 | 14.8% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| LAA | Clayton Kershaw | 8.0 | 3.42 | 13.2% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| OAK | Jake Odorizzi | 8.0 | 3.42 | 13.2% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| SF | Brandon Woodruff | 7.0 | 3.37 | 12.6% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| ARI | Yu Darvish | 7.5 | 3.23 | 10.9% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| PHI | Sandy Alcantara | 7.0 | 3.14 | 9.9% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| KC | Alek Manoah | 8.5 | 3.09 | 9.3% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Pitcher Strikeout Projections
| Pitcher | Opp | K Proj |
3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Bush | SEA | 7.3 | 93.3% | 85.3% | 73.6% | 59.4% | 44.6% | 31.1% | 20.1% |
| Yu Darvish | ARI | 6.4 | 88.2% | 76.6% | 61.8% | 45.9% | 31.4% | 19.8% | 11.5% |
| Alek Manoah | KC | 6.4 | 87.7% | 75.9% | 60.9% | 45.0% | 30.5% | 19.1% | 11.0% |
| Sandy Alcantara | PHI | 6.3 | 87.6% | 75.7% | 60.6% | 44.7% | 30.3% | 18.9% | 10.9% |
| Robbie Ray | TEX | 6.3 | 87.1% | 74.9% | 59.7% | 43.7% | 29.4% | 18.2% | 10.4% |
| Clayton Kershaw | LAA | 6.0 | 84.8% | 71.4% | 55.3% | 39.2% | 25.5% | 15.2% | 8.3% |
| Patrick Sandoval | LAD | 5.9 | 84.2% | 70.5% | 54.3% | 38.2% | 24.6% | 14.6% | 7.9% |
| Jordan Montgomery | BOS | 5.7 | 82.3% | 67.7% | 51.0% | 35.0% | 22.0% | 12.6% | 6.7% |
| Brandon Woodruff | SF | 5.5 | 80.1% | 64.6% | 47.5% | 31.7% | 19.3% | 10.7% | 5.5% |
| Zach Plesac | DET | 5.2 | 76.6% | 59.9% | 42.4% | 27.2% | 15.8% | 8.4% | 4.1% |
| Hunter Greene | STL | 5.1 | 75.4% | 58.4% | 40.9% | 25.9% | 14.8% | 7.8% | 3.7% |
| Kyle Gibson | MIA | 4.9 | 72.1% | 54.2% | 36.6% | 22.3% | 12.3% | 6.2% | 2.8% |
| German Marquez | PIT | 4.9 | 71.5% | 53.5% | 35.9% | 21.8% | 11.9% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| Alex Wood | MIL | 4.8 | 71.0% | 52.9% | 35.4% | 21.3% | 11.6% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
| Nathan Eovaldi | NYY | 4.8 | 70.9% | 52.7% | 35.2% | 21.2% | 11.5% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| Taijuan Walker | CHC | 4.8 | 70.3% | 52.0% | 34.6% | 20.6% | 11.1% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Ian Anderson | WSH | 4.8 | 70.1% | 51.8% | 34.4% | 20.5% | 11.0% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
| Patrick Corbin | ATL | 4.6 | 66.9% | 48.1% | 30.9% | 17.8% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Michael Kopech | MIN | 4.4 | 64.1% | 44.9% | 28.0% | 15.6% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Marcus Stroman | NYM | 4.4 | 63.7% | 44.5% | 27.7% | 15.4% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Jake Odorizzi | OAK | 4.3 | 61.7% | 42.4% | 25.8% | 14.1% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Madison Bumgarner | SD | 4.2 | 60.1% | 40.6% | 24.4% | 13.0% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Jose Quintana | COL | 4.1 | 59.2% | 39.7% | 23.6% | 12.5% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Devin Smeltzer | CHW | 4.1 | 57.6% | 38.1% | 22.3% | 11.6% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Andre Pallante | CIN | 4.0 | 56.8% | 37.3% | 21.6% | 11.2% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Cole Irvin | HOU | 4.0 | 55.7% | 36.1% | 20.7% | 10.6% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Luis Patino | BAL | 3.8 | 52.9% | 33.4% | 18.6% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Tyler Wells | TB | 3.6 | 48.5% | 29.4% | 15.6% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Zack Greinke | TOR | 3.4 | 44.6% | 26.0% | 13.2% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Drew Hutchison | CLE | 3.2 | 38.9% | 21.2% | 10.1% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
Daily Batter Home Run Projections
You can view all MLB game and prop odds at MLB odds.
