MLB Betting: Home Run, Strikeout, and Run Total Projections for Thursday 7/7/22
Just how likely is a homer from a certain player tonight? How many runs will Team X score? And can the pitcher you're eying go over his strikeout prop?
To find out, I leveraged numberFire's batter and pitcher projections plus team implied totals to try to answer those questions.
Here are today's results to help us navigate daily fantasy baseball and MLB betting opportunities at MLB odds.
(Please note that these projections are subject to change throughout the day and as lineups are confirmed. To see the most current projections, check out our projections pages.)
Team Run Total Projections
| Team | Opp SP | O/U | Implied Total |
5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | Joan Adon | 10.0 | 5.66 | 49.8% | 33.9% | 21.1% | 12.0% | 6.3% |
| ATL | Matthew Liberatore | 9.0 | 5.27 | 43.1% | 27.8% | 16.3% | 8.7% | 4.3% |
| LAD | Mark Leiter Jr. | 8.5 | 5.20 | 41.9% | 26.8% | 15.5% | 8.2% | 4.0% |
| HOU | Kris Bubic | 8.0 | 5.12 | 40.5% | 25.6% | 14.6% | 7.6% | 3.6% |
| COL | Dallas Keuchel | 9.5 | 4.99 | 38.2% | 23.6% | 13.2% | 6.7% | 3.1% |
| NYM | Daniel Castano | 9.0 | 4.95 | 37.5% | 23.1% | 12.8% | 6.5% | 3.0% |
| CHW | Beau Brieske | 8.0 | 4.77 | 34.4% | 20.5% | 11.0% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
| CIN | Roansy Contreras | 9.5 | 4.75 | 34.0% | 20.2% | 10.9% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| PIT | Mike Minor | 9.5 | 4.75 | 34.0% | 20.2% | 10.9% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| NYY | Josh Winckowski | 8.5 | 4.69 | 33.0% | 19.4% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| ARI | Austin Gomber | 9.5 | 4.51 | 29.9% | 17.0% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| WSH | Bailey Falter | 10.0 | 4.34 | 27.0% | 14.9% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| BAL | Chase Silseth | 8.5 | 4.29 | 26.2% | 14.3% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| LAA | Jordan Lyles | 8.5 | 4.21 | 24.8% | 13.4% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| MIA | Trevor Williams | 9.0 | 4.05 | 22.3% | 11.6% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| BOS | Gerrit Cole | 8.5 | 3.81 | 18.6% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| STL | Spencer Strider | 9.0 | 3.73 | 17.4% | 8.4% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| SD | Logan Webb | 7.0 | 3.69 | 16.8% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| SF | Joe Musgrove | 7.0 | 3.31 | 11.8% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| CHC | Tony Gonsolin | 8.5 | 3.30 | 11.7% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| DET | Dylan Cease | 8.0 | 3.23 | 10.9% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| KC | Justin Verlander | 8.0 | 2.88 | 7.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| CIN | Bryse Wilson | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| PIT | Tyler Mahle | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| SEA | Kevin Gausman | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| TOR | Marco Gonzales | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Pitcher Strikeout Projections
| Pitcher | Opp | K Proj |
