MLB Betting: Home Run, Strikeout, and Run Total Projections for Tuesday 7/12/22
Just how likely is a homer from a certain player tonight? How many runs will Team X score? And can the pitcher you're eying go over his strikeout prop?
To find out, I leveraged numberFire's batter and pitcher projections plus team implied totals to try to answer those questions.
Here are today's results to help us navigate daily fantasy baseball and MLB betting opportunities at MLB odds.
(Please note that these projections are subject to change throughout the day and as lineups are confirmed. To see the most current projections, check out our projections pages.)
Team Run Total Projections
| Team | Opp SP | O/U | Implied Total |
5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SD | Austin Gomber | 11.0 | 5.82 | 52.5% | 36.5% | 23.2% | 13.5% | 7.2% |
| COL | Mike Clevinger | 11.0 | 5.18 | 41.6% | 26.5% | 15.3% | 8.0% | 3.9% |
| NYY | Graham Ashcraft | 8.0 | 5.01 | 38.6% | 23.9% | 13.4% | 6.9% | 3.2% |
| SEA | Josiah Gray | 9.5 | 4.77 | 34.4% | 20.5% | 11.0% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
| MIN | Jason Alexander | 9.0 | 4.75 | 34.0% | 20.2% | 10.9% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| TEX | James Kaprielian | 8.5 | 4.75 | 34.0% | 20.2% | 10.9% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| WSH | Chris Flexen | 9.5 | 4.73 | 33.7% | 19.9% | 10.7% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| ATL | David Peterson | 8.5 | 4.72 | 33.5% | 19.8% | 10.6% | 5.1% | 2.3% |
| KC | Beau Brieske | 9.0 | 4.65 | 32.3% | 18.9% | 9.9% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| SF | Dallas Keuchel | 8.0 | 4.64 | 32.1% | 18.7% | 9.9% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| MIA | Chris Stratton | 8.5 | 4.62 | 31.8% | 18.5% | 9.7% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| CHC | Jordan Lyles | 9.0 | 4.61 | 31.6% | 18.3% | 9.6% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| LAD | Matthew Liberatore | 8.5 | 4.57 | 30.9% | 17.8% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| HOU | Noah Syndergaard | 8.5 | 4.41 | 28.2% | 15.8% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| BAL | Adrian Sampson | 9.0 | 4.39 | 27.8% | 15.5% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| CLE | Davis Martin | 8.0 | 4.36 | 27.3% | 15.1% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| DET | Kris Bubic | 9.0 | 4.35 | 27.2% | 15.0% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| MIL | Josh Winder | 9.0 | 4.25 | 25.5% | 13.8% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| LAA | Luis Garcia | 8.5 | 4.09 | 22.9% | 12.0% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| STL | Mitch White | 8.5 | 3.93 | 20.4% | 10.4% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| PIT | Daniel Castano | 8.5 | 3.88 | 19.6% | 9.9% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| BOS | Corey Kluber | 7.5 | 3.84 | 19.0% | 9.5% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| NYM | Spencer Strider | 8.5 | 3.78 | 18.1% | 8.9% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| OAK | Glenn Otto | 8.5 | 3.75 | 17.7% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| TB | Chris Sale | 7.5 | 3.66 | 16.4% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| CHW | Shane Bieber | 8.0 | 3.64 | 16.1% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| ARI | Logan Webb | 8.0 | 3.36 | 12.4% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| CIN | Gerrit Cole | 8.0 | 2.99 | 8.3% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Pitcher Strikeout Projections
| Pitcher | Opp | K Proj |
