MLB

MLB Betting: Home Run, Strikeout, and Run Total Projections for Tuesday 6/21/22

Betting MLB player props or playing daily fantasy baseball? See who is most likely to homer, rack up the most strikeouts, and score the most runs today.

Just how likely is a homer from a certain player tonight? How many runs will Team X score? And can the pitcher you're eying go over his strikeout prop?

To find out, I leveraged numberFire's batter and pitcher projections plus team implied totals to try to answer those questions.

Here are today's results to help us navigate daily fantasy baseball and MLB betting opportunities at FanDuel Sportsbook.

(Please note that these projections are subject to change throughout the day and as lineups are confirmed. To see the most current projections, check out our projections pages.)

Team Run Total Projections

Team Opp SP O/U Implied
Total
5+ 6+ 7+ 8+ 9+
BOSBeau
Brieske
9.55.3845.0%29.5%17.6%9.6%4.8%
LADTyler
Mahle
9.55.2943.5%28.1%16.5%8.9%4.4%
MINAaron
Civale
9.55.2142.1%26.9%15.6%8.3%4.0%
ATLAnthony
DeSclafani
9.05.0338.9%24.2%13.7%7.0%3.3%
LAAJon
Heasley
9.04.9537.5%23.1%12.8%6.5%3.0%
PITMatthew
Swarmer
9.04.9437.4%22.9%12.7%6.4%3.0%
STLChi Chi
Gonzalez
9.04.7133.3%19.7%10.5%5.1%2.2%
TORDylan
Cease
9.04.7133.3%19.7%10.5%5.1%2.2%
HOUTrevor
Williams
9.04.6933.0%19.4%10.3%5.0%2.2%
SEAJames
Kaprielian
8.54.5530.6%17.5%9.1%4.3%1.8%
NYMJose
Urquidy
9.04.3126.5%14.5%7.2%3.2%1.3%
CHWKevin
Gausman
9.04.2926.2%14.3%7.0%3.1%1.3%
CLEJoe
Ryan
9.54.2926.2%14.3%7.0%3.1%1.3%
MILJack
Flaherty
9.04.2926.2%14.3%7.0%3.1%1.3%
CINTony
Gonsolin
9.54.2124.8%13.4%6.5%2.8%1.1%
MIARyan
Feltner
8.04.2024.7%13.3%6.4%2.8%1.1%
DETRich
Hill
9.54.1223.4%12.4%5.9%2.5%1.0%
CHCRoansy
Contreras
9.04.0622.4%11.7%5.5%2.3%0.9%
TEXKyle
Gibson
8.04.0622.4%11.7%5.5%2.3%0.9%
KCReid
Detmers
9.04.0522.3%11.6%5.4%2.3%0.9%
SFSpencer
Strider
9.03.9721.0%10.8%4.9%2.0%0.8%
OAKMarco
Gonzales
8.53.9520.7%10.6%4.8%2.0%0.7%
PHIMartin
Perez
8.03.9420.6%10.5%4.8%2.0%0.7%
NYYJosh
Fleming
7.03.8419.0%9.5%4.2%1.7%0.6%
COLDaniel
Castano
8.03.8018.4%9.1%4.0%1.6%0.6%
SDZac
Gallen
7.03.6916.8%8.1%3.5%1.3%0.5%
ARISean
Manaea
7.03.3111.8%5.2%2.0%0.7%0.2%
TBNestor
Cortes
7.03.1610.1%4.2%1.6%0.5%0.2%
BALErick
Fedde
0.00.000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
WSHBruce
Zimmermann
0.00.000.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Pitcher Strikeout Projections

