MLB Betting: Home Run, Strikeout, and Run Total Projections for Tuesday 6/14/22
Just how likely is a homer from a certain player tonight? How many runs will Team X score? And can the pitcher you're eying go over his strikeout prop?
To find out, I leveraged numberFire's batter and pitcher projections plus team implied totals to try to answer those questions.
Here are today's results to help us navigate daily fantasy baseball and MLB betting opportunities at MLB odds.
(Please note that these projections are subject to change throughout the day and as lineups are confirmed. To see the most current projections, check out our projections pages.)
Team Run Total Projections
| Team | Opp SP | O/U | Implied Total |
5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | Antonio Senzatela | 10.5 | 5.80 | 52.2% | 36.2% | 22.9% | 13.3% | 7.1% |
| BOS | Jared Koenig | 9.5 | 5.54 | 47.8% | 32.0% | 19.5% | 10.9% | 5.6% |
| SD | Kyle Hendricks | 10.5 | 5.54 | 47.8% | 32.0% | 19.5% | 10.9% | 5.6% |
| STL | Bryse Wilson | 9.5 | 5.46 | 46.4% | 30.8% | 18.6% | 10.2% | 5.2% |
| ATL | Jackson Tetreault | 9.0 | 5.37 | 44.9% | 29.4% | 17.5% | 9.5% | 4.7% |
| TOR | Jordan Lyles | 9.0 | 5.28 | 43.3% | 28.0% | 16.4% | 8.8% | 4.3% |
| LAD | Noah Syndergaard | 9.0 | 5.22 | 42.3% | 27.1% | 15.7% | 8.3% | 4.1% |
| CHC | Sean Manaea | 10.5 | 4.96 | 37.7% | 23.2% | 12.9% | 6.6% | 3.0% |
| SF | Kris Bubic | 8.0 | 4.79 | 34.7% | 20.8% | 11.2% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| COL | Shane Bieber | 10.5 | 4.70 | 33.2% | 19.5% | 10.4% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| PHI | Trevor Rogers | 8.5 | 4.63 | 31.9% | 18.6% | 9.8% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| NYY | Corey Kluber | 7.5 | 4.40 | 28.0% | 15.6% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| NYM | Adrian Houser | 8.0 | 4.36 | 27.3% | 15.1% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| HOU | Dane Dunning | 8.5 | 4.35 | 27.2% | 15.0% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| ARI | Tyler Mahle | 8.5 | 4.32 | 26.7% | 14.7% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| CHW | Drew Hutchison | 7.5 | 4.23 | 25.2% | 13.6% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| CIN | Zach Davies | 8.5 | 4.18 | 24.4% | 13.0% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| TEX | Jose Urquidy | 8.5 | 4.15 | 23.9% | 12.7% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| PIT | Miles Mikolas | 9.5 | 4.04 | 22.1% | 11.5% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| OAK | Nick Pivetta | 9.5 | 3.96 | 20.9% | 10.7% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| MIA | Zach Eflin | 8.5 | 3.87 | 19.5% | 9.8% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| LAA | Tony Gonsolin | 9.0 | 3.78 | 18.1% | 8.9% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| BAL | Yusei Kikuchi | 9.0 | 3.72 | 17.3% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| MIL | Chris Bassitt | 8.0 | 3.64 | 16.1% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| WSH | Max Fried | 9.0 | 3.63 | 16.0% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| SEA | Joe Ryan | 7.0 | 3.60 | 15.6% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| MIN | Logan Gilbert | 7.0 | 3.40 | 12.9% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| DET | Dylan Cease | 7.5 | 3.27 | 11.4% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| KC | Logan Webb | 8.0 | 3.21 | 10.7% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| TB | Gerrit Cole | 7.5 | 3.10 | 9.4% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Pitcher Strikeout Projections