3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerrit Cole | CIN | 7.9 | 95.4% | 89.3% | 79.8% | 67.2% | 53.0% | 39.1% | 26.9% |
| Shane Bieber | CHW | 7.7 | 94.6% | 87.8% | 77.5% | 64.2% | 49.7% | 35.9% | 24.1% |
| Dylan Cease | CLE | 7.0 | 91.8% | 82.6% | 69.8% | 54.9% | 40.0% | 27.0% | 16.8% |
| Spencer Strider | NYM | 6.4 | 88.1% | 76.5% | 61.6% | 45.8% | 31.3% | 19.7% | 11.4% |
| Logan Webb | ARI | 5.8 | 83.1% | 68.9% | 52.3% | 36.3% | 23.0% | 13.4% | 7.1% |
| Luis Garcia | LAA | 5.5 | 80.1% | 64.6% | 47.5% | 31.7% | 19.3% | 10.7% | 5.5% |
| Josiah Gray | SEA | 5.3 | 77.1% | 60.6% | 43.1% | 27.8% | 16.3% | 8.7% | 4.3% |
| Jose Berrios | PHI | 5.2 | 75.5% | 58.5% | 41.0% | 26.0% | 15.0% | 7.8% | 3.8% |
| Corey Kluber | BOS | 5.1 | 74.3% | 57.0% | 39.5% | 24.7% | 14.0% | 7.2% | 3.4% |
| David Peterson | ATL | 5.0 | 74.1% | 56.6% | 39.1% | 24.4% | 13.8% | 7.1% | 3.3% |
| Adrian Sampson | BAL | 4.9 | 71.8% | 53.8% | 36.3% | 22.0% | 12.1% | 6.1% | 2.8% |
| Jordan Lyles | CHC | 4.7 | 68.9% | 50.4% | 33.0% | 19.4% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Konnor Pilkington | CHW | 4.7 | 68.9% | 50.4% | 33.0% | 19.4% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Chris Flexen | WSH | 4.7 | 68.6% | 50.0% | 32.6% | 19.1% | 10.1% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Mike Clevinger | COL | 4.6 | 67.9% | 49.2% | 31.9% | 18.6% | 9.8% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Noah Syndergaard | HOU | 4.4 | 63.7% | 44.5% | 27.7% | 15.4% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Mitch White | STL | 4.3 | 62.5% | 43.1% | 26.5% | 14.5% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Davis Martin | CLE | 4.2 | 59.9% | 40.4% | 24.2% | 12.9% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Chris Sale | TB | 4.1 | 59.0% | 39.5% | 23.4% | 12.4% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Glenn Otto | OAK | 4.1 | 58.8% | 39.3% | 23.2% | 12.2% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Kris Bubic | DET | 4.0 | 56.5% | 36.9% | 21.3% | 11.0% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Jason Alexander | MIN | 3.9 | 55.3% | 35.7% | 20.4% | 10.4% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Liberatore | LAD | 3.9 | 54.7% | 35.2% | 19.9% | 10.1% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Josh Winder | MIL | 3.9 | 54.1% | 34.6% | 19.5% | 9.8% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Beau Brieske | KC | 3.9 | 54.1% | 34.6% | 19.5% | 9.8% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| James Kaprielian | TEX | 3.9 | 53.7% | 34.2% | 19.2% | 9.6% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Graham Ashcraft | NYY | 3.9 | 53.7% | 34.2% | 19.2% | 9.6% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Austin Gomber | SD | 3.8 | 53.1% | 33.6% | 18.7% | 9.3% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Daniel Castano | PIT | 3.6 | 49.1% | 29.9% | 16.0% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Dallas Keuchel | SF | 3.3 | 42.0% | 23.7% | 11.7% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Bellatti | TOR | 1.3 | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Stratton | MIA | 1.1 | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Daily Batter Home Run Projections
You can view all MLB game and prop odds at MLB odds.
Notes: The "Platoon?" column refers to whether a batter is starting the game against a pitcher of the opposite handedness. "Home Run PF" refers to home run park factor for the batter's handedness; data from FanGraphs. "xHR Odds" indicate what a player's home run odds should be given the home run probability; this helps seek value.
