MLB Betting: Home Run, Strikeout, and Run Total Projections for Wednesday 7/13/22
Just how likely is a homer from a certain player tonight? How many runs will Team X score? And can the pitcher you're eying go over his strikeout prop?
To find out, I leveraged numberFire's batter and pitcher projections plus team implied totals to try to answer those questions.
Here are today's results to help us navigate daily fantasy baseball and MLB betting opportunities at MLB odds.
(Please note that these projections are subject to change throughout the day and as lineups are confirmed. To see the most current projections, check out our projections pages.)
Team Run Total Projections
| Team | Opp SP | O/U | Implied Total |
5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SD | Chad Kuhl | 10.5 | 5.82 | 52.5% | 36.5% | 23.2% | 13.5% | 7.2% |
| NYY | Mike Minor | 8.5 | 5.34 | 44.3% | 28.9% | 17.1% | 9.3% | 4.6% |
| WSH | Tommy Milone | 9.5 | 4.87 | 36.1% | 21.9% | 12.0% | 6.0% | 2.7% |
| COL | Joe Musgrove | 10.5 | 4.68 | 32.8% | 19.3% | 10.2% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| SEA | Erick Fedde | 9.5 | 4.63 | 31.9% | 18.6% | 9.8% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| LAD | Adam Wainwright | 8.5 | 4.59 | 31.3% | 18.1% | 9.4% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| WSH | Chris Flexen | 9.0 | 4.54 | 30.4% | 17.4% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| SEA | Josiah Gray | 9.0 | 4.46 | 29.0% | 16.4% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| MIN | Aaron Ashby | 8.5 | 4.41 | 28.2% | 15.8% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| ATL | Chris Bassitt | 8.0 | 4.33 | 26.8% | 14.8% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| CHW | Aaron Civale | 8.5 | 4.29 | 26.2% | 14.3% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| CHC | Spenser Watkins | 8.0 | 4.26 | 25.7% | 13.9% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| CLE | Lucas Giolito | 8.5 | 4.21 | 24.8% | 13.4% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| SF | Zac Gallen | 8.0 | 4.15 | 23.9% | 12.7% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| KC | Tarik Skubal | 8.0 | 4.13 | 23.6% | 12.5% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| MIL | Joe Ryan | 8.5 | 4.09 | 22.9% | 12.0% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| TOR | Zack Wheeler | 8.0 | 4.02 | 21.8% | 11.3% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| TEX | Paul Blackburn | 7.0 | 3.99 | 21.3% | 11.0% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| PHI | Ross Stripling | 8.0 | 3.98 | 21.2% | 10.9% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| TB | Josh Winckowski | 7.0 | 3.95 | 20.7% | 10.6% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| MIA | JT Brubaker | 7.0 | 3.91 | 20.1% | 10.2% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| STL | Tony Gonsolin | 8.5 | 3.91 | 20.1% | 10.2% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| DET | Brady Singer | 8.0 | 3.87 | 19.5% | 9.8% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| ARI | Sam Long | 8.0 | 3.85 | 19.2% | 9.6% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| BAL | Justin Steele | 8.0 | 3.74 | 17.6% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| NYM | Charlie Morton | 8.0 | 3.67 | 16.6% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| LAA | Cristian Javier | 7.0 | 3.63 | 16.0% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| HOU | Shohei Ohtani | 7.0 | 3.37 | 12.6% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| CIN | Luis Severino | 8.5 | 3.16 | 10.1% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| PIT | Pablo Lopez | 7.0 | 3.09 | 9.3% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| BOS | Shane McClanahan | 7.0 | 3.05 | 8.9% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| OAK | Jon Gray | 7.0 | 3.01 | 8.5% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Pitcher Strikeout Projections
| Pitcher | Opp | K Proj |
3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane McClanahan | BOS | 7.4 | 93.8% | 86.3% | 75.1% | 61.2% | 46.5% | 32.8% | 21.6% |
| Shohei Ohtani | HOU | 7.2 | 92.7% | 84.2% | 72.0% | 57.5% | 42.7% | 29.3% | 18.7% |
| Cristian Javier | LAA | 7.0 | 91.6% | 82.3% | 69.4% | 54.4% | 39.5% | 26.6% | 16.5% |
| Jon Gray | OAK | 6.7 | 90.2% | 80.0% | 66.2% | 50.8% | 36.0% | 23.5% | 14.2% |
| Zack Wheeler | TOR | 6.5 | 88.6% | 77.3% | 62.7% | 46.9% | 32.3% | 20.5% | 12.0% |
| Charlie Morton | NYM | 6.5 | 88.5% | 77.1% | 62.4% | 46.6% | 32.0% | 20.3% | 11.8% |
| Luis Severino | CIN | 6.4 | 88.1% | 76.5% | 61.6% | 45.8% | 31.3% | 19.7% | 11.4% |
| Justin Steele | BAL | 6.4 | 88.0% | 76.4% | 61.5% | 45.6% | 31.1% | 19.6% | 11.3% |
| Joe Musgrove | COL | 6.4 | 87.8% | 76.0% | 61.0% | 45.1% | 30.7% | 19.2% | 11.1% |
| Lucas Giolito | CLE | 6.2 | 86.7% | 74.3% | 58.9% | 42.9% | 28.7% | 17.6% | 10.0% |
| Pablo Lopez | PIT | 6.0 | 84.6% | 71.1% | 54.9% | 38.9% | 25.2% | 15.0% | 8.2% |
| Chris Bassitt | ATL | 5.9 | 84.3% | 70.7% | 54.5% | 38.4% | 24.8% | 14.7% | 8.0% |
| Adam Wainwright | LAD | 5.3 | 78.0% | 61.7% | 44.3% | 28.9% | 17.1% | 9.3% | 4.6% |
| Tarik Skubal | KC | 5.3 | 77.1% | 60.6% | 43.1% | 27.8% | 16.3% | 8.7% | 4.3% |
| Ross Stripling | PHI | 5.2 | 76.7% | 60.1% | 42.6% | 27.4% | 16.0% | 8.5% | 4.1% |
| JT Brubaker | MIA | 5.2 | 75.8% | 58.9% | 41.4% | 26.3% | 15.2% | 8.0% | 3.8% |
| Brady Singer | DET | 5.1 | 75.1% | 58.0% | 40.5% | 25.6% | 14.6% | 7.6% | 3.6% |
| Tony Gonsolin | STL | 5.0 | 73.1% | 55.4% | 37.9% | 23.3% | 13.0% | 6.6% | 3.1% |
| Joe Ryan | MIL | 4.9 | 71.8% | 53.8% | 36.3% | 22.0% | 12.1% | 6.1% | 2.8% |
| Aaron Ashby | MIN | 4.8 | 71.0% | 52.9% | 35.4% | 21.3% | 11.6% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
| Zac Gallen | SF | 4.8 | 70.7% | 52.6% | 35.1% | 21.1% | 11.4% | 5.6% | 2.5% |
| Aaron Civale | CHW | 4.7 | 68.4% | 49.8% | 32.5% | 19.0% | 10.0% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Connor Seabold | TB | 4.5 | 65.4% | 46.4% | 29.4% | 16.6% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Mike Minor | NYY | 4.3 | 62.6% | 43.3% | 26.7% | 14.7% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Chad Kuhl | SD | 4.2 | 60.1% | 40.6% | 24.4% | 13.0% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Paul Blackburn | TEX | 4.0 | 57.0% | 37.5% | 21.8% | 11.3% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Erick Fedde | SEA | 4.0 | 55.7% | 36.1% | 20.7% | 10.6% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Sam Long | ARI | 3.5 | 45.3% | 26.5% | 13.6% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Spenser Watkins | CHC | 2.9 | 32.1% | 16.2% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Tommy Milone | WSH | 2.0 | 13.9% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Daily Batter Home Run Projections
You can view all MLB game and prop odds at MLB odds.