Notes: The "Split Adv?" column refers to whether a batter is starting the game against a pitcher of the opposite handedness. "Home Run PF" refers to home run park factor for the batter's handedness; data from FanGraphs. "xHR Odds" indicate what a player's home run odds should be given the home run probability; this helps seek value.
| Batter | Team | Split Adv? |
HR PF |
Opp Pitcher |
HR Prob% |
xHR Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | NYY | No | 103 | Nathan Eovaldi | 29.0% | +245 |
| Jose Altuve | HOU | Yes | 101 | Cole Irvin | 24.5% | +310 |
| Adolis Garcia | TEX | Yes | 95 | Robbie Ray | 23.1% | +335 |
| Ryan Mountcastle | BAL | No | 94 | Luis Patino | 22.3% | +345 |
| Dansby Swanson | ATL | Yes | 106 | Patrick Corbin | 22.2% | +350 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | NYY | No | 103 | Nathan Eovaldi | 21.8% | +360 |
| Pete Alonso | NYM | No | 103 | Marcus Stroman | 21.8% | +360 |
| Tyler Naquin | CIN | Yes | 97 | Andre Pallante | 21.3% | +370 |
| Mookie Betts | LAD | Yes | 103 | Patrick Sandoval | 21.2% | +370 |
| Trea Turner | LAD | Yes | 103 | Patrick Sandoval | 21.2% | +370 |
| Ronald Acuna | ATL | Yes | 106 | Patrick Corbin | 21.1% | +375 |
| Manny Machado | SD | Yes | 96 | Madison Bumgarner | 20.7% | +385 |
| Corey Seager | TEX | No | 101 | Robbie Ray | 20.6% | +385 |
| Travis d'Arnaud | ATL | Yes | 106 | Patrick Corbin | 20.5% | +390 |
| Aledmys Diaz | HOU | Yes | 101 | Cole Irvin | 20.4% | +390 |
| Cal Raleigh | SEA | Yes | 101 | Matt Bush | 20.3% | +395 |
| Patrick Wisdom | CHC | No | 103 | Taijuan Walker | 20.2% | +395 |
| Josh Naylor | CLE | Yes | 103 | Drew Hutchison | 20.0% | +400 |
| George Springer | TOR | No | 101 | Zack Greinke | 19.9% | +400 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | TOR | No | 101 | Zack Greinke | 19.9% | +400 |
| Isaac Paredes | TB | No | 94 | Tyler Wells | 19.9% | +400 |
| Austin Riley | ATL | Yes | 106 | Patrick Corbin | 19.9% | +405 |
| C.J. Cron | COL | Yes | 108 | Jose Quintana | 19.5% | +410 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | STL | No | 91 | Hunter Greene | 19.5% | +415 |
| Juan Yepez | STL | No | 91 | Hunter Greene | 19.5% | +415 |
| Jose Ramirez | CLE | Yes | 103 | Drew Hutchison | 19.4% | +415 |
| Ramon Laureano | OAK | No | 101 | Jake Odorizzi | 19.4% | +415 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | TOR | No | 101 | Zack Greinke | 19.4% | +415 |
| Marcell Ozuna | ATL | Yes | 106 | Patrick Corbin | 19.3% | +420 |
| Anthony Rizzo | NYY | Yes | 109 | Nathan Eovaldi | 19.0% | +425 |
| Jack Suwinski | PIT | Yes | 109 | German Marquez | 19.0% | +425 |
| Josh Bell | WSH | Yes | 104 | Ian Anderson | 19.0% | +425 |
| Danny Jansen | TOR | No | 101 | Zack Greinke | 18.8% | +430 |
| Luis Urias | MIL | Yes | 90 | Alex Wood | 18.7% | +435 |
| Eugenio Suarez | SEA | No | 95 | Matt Bush | 18.5% | +440 |
| Anthony Santander | BAL | Yes | 92 | Luis Patino | 18.4% | +445 |
| Trevor Story | BOS | Yes | 103 | Jordan Montgomery | 18.2% | +450 |