| Batter | Team | Platoon? | HR PF |
Opp Pitcher |
HR Prob% |
xHR Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Soto | WSH | Yes | 104 | Chris Flexen | 26.1% | +285 |
| Rhys Hoskins | PHI | No | 101 | Jose Berrios | 26.1% | +285 |
| Willy Adames | MIL | No | 98 | Josh Winder | 26.0% | +285 |
| Manny Machado | SD | Yes | 108 | Austin Gomber | 24.1% | +315 |
| Jose Altuve | HOU | No | 103 | Noah Syndergaard | 23.8% | +320 |
| Aaron Judge | NYY | No | 103 | Graham Ashcraft | 23.8% | +320 |
| Jose Ramirez | CLE | Yes | 103 | Davis Martin | 23.7% | +320 |
| Eugenio Suarez | SEA | No | 106 | Josiah Gray | 23.3% | +330 |
| Anthony Rizzo | NYY | Yes | 109 | Graham Ashcraft | 23.1% | +335 |
| Darick Hall | PHI | Yes | 94 | Jose Berrios | 22.2% | +350 |
| Josh Naylor | CLE | Yes | 103 | Davis Martin | 22.2% | +350 |
| George Springer | TOR | No | 101 | Andrew Bellatti | 21.5% | +365 |
| Will Smith | LAD | Yes | 91 | Matthew Liberatore | 21.4% | +365 |
| Mike Trout | LAA | No | 103 | Luis Garcia | 21.3% | +370 |
| Kyle Tucker | HOU | Yes | 108 | Noah Syndergaard | 21.3% | +370 |
| Julio Rodriguez | SEA | No | 106 | Josiah Gray | 21.2% | +370 |
| C.J. Cron | COL | No | 108 | Mike Clevinger | 20.9% | +380 |
| Brad Miller | TEX | Yes | 101 | James Kaprielian | 20.8% | +380 |
| Luke Voit | SD | Yes | 108 | Austin Gomber | 20.8% | +380 |
| Rafael Devers | BOS | Yes | 92 | Corey Kluber | 20.5% | +390 |
| Trea Turner | LAD | Yes | 91 | Matthew Liberatore | 20.4% | +390 |
| Austin Riley | ATL | Yes | 97 | David Peterson | 20.3% | +390 |
| Corey Seager | TEX | Yes | 101 | James Kaprielian | 20.3% | +395 |
| Jonah Heim | TEX | Yes | 101 | James Kaprielian | 20.3% | +395 |
| Kyle Schwarber | PHI | Yes | 94 | Jose Berrios | 20.3% | +395 |
| Jose Ramirez | CLE | Yes | 103 | Dylan Cease | 20.0% | +400 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | TOR | No | 101 | Andrew Bellatti | 19.9% | +400 |
| Mookie Betts | LAD | Yes | 91 | Matthew Liberatore | 19.9% | +400 |
| Isaac Paredes | TB | Yes | 94 | Chris Sale | 19.9% | +405 |
| William Contreras | ATL | Yes | 97 | David Peterson | 19.8% | +405 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | NYY | No | 103 | Graham Ashcraft | 19.7% | +410 |
| Willson Contreras | CHC | No | 103 | Jordan Lyles | 19.7% | +410 |
| Tyler Naquin | CIN | Yes | 109 | Gerrit Cole | 19.7% | +410 |
| Taylor Ward | LAA | No | 103 | Luis Garcia | 18.5% | +440 |
| Byron Buxton | MIN | No | 98 | Jason Alexander | 18.4% | +445 |
| Gavin Sheets | CHW | Yes | 103 | Shane Bieber | 18.2% | +450 |
| Trent Grisham | SD | No | 109 | Austin Gomber | 18.2% | +450 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | KC | No | 92 | Beau Brieske | 18.0% | +455 |
| Ryan Mountcastle | BAL | No | 103 | Adrian Sampson | 17.9% | +460 |
| Austin Hays | BAL | No | 103 | Adrian Sampson | 17.3% | +480 |
| Keston Hiura | MIL | No | 98 | Josh Winder | 17.2% | +480 |
| Joey Votto | CIN | Yes | 109 | Gerrit Cole | 17.1% | +485 |
| Seth Brown | OAK | Yes | 101 | Glenn Otto | 16.7% | +500 |