3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Cease | DET | 7.7 | 94.7% | 87.9% | 77.6% | 64.3% | 49.9% | 36.0% | 24.2% |
| Joe Musgrove | SF | 7.0 | 91.7% | 82.5% | 69.7% | 54.7% | 39.8% | 26.8% | 16.7% |
| Justin Verlander | KC | 6.6 | 89.6% | 78.9% | 64.8% | 49.2% | 34.5% | 22.3% | 13.3% |
| Tyler Mahle | PIT | 6.6 | 89.6% | 78.9% | 64.8% | 49.2% | 34.5% | 22.3% | 13.3% |
| Gerrit Cole | BOS | 6.5 | 88.7% | 77.4% | 62.8% | 47.0% | 32.4% | 20.6% | 12.1% |
| Spencer Strider | STL | 6.3 | 87.4% | 75.4% | 60.3% | 44.3% | 30.0% | 18.6% | 10.7% |
| Kevin Gausman | SEA | 5.9 | 83.6% | 69.6% | 53.2% | 37.1% | 23.7% | 13.9% | 7.5% |
| Logan Webb | SD | 5.7 | 82.4% | 67.9% | 51.2% | 35.2% | 22.1% | 12.7% | 6.7% |
| Tony Gonsolin | CHC | 5.6 | 81.4% | 66.4% | 49.5% | 33.6% | 20.8% | 11.8% | 6.1% |
| Mike Minor | PIT | 4.9 | 71.3% | 53.3% | 35.8% | 21.6% | 11.8% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| Jordan Lyles | LAA | 4.5 | 65.6% | 46.6% | 29.5% | 16.8% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Josh Winckowski | NYY | 4.4 | 64.4% | 45.3% | 28.3% | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Trevor Williams | MIA | 4.4 | 63.5% | 44.3% | 27.5% | 15.3% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Mark Leiter Jr. | LAD | 4.2 | 60.3% | 40.8% | 24.5% | 13.1% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Marco Gonzales | TOR | 4.1 | 59.2% | 39.7% | 23.6% | 12.5% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Roansy Contreras | CIN | 4.0 | 57.0% | 37.5% | 21.8% | 11.3% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Joan Adon | PHI | 4.0 | 56.8% | 37.3% | 21.6% | 11.2% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Bailey Falter | WSH | 4.0 | 56.5% | 36.9% | 21.3% | 11.0% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Austin Gomber | ARI | 3.9 | 55.1% | 35.6% | 20.2% | 10.3% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Kris Bubic | HOU | 3.9 | 53.7% | 34.2% | 19.2% | 9.6% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Dallas Keuchel | COL | 3.8 | 53.1% | 33.6% | 18.7% | 9.3% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Beau Brieske | CHW | 3.7 | 51.4% | 32.1% | 17.6% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Liberatore | ATL | 3.7 | 50.4% | 31.1% | 16.8% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Bryse Wilson | CIN | 3.4 | 43.9% | 25.4% | 12.8% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Daniel Castano | NYM | 3.2 | 39.3% | 21.6% | 10.3% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Chase Silseth | BAL | 3.1 | 36.8% | 19.7% | 9.1% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Daily Batter Home Run Projections
You can view all MLB game and prop odds at MLB odds.
Notes: The "Platoon?" column refers to whether a batter is starting the game against a pitcher of the opposite handedness. "Home Run PF" refers to home run park factor for the batter's handedness; data from FanGraphs. "xHR Odds" indicate what a player's home run odds should be given the home run probability; this helps seek value.
| Batter | Team | Platoon? | HR PF |
Opp Pitcher |
HR Prob% |
xHR Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Drury | CIN | No | 111 | Bryse Wilson | 29.5% | +240 |
| Brandon Drury | CIN | No | 111 | Roansy Contreras | 26.3% | +280 |