Pitcher Opp K
Proj
3+ 4+ 5+ 6+ 7+ 8+ 9+
Dylan
Cease
TOR7.393.2%85.1%73.4%59.1%44.3%30.8%19.9%
Tyler
Mahle
LAD6.890.5%80.5%66.9%51.5%36.7%24.1%14.7%
Sean
Manaea
ARI6.790.4%80.2%66.5%51.1%36.3%23.8%14.4%
Nestor
Cortes
TB6.589.0%78.0%63.5%47.8%33.2%21.2%12.5%
Spencer
Strider
SF6.084.4%70.8%54.6%38.6%24.9%14.8%8.1%
Kevin
Gausman
CHW5.984.0%70.1%53.8%37.8%24.2%14.3%7.7%
Joe
Ryan
CLE5.377.8%61.5%44.2%28.7%17.0%9.2%4.5%
Tony
Gonsolin
CIN5.377.7%61.4%44.0%28.6%16.9%9.1%4.5%
Zac
Gallen
SD5.275.5%58.5%41.0%26.0%15.0%7.8%3.8%
Kyle
Gibson
TEX4.971.6%53.6%36.1%21.9%12.0%6.0%2.7%
Roansy
Contreras
CHC4.768.2%49.6%32.3%18.9%9.9%4.8%2.1%
Martin
Perez
PHI4.666.6%47.7%30.6%17.5%9.1%4.3%1.8%
Aaron
Civale
MIN4.566.1%47.2%30.0%17.2%8.8%4.1%1.8%
Jose
Urquidy
NYM4.565.9%47.0%29.9%17.0%8.7%4.1%1.7%
Rich
Hill
DET4.564.9%45.8%28.9%16.3%8.3%3.8%1.6%
Jack
Flaherty
MIL4.464.4%45.3%28.3%15.9%8.0%3.7%1.5%
Marco
Gonzales
OAK4.261.0%41.6%25.2%13.6%6.6%2.9%1.2%
Anthony
DeSclafani
ATL4.158.4%38.9%22.9%12.0%5.7%2.4%0.9%
Bruce
Zimmermann
WSH4.158.2%38.7%22.7%11.9%5.6%2.4%0.9%
Ryan
Feltner
MIA4.158.2%38.7%22.7%11.9%5.6%2.4%0.9%
Erick
Fedde
BAL4.157.6%38.1%22.3%11.6%5.4%2.3%0.9%
Matthew
Swarmer
PIT4.157.6%38.1%22.3%11.6%5.4%2.3%0.9%
Reid
Detmers
KC4.057.4%37.9%22.1%11.5%5.4%2.3%0.9%
Jon
Heasley
LAA3.955.5%35.9%20.6%10.5%4.8%2.0%0.7%
James
Kaprielian
SEA3.853.3%33.8%18.9%9.4%4.2%1.7%0.6%
Beau
Brieske
BOS3.851.8%32.4%17.9%8.7%3.8%1.5%0.5%
Trevor
Williams
HOU3.751.0%31.7%17.3%8.4%3.6%1.4%0.5%
Daniel
Castano
COL3.443.9%25.4%12.8%5.7%2.3%0.8%0.3%
Chi Chi
Gonzalez
STL3.342.0%23.7%11.7%5.1%2.0%0.7%0.2%
Josh
Fleming
NYY2.830.4%14.9%6.3%2.4%0.8%0.2%0.1%