| Patrick Wisdom | CHC | No | 103 | Jordan Lyles | 16.7% | +500 |
| Christopher Morel | CHC | No | 103 | Jordan Lyles | 16.7% | +500 |
| Cal Raleigh | SEA | Yes | 104 | Josiah Gray | 16.5% | +505 |
| Michael Chavis | PIT | Yes | 90 | Daniel Castano | 16.4% | +510 |
| Shohei Ohtani | LAA | Yes | 108 | Luis Garcia | 16.3% | +515 |
| Marcell Ozuna | ATL | Yes | 97 | David Peterson | 16.1% | +520 |
| Trevor Story | BOS | No | 94 | Corey Kluber | 16.1% | +520 |
| Kole Calhoun | TEX | Yes | 101 | James Kaprielian | 16.1% | +520 |
| Ian Happ | CHC | Yes | 96 | Jordan Lyles | 16.1% | +525 |
| Trey Mancini | BAL | No | 103 | Adrian Sampson | 16.0% | +525 |
| Aledmys Diaz | HOU | No | 103 | Noah Syndergaard | 16.0% | +525 |
| Gleyber Torres | NYY | No | 103 | Graham Ashcraft | 16.0% | +525 |
| Chas McCormick | HOU | No | 103 | Noah Syndergaard | 16.0% | +525 |
| Luis Urias | MIL | No | 98 | Josh Winder | 16.0% | +525 |
| Justin Turner | LAD | Yes | 91 | Matthew Liberatore | 15.9% | +530 |
| Rowdy Tellez | MIL | Yes | 99 | Josh Winder | 15.8% | +530 |
| Gavin Sheets | CHW | No | 103 | Konnor Pilkington | 15.8% | +530 |
| Matt Chapman | TOR | No | 101 | Andrew Bellatti | 15.8% | +535 |
| Dylan Moore | SEA | No | 106 | Josiah Gray | 15.7% | +535 |
| Charlie Blackmon | COL | Yes | 109 | Mike Clevinger | 15.7% | +535 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | STL | No | 91 | Mitch White | 15.7% | +540 |
| Juan Yepez | STL | No | 91 | Mitch White | 15.7% | +540 |
| Adolis Garcia | TEX | No | 95 | James Kaprielian | 15.6% | +540 |
| Carlos Correa | MIN | No | 98 | Jason Alexander | 15.4% | +550 |
| Ryan Jeffers | MIN | No | 98 | Jason Alexander | 15.4% | +550 |
| Ramon Urias | BAL | No | 103 | Adrian Sampson | 15.4% | +550 |
| Randal Grichuk | COL | No | 108 | Mike Clevinger | 15.3% | +555 |
| Jorge Polanco | MIN | Yes | 99 | Jason Alexander | 15.2% | +560 |
| Alejandro Kirk | TOR | No | 101 | Andrew Bellatti | 15.1% | +560 |
| Lane Thomas | WSH | No | 106 | Chris Flexen | 15.1% | +565 |
| Andres Gimenez | CLE | Yes | 103 | Davis Martin | 15.0% | +565 |
| Jose Abreu | CHW | No | 99 | Shane Bieber | 14.9% | +570 |
| Rougned Odor | BAL | Yes | 96 | Adrian Sampson | 14.8% | +575 |
| Travis d'Arnaud | ATL | Yes | 97 | David Peterson | 14.8% | +575 |
| Josh Donaldson | NYY | No | 103 | Graham Ashcraft | 14.7% | +580 |
| Wilmer Flores | SF | Yes | 90 | Dallas Keuchel | 14.5% | +590 |
| Austin Slater | SF | Yes | 90 | Dallas Keuchel | 14.5% | +590 |
| Freddie Freeman | LAD | No | 97 | Matthew Liberatore | 14.5% | +590 |
| Bo Bichette | TOR | No | 101 | Andrew Bellatti | 14.5% | +590 |
| Josh Bell | WSH | Yes | 104 | Chris Flexen | 14.4% | +595 |
| Francisco Mejia | TB | Yes | 94 | Chris Sale | 14.4% | +595 |
| Dan Vogelbach | PIT | No | 92 | Daniel Castano | 14.4% | +595 |
| Nelson Cruz | WSH | No | 106 | Chris Flexen | 14.4% | +595 |
| Ty France | SEA | No | 106 | Josiah Gray | 14.4% | +595 |
| Jose Abreu | CHW | Yes | 99 | Konnor Pilkington | 14.4% | +595 |
| Nolan Jones | CLE | Yes | 103 | Davis Martin | 14.3% | +600 |