Notes: The "Split Adv?" column refers to whether a batter is starting the game against a pitcher of the opposite handedness. "Home Run PF" refers to home run park factor for the batter's handedness; data from FanGraphs. "xHR Odds" indicate what a player's home run odds should be given the home run probability; this helps seek value.
| Batter | Team | Split Adv? |
HR PF |
Opp Pitcher |
HR Prob% |
xHR Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez | CLE | Yes | 103 | Lucas Giolito | 24.6% | +305 |
| Aaron Judge | NYY | Yes | 103 | Mike Minor | 24.4% | +310 |
| Luke Voit | SD | No | 108 | Chad Kuhl | 24.1% | +315 |
| Willy Adames | MIL | No | 98 | Joe Ryan | 23.9% | +320 |
| Austin Riley | ATL | No | 97 | Chris Bassitt | 23.7% | +320 |
| Rhys Hoskins | PHI | No | 101 | Ross Stripling | 23.5% | +325 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | NYY | Yes | 103 | Mike Minor | 23.4% | +330 |
| Corey Seager | TEX | Yes | 101 | Paul Blackburn | 22.9% | +335 |
| Mike Trout | LAA | No | 103 | Cristian Javier | 22.3% | +350 |
| Matt Olson | ATL | Yes | 100 | Chris Bassitt | 21.7% | +360 |
| Byron Buxton | MIN | Yes | 98 | Aaron Ashby | 21.0% | +375 |
| C.J. Cron | COL | No | 108 | Joe Musgrove | 20.9% | +380 |
| Julio Rodriguez | SEA | No | 106 | Erick Fedde | 20.7% | +385 |
| Jose Altuve | HOU | No | 103 | Shohei Ohtani | 20.2% | +395 |
| Hunter Dozier | KC | Yes | 92 | Tarik Skubal | 20.1% | +400 |
| Isaac Paredes | TB | No | 94 | Connor Seabold | 19.9% | +400 |
| Trevor Story | BOS | Yes | 94 | Shane McClanahan | 19.9% | +405 |
| Anthony Rizzo | NYY | No | 109 | Mike Minor | 19.8% | +405 |
| Jorge Alfaro | SD | No | 108 | Chad Kuhl | 19.8% | +405 |
| Kyle Schwarber | PHI | Yes | 94 | Ross Stripling | 19.8% | +405 |
| Christopher Morel | CHC | No | 103 | Spenser Watkins | 19.7% | +410 |
| Josh Naylor | CLE | Yes | 103 | Lucas Giolito | 19.4% | +415 |
| Kyle Garlick | MIN | Yes | 98 | Aaron Ashby | 19.3% | +415 |
| Manny Machado | SD | No | 108 | Chad Kuhl | 19.2% | +420 |
| Patrick Wisdom | CHC | No | 103 | Spenser Watkins | 19.1% | +425 |
| Joey Votto | CIN | Yes | 109 | Luis Severino | 19.0% | +425 |
| Ji-Man Choi | TB | Yes | 92 | Connor Seabold | 18.9% | +430 |
| Austin Hays | BAL | Yes | 103 | Justin Steele | 18.9% | +430 |
| Jorge Polanco | MIN | Yes | 98 | Aaron Ashby | 18.7% | +435 |
| Joc Pederson | SF | Yes | 87 | Zac Gallen | 18.6% | +435 |
| Josh Bell | WSH | Yes | 106 | Tommy Milone | 18.6% | +435 |
| Willson Contreras | CHC | No | 103 | Spenser Watkins | 18.5% | +440 |
| Francisco Lindor | NYM | Yes | 100 | Charlie Morton | 18.4% | +445 |
| Eugenio Suarez | SEA | No | 106 | Erick Fedde | 18.3% | +445 |
| Shohei Ohtani | LAA | Yes | 108 | Cristian Javier | 18.3% | +445 |
| Will Smith | LAD | No | 91 | Adam Wainwright | 17.9% | +460 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | KC | Yes | 92 | Tarik Skubal | 17.9% | +460 |
| Tyler Naquin | CIN | Yes | 109 | Luis Severino | 17.8% | +465 |