Daily Batter Home Run Projections

You can view all MLB game and prop odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Batter Team Platoon? HR
Park
Factor
Opp
Pitcher
HR
Probability
xHR
Odds
Willy
Adames
MILNo103Jack
Flaherty
26.8%+273
Byron
Buxton
MINNo98Aaron
Civale
26.8%+274
Salvador
Perez
KCYes103Reid
Detmers
26.2%+282
Brandon
Drury
CINNo111Tony
Gonsolin
24.0%+316
Aaron
Judge
NYYYes94Josh
Fleming
23.4%+328
Bryan
Reynolds
PITYes95Matthew
Swarmer
23.3%+329
Rafael
Devers
BOSYes93Beau
Brieske
23.0%+335
Eugenio
Suarez
SEANo94James
Kaprielian
22.3%+347
Pete
Alonso
NYMNo101Jose
Urquidy
22.0%+354
Nelson
Cruz
WSHYes112Bruce
Zimmermann
21.9%+356
Nolan
Arenado
STLNo103Chi Chi
Gonzalez
21.8%+358
Austin
Riley
ATLNo97Anthony
DeSclafani
21.4%+367
Jared
Walsh
LAAYes108Jon
Heasley
21.3%+370
Vladimir
Guerrero
Jr.
TORNo106Dylan
Cease
21.2%+372
Jose
Altuve
HOUNo101Trevor
Williams
21.0%+376
Mike
Trout
LAANo103Jon
Heasley
20.8%+381
J.D.
Martinez
BOSNo99Beau
Brieske
20.7%+383
Austin
Hays
BALNo112Erick
Fedde
20.3%+392
Paul
Goldschmidt
STLNo103Chi
Chi
Gonzalez
20.2%+394
Trea
Turner
LADNo111Tyler
Mahle
20.2%+395
Will
Smith
LADNo111Tyler
Mahle
20.2%+395
Chad
Pinder
OAKYes94Marco
Gonzales
19.9%+404
Freddie
Freeman
LADYes113Tyler
Mahle
19.6%+411
George
Springer
TORNo106Dylan
Cease
19.5%+413
Teoscar
Hernandez
TORNo106Dylan
Cease
19.5%+413
Rhys
Hoskins
PHIYes95Martin
Perez
19.5%+414
Josh
Bell
WSHYes112Bruce
Zimmermann
19.4%+415
Ryan
Mountcastle
BALNo112Erick
Fedde
19.1%+424
Joc
Pederson
SFYes100Spencer
Strider
19.0%+426
Lane
Thomas
WSHYes112Bruce
Zimmermann
18.7%+433
Rowdy
Tellez
MILYes101Jack
Flaherty
18.6%+439
Matt
Olson
ATLYes100Anthony
DeSclafani
18.4%+443
Cal
Raleigh
SEAYes92James
Kaprielian
18.4%+444
Juan
Soto
WSHNo110Bruce
Zimmermann
18.3%+445
Shohei
Ohtani
LAAYes108Jon
Heasley
18.3%+447
Dan
Vogelbach
PITYes95Matthew
Swarmer
18.3%+447
Ian
Happ
CHCYes95Roansy
Contreras
18.3%+447
Chas
McCormick
HOUNo101Trevor
Williams
18.2%+448
Kyle
Tucker
HOUYes102Trevor
Williams
18.1%+452
Willson
Contreras
CHCNo92Roansy
Contreras
18.0%+454
Patrick
Wisdom
CHCNo92Roansy
Contreras
18.0%+454
Trevor
Story
BOSNo99Beau
Brieske
18.0%+457
Max
Stassi
LAANo103Jon
Heasley
17.9%+458
Carlos
Correa
MINNo98Aaron
Civale
17.8%+461
Jose
Ramirez
CLEYes99Joe
Ryan
17.7%+465
Bryce
Harper
PHINo101Martin
Perez
17.7%+466
Adam
Duvall
ATLNo97Anthony
DeSclafani
17.7%+466
Joey
Votto
CINYes113Tony
Gonsolin
17.6%+469
Christian
Yelich
MILYes101Jack
Flaherty
17.4%+476
Christian
Walker
ARIYes96Sean
Manaea
17.2%+480
Jack
Suwinski
PITYes95Matthew
Swarmer
17.1%+484
Andrew
Vaughn
CHWNo106Kevin
Gausman
17.1%+486
Sean
Murphy
OAKYes94Marco
Gonzales
17.0%+489