| Bryan Reynolds | PIT | Yes | 111 | Mike Minor | 25.6% | +290 |
| Kyle Schwarber | PHI | Yes | 106 | Joan Adon | 25.5% | +290 |
| Mike Trout | LAA | No | 112 | Jordan Lyles | 25.1% | +300 |
| Ryan Mountcastle | BAL | No | 112 | Chase Silseth | 25.1% | +300 |
| Austin Riley | ATL | Yes | 97 | Matthew Liberatore | 24.8% | +305 |
| Matt Chapman | TOR | Yes | 99 | Marco Gonzales | 24.7% | +305 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | TOR | Yes | 99 | Marco Gonzales | 23.7% | +320 |
| Yordan Alvarez | HOU | No | 102 | Kris Bubic | 23.7% | +320 |
| Mookie Betts | LAD | No | 107 | Mark Leiter Jr. | 23.4% | +325 |
| Rhys Hoskins | PHI | No | 110 | Joan Adon | 23.4% | +330 |
| Shohei Ohtani | LAA | Yes | 110 | Jordan Lyles | 22.7% | +340 |
| Tyler Naquin | CIN | Yes | 113 | Roansy Contreras | 22.6% | +345 |
| Bryan Reynolds | PIT | Yes | 113 | Tyler Mahle | 22.6% | +345 |
| Austin Hays | BAL | No | 112 | Chase Silseth | 22.1% | +355 |
| Chas McCormick | HOU | Yes | 101 | Kris Bubic | 22.0% | +355 |
| Anthony Santander | BAL | Yes | 110 | Chase Silseth | 21.6% | +365 |
| Taylor Ward | LAA | No | 112 | Jordan Lyles | 21.5% | +365 |
| Dan Vogelbach | PIT | Yes | 113 | Tyler Mahle | 21.4% | +365 |
| Ronald Acuna | ATL | Yes | 97 | Matthew Liberatore | 20.9% | +380 |
| Patrick Wisdom | CHC | No | 107 | Tony Gonsolin | 20.8% | +380 |
| Josh Bell | WSH | Yes | 110 | Bailey Falter | 20.4% | +390 |
| Jose Altuve | HOU | Yes | 101 | Kris Bubic | 20.4% | +390 |
| Jeremy Pena | HOU | Yes | 101 | Kris Bubic | 20.4% | +390 |
| Matt Olson | ATL | No | 100 | Matthew Liberatore | 20.0% | +400 |
| Jared Walsh | LAA | Yes | 110 | Jordan Lyles | 19.8% | +405 |
| Aaron Judge | NYY | No | 99 | Josh Winckowski | 19.6% | +410 |
| Joey Votto | CIN | Yes | 113 | Bryse Wilson | 19.6% | +410 |
| George Springer | TOR | Yes | 99 | Marco Gonzales | 19.5% | +415 |
| Gavin Sheets | CHW | Yes | 111 | Beau Brieske | 19.3% | +420 |
| Max Muncy | LAD | Yes | 102 | Mark Leiter Jr. | 19.3% | +420 |
| Travis d'Arnaud | ATL | Yes | 97 | Matthew Liberatore | 19.2% | +420 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | NYY | No | 99 | Josh Winckowski | 19.1% | +425 |
| Oneil Cruz | PIT | Yes | 113 | Tyler Mahle | 18.9% | +430 |
| Jesus Sanchez | MIA | Yes | 95 | Trevor Williams | 18.8% | +430 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | STL | No | 97 | Spencer Strider | 18.8% | +430 |
| C.J. Cron | COL | Yes | 93 | Dallas Keuchel | 18.6% | +440 |
| Rafael Devers | BOS | Yes | 93 | Gerrit Cole | 18.5% | +440 |
| Will Smith | LAD | No | 107 | Mark Leiter Jr. | 18.4% | +440 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | TOR | Yes | 99 | Marco Gonzales | 18.3% | +445 |
| Michael Perez | PIT | Yes | 113 | Tyler Mahle | 18.3% | +450 |
| Tommy Pham | CIN | No | 111 | Bryse Wilson | 17.7% | +465 |
| Evan Longoria | SF | No | 96 | Joe Musgrove | 17.5% | +470 |
| Dansby Swanson | ATL | Yes | 97 | Matthew Liberatore | 17.4% | +475 |
| Garrett Cooper | MIA | No | 98 | Trevor Williams | 17.2% | +480 |
| Rougned Odor | BAL | Yes | 110 | Chase Silseth | 17.2% | +480 |
| Pete Alonso | NYM | Yes | 98 | Daniel Castano | 16.9% | +490 |
| Christian Walker | ARI | Yes | 93 | Austin Gomber | 16.8% | +495 |