| Pitcher | Opp | K Proj |
3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerrit Cole | TB | 7.1 | 92.1% | 83.2% | 70.7% | 55.9% | 41.0% | 27.9% | 17.6% |
| Dylan Cease | DET | 7.0 | 92.0% | 83.0% | 70.3% | 55.5% | 40.6% | 27.5% | 17.3% |
| Shane Bieber | COL | 6.7 | 90.2% | 79.9% | 66.1% | 50.6% | 35.8% | 23.4% | 14.1% |
| Chris Bassitt | MIL | 6.4 | 88.4% | 77.0% | 62.2% | 46.4% | 31.8% | 20.1% | 11.8% |
| Nick Pivetta | OAK | 6.4 | 88.4% | 77.0% | 62.2% | 46.4% | 31.8% | 20.1% | 11.8% |
| Sean Manaea | CHC | 6.2 | 86.5% | 74.0% | 58.4% | 42.4% | 28.3% | 17.3% | 9.8% |
| Tyler Mahle | ARI | 5.9 | 83.7% | 69.7% | 53.3% | 37.3% | 23.8% | 14.0% | 7.5% |
| Logan Gilbert | MIN | 5.6 | 81.4% | 66.4% | 49.5% | 33.6% | 20.8% | 11.8% | 6.1% |
| Max Fried | WSH | 5.5 | 80.2% | 64.7% | 47.6% | 31.9% | 19.4% | 10.8% | 5.5% |
| Logan Webb | KC | 5.5 | 79.7% | 64.1% | 46.9% | 31.2% | 18.9% | 10.5% | 5.3% |
| Zach Eflin | MIA | 5.4 | 79.1% | 63.3% | 46.1% | 30.5% | 18.3% | 10.1% | 5.1% |
| Tony Gonsolin | LAA | 5.3 | 77.6% | 61.2% | 43.8% | 28.4% | 16.8% | 9.0% | 4.5% |
| Miles Mikolas | PIT | 5.3 | 77.0% | 60.4% | 43.0% | 27.7% | 16.2% | 8.6% | 4.2% |
| Joe Ryan | SEA | 5.1 | 75.4% | 58.4% | 40.9% | 25.9% | 14.8% | 7.8% | 3.7% |
| Yusei Kikuchi | BAL | 5.0 | 73.2% | 55.6% | 38.1% | 23.5% | 13.1% | 6.7% | 3.1% |
| Corey Kluber | NYY | 4.7 | 68.4% | 49.8% | 32.5% | 19.0% | 10.0% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Trevor Rogers | PHI | 4.5 | 65.9% | 47.0% | 29.9% | 17.0% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Dane Dunning | HOU | 4.5 | 65.4% | 46.4% | 29.4% | 16.6% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Adrian Houser | NYM | 4.3 | 62.5% | 43.1% | 26.5% | 14.5% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Jordan Lyles | TOR | 4.2 | 60.8% | 41.4% | 25.0% | 13.5% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Noah Syndergaard | LAD | 4.1 | 58.0% | 38.5% | 22.6% | 11.8% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Bryse Wilson | STL | 4.0 | 57.4% | 37.9% | 22.1% | 11.5% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Jose Urquidy | TEX | 4.0 | 56.1% | 36.5% | 21.0% | 10.8% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Zach Davies | ARI | 3.9 | 55.1% | 35.6% | 20.2% | 10.3% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Jackson Tetreault | ATL | 3.9 | 54.1% | 34.6% | 19.5% | 9.8% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Kyle Hendricks | SD | 3.8 | 52.4% | 33.0% | 18.3% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Jared Koenig | BOS | 3.4 | 44.6% | 26.0% | 13.2% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Kris Bubic | SF | 3.4 | 44.4% | 25.8% | 13.1% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Antonio Senzatela | CLE | 3.3 | 42.6% | 24.3% | 12.1% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Drew Hutchison | CHW | 2.5 | 24.0% | 10.7% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Daily Batter Home Run Projections
You can view all MLB game and prop odds at MLB odds.