Cody
Bellinger
LADYes113Tyler
Mahle
16.9%+492
Hunter
Renfroe
MILNo103Jack
Flaherty
16.7%+500
Luis
Urias
MILNo103Jack
Flaherty
16.7%+500
Luis
Garcia
WSHYes112Bruce
Zimmermann
16.6%+502
Trevor
Larnach
MINYes99Aaron
Civale
16.5%+507
Jazz
Chisholm
MIAYes92Ryan
Feltner
16.1%+521
Kyle
Schwarber
PHINo101Martin
Perez
16.1%+521
Corey
Seager
TEXYes101Kyle
Gibson
16.1%+522
Mike
Yastrzemski
SFYes100Spencer
Strider
16.0%+527
Ronald
Acuna
ATLNo97Anthony
DeSclafani
15.9%+529
Nick
Castellanos
PHIYes95Martin
Perez
15.9%+531
Rougned
Odor
BALYes110Erick
Fedde
15.8%+532
Luke
Voit
SDNo96Zac
Gallen
15.8%+534
Matt
Chapman
TORNo106Dylan
Cease
15.7%+535
Jonah
Heim
TEXYes101Kyle
Gibson
15.4%+548
MJ
Melendez
KCNo108Reid
Detmers
15.3%+555
C.J.
Cron
COLYes90Daniel
Castano
15.2%+559
Keibert
Ruiz
WSHYes112Bruce
Zimmermann
15.1%+562
Jose
Abreu
CHWNo106Kevin
Gausman
15.1%+564
Kole
Calhoun
TEXYes101Kyle
Gibson
14.8%+577
Taylor
Ward
LAANo103Jon
Heasley
14.7%+579
Rafael
Ortega
CHCYes95Roansy
Contreras
14.7%+581
Jordan
Luplow
ARIYes96Sean
Manaea
14.7%+582
Josh
Naylor
CLEYes99Joe
Ryan
14.5%+589
Christian
Bethancourt
OAKYes94Marco
Gonzales
14.4%+594
Charlie
Blackmon
COLNo92Daniel
Castano
14.4%+594
Joey
Gallo
NYYNo92Josh
Fleming
14.4%+594
A.J.
Pollock
CHWNo106Kevin
Gausman
14.4%+596
Lewin
Diaz
MIAYes92Ryan
Feltner
14.3%+600
Tommy
Pham
CINNo111Tony
Gonsolin
14.2%+604
Jonathan
India
CINNo111Tony
Gonsolin
14.2%+604
Nick
Plummer
NYMYes102Jose
Urquidy
14.2%+604
Gio
Urshela
MINNo98Aaron
Civale
14.1%+608
Bobby
Witt
Jr.
KCYes103Reid
Detmers
14.1%+609
Marcell
Ozuna
ATLNo97Anthony
DeSclafani
14.0%+614
Eddy
Alvarez
LADYes113Tyler
Mahle
13.9%+618
Adolis
Garcia
TEXNo95Kyle
Gibson
13.8%+627
Willi
Castro
DETYes99Rich
Hill
13.6%+633
Cedric
Mullins
BALYes110Erick
Fedde
13.6%+634
Jurickson
Profar
SDYes95Zac
Gallen
13.4%+648
Wilmer
Flores
SFNo97Spencer
Strider
13.3%+649
Andrew
McCutchen
MILNo103Jack
Flaherty
13.3%+650
Keston
Hiura
MILNo103Jack
Flaherty
13.3%+650
Brandon
Belt
SFYes100Spencer
Strider
13.3%+654
Daulton
Varsho
ARINo95Sean
Manaea
13.2%+659
Mike
Moustakas
CINYes113Tony
Gonsolin
13.1%+661
Matt
Davidson
OAKYes94Marco
Gonzales
13.1%+666
Bo
Bichette
TORNo106Dylan
Cease
12.9%+673
Anthony
Santander
BALYes110Erick
Fedde
12.8%+678
Adley
Rutschman
BALYes110Erick
Fedde
12.8%+678
Francisco
Lindor
NYMYes102Jose
Urquidy
12.8%+683
Jonathan
Villar
CHCYes95Roansy
Contreras
12.7%+687
Justin
Turner
LADNo111Tyler
Mahle
12.7%+688
Chris
Taylor
LADNo111Tyler
Mahle
12.7%+688
Tommy
Edman
STLYes101Chi Chi
Gonzalez
12.7%+689
Juan
Yepez
STLNo103Chi Chi
Gonzalez
12.6%+692
Hunter
Dozier
KCYes103Reid
Detmers
12.6%+694
Seth
Brown
OAKNo92Marco
Gonzales