| Jesus Sanchez | MIA | Yes | 92 | Chris Stratton | 14.3% | +600 |
| Nolan Gorman | STL | Yes | 97 | Mitch White | 14.3% | +600 |
| J.D. Martinez | BOS | No | 94 | Corey Kluber | 14.3% | +600 |
| Franmil Reyes | CLE | No | 99 | Davis Martin | 14.2% | +600 |
| Anthony Santander | BAL | Yes | 96 | Adrian Sampson | 14.2% | +605 |
| Brandon Drury | CIN | No | 103 | Gerrit Cole | 14.0% | +610 |
| Jeremy Pena | HOU | No | 103 | Noah Syndergaard | 14.0% | +610 |
| Max Muncy | LAD | No | 97 | Matthew Liberatore | 14.0% | +615 |
| Eduardo Escobar | NYM | Yes | 100 | Spencer Strider | 14.0% | +615 |
| Brian Serven | COL | No | 108 | Mike Clevinger | 13.9% | +620 |
| Christian Bethancourt | TB | Yes | 94 | Chris Sale | 13.7% | +625 |
| Carlos Santana | SEA | Yes | 104 | Josiah Gray | 13.7% | +630 |
| A.J. Pollock | CHW | Yes | 99 | Konnor Pilkington | 13.6% | +635 |
| David Peralta | ARI | Yes | 87 | Logan Webb | 13.6% | +635 |
| Luis Robert | CHW | No | 99 | Shane Bieber | 13.6% | +635 |
| Mike Moustakas | CIN | Yes | 109 | Gerrit Cole | 13.5% | +640 |
| Tommy Pham | CIN | No | 103 | Gerrit Cole | 13.3% | +650 |
| Francisco Lindor | NYM | Yes | 100 | Spencer Strider | 13.3% | +655 |
| Christian Yelich | MIL | Yes | 99 | Josh Winder | 13.2% | +660 |
| Christian Walker | ARI | No | 90 | Logan Webb | 13.1% | +660 |
| Ketel Marte | ARI | Yes | 87 | Logan Webb | 13.0% | +665 |
| Jesse Winker | SEA | Yes | 104 | Josiah Gray | 13.0% | +670 |
| Eloy Jimenez | CHW | No | 99 | Shane Bieber | 12.9% | +675 |
| Jake Cronenworth | SD | No | 109 | Austin Gomber | 12.9% | +675 |
| Eric Haase | DET | Yes | 92 | Kris Bubic | 12.8% | +680 |
| Spencer Torkelson | DET | Yes | 92 | Kris Bubic | 12.8% | +680 |
| Cedric Mullins | BAL | Yes | 96 | Adrian Sampson | 12.8% | +680 |
| Adley Rutschman | BAL | Yes | 96 | Adrian Sampson | 12.8% | +680 |
| Darin Ruf | SF | Yes | 90 | Dallas Keuchel | 12.6% | +695 |
| Diego Castillo | PIT | Yes | 90 | Daniel Castano | 12.6% | +695 |
| Matt Olson | ATL | No | 100 | David Peterson | 12.6% | +695 |
| Alex Verdugo | BOS | Yes | 92 | Corey Kluber | 12.4% | +710 |
| Andrew Vaughn | CHW | No | 99 | Shane Bieber | 12.2% | +720 |
| Andres Gimenez | CLE | Yes | 103 | Dylan Cease | 12.1% | +725 |
| Javier Baez | DET | Yes | 92 | Kris Bubic | 12.1% | +725 |
| Andrew McCutchen | MIL | No | 98 | Josh Winder | 12.1% | +725 |
| Nolan Arenado | STL | No | 91 | Mitch White | 12.0% | +735 |
| Pete Alonso | NYM | No | 97 | Spencer Strider | 12.0% | +735 |
| Dansby Swanson | ATL | Yes | 97 | David Peterson | 12.0% | +735 |
| Ronald Acuna | ATL | Yes | 97 | David Peterson | 12.0% | +735 |
| Nathaniel Lowe | TEX | Yes | 101 | James Kaprielian | 11.9% | +735 |
| Bryson Stott | PHI | Yes | 94 | Jose Berrios | 11.9% | +740 |
| DJ LeMahieu | NYY | No | 103 | Graham Ashcraft | 11.9% | +740 |
| Max Stassi | LAA | No | 103 | Luis Garcia | 11.9% | +740 |
| Alex Bregman | HOU | No | 103 | Noah Syndergaard | 11.9% | +740 |
| Tyler Stephenson | CIN | No | 103 | Gerrit Cole | 11.9% | +740 |