| Kyle Tucker | HOU | No | 102 | Kris Bubic | 16.8% | +495 |
| Darick Hall | PHI | Yes | 106 | Joan Adon | 16.7% | +500 |
| Jesus Aguilar | MIA | No | 98 | Trevor Williams | 16.6% | +500 |
| Cedric Mullins | BAL | Yes | 110 | Chase Silseth | 16.5% | +505 |
| Jose Abreu | CHW | No | 106 | Beau Brieske | 16.4% | +510 |
| Joc Pederson | SF | Yes | 95 | Joe Musgrove | 15.9% | +530 |
| Seiya Suzuki | CHC | No | 107 | Tony Gonsolin | 15.9% | +530 |
| Dan Vogelbach | PIT | No | 113 | Mike Minor | 15.8% | +530 |
| Edward Olivares | KC | No | 101 | Justin Verlander | 15.8% | +535 |
| Diego Castillo | PIT | Yes | 111 | Mike Minor | 15.8% | +535 |
| A.J. Pollock | CHW | No | 106 | Beau Brieske | 15.7% | +535 |
| Bo Bichette | TOR | Yes | 99 | Marco Gonzales | 15.7% | +535 |
| Nelson Cruz | WSH | Yes | 110 | Bailey Falter | 15.6% | +540 |
| Tommy Pham | CIN | No | 111 | Roansy Contreras | 15.6% | +540 |
| Tyler Naquin | CIN | Yes | 113 | Bryse Wilson | 15.4% | +545 |
| Cal Raleigh | SEA | Yes | 96 | Kevin Gausman | 15.4% | +550 |
| Willson Contreras | CHC | No | 107 | Tony Gonsolin | 15.2% | +560 |
| Luis Rengifo | LAA | Yes | 110 | Jordan Lyles | 15.1% | +560 |
| Alejandro Kirk | TOR | Yes | 99 | Marco Gonzales | 15.0% | +565 |
| Anthony Rizzo | NYY | Yes | 93 | Josh Winckowski | 15.0% | +565 |
| Juan Soto | WSH | No | 106 | Bailey Falter | 15.0% | +565 |
| Jordan Luplow | ARI | Yes | 93 | Austin Gomber | 14.9% | +570 |
| Eduardo Escobar | NYM | Yes | 98 | Daniel Castano | 14.9% | +570 |
| Starling Marte | NYM | Yes | 98 | Daniel Castano | 14.9% | +570 |
| Josh Donaldson | NYY | No | 99 | Josh Winckowski | 14.9% | +570 |
| Eugenio Suarez | SEA | No | 99 | Kevin Gausman | 14.9% | +570 |
| Cody Bellinger | LAD | Yes | 102 | Mark Leiter Jr. | 14.9% | +570 |
| Marcell Ozuna | ATL | Yes | 97 | Matthew Liberatore | 14.8% | +575 |
| Orlando Arcia | ATL | Yes | 97 | Matthew Liberatore | 14.8% | +575 |
| Jack Suwinski | PIT | Yes | 113 | Tyler Mahle | 14.7% | +580 |
| Juan Yepez | STL | No | 97 | Spencer Strider | 14.6% | +585 |
| Jeimer Candelario | DET | Yes | 111 | Dylan Cease | 14.5% | +590 |
| Seby Zavala | CHW | No | 106 | Beau Brieske | 14.4% | +595 |
| Ramon Urias | BAL | No | 112 | Chase Silseth | 14.3% | +600 |
| Lourdes Gurriel | TOR | Yes | 99 | Marco Gonzales | 13.6% | +635 |
| Elias Diaz | COL | Yes | 93 | Dallas Keuchel | 13.6% | +635 |
| Brendan Rodgers | COL | Yes | 93 | Dallas Keuchel | 13.6% | +635 |
| Trevor Story | BOS | No | 99 | Gerrit Cole | 13.6% | +635 |
| Trey Mancini | BAL | No | 112 | Chase Silseth | 13.6% | +640 |
| Mark Canha | NYM | Yes | 98 | Daniel Castano | 13.5% | +640 |
| MJ Melendez | KC | Yes | 102 | Justin Verlander | 13.5% | +640 |
| Freddie Freeman | LAD | Yes | 102 | Mark Leiter Jr. | 13.5% | +640 |
| Donovan Solano | CIN | No | 111 | Roansy Contreras | 13.5% | +645 |
| Kyle Farmer | CIN | No | 111 | Bryse Wilson | 13.5% | +645 |
| Jonathan India | CIN | No | 111 | Bryse Wilson | 13.5% | +645 |
| Michael Chavis | PIT | Yes | 111 | Mike Minor | 13.4% | +645 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | SF | Yes | 95 | Joe Musgrove | 13.4% | +650 |
| Maikel Franco | WSH | Yes | 110 | Bailey Falter | 13.3% | +650 |
| Oneil Cruz | PIT | No | 113 | Mike Minor | 13.3% | +650 |