12.3%+715
Tim
Anderson
CHWNo106Kevin
Gausman
12.2%+720
Christopher
Morel
CHCNo92Roansy
Contreras
12.1%+725
Gary
Sanchez
MINNo98Aaron
Civale
12.1%+726
Eduardo
Escobar
NYMYes102Jose
Urquidy
12.0%+730
Oneil
Cruz
PITYes95Matthew
Swarmer
12.0%+732
Travis
d'Arnaud
ATLNo97Anthony
DeSclafani
12.0%+734
Albert
Pujols
STLNo103Chi Chi
Gonzalez
11.9%+740
Max
Kepler
MINYes99Aaron
Civale
11.7%+752
Alex
Kirilloff
MINYes99Aaron
Civale
11.7%+752
Starling
Marte
NYMNo101Jose
Urquidy
11.7%+754
Justin
Upton
SEANo94James
Kaprielian
11.7%+757
Ty
France
SEANo94James
Kaprielian
11.7%+757
Jose
Trevino
NYYYes94Josh
Fleming
11.6%+759
Randy
Arozarena
TBYes94Nestor
Cortes
11.6%+759
Trent
Grisham
SDYes95Zac
Gallen
11.3%+783
Jake
Cronenworth
SDYes95Zac
Gallen
11.3%+783
Hoy
Park
PITYes95Matthew
Swarmer
11.3%+783
Tyrone
Taylor
MILNo103Jack
Flaherty
11.2%+796
Carson
Kelly
ARIYes96Sean
Manaea
11.1%+799
Brandon
Crawford
SFYes100Spencer
Strider
11.1%+801
Taylor
Trammell
SEAYes92James
Kaprielian
11.0%+808
Ehire
Adrianza
WSHYes112Bruce
Zimmermann
11.0%+809
Maikel
Franco
WSHYes112Bruce
Zimmermann
11.0%+809
Xander
Bogaerts
BOSNo99Beau
Brieske
10.8%+828
Max
Muncy
LADYes113Tyler
Mahle
10.7%+837
Javier
Baez
DETYes99Rich
Hill
10.7%+839
Spencer
Torkelson
DETYes99Rich
Hill
10.7%+839
Avisail
Garcia
MIANo90Ryan
Feltner
10.6%+845
Ha-Seong
Kim
SDNo96Zac
Gallen
10.5%+853
Julio
Rodriguez
SEANo94James
Kaprielian
10.3%+871
Andres
Gimenez
CLEYes99Joe
Ryan
10.3%+875
Ryan
McMahon
COLNo92Daniel
Castano
10.0%+902
Eric
Hosmer
SDYes95Zac
Gallen
9.9%+912
Robbie
Grossman
DETYes99Rich
Hill
9.9%+914
Randal
Grichuk
COLYes90Daniel
Castano
9.8%+921
Franchy
Cordero
BOSYes93Beau
Brieske
9.7%+931
Brad
Miller
TEXYes101Kyle
Gibson
9.7%+935
Yoan
Moncada
CHWYes111Kevin
Gausman
9.7%+936
Tyler
Nevin
BALNo112Erick
Fedde
9.5%+949
Matt
Vierling
PHIYes95Martin
Perez
9.5%+952
Steven
Kwan
CLEYes99Joe
Ryan
9.5%+954
Yulieski
Gurriel
HOUNo101Trevor
Williams
9.5%+957
Albert
Almora
Jr.
CINNo111Tony
Gonsolin
9.5%+958
Yandy
Diaz
TBYes94Nestor
Cortes
9.4%+962
Harold
Ramirez
TBYes94Nestor
Cortes
9.4%+962
Isaac
Paredes
TBYes94Nestor
Cortes
9.4%+962
Carlos
Santana
KCYes103Reid
Detmers
9.4%+966
Emmanuel
Rivera
KCYes103Reid
Detmers
9.4%+966
Anthony
Rizzo
NYYNo92Josh
Fleming
9.4%+966
Bryan
De
La
Cruz
MIANo90Ryan
Feltner
9.2%+984
Jason
Heyward
CHCYes95Roansy
Contreras
9.1%+993
Dansby
Swanson
ATLNo97Anthony
DeSclafani
9.1%+996
Jason
Castro
HOUYes102Trevor
Williams
8.9%+1018
Nathaniel
Lowe
TEXYes101Kyle
Gibson
8.9%+1027
Edmundo
Sosa
STLNo103Chi Chi
Gonzalez
8.8%+1031
Alex
Bregman
HOUNo101Trevor
Williams
8.7%+1051
Jorge
Mateo
BALNo112Erick
Fedde
8.7%+1053
Ryan
McKenna
BALNo112Erick
Fedde