| Batter | Team | Platoon? | Opp Pitcher |
Proj HR |
HR Probability |
xHR Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton | MIN | No | Logan Gilbert | 0.54 | 30.7% | +225 |
| Mookie Betts | LAD | No | Noah Syndergaard | 0.40 | 26.0% | +285 |
| Aaron Judge | NYY | No | Corey Kluber | 0.39 | 25.6% | +291 |
| Jose Ramirez | CLE | Yes | Antonio Senzatela | 0.36 | 24.3% | +311 |
| Ji-Man Choi | TB | Yes | Gerrit Cole | 0.35 | 23.9% | +319 |
| Rafael Devers | BOS | No | Jared Koenig | 0.34 | 23.4% | +327 |
| Bo Bichette | TOR | No | Jordan Lyles | 0.34 | 23.4% | +327 |
| Mike Trout | LAA | No | Tony Gonsolin | 0.34 | 23.4% | +327 |
| Trevor Story | BOS | Yes | Jared Koenig | 0.33 | 22.9% | +336 |
| J.D. Martinez | BOS | Yes | Jared Koenig | 0.32 | 22.4% | +345 |
| Dansby Swanson | ATL | No | Jackson Tetreault | 0.31 | 22.0% | +356 |
| Ronald Acuna | ATL | No | Jackson Tetreault | 0.31 | 22.0% | +356 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | TOR | No | Jordan Lyles | 0.30 | 21.4% | +366 |
| Josh Donaldson | NYY | No | Corey Kluber | 0.30 | 21.4% | +366 |
| Ian Happ | CHC | Yes | Sean Manaea | 0.29 | 20.9% | +378 |
| George Springer | TOR | No | Jordan Lyles | 0.29 | 20.9% | +378 |
| Patrick Wisdom | CHC | Yes | Sean Manaea | 0.28 | 20.4% | +390 |
| Jordan Luplow | ARI | No | Tyler Mahle | 0.28 | 20.4% | +390 |
| Daulton Varsho | ARI | Yes | Tyler Mahle | 0.28 | 20.4% | +390 |
| Bryce Harper | PHI | No | Trevor Rogers | 0.28 | 20.4% | +390 |
| Kyle Tucker | HOU | Yes | Dane Dunning | 0.28 | 20.4% | +390 |
| Adolis Garcia | TEX | No | Jose Urquidy | 0.28 | 20.4% | +390 |
| Corey Seager | TEX | Yes | Jose Urquidy | 0.27 | 19.9% | +403 |
| Shohei Ohtani | LAA | Yes | Tony Gonsolin | 0.27 | 19.9% | +403 |
| Manny Machado | SD | No | Kyle Hendricks | 0.26 | 19.3% | +418 |
| Travis d'Arnaud | ATL | No | Jackson Tetreault | 0.26 | 19.3% | +418 |
| Eugenio Suarez | SEA | No | Joe Ryan | 0.26 | 19.3% | +418 |
| Trea Turner | LAD | No | Noah Syndergaard | 0.26 | 19.3% | +418 |
| C.J. Cron | COL | No | Shane Bieber | 0.25 | 18.7% | +433 |
| Wilmer Flores | SF | Yes | Kris Bubic | 0.25 | 18.7% | +433 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | SF | No | Kris Bubic | 0.25 | 18.7% | +433 |
| Gary Sanchez | MIN | No | Logan Gilbert | 0.25 | 18.7% | +433 |
| Nolan Arenado | STL | No | Bryse Wilson | 0.25 | 18.7% | +433 |
| Jorge Soler | MIA | No | Zach Eflin | 0.25 | 18.7% | +433 |
| Kyle Schwarber | PHI | No | Trevor Rogers | 0.25 | 18.7% | +433 |
| Jonathan Schoop | DET | No | Dylan Cease | 0.24 | 18.2% | +450 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | TOR | No | Jordan Lyles | 0.24 | 18.2% | +450 |
| Rhys Hoskins | PHI | Yes | Trevor Rogers | 0.24 | 18.2% | +450 |
| Andres Gimenez | CLE | Yes | Antonio Senzatela | 0.23 | 17.6% | +469 |
| Jazz Chisholm | MIA | Yes | Zach Eflin | 0.23 | 17.6% | +469 |
| Hunter Renfroe | MIL | No | Chris Bassitt | 0.23 | 17.6% | +469 |