| Charlie Blackmon | COL | No | 109 | Jose Quintana | 18.2% | +450 |
| Willy Adames | MIL | Yes | 90 | Alex Wood | 18.1% | +450 |
| Alex Bregman | HOU | Yes | 101 | Cole Irvin | 17.9% | +455 |
| Byron Buxton | MIN | No | 98 | Michael Kopech | 17.8% | +460 |
| Wilmer Flores | SF | No | 90 | Brandon Woodruff | 17.7% | +465 |
| Luis Robert | CHW | Yes | 98 | Devin Smeltzer | 17.5% | +470 |
| Julio Rodriguez | SEA | No | 95 | Matt Bush | 17.4% | +475 |
| Willson Contreras | CHC | No | 103 | Taijuan Walker | 17.3% | +480 |
| Francisco Lindor | NYM | Yes | 96 | Marcus Stroman | 17.3% | +480 |
| Dan Vogelbach | PIT | Yes | 109 | German Marquez | 17.1% | +485 |
| Joc Pederson | SF | Yes | 87 | Brandon Woodruff | 17.1% | +485 |
| Sean Murphy | OAK | No | 101 | Jake Odorizzi | 17.0% | +485 |
| Mike Trout | LAA | Yes | 103 | Clayton Kershaw | 16.9% | +490 |
| Adam Duvall | ATL | Yes | 106 | Patrick Corbin | 16.6% | +500 |
| Bo Bichette | TOR | No | 101 | Zack Greinke | 16.4% | +510 |
| Christian Walker | ARI | No | 96 | Yu Darvish | 16.4% | +510 |
| Jose Abreu | CHW | Yes | 98 | Devin Smeltzer | 16.3% | +515 |
| Nolan Arenado | STL | No | 91 | Hunter Greene | 16.2% | +515 |
| Seth Brown | OAK | Yes | 102 | Jake Odorizzi | 16.2% | +515 |
| Javier Baez | DET | No | 99 | Zach Plesac | 16.2% | +520 |
| Randal Grichuk | COL | Yes | 108 | Jose Quintana | 16.1% | +520 |
| Josh Donaldson | NYY | No | 103 | Nathan Eovaldi | 16.0% | +525 |
| Gio Urshela | MIN | No | 98 | Michael Kopech | 16.0% | +525 |
| Luke Voit | SD | Yes | 96 | Madison Bumgarner | 16.0% | +525 |
| Jeremy Pena | HOU | Yes | 101 | Cole Irvin | 16.0% | +525 |
| Matt Olson | ATL | No | 104 | Patrick Corbin | 15.9% | +525 |
| Jonah Heim | TEX | Yes | 95 | Robbie Ray | 15.9% | +530 |
| Matt Chapman | TOR | No | 101 | Zack Greinke | 15.8% | +535 |
| Hunter Renfroe | MIL | Yes | 90 | Alex Wood | 15.8% | +535 |
| Kyle Tucker | HOU | No | 102 | Cole Irvin | 15.7% | +535 |
| J.D. Martinez | BOS | Yes | 103 | Jordan Montgomery | 15.5% | +545 |
| Max Stassi | LAA | Yes | 103 | Clayton Kershaw | 15.5% | +545 |
| Rhys Hoskins | PHI | No | 90 | Sandy Alcantara | 15.5% | +545 |
| Kyle Schwarber | PHI | Yes | 92 | Sandy Alcantara | 15.5% | +545 |
| Starling Marte | NYM | No | 103 | Marcus Stroman | 15.4% | +550 |
| Rafael Devers | BOS | No | 109 | Jordan Montgomery | 15.4% | +550 |
| Ketel Marte | ARI | Yes | 95 | Yu Darvish | 15.3% | +555 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | KC | No | 101 | Alek Manoah | 15.1% | +560 |
| Juan Soto | WSH | Yes | 104 | Ian Anderson | 15.1% | +560 |
| Andrew Vaughn | CHW | Yes | 98 | Devin Smeltzer | 14.9% | +570 |
| David Peralta | ARI | Yes | 95 | Yu Darvish | 14.7% | +580 |
| Chas McCormick | HOU | Yes | 101 | Cole Irvin | 14.6% | +585 |
| Jorge Polanco | MIN | Yes | 99 | Michael Kopech | 14.5% | +590 |
| Tommy Pham | CIN | No | 91 | Andre Pallante | 14.5% | +590 |
| Brandon Drury | CIN | No | 91 | Andre Pallante | 14.5% | +590 |
| Jesus Aguilar | MIA | No | 90 | Kyle Gibson | 14.4% | +595 |