| Juan Soto | WSH | No | 104 | Tommy Milone | 17.6% | +470 |
| Darick Hall | PHI | Yes | 94 | Ross Stripling | 17.6% | +470 |
| Jordan Luplow | ARI | Yes | 90 | Sam Long | 17.6% | +470 |
| Jose Abreu | CHW | No | 99 | Aaron Civale | 17.4% | +475 |
| Nelson Cruz | WSH | Yes | 106 | Tommy Milone | 17.3% | +480 |
| Lane Thomas | WSH | Yes | 106 | Tommy Milone | 17.3% | +480 |
| Kyle Tucker | HOU | Yes | 108 | Shohei Ohtani | 17.0% | +490 |
| Josh Donaldson | NYY | Yes | 103 | Mike Minor | 16.9% | +490 |
| Gleyber Torres | NYY | Yes | 103 | Mike Minor | 16.9% | +490 |
| Mookie Betts | LAD | No | 91 | Adam Wainwright | 16.8% | +495 |
| Trea Turner | LAD | No | 91 | Adam Wainwright | 16.8% | +495 |
| Seth Brown | OAK | Yes | 101 | Jon Gray | 16.7% | +500 |
| Brandon Drury | CIN | No | 103 | Luis Severino | 16.7% | +500 |
| Taylor Ward | LAA | No | 103 | Cristian Javier | 16.7% | +500 |
| Ian Happ | CHC | Yes | 96 | Spenser Watkins | 16.7% | +500 |
| Marcell Ozuna | ATL | No | 97 | Chris Bassitt | 16.5% | +505 |
| Cal Raleigh | SEA | Yes | 104 | Erick Fedde | 16.5% | +505 |
| Dylan Moore | SEA | No | 106 | Erick Fedde | 16.4% | +510 |
| Adolis Garcia | TEX | No | 95 | Paul Blackburn | 16.2% | +515 |
| Luis Robert | CHW | No | 99 | Aaron Civale | 16.2% | +520 |
| Rafael Devers | BOS | No | 92 | Shane McClanahan | 15.9% | +525 |
| J.D. Martinez | BOS | Yes | 94 | Shane McClanahan | 15.7% | +535 |
| Gavin Sheets | CHW | Yes | 103 | Aaron Civale | 15.7% | +540 |
| Justin Turner | LAD | No | 91 | Adam Wainwright | 15.7% | +540 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | STL | No | 91 | Tony Gonsolin | 15.7% | +540 |
| DJ LeMahieu | NYY | Yes | 103 | Mike Minor | 15.5% | +545 |
| Jesus Sanchez | MIA | Yes | 92 | JT Brubaker | 15.5% | +545 |
| Jack Suwinski | PIT | Yes | 92 | Pablo Lopez | 15.5% | +545 |
| Alex Bregman | HOU | No | 103 | Shohei Ohtani | 15.4% | +550 |
| Jeremy Pena | HOU | No | 103 | Shohei Ohtani | 15.4% | +550 |
| Rowdy Tellez | MIL | Yes | 99 | Joe Ryan | 15.2% | +560 |
| Christian Walker | ARI | Yes | 90 | Sam Long | 15.2% | +560 |
| Alejandro Kirk | TOR | No | 101 | Zack Wheeler | 15.1% | +560 |
| Juan Yepez | STL | No | 91 | Tony Gonsolin | 15.1% | +565 |
| Marcus Semien | TEX | No | 95 | Paul Blackburn | 15.0% | +565 |
| Wilmer Flores | SF | No | 90 | Zac Gallen | 15.0% | +570 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | SF | Yes | 87 | Zac Gallen | 14.8% | +575 |
| Tommy Pham | CIN | No | 103 | Luis Severino | 14.7% | +580 |
| Dansby Swanson | ATL | No | 97 | Chris Bassitt | 14.6% | +585 |
| Eduardo Escobar | NYM | Yes | 100 | Charlie Morton | 14.6% | +585 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | TOR | No | 101 | Zack Wheeler | 14.5% | +590 |
| Freddie Freeman | LAD | Yes | 97 | Adam Wainwright | 14.3% | +600 |
| Cody Bellinger | LAD | Yes | 97 | Adam Wainwright | 14.3% | +600 |
| Nolan Gorman | STL | Yes | 97 | Tony Gonsolin | 14.3% | +600 |