| Jared Walsh | LAA | Yes | Tony Gonsolin | 0.23 | 17.6% | +469 |
| Ryan Mountcastle | BAL | Yes | Yusei Kikuchi | 0.22 | 17.0% | +489 |
| Freddie Freeman | LAD | Yes | Noah Syndergaard | 0.22 | 17.0% | +489 |
| Will Smith | LAD | No | Noah Syndergaard | 0.22 | 17.0% | +489 |
| Frank Schwindel | CHC | Yes | Sean Manaea | 0.21 | 16.4% | +511 |
| Evan Longoria | SF | Yes | Kris Bubic | 0.21 | 16.4% | +511 |
| Salvador Perez | KC | No | Logan Webb | 0.21 | 16.4% | +511 |
| Jack Suwinski | PIT | Yes | Miles Mikolas | 0.21 | 16.4% | +511 |
| Jose Abreu | CHW | No | Drew Hutchison | 0.21 | 16.4% | +511 |
| Trey Mancini | BAL | Yes | Yusei Kikuchi | 0.21 | 16.4% | +511 |
| Jesus Aguilar | MIA | No | Zach Eflin | 0.21 | 16.4% | +511 |
| Rowdy Tellez | MIL | Yes | Chris Bassitt | 0.21 | 16.4% | +511 |
| Joey Gallo | NYY | Yes | Corey Kluber | 0.21 | 16.4% | +511 |
| Brad Miller | TEX | Yes | Jose Urquidy | 0.21 | 16.4% | +511 |
| Alex Bregman | HOU | No | Dane Dunning | 0.21 | 16.4% | +511 |
| Jonah Heim | TEX | Yes | Jose Urquidy | 0.21 | 16.4% | +511 |
| Chas McCormick | HOU | No | Dane Dunning | 0.21 | 16.4% | +511 |
| Jorge Polanco | MIN | Yes | Logan Gilbert | 0.20 | 15.7% | +536 |
| Carlos Correa | MIN | No | Logan Gilbert | 0.20 | 15.7% | +536 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | STL | No | Bryse Wilson | 0.20 | 15.7% | +536 |
| Austin Hays | BAL | Yes | Yusei Kikuchi | 0.20 | 15.7% | +536 |
| Willy Adames | MIL | No | Chris Bassitt | 0.20 | 15.7% | +536 |
| Justin Turner | LAD | No | Noah Syndergaard | 0.20 | 15.7% | +536 |
| Christian Bethancourt | OAK | No | Nick Pivetta | 0.19 | 15.1% | +563 |
| Willson Contreras | CHC | Yes | Sean Manaea | 0.19 | 15.1% | +563 |
| Joey Votto | CIN | Yes | Zach Davies | 0.19 | 15.1% | +563 |
| Ketel Marte | ARI | Yes | Tyler Mahle | 0.19 | 15.1% | +563 |
| Jonathan India | CIN | No | Zach Davies | 0.19 | 15.1% | +563 |
| Juan Soto | WSH | No | Max Fried | 0.19 | 15.1% | +563 |
| Taylor Trammell | SEA | Yes | Joe Ryan | 0.19 | 15.1% | +563 |
| Nolan Gorman | STL | Yes | Bryse Wilson | 0.19 | 15.1% | +563 |
| Matt Chapman | TOR | No | Jordan Lyles | 0.19 | 15.1% | +563 |
| Luis Urias | MIL | No | Chris Bassitt | 0.19 | 15.1% | +563 |
| Pete Alonso | NYM | No | Adrian Houser | 0.19 | 15.1% | +563 |
| Marcus Semien | TEX | No | Jose Urquidy | 0.19 | 15.1% | +563 |
| Yordan Alvarez | HOU | Yes | Dane Dunning | 0.19 | 15.1% | +563 |
| Jeremy Pena | HOU | No | Dane Dunning | 0.19 | 15.1% | +563 |
| Josh Naylor | CLE | Yes | Antonio Senzatela | 0.18 | 14.4% | +593 |
| Eric Hosmer | SD | Yes | Kyle Hendricks | 0.18 | 14.4% | +593 |
| Luke Voit | SD | No | Kyle Hendricks | 0.18 | 14.4% | +593 |
| Jake Cronenworth | SD | Yes | Kyle Hendricks | 0.18 | 14.4% | +593 |
| David Peralta | ARI | Yes | Tyler Mahle | 0.18 | 14.4% | +593 |
| Brandon Drury | CIN | No | Zach Davies | 0.18 | 14.4% | +593 |