| Didi Gregorius | PHI | Yes | 92 | Sandy Alcantara | 14.3% | +600 |
| Austin Hays | BAL | No | 94 | Luis Patino | 14.3% | +600 |
| Ramon Urias | BAL | No | 94 | Luis Patino | 14.3% | +600 |
| A.J. Pollock | CHW | Yes | 98 | Devin Smeltzer | 14.2% | +605 |
| Eduardo Escobar | NYM | Yes | 96 | Marcus Stroman | 14.2% | +605 |
| Brandon Nimmo | NYM | Yes | 96 | Marcus Stroman | 14.2% | +605 |
| Taylor Ward | LAA | Yes | 103 | Clayton Kershaw | 14.1% | +610 |
| Brendan Rodgers | COL | Yes | 108 | Jose Quintana | 13.9% | +620 |
| Lourdes Gurriel | TOR | No | 101 | Zack Greinke | 13.8% | +625 |
| Nelson Cruz | WSH | No | 106 | Ian Anderson | 13.7% | +630 |
| Michael Harris II | ATL | No | 104 | Patrick Corbin | 13.6% | +635 |
| Tucker Barnhart | DET | Yes | 103 | Zach Plesac | 13.6% | +635 |
| Oneil Cruz | PIT | Yes | 109 | German Marquez | 13.5% | +640 |
| Daulton Varsho | ARI | Yes | 95 | Yu Darvish | 13.4% | +650 |
| Jose Trevino | NYY | No | 103 | Nathan Eovaldi | 13.3% | +650 |
| Andrew McCutchen | MIL | Yes | 90 | Alex Wood | 13.3% | +655 |
| Max Kepler | MIN | Yes | 99 | Michael Kopech | 13.2% | +660 |
| Garrett Cooper | MIA | No | 90 | Kyle Gibson | 13.1% | +660 |
| Ty France | SEA | No | 95 | Matt Bush | 13.1% | +665 |
| Trey Mancini | BAL | No | 94 | Luis Patino | 13.0% | +670 |
| Dylan Carlson | STL | Yes | 97 | Hunter Greene | 12.9% | +675 |
| Franmil Reyes | CLE | No | 99 | Drew Hutchison | 12.9% | +675 |
| Andres Gimenez | CLE | Yes | 103 | Drew Hutchison | 12.9% | +675 |
| Seby Zavala | CHW | Yes | 98 | Devin Smeltzer | 12.8% | +680 |
| Shohei Ohtani | LAA | No | 108 | Clayton Kershaw | 12.8% | +680 |
| Jake Cronenworth | SD | No | 95 | Madison Bumgarner | 12.6% | +695 |
| Luis Rengifo | LAA | Yes | 103 | Clayton Kershaw | 12.6% | +695 |
| Will Smith | LAD | Yes | 103 | Patrick Sandoval | 12.6% | +695 |
| Jorge Alfaro | SD | Yes | 96 | Madison Bumgarner | 12.6% | +695 |
| Marcus Semien | TEX | Yes | 95 | Robbie Ray | 12.5% | +700 |
| Alejandro Kirk | TOR | No | 101 | Zack Greinke | 12.4% | +705 |
| Brandon Belt | SF | Yes | 87 | Brandon Woodruff | 12.4% | +705 |
| Elias Diaz | COL | Yes | 108 | Jose Quintana | 12.3% | +710 |
| Joey Votto | CIN | Yes | 97 | Andre Pallante | 12.2% | +715 |
| Harold Castro | DET | Yes | 103 | Zach Plesac | 12.1% | +725 |
| Nathaniel Lowe | TEX | No | 101 | Robbie Ray | 12.1% | +730 |
| Tim Anderson | CHW | Yes | 98 | Devin Smeltzer | 12.1% | +730 |
| Victor Caratini | MIL | Yes | 90 | Alex Wood | 11.9% | +740 |
| DJ LeMahieu | NYY | No | 103 | Nathan Eovaldi | 11.9% | +740 |
| Mark Canha | NYM | No | 103 | Marcus Stroman | 11.9% | +740 |
| David Bote | CHC | No | 103 | Taijuan Walker | 11.9% | +740 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | SF | Yes | 87 | Brandon Woodruff | 11.8% | +750 |
| Leody Taveras | TEX | Yes | 95 | Robbie Ray | 11.8% | +750 |
| Cedric Mullins | BAL | Yes | 92 | Luis Patino | 11.7% | +755 |
| Martin Maldonado | HOU | Yes | 101 | Cole Irvin | 11.6% | +760 |