| Mike Moustakas | CIN | Yes | 113 | Bryse Wilson | 13.1% | +660 |
| Mike Moustakas | CIN | Yes | 113 | Roansy Contreras | 13.1% | +660 |
| Yulieski Gurriel | HOU | Yes | 101 | Kris Bubic | 13.1% | +660 |
| Trea Turner | LAD | No | 107 | Mark Leiter Jr. | 13.0% | +665 |
| Tim Anderson | CHW | No | 106 | Beau Brieske | 12.9% | +675 |
| J.D. Martinez | BOS | No | 99 | Gerrit Cole | 12.9% | +675 |
| Max Stassi | LAA | No | 112 | Jordan Lyles | 12.8% | +680 |
| Ian Happ | CHC | Yes | 102 | Tony Gonsolin | 12.8% | +685 |
| Nolan Arenado | STL | No | 97 | Spencer Strider | 12.7% | +690 |
| Michael Perez | PIT | No | 113 | Mike Minor | 12.6% | +690 |
| Nick Castellanos | PHI | No | 110 | Joan Adon | 12.6% | +695 |
| Lane Thomas | WSH | Yes | 110 | Bailey Falter | 12.5% | +700 |
| Luis Robert | CHW | No | 106 | Beau Brieske | 12.2% | +720 |
| Andrew Vaughn | CHW | No | 106 | Beau Brieske | 12.2% | +720 |
| Andrew Velazquez | LAA | Yes | 110 | Jordan Lyles | 12.1% | +730 |
| Brandon Nimmo | NYM | No | 95 | Daniel Castano | 12.0% | +730 |
| Jorge Mateo | BAL | No | 112 | Chase Silseth | 12.0% | +735 |
| Adam Duvall | ATL | Yes | 97 | Matthew Liberatore | 12.0% | +735 |
| Manny Machado | SD | No | 96 | Logan Webb | 11.9% | +740 |
| Alek Thomas | ARI | No | 99 | Austin Gomber | 11.9% | +740 |
| Hunter Dozier | KC | No | 101 | Justin Verlander | 11.7% | +755 |
| Martin Maldonado | HOU | Yes | 101 | Kris Bubic | 11.6% | +760 |
| Christopher Morel | CHC | No | 107 | Tony Gonsolin | 11.5% | +765 |
| Justin Turner | LAD | No | 107 | Mark Leiter Jr. | 11.5% | +765 |
| Gleyber Torres | NYY | No | 99 | Josh Winckowski | 11.5% | +770 |
| Miguel Rojas | MIA | No | 98 | Trevor Williams | 11.4% | +775 |
| Michael Harris II | ATL | No | 100 | Matthew Liberatore | 11.4% | +780 |
| Yadiel Hernandez | WSH | No | 106 | Bailey Falter | 11.3% | +785 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | KC | No | 101 | Justin Verlander | 11.0% | +810 |
| Odubel Herrera | PHI | Yes | 106 | Joan Adon | 10.9% | +820 |
| Luis Garcia | WSH | Yes | 110 | Bailey Falter | 10.8% | +825 |
| Randal Grichuk | COL | Yes | 93 | Dallas Keuchel | 10.8% | +825 |
| Justin Upton | SEA | No | 99 | Kevin Gausman | 10.8% | +830 |
| Francisco Lindor | NYM | Yes | 98 | Daniel Castano | 10.6% | +845 |
| J.D. Davis | NYM | Yes | 98 | Daniel Castano | 10.6% | +845 |
| J.T. Realmuto | PHI | No | 110 | Joan Adon | 10.2% | +880 |
| Bryson Stott | PHI | Yes | 106 | Joan Adon | 10.1% | +890 |
| Jose Trevino | NYY | No | 99 | Josh Winckowski | 10.0% | +895 |
| Aledmys Diaz | HOU | Yes | 101 | Kris Bubic | 10.0% | +895 |
| Brandon Belt | SF | Yes | 95 | Joe Musgrove | 9.9% | +910 |
| Trent Grisham | SD | Yes | 95 | Logan Webb | 9.9% | +910 |
| Jonathan Schoop | DET | No | 106 | Dylan Cease | 9.9% | +910 |
| Yoshitomo Tsutsugo | PIT | Yes | 113 | Tyler Mahle | 9.8% | +920 |
| Nolan Gorman | STL | Yes | 100 | Spencer Strider | 9.6% | +945 |
| DJ LeMahieu | NYY | No | 99 | Josh Winckowski | 9.3% | +975 |
| Xander Bogaerts | BOS | No | 99 | Gerrit Cole | 9.3% | +975 |
| Bligh Madris | PIT | No | 113 | Mike Minor | 9.1% | +1000 |
| Cesar Hernandez | WSH | Yes | 110 | Bailey Falter | 9.1% | +1005 |
| Luke Voit | SD | No | 96 | Logan Webb | 9.0% | +1005 |