| Brandon Belt | SF | Yes | 87 | Zac Gallen | 14.2% | +600 |
| Keston Hiura | MIL | No | 98 | Joe Ryan | 14.1% | +610 |
| Brad Miller | TEX | Yes | 101 | Paul Blackburn | 14.1% | +610 |
| Elias Diaz | COL | No | 108 | Joe Musgrove | 13.9% | +620 |
| Danny Jansen | TOR | No | 101 | Zack Wheeler | 13.8% | +625 |
| Ramon Laureano | OAK | No | 95 | Jon Gray | 13.8% | +625 |
| Daulton Varsho | ARI | No | 87 | Sam Long | 13.8% | +625 |
| Francisco Mejia | TB | Yes | 92 | Connor Seabold | 13.7% | +630 |
| Max Muncy | LAD | Yes | 97 | Adam Wainwright | 13.6% | +635 |
| Eloy Jimenez | CHW | No | 99 | Aaron Civale | 13.6% | +635 |
| Gio Urshela | MIN | Yes | 98 | Aaron Ashby | 13.5% | +640 |
| Gary Sanchez | MIN | Yes | 98 | Aaron Ashby | 13.5% | +640 |
| Ryan Jeffers | MIN | Yes | 98 | Aaron Ashby | 13.5% | +640 |
| Jake Cronenworth | SD | Yes | 109 | Chad Kuhl | 13.5% | +640 |
| Luis Urias | MIL | No | 98 | Joe Ryan | 13.5% | +645 |
| Nathaniel Lowe | TEX | Yes | 101 | Paul Blackburn | 13.4% | +645 |
| Jonah Heim | TEX | Yes | 101 | Paul Blackburn | 13.4% | +645 |
| Chas McCormick | HOU | No | 103 | Shohei Ohtani | 13.3% | +650 |
| Cesar Hernandez | WSH | Yes | 106 | Tommy Milone | 12.9% | +675 |
| Andrew Vaughn | CHW | No | 99 | Aaron Civale | 12.9% | +675 |
| Andres Gimenez | CLE | Yes | 103 | Lucas Giolito | 12.9% | +675 |
| Andrew McCutchen | MIL | No | 98 | Joe Ryan | 12.8% | +680 |
| Mike Moustakas | CIN | Yes | 109 | Luis Severino | 12.7% | +685 |
| Trent Grisham | SD | Yes | 109 | Chad Kuhl | 12.7% | +685 |
| Rougned Odor | BAL | No | 96 | Justin Steele | 12.7% | +685 |
| Travis d'Arnaud | ATL | No | 97 | Chris Bassitt | 12.7% | +690 |
| Ronald Acuna | ATL | No | 97 | Chris Bassitt | 12.7% | +690 |
| Pete Alonso | NYM | No | 97 | Charlie Morton | 12.7% | +690 |
| Nolan Arenado | STL | No | 91 | Tony Gonsolin | 12.6% | +690 |
| Trey Mancini | BAL | Yes | 103 | Justin Steele | 12.6% | +695 |
| Ryan Mountcastle | BAL | Yes | 103 | Justin Steele | 12.6% | +695 |
| Didi Gregorius | PHI | Yes | 94 | Ross Stripling | 12.6% | +695 |
| George Springer | TOR | No | 101 | Zack Wheeler | 12.4% | +705 |
| Randal Grichuk | COL | No | 108 | Joe Musgrove | 12.4% | +705 |
| Ty France | SEA | No | 106 | Erick Fedde | 12.2% | +720 |
| Jose Miranda | MIN | Yes | 98 | Aaron Ashby | 12.1% | +730 |
| Charlie Blackmon | COL | Yes | 109 | Joe Musgrove | 12.0% | +735 |
| Kole Calhoun | TEX | Yes | 101 | Paul Blackburn | 11.9% | +735 |
| Martin Maldonado | HOU | No | 103 | Shohei Ohtani | 11.9% | +740 |
| Brandon Nimmo | NYM | Yes | 100 | Charlie Morton | 11.8% | +745 |
| Michael Harris II | ATL | Yes | 100 | Chris Bassitt | 11.8% | +745 |
| Anthony Santander | BAL | Yes | 103 | Justin Steele | 11.8% | +745 |
| Ramon Urias | BAL | Yes | 103 | Justin Steele | 11.8% | +745 |
| Joey Wendle | MIA | Yes | 92 | JT Brubaker | 11.7% | +755 |
| Randy Arozarena | TB | No | 94 | Connor Seabold | 11.7% | +755 |