| Nolan Gorman | STL | Yes | 97 | Hunter Greene | 11.5% | +765 |
| Kole Calhoun | TEX | No | 101 | Robbie Ray | 11.5% | +770 |
| Yoan Moncada | CHW | Yes | 98 | Devin Smeltzer | 11.3% | +785 |
| Jesse Winker | SEA | Yes | 101 | Matt Bush | 11.2% | +795 |
| Seiya Suzuki | CHC | No | 103 | Taijuan Walker | 11.2% | +795 |
| Dylan Moore | SEA | No | 95 | Matt Bush | 11.1% | +800 |
| Justin Turner | LAD | Yes | 103 | Patrick Sandoval | 11.0% | +805 |
| Robert Refsnyder | BOS | Yes | 103 | Jordan Montgomery | 11.0% | +805 |
| Rougned Odor | BAL | Yes | 92 | Luis Patino | 11.0% | +810 |
| Yulieski Gurriel | HOU | Yes | 101 | Cole Irvin | 10.8% | +820 |
| Freddie Freeman | LAD | No | 108 | Patrick Sandoval | 10.8% | +825 |
| Cody Bellinger | LAD | No | 108 | Patrick Sandoval | 10.8% | +825 |
| Kyle Farmer | CIN | No | 91 | Andre Pallante | 10.7% | +835 |
| Carlos Correa | MIN | No | 98 | Michael Kopech | 10.7% | +835 |
| Lane Thomas | WSH | No | 106 | Ian Anderson | 10.7% | +835 |
| Brian Anderson | MIA | No | 90 | Kyle Gibson | 10.6% | +845 |
| Joey Bart | SF | No | 90 | Brandon Woodruff | 10.6% | +845 |
| Carlos Santana | SEA | Yes | 101 | Matt Bush | 10.4% | +860 |
| Gleyber Torres | NYY | No | 103 | Nathan Eovaldi | 10.4% | +860 |
| Ben Gamel | PIT | Yes | 109 | German Marquez | 10.3% | +865 |
| Michael Perez | PIT | Yes | 109 | German Marquez | 10.3% | +865 |
| Trayce Thompson | LAD | Yes | 103 | Patrick Sandoval | 10.2% | +880 |
| Max Muncy | LAD | No | 108 | Patrick Sandoval | 10.1% | +885 |
| Brendan Donovan | STL | Yes | 97 | Hunter Greene | 10.1% | +895 |
| Spencer Torkelson | DET | No | 99 | Zach Plesac | 10.0% | +895 |
| Ian Happ | CHC | Yes | 96 | Taijuan Walker | 10.0% | +900 |
| Yadiel Hernandez | WSH | Yes | 104 | Ian Anderson | 9.9% | +910 |
| Alek Thomas | ARI | Yes | 95 | Yu Darvish | 9.9% | +910 |
| Connor Joe | COL | Yes | 108 | Jose Quintana | 9.8% | +920 |
| Michael Brosseau | MIL | Yes | 90 | Alex Wood | 9.8% | +920 |
| Josh Harrison | CHW | Yes | 98 | Devin Smeltzer | 9.8% | +925 |
| Eloy Jimenez | CHW | Yes | 98 | Devin Smeltzer | 9.8% | +925 |
| Joey Wendle | MIA | Yes | 92 | Kyle Gibson | 9.6% | +940 |
| Randy Arozarena | TB | No | 94 | Tyler Wells | 9.6% | +945 |
| Ryan McMahon | COL | No | 109 | Jose Quintana | 9.5% | +950 |
| Sam Huff | TEX | Yes | 95 | Robbie Ray | 9.5% | +950 |
| Yoshitomo Tsutsugo | PIT | Yes | 109 | German Marquez | 9.5% | +955 |
| Alex Kirilloff | MIN | Yes | 99 | Michael Kopech | 9.5% | +955 |
| Michael Taylor | KC | No | 101 | Alek Manoah | 9.5% | +955 |
| Edward Olivares | KC | No | 101 | Alek Manoah | 9.5% | +955 |
| Jo Adell | LAA | Yes | 103 | Clayton Kershaw | 9.4% | +965 |
| Bobby Dalbec | BOS | Yes | 103 | Jordan Montgomery | 9.4% | +965 |
| Avisail Garcia | MIA | No | 90 | Kyle Gibson | 9.2% | +985 |
| Miguel Rojas | MIA | No | 90 | Kyle Gibson | 9.2% | +985 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | SF | Yes | 87 | Brandon Woodruff | 9.1% | +995 |