| Matt Olson | ATL | Yes | Jackson Tetreault | 0.18 | 14.4% | +593 |
| Austin Slater | SF | Yes | Kris Bubic | 0.18 | 14.4% | +593 |
| A.J. Pollock | CHW | No | Drew Hutchison | 0.18 | 14.4% | +593 |
| Andrew Vaughn | CHW | No | Drew Hutchison | 0.18 | 14.4% | +593 |
| Cedric Mullins | BAL | Yes | Yusei Kikuchi | 0.18 | 14.4% | +593 |
| Seth Brown | OAK | Yes | Nick Pivetta | 0.17 | 13.8% | +627 |
| Randal Grichuk | COL | No | Shane Bieber | 0.17 | 13.8% | +627 |
| Brendan Rodgers | COL | No | Shane Bieber | 0.17 | 13.8% | +627 |
| Christopher Morel | CHC | Yes | Sean Manaea | 0.17 | 13.8% | +627 |
| Mike Moustakas | CIN | Yes | Zach Davies | 0.17 | 13.8% | +627 |
| Kyle Farmer | CIN | No | Zach Davies | 0.17 | 13.8% | +627 |
| Adam Duvall | ATL | No | Jackson Tetreault | 0.17 | 13.8% | +627 |
| Max Kepler | MIN | Yes | Logan Gilbert | 0.17 | 13.8% | +627 |
| Michael Chavis | PIT | No | Miles Mikolas | 0.17 | 13.8% | +627 |
| Eduardo Escobar | NYM | Yes | Adrian Houser | 0.17 | 13.8% | +627 |
| Ezequiel Duran | TEX | No | Jose Urquidy | 0.17 | 13.8% | +627 |
| Cody Bellinger | LAD | Yes | Noah Syndergaard | 0.17 | 13.8% | +627 |
| Tommy Pham | CIN | No | Zach Davies | 0.16 | 13.1% | +665 |
| Josh Rojas | ARI | Yes | Tyler Mahle | 0.16 | 13.1% | +665 |
| Jesse Winker | SEA | Yes | Joe Ryan | 0.16 | 13.1% | +665 |
| Tyler O'Neill | STL | No | Bryse Wilson | 0.16 | 13.1% | +665 |
| Jake Burger | CHW | No | Drew Hutchison | 0.16 | 13.1% | +665 |
| Nick Castellanos | PHI | Yes | Trevor Rogers | 0.16 | 13.1% | +665 |
| J.T. Realmuto | PHI | Yes | Trevor Rogers | 0.16 | 13.1% | +665 |
| Anthony Rizzo | NYY | Yes | Corey Kluber | 0.16 | 13.1% | +665 |
| Kole Calhoun | TEX | Yes | Jose Urquidy | 0.16 | 13.1% | +665 |
| Xander Bogaerts | BOS | Yes | Jared Koenig | 0.15 | 12.4% | +709 |
| Chad Pinder | OAK | No | Nick Pivetta | 0.15 | 12.4% | +709 |
| Alek Thomas | ARI | Yes | Tyler Mahle | 0.15 | 12.4% | +709 |
| Marcell Ozuna | ATL | No | Jackson Tetreault | 0.15 | 12.4% | +709 |
| Gio Urshela | MIN | No | Logan Gilbert | 0.15 | 12.4% | +709 |
| Ty France | SEA | No | Joe Ryan | 0.15 | 12.4% | +709 |
| Cal Raleigh | SEA | Yes | Joe Ryan | 0.15 | 12.4% | +709 |
| Julio Rodriguez | SEA | No | Joe Ryan | 0.15 | 12.4% | +709 |
| Bryan Reynolds | PIT | Yes | Miles Mikolas | 0.15 | 12.4% | +709 |
| Luis Robert | CHW | No | Drew Hutchison | 0.15 | 12.4% | +709 |
| Lourdes Gurriel | TOR | No | Jordan Lyles | 0.15 | 12.4% | +709 |
| Jesus Sanchez | MIA | Yes | Zach Eflin | 0.15 | 12.4% | +709 |
| Tyrone Taylor | MIL | No | Chris Bassitt | 0.15 | 12.4% | +709 |
| DJ LeMahieu | NYY | No | Corey Kluber | 0.15 | 12.4% | +709 |
| Randy Arozarena | TB | No | Gerrit Cole | 0.15 | 12.4% | +709 |
| Max Stassi | LAA | No | Tony Gonsolin | 0.15 | 12.4% | +709 |
| Chris Taylor | LAD | No | Noah Syndergaard | 0.15 | 12.4% | +709 |
| Max Muncy | LAD | Yes | Noah Syndergaard | 0.15 | 12.4% | +709 |