| Bobby Dalbec | BOS | Yes | 94 | Shane McClanahan | 11.6% | +760 |
| Amed Rosario | CLE | No | 99 | Lucas Giolito | 11.5% | +770 |
| Emmanuel Rivera | KC | Yes | 92 | Tarik Skubal | 11.4% | +775 |
| Jesus Aguilar | MIA | No | 90 | JT Brubaker | 11.2% | +790 |
| Tyler Stephenson | CIN | No | 103 | Luis Severino | 11.2% | +795 |
| Nomar Mazara | SD | Yes | 109 | Chad Kuhl | 11.2% | +795 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | SF | Yes | 87 | Zac Gallen | 11.1% | +800 |
| Dan Vogelbach | PIT | Yes | 92 | Pablo Lopez | 11.0% | +810 |
| Nick Castellanos | PHI | No | 101 | Ross Stripling | 11.0% | +810 |
| Jose Azocar | SD | No | 108 | Chad Kuhl | 10.8% | +820 |
| Carlos Santana | SEA | Yes | 104 | Erick Fedde | 10.7% | +835 |
| Nolan Jones | CLE | Yes | 103 | Lucas Giolito | 10.6% | +840 |
| Alek Thomas | ARI | No | 87 | Sam Long | 10.6% | +845 |
| Joey Bart | SF | No | 90 | Zac Gallen | 10.6% | +845 |
| Bryson Stott | PHI | Yes | 94 | Ross Stripling | 10.5% | +850 |
| Max Stassi | LAA | No | 103 | Cristian Javier | 10.4% | +860 |
| Seiya Suzuki | CHC | No | 103 | Spenser Watkins | 10.4% | +860 |
| Sean Murphy | OAK | No | 95 | Jon Gray | 10.4% | +860 |
| Ryan McMahon | COL | Yes | 109 | Joe Musgrove | 10.3% | +865 |
| Luis Rengifo | LAA | Yes | 108 | Cristian Javier | 10.3% | +875 |
| Kolten Wong | MIL | Yes | 99 | Joe Ryan | 10.3% | +875 |
| Omar Narvaez | MIL | Yes | 99 | Joe Ryan | 10.3% | +875 |
| Matt Chapman | TOR | No | 101 | Zack Wheeler | 10.2% | +880 |
| Bo Bichette | TOR | No | 101 | Zack Wheeler | 10.2% | +880 |
| Cedric Mullins | BAL | Yes | 103 | Justin Steele | 10.2% | +880 |
| Jake Lamb | LAD | Yes | 97 | Adam Wainwright | 10.1% | +895 |
| Connor Joe | COL | No | 108 | Joe Musgrove | 10.0% | +895 |
| Michael Taylor | KC | Yes | 92 | Tarik Skubal | 10.0% | +900 |
| MJ Melendez | KC | No | 92 | Tarik Skubal | 10.0% | +900 |
| Jesse Winker | SEA | Yes | 104 | Erick Fedde | 9.9% | +910 |
| Garrett Cooper | MIA | No | 90 | JT Brubaker | 9.9% | +910 |
| Tomas Nido | NYM | No | 97 | Charlie Morton | 9.9% | +915 |
| Yoan Moncada | CHW | Yes | 103 | Aaron Civale | 9.8% | +915 |
| Ketel Marte | ARI | Yes | 90 | Sam Long | 9.8% | +920 |
| Carlos Correa | MIN | Yes | 98 | Aaron Ashby | 9.8% | +925 |
| Elvis Andrus | OAK | No | 95 | Jon Gray | 9.7% | +935 |
| Aledmys Diaz | HOU | No | 103 | Shohei Ohtani | 9.6% | +940 |
| Michael Perez | PIT | Yes | 92 | Pablo Lopez | 9.6% | +940 |
| Josh Lowe | TB | Yes | 92 | Connor Seabold | 9.6% | +940 |
| Eddie Rosario | ATL | Yes | 100 | Chris Bassitt | 9.6% | +945 |
| Eric Hosmer | SD | Yes | 109 | Chad Kuhl | 9.5% | +955 |
| Christian Yelich | MIL | Yes | 99 | Joe Ryan | 9.5% | +955 |
| Jared Walsh | LAA | Yes | 108 | Cristian Javier | 9.4% | +960 |
| Jose Trevino | NYY | Yes | 103 | Mike Minor | 9.4% | +965 |
| Jorge Mateo | BAL | Yes | 103 | Justin Steele | 9.4% | +965 |
| Adley Rutschman | BAL | Yes | 103 | Justin Steele | 9.4% | +965 |