| Jarren Duran | BOS | Yes | 93 | Gerrit Cole | 9.0% | +1015 |
| Nicky Lopez | KC | Yes | 102 | Justin Verlander | 8.9% | +1020 |
| Yoan Moncada | CHW | Yes | 111 | Beau Brieske | 8.8% | +1040 |
| Riley Greene | DET | Yes | 111 | Dylan Cease | 8.8% | +1040 |
| Jonathan Villar | LAA | Yes | 110 | Jordan Lyles | 8.7% | +1050 |
| Adley Rutschman | BAL | Yes | 110 | Chase Silseth | 8.7% | +1050 |
| Jake Hager | ARI | Yes | 93 | Austin Gomber | 8.6% | +1070 |
| Julio Rodriguez | SEA | No | 99 | Kevin Gausman | 8.5% | +1070 |
| Avisail Garcia | MIA | No | 98 | Trevor Williams | 8.5% | +1085 |
| Brian Anderson | MIA | No | 98 | Trevor Williams | 8.5% | +1085 |
| Brandon Crawford | SF | Yes | 95 | Joe Musgrove | 8.4% | +1090 |
| Wilmer Flores | SF | No | 96 | Joe Musgrove | 8.3% | +1105 |
| Spencer Torkelson | DET | No | 106 | Dylan Cease | 8.2% | +1115 |
| Santiago Espinal | TOR | Yes | 99 | Marco Gonzales | 8.2% | +1115 |
| Keibert Ruiz | WSH | Yes | 110 | Bailey Falter | 8.1% | +1130 |
| Ben Gamel | PIT | Yes | 113 | Tyler Mahle | 8.0% | +1145 |
| Brandon Marsh | LAA | Yes | 110 | Jordan Lyles | 7.8% | +1180 |
| Kris Bryant | COL | Yes | 93 | Dallas Keuchel | 7.8% | +1185 |
| Cooper Hummel | ARI | Yes | 93 | Austin Gomber | 7.8% | +1185 |
| Buddy Kennedy | ARI | Yes | 93 | Austin Gomber | 7.8% | +1185 |
| Matt Reynolds | CIN | No | 111 | Roansy Contreras | 7.7% | +1195 |
| Aramis Garcia | CIN | No | 111 | Bryse Wilson | 7.7% | +1195 |
| Carlos Santana | SEA | Yes | 96 | Kevin Gausman | 7.7% | +1200 |
| Alec Bohm | PHI | No | 110 | Joan Adon | 7.7% | +1205 |
| Tommy La Stella | SF | Yes | 95 | Joe Musgrove | 7.6% | +1210 |
| Didi Gregorius | PHI | Yes | 106 | Joan Adon | 7.6% | +1220 |
| Aaron Hicks | NYY | Yes | 93 | Josh Winckowski | 7.5% | +1240 |
| Franchy Cordero | BOS | Yes | 93 | Gerrit Cole | 7.5% | +1240 |
| Javier Baez | DET | No | 106 | Dylan Cease | 7.4% | +1250 |
| James McCann | NYM | Yes | 98 | Daniel Castano | 7.3% | +1265 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | KC | Yes | 102 | Justin Verlander | 7.3% | +1270 |
| Tommy Edman | STL | Yes | 100 | Spencer Strider | 7.2% | +1295 |
| Conner Capel | STL | Yes | 100 | Spencer Strider | 7.2% | +1295 |
| Michael Taylor | KC | No | 101 | Justin Verlander | 7.1% | +1310 |
| Tucker Barnhart | DET | Yes | 111 | Dylan Cease | 7.0% | +1335 |
| Carson Kelly | ARI | Yes | 93 | Austin Gomber | 7.0% | +1335 |
| Abraham Toro | SEA | Yes | 96 | Kevin Gausman | 6.9% | +1350 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | SF | Yes | 95 | Joe Musgrove | 6.8% | +1365 |
| Ryan McMahon | COL | No | 99 | Dallas Keuchel | 6.7% | +1390 |
| Mauricio Dubon | HOU | Yes | 101 | Kris Bubic | 6.7% | +1405 |
| Nico Hoerner | CHC | No | 107 | Tony Gonsolin | 6.6% | +1415 |
| Miguel Cabrera | DET | No | 106 | Dylan Cease | 6.5% | +1430 |
| Rafael Ortega | CHC | Yes | 102 | Tony Gonsolin | 6.5% | +1450 |
| Alfonso Rivas | CHC | Yes | 102 | Tony Gonsolin | 6.5% | +1450 |
| Brendan Donovan | STL | Yes | 100 | Spencer Strider | 6.3% | +1480 |
| Tyler Heineman | PIT | Yes | 111 | Mike Minor | 6.3% | +1490 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes | PIT | Yes | 111 | Mike Minor | 6.3% | +1490 |
| Whit Merrifield | KC | No | 101 | Justin Verlander | 6.3% | +1500 |