| Seiya Suzuki | CHC | No | 103 | Jordan Lyles | 11.9% | +740 |
| Brandon Nimmo | NYM | Yes | 100 | Spencer Strider | 11.8% | +745 |
| Omar Narvaez | MIL | Yes | 99 | Josh Winder | 11.7% | +750 |
| Luis Robert | CHW | Yes | 99 | Konnor Pilkington | 11.4% | +775 |
| Gio Urshela | MIN | No | 98 | Jason Alexander | 11.4% | +775 |
| Garrett Stubbs | PHI | Yes | 94 | Jose Berrios | 11.2% | +790 |
| Joey Bart | SF | Yes | 90 | Dallas Keuchel | 11.2% | +790 |
| Martin Maldonado | HOU | No | 103 | Noah Syndergaard | 11.2% | +795 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | SF | No | 87 | Dallas Keuchel | 11.2% | +795 |
| Ramon Laureano | OAK | No | 95 | Glenn Otto | 11.1% | +800 |
| Jared Walsh | LAA | Yes | 108 | Luis Garcia | 11.1% | +805 |
| Brandon Marsh | LAA | Yes | 108 | Luis Garcia | 11.1% | +805 |
| Jake Lamb | LAD | No | 97 | Matthew Liberatore | 11.1% | +805 |
| Cody Bellinger | LAD | No | 97 | Matthew Liberatore | 11.1% | +805 |
| Max Kepler | MIN | Yes | 99 | Jason Alexander | 11.0% | +810 |
| Xander Bogaerts | BOS | No | 94 | Corey Kluber | 11.0% | +810 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | TOR | No | 101 | Andrew Bellatti | 11.0% | +810 |
| Lourdes Gurriel | TOR | No | 101 | Andrew Bellatti | 11.0% | +810 |
| Michael Taylor | KC | No | 92 | Beau Brieske | 10.8% | +825 |
| Emmanuel Rivera | KC | No | 92 | Beau Brieske | 10.8% | +825 |
| Tim Anderson | CHW | No | 99 | Shane Bieber | 10.8% | +830 |
| Cesar Hernandez | WSH | Yes | 104 | Chris Flexen | 10.7% | +835 |
| Ha-Seong Kim | SD | Yes | 108 | Austin Gomber | 10.7% | +840 |
| Didi Gregorius | PHI | Yes | 94 | Jose Berrios | 10.5% | +850 |
| Thairo Estrada | SF | Yes | 90 | Dallas Keuchel | 10.5% | +850 |
| Alek Thomas | ARI | Yes | 87 | Logan Webb | 10.5% | +855 |
| Ryan McMahon | COL | Yes | 109 | Mike Clevinger | 10.3% | +865 |
| Amed Rosario | CLE | No | 99 | Davis Martin | 10.0% | +895 |
| Daulton Varsho | ARI | Yes | 87 | Logan Webb | 9.8% | +920 |
| Marcus Semien | TEX | No | 95 | James Kaprielian | 9.7% | +935 |
| Jace Peterson | MIL | Yes | 99 | Josh Winder | 9.5% | +955 |
| Nick Castellanos | PHI | No | 101 | Jose Berrios | 9.5% | +955 |
| Andrew Velazquez | LAA | Yes | 108 | Luis Garcia | 9.4% | +960 |
| Jeimer Candelario | DET | Yes | 92 | Kris Bubic | 9.2% | +985 |
| Keibert Ruiz | WSH | Yes | 104 | Chris Flexen | 9.1% | +1000 |
| Maikel Franco | WSH | No | 106 | Chris Flexen | 9.1% | +1000 |
| Eloy Jimenez | CHW | Yes | 99 | Konnor Pilkington | 9.1% | +1005 |
| Yoan Moncada | CHW | Yes | 103 | Shane Bieber | 9.0% | +1010 |
| Nolan Jones | CLE | Yes | 103 | Dylan Cease | 9.0% | +1010 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | KC | Yes | 92 | Beau Brieske | 8.9% | +1025 |
| Josh Smith | TEX | Yes | 101 | James Kaprielian | 8.9% | +1025 |
| Yulieski Gurriel | HOU | No | 103 | Noah Syndergaard | 8.8% | +1030 |
| Jose Trevino | NYY | No | 103 | Graham Ashcraft | 8.8% | +1030 |
| Jorge Mateo | BAL | No | 103 | Adrian Sampson | 8.8% | +1030 |
| C.J. Abrams | SD | No | 109 | Austin Gomber | 8.8% | +1035 |