| Cesar Hernandez | WSH | Yes | 104 | Ian Anderson | 9.1% | +1000 |
| Jeimer Candelario | DET | Yes | 103 | Zach Plesac | 9.0% | +1010 |
| Garrett Stubbs | PHI | Yes | 92 | Sandy Alcantara | 8.9% | +1025 |
| Jesus Sanchez | MIA | Yes | 92 | Kyle Gibson | 8.9% | +1025 |
| Adley Rutschman | BAL | Yes | 92 | Luis Patino | 8.9% | +1025 |
| Jorge Mateo | BAL | No | 94 | Luis Patino | 8.9% | +1025 |
| Tomas Nido | NYM | No | 103 | Marcus Stroman | 8.8% | +1030 |
| Santiago Espinal | TOR | No | 101 | Zack Greinke | 8.7% | +1050 |
| Xander Bogaerts | BOS | Yes | 103 | Jordan Montgomery | 8.5% | +1070 |
| Carson Kelly | ARI | No | 96 | Yu Darvish | 8.3% | +1105 |
| Keibert Ruiz | WSH | Yes | 104 | Ian Anderson | 8.3% | +1110 |
| Harold Ramirez | TB | No | 94 | Tyler Wells | 8.1% | +1130 |
| J.P. Crawford | SEA | Yes | 101 | Matt Bush | 8.1% | +1140 |
| Luis Arraez | MIN | Yes | 99 | Michael Kopech | 7.9% | +1165 |
| Stephen Piscotty | OAK | No | 101 | Jake Odorizzi | 7.9% | +1165 |
| Emmanuel Rivera | KC | No | 101 | Alek Manoah | 7.9% | +1165 |
| Orlando Arcia | ATL | Yes | 106 | Patrick Corbin | 7.9% | +1170 |
| Nick Castellanos | PHI | No | 90 | Sandy Alcantara | 7.8% | +1180 |
| Brandon Crawford | SF | Yes | 87 | Brandon Woodruff | 7.7% | +1190 |
| Dominic Smith | NYM | Yes | 96 | Marcus Stroman | 7.7% | +1200 |
| Alfonso Rivas | CHC | Yes | 96 | Taijuan Walker | 7.7% | +1200 |
| Justin Upton | SEA | No | 95 | Matt Bush | 7.5% | +1240 |
| Francisco Mejia | TB | Yes | 92 | Tyler Wells | 7.4% | +1250 |
| Josh Lowe | TB | Yes | 92 | Tyler Wells | 7.4% | +1250 |
| Nico Hoerner | CHC | No | 103 | Taijuan Walker | 7.2% | +1285 |
| Ha-Seong Kim | SD | Yes | 96 | Madison Bumgarner | 7.2% | +1290 |
| Jose Azocar | SD | Yes | 96 | Madison Bumgarner | 7.2% | +1290 |
| Elvis Andrus | OAK | No | 101 | Jake Odorizzi | 7.1% | +1310 |
| Tommy Edman | STL | Yes | 97 | Hunter Greene | 7.0% | +1335 |
| Jonathan Schoop | DET | No | 99 | Zach Plesac | 7.0% | +1340 |
| Austin Hedges | CLE | No | 99 | Drew Hutchison | 7.0% | +1340 |
| Ryan Jeffers | MIN | No | 98 | Michael Kopech | 6.9% | +1350 |
| Christian Vazquez | BOS | Yes | 103 | Jordan Montgomery | 6.8% | +1375 |
| Jake Marisnick | PIT | No | 108 | German Marquez | 6.7% | +1400 |
| Jake Meyers | HOU | Yes | 101 | Cole Irvin | 6.7% | +1405 |
| Odubel Herrera | PHI | Yes | 92 | Sandy Alcantara | 6.6% | +1405 |
| Ji-Man Choi | TB | Yes | 92 | Tyler Wells | 6.6% | +1405 |
| Darick Hall | PHI | Yes | 92 | Sandy Alcantara | 6.6% | +1405 |
| Maikel Franco | WSH | No | 106 | Ian Anderson | 6.5% | +1430 |
| Gavin Lux | LAD | No | 108 | Patrick Sandoval | 6.5% | +1435 |
| Tyler Stephenson | CIN | No | 91 | Andre Pallante | 6.4% | +1455 |
| Jonathan India | CIN | No | 91 | Andre Pallante | 6.4% | +1455 |
| Christopher Morel | CHC | No | 103 | Taijuan Walker | 6.4% | +1470 |
| Esteury Ruiz | SD | Yes | 96 | Madison Bumgarner | 6.3% | +1475 |
| Nick Gordon | MIN | Yes | 99 | Michael Kopech | 6.3% | +1495 |
| Nick Allen | OAK | No | 101 | Jake Odorizzi | 6.3% | +1500 |