| Alfonso Rivas | CHC | Yes | 96 | Spenser Watkins | 9.2% | +985 |
| Brendan Rodgers | COL | No | 108 | Joe Musgrove | 9.2% | +985 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes | PIT | No | 90 | Pablo Lopez | 9.2% | +985 |
| David Villar | SF | No | 90 | Zac Gallen | 9.2% | +985 |
| Leody Taveras | TEX | Yes | 101 | Paul Blackburn | 8.9% | +1025 |
| Yairo Munoz | PHI | No | 101 | Ross Stripling | 8.7% | +1050 |
| Santiago Espinal | TOR | No | 101 | Zack Wheeler | 8.7% | +1050 |
| Xander Bogaerts | BOS | Yes | 94 | Shane McClanahan | 8.6% | +1055 |
| Jonathan Villar | LAA | Yes | 108 | Cristian Javier | 8.6% | +1065 |
| Brandon Marsh | LAA | Yes | 108 | Cristian Javier | 8.6% | +1065 |
| Franmil Reyes | CLE | No | 99 | Lucas Giolito | 8.5% | +1070 |
| Yadiel Hernandez | WSH | No | 104 | Tommy Milone | 8.4% | +1085 |
| Kyle Farmer | CIN | No | 103 | Luis Severino | 8.0% | +1145 |
| Nico Hoerner | CHC | No | 103 | Spenser Watkins | 8.0% | +1145 |
| Jake Meyers | HOU | No | 103 | Shohei Ohtani | 8.0% | +1145 |
| Jonathan Schoop | DET | No | 92 | Brady Singer | 8.0% | +1155 |
| Luis Garcia | WSH | Yes | 106 | Tommy Milone | 7.9% | +1170 |
| Jake Marisnick | PIT | No | 90 | Pablo Lopez | 7.8% | +1180 |
| Kevin Newman | PIT | No | 90 | Pablo Lopez | 7.8% | +1180 |
| Tim Anderson | CHW | No | 99 | Aaron Civale | 7.7% | +1190 |
| Edward Olivares | KC | Yes | 92 | Tarik Skubal | 7.7% | +1200 |
| Odubel Herrera | PHI | Yes | 94 | Ross Stripling | 7.5% | +1225 |
| Ha-Seong Kim | SD | No | 108 | Chad Kuhl | 7.5% | +1230 |
| Ben Gamel | PIT | Yes | 92 | Pablo Lopez | 7.4% | +1250 |
| Yoshitomo Tsutsugo | PIT | Yes | 92 | Pablo Lopez | 7.4% | +1250 |
| Taylor Walls | TB | Yes | 92 | Connor Seabold | 7.4% | +1250 |
| Oneil Cruz | PIT | Yes | 92 | Pablo Lopez | 7.4% | +1250 |
| Yandy Diaz | TB | No | 94 | Connor Seabold | 7.4% | +1255 |
| Javier Baez | DET | No | 92 | Brady Singer | 7.2% | +1280 |
| Matt Vierling | PHI | No | 101 | Ross Stripling | 7.1% | +1310 |
| Corey Dickerson | STL | Yes | 97 | Tony Gonsolin | 7.0% | +1335 |
| Dylan Carlson | STL | Yes | 97 | Tony Gonsolin | 7.0% | +1335 |
| Rafael Ortega | CHC | Yes | 96 | Spenser Watkins | 6.9% | +1350 |
| Starling Marte | NYM | No | 97 | Charlie Morton | 6.8% | +1365 |
| Jeimer Candelario | DET | Yes | 92 | Brady Singer | 6.6% | +1405 |
| Brett Phillips | TB | Yes | 92 | Connor Seabold | 6.6% | +1405 |
| Akil Baddoo | DET | Yes | 92 | Brady Singer | 6.6% | +1405 |
| Harold Ramirez | TB | No | 94 | Connor Seabold | 6.6% | +1410 |
| Adam Frazier | SEA | Yes | 104 | Erick Fedde | 6.6% | +1420 |
| Brian Anderson | MIA | No | 90 | JT Brubaker | 6.4% | +1470 |
| Robinson Cano | ATL | Yes | 100 | Chris Bassitt | 6.3% | +1480 |
| Dominic Smith | NYM | Yes | 100 | Charlie Morton | 6.3% | +1480 |
| Jace Peterson | MIL | Yes | 99 | Joe Ryan | 6.3% | +1495 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | TOR | No | 101 | Zack Wheeler | 6.3% | +1500 |