| Randy Arozarena | TB | Yes | 94 | Chris Sale | 8.6% | +1055 |
| Jonathan Villar | LAA | Yes | 108 | Luis Garcia | 8.6% | +1065 |
| Austin Hedges | CLE | No | 99 | Dylan Cease | 8.5% | +1070 |
| Amed Rosario | CLE | No | 99 | Dylan Cease | 8.5% | +1070 |
| Franmil Reyes | CLE | No | 99 | Dylan Cease | 8.5% | +1070 |
| Jonathan Schoop | DET | Yes | 92 | Kris Bubic | 8.5% | +1080 |
| Alfonso Rivas | CHC | Yes | 96 | Jordan Lyles | 8.5% | +1080 |
| Jose Miranda | MIN | No | 98 | Jason Alexander | 8.5% | +1085 |
| Brendan Rodgers | COL | No | 108 | Mike Clevinger | 8.4% | +1090 |
| J.D. Davis | NYM | No | 97 | Spencer Strider | 8.4% | +1095 |
| Jake Marisnick | PIT | Yes | 90 | Daniel Castano | 8.3% | +1105 |
| Kevin Newman | PIT | Yes | 90 | Daniel Castano | 8.3% | +1105 |
| Josh Harrison | CHW | Yes | 99 | Konnor Pilkington | 8.2% | +1115 |
| Sam Huff | TEX | No | 95 | James Kaprielian | 8.2% | +1115 |
| Josh Naylor | CLE | Yes | 103 | Dylan Cease | 8.2% | +1120 |
| Franchy Cordero | BOS | Yes | 92 | Corey Kluber | 8.1% | +1125 |
| Nicky Lopez | KC | Yes | 92 | Beau Brieske | 8.1% | +1125 |
| Nomar Mazara | SD | No | 109 | Austin Gomber | 8.1% | +1140 |
| Kolten Wong | MIL | Yes | 99 | Josh Winder | 7.9% | +1165 |
| Alex Kirilloff | MIN | Yes | 99 | Jason Alexander | 7.9% | +1165 |
| Alec Bohm | PHI | No | 101 | Jose Berrios | 7.9% | +1165 |
| Yandy Diaz | TB | Yes | 94 | Chris Sale | 7.9% | +1175 |
| Jesus Aguilar | MIA | No | 90 | Chris Stratton | 7.8% | +1180 |
| Garrett Cooper | MIA | No | 90 | Chris Stratton | 7.8% | +1180 |
| Aaron Hicks | NYY | Yes | 109 | Graham Ashcraft | 7.8% | +1190 |
| Seby Zavala | CHW | No | 99 | Shane Bieber | 7.7% | +1190 |
| Robbie Grossman | DET | Yes | 92 | Kris Bubic | 7.7% | +1200 |
| Rafael Ortega | CHC | Yes | 96 | Jordan Lyles | 7.7% | +1200 |
| Odubel Herrera | PHI | Yes | 94 | Jose Berrios | 7.5% | +1225 |
| Cavan Biggio | TOR | Yes | 94 | Andrew Bellatti | 7.5% | +1225 |
| Ben Gamel | PIT | No | 92 | Daniel Castano | 7.5% | +1225 |
| Riley Greene | DET | No | 92 | Kris Bubic | 7.5% | +1225 |
| Yadiel Hernandez | WSH | Yes | 104 | Chris Flexen | 7.4% | +1245 |
| Joey Wendle | MIA | Yes | 92 | Chris Stratton | 7.4% | +1250 |
| Christian Vazquez | BOS | No | 94 | Corey Kluber | 7.4% | +1255 |
| Kyle Farmer | CIN | No | 103 | Gerrit Cole | 7.2% | +1285 |
| Santiago Espinal | TOR | No | 101 | Andrew Bellatti | 7.1% | +1310 |
| Brendan Donovan | STL | Yes | 97 | Mitch White | 7.0% | +1335 |
| Willi Castro | DET | Yes | 92 | Kris Bubic | 6.9% | +1350 |
| Josh VanMeter | PIT | No | 92 | Daniel Castano | 6.9% | +1350 |
| Mark Canha | NYM | No | 97 | Spencer Strider | 6.8% | +1365 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes | PIT | Yes | 90 | Daniel Castano | 6.8% | +1375 |
| David Villar | SF | Yes | 90 | Dallas Keuchel | 6.8% | +1375 |
| Elvis Andrus | OAK | No | 95 | Glenn Otto | 6.7% | +1395 |
| Sean Murphy | OAK | No | 95 | Glenn Otto | 6.7% | +1395 |
| Garrett Hampson | COL | No | 108 | Mike Clevinger | 6.7% | +1400 |