8.7%+1053
Gleyber
Torres
NYYYes94Josh
Fleming
8.6%+1057
Jonah
Bride
OAKYes94Marco
Gonzales
8.6%+1057
Andrew
Velazquez
LAAYes108Jon
Heasley
8.6%+1067
Miguel
Rojas
MIANo90Ryan
Feltner
8.5%+1072
Christian
Vazquez
BOSNo99Beau
Brieske
8.5%+1072
Owen
Miller
CLENo98Joe
Ryan
8.5%+1083
Riley
Greene
DETNo93Rich
Hill
8.2%+1113
Marcus
Semien
TEXNo95Kyle
Gibson
8.2%+1117
Dylan
Carlson
STLYes101Chi Chi
Gonzalez
8.1%+1141
Geraldo
Perdomo
ARIYes96Sean
Manaea
8.0%+1149
Andrew
Benintendi
KCNo108Reid
Detmers
8.0%+1150
Tommy
La
Stella
SFYes100Spencer
Strider
8.0%+1152
Michael
Harris
II
ATLYes100Anthony
DeSclafani
8.0%+1152
Michael
Chavis
PITNo92Matthew
Swarmer
8.0%+1153
J.T.
Realmuto
PHIYes95Martin
Perez
7.9%+1161
Ramon
Laureano
OAKYes94Marco
Gonzales
7.9%+1174
Brandon
Marsh
LAAYes108Jon
Heasley
7.7%+1199
Jose
Miranda
MINNo98Aaron
Civale
7.7%+1203
Michael
Taylor
KCYes103Reid
Detmers
7.7%+1205
Whit
Merrifield
KCYes103Reid
Detmers
7.7%+1205
Tyler
Heineman
PITYes95Matthew
Swarmer
7.6%+1212
Brendan
Rodgers
COLYes90Daniel
Castano
7.5%+1225
Matt
Carpenter
NYYNo92Josh
Fleming
7.5%+1227
Didi
Gregorius
PHINo101Martin
Perez
7.5%+1229
Alex
Verdugo
BOSYes93Beau
Brieske
7.5%+1238
Jarren
Duran
BOSYes93Beau
Brieske
7.5%+1238
Jonathan
Schoop
DETYes99Rich
Hill
7.4%+1253
Eric
Haase
DETYes99Rich
Hill
7.4%+1253
Brandon
Nimmo
NYMYes102Jose
Urquidy
7.3%+1270
Nico
Hoerner
CHCNo92Roansy
Contreras
7.2%+1281
Harrison
Bader
STLNo103Chi Chi
Gonzalez
7.2%+1287
Jake
Hager
ARIYes96Sean
Manaea
7.2%+1292
Alek
Thomas
ARINo95Sean
Manaea
7.1%+1306
Jacob
Stallings
MIANo90Ryan
Feltner
7.1%+1309
Tomas
Nido
NYMNo101Jose
Urquidy
7.1%+1312
Mauricio
Dubon
HOUNo101Trevor
Williams
7.1%+1312
Austin
Hedges
CLENo98Joe
Ryan
6.9%+1352
Amed
Rosario
CLENo98Joe
Ryan
6.9%+1352
Nomar
Mazara
SDYes95Zac
Gallen
6.8%+1363
Alfonso
Rivas
CHCYes95Roansy
Contreras
6.8%+1363
C.J.
Abrams
SDYes95Zac
Gallen
6.8%+1363
Kyle
Farmer
CINNo111Tony
Gonsolin
6.8%+1364
Tyler
Wade
LAAYes108Jon
Heasley
6.8%+1370
Ezequiel
Duran
TEXNo95Kyle
Gibson
6.7%+1394
Jesse
Winker
SEAYes92James
Kaprielian
6.6%+1407
Adam
Frazier
SEAYes92James
Kaprielian
6.6%+1407
Leury
Garcia
CHWNo106Kevin
Gausman
6.5%+1428
Luis
Robert
CHWNo106Kevin
Gausman
6.5%+1428
Gabriel
Moreno
TORNo106Dylan
Cease
6.5%+1428
Omar
Narvaez
MILYes101Jack
Flaherty
6.4%+1464
Jerar
Encarnacion
MIANo90Ryan
Feltner
6.4%+1471
Luis
Arraez
MINYes99Aaron
Civale
6.3%+1494
Marwin
Gonzalez
NYYYes94Josh
Fleming
6.2%+1507
Isiah
Kiner-Falefa
NYYYes94Josh
Fleming
6.2%+1507
Cavan
Biggio
TORYes111Dylan
Cease
6.0%+1554
Thairo
Estrada
SFNo97Spencer
Strider
6.0%+1560
Elias
Diaz
COLYes90Daniel
Castano
6.0%+1573
Austin
Nola
SDNo96Zac
Gallen
6.0%+1576