| Stephen Vogt | OAK | Yes | Nick Pivetta | 0.14 | 11.7% | +758 |
| Alex Verdugo | BOS | No | Jared Koenig | 0.14 | 11.7% | +758 |
| Jurickson Profar | SD | Yes | Kyle Hendricks | 0.14 | 11.7% | +758 |
| Austin Riley | ATL | No | Jackson Tetreault | 0.14 | 11.7% | +758 |
| Francisco Lindor | NYM | Yes | Adrian Houser | 0.14 | 11.7% | +758 |
| Vidal Brujan | TB | Yes | Gerrit Cole | 0.14 | 11.7% | +758 |
| Jose Altuve | HOU | No | Dane Dunning | 0.14 | 11.7% | +758 |
| Martin Maldonado | HOU | No | Dane Dunning | 0.14 | 11.7% | +758 |
| Brandon Marsh | LAA | Yes | Tony Gonsolin | 0.14 | 11.7% | +758 |
| Sean Murphy | OAK | No | Nick Pivetta | 0.13 | 10.9% | +815 |
| Trent Grisham | SD | Yes | Kyle Hendricks | 0.13 | 10.9% | +815 |
| Ha-Seong Kim | SD | No | Kyle Hendricks | 0.13 | 10.9% | +815 |
| Dylan Carlson | STL | Yes | Bryse Wilson | 0.13 | 10.9% | +815 |
| Tucupita Marcano | PIT | Yes | Miles Mikolas | 0.13 | 10.9% | +815 |
| Cal Mitchell | PIT | Yes | Miles Mikolas | 0.13 | 10.9% | +815 |
| Robbie Grossman | DET | Yes | Dylan Cease | 0.13 | 10.9% | +815 |
| Austin Meadows | DET | Yes | Dylan Cease | 0.13 | 10.9% | +815 |
| Victor Reyes | DET | Yes | Dylan Cease | 0.13 | 10.9% | +815 |
| Santiago Espinal | TOR | No | Jordan Lyles | 0.13 | 10.9% | +815 |
| Andrew McCutchen | MIL | No | Chris Bassitt | 0.13 | 10.9% | +815 |
| Brett Phillips | TB | Yes | Gerrit Cole | 0.13 | 10.9% | +815 |
| Bobby Dalbec | BOS | Yes | Jared Koenig | 0.12 | 10.2% | +882 |
| Cesar Hernandez | WSH | Yes | Max Fried | 0.12 | 10.2% | +882 |
| Trevor Larnach | MIN | Yes | Logan Gilbert | 0.12 | 10.2% | +882 |
| Alejandro Kirk | TOR | No | Jordan Lyles | 0.12 | 10.2% | +882 |
| Ramon Laureano | OAK | No | Nick Pivetta | 0.11 | 9.4% | +961 |
| Nomar Mazara | SD | Yes | Kyle Hendricks | 0.11 | 9.4% | +961 |
| Christian Walker | ARI | No | Tyler Mahle | 0.11 | 9.4% | +961 |
| Josh Bell | WSH | Yes | Max Fried | 0.11 | 9.4% | +961 |
| Darin Ruf | SF | Yes | Kris Bubic | 0.11 | 9.4% | +961 |
| Andrew Benintendi | KC | Yes | Logan Webb | 0.11 | 9.4% | +961 |
| Jose Miranda | MIN | No | Logan Gilbert | 0.11 | 9.4% | +961 |
| Dan Vogelbach | PIT | Yes | Miles Mikolas | 0.11 | 9.4% | +961 |
| Tommy Edman | STL | Yes | Bryse Wilson | 0.11 | 9.4% | +961 |
| Adley Rutschman | BAL | Yes | Yusei Kikuchi | 0.11 | 9.4% | +961 |
| Didi Gregorius | PHI | No | Trevor Rogers | 0.11 | 9.4% | +961 |
| Mickey Moniak | PHI | No | Trevor Rogers | 0.11 | 9.4% | +961 |
| Jose Trevino | NYY | No | Corey Kluber | 0.11 | 9.4% | +961 |
| Elias Diaz | COL | No | Shane Bieber | 0.10 | 8.6% | +1056 |
| Oscar Gonzalez | CLE | No | Antonio Senzatela | 0.10 | 8.6% | +1056 |
| Jorge Alfaro | SD | No | Kyle Hendricks | 0.10 | 8.6% | +1056 |
| Nelson Cruz | WSH | Yes | Max Fried | 0.10 | 8.6% | +1056 |
| Lane Thomas | WSH | Yes | Max Fried | 0.10 | 8.6% | +1056 |
| Carlos Santana | KC | Yes | Logan Webb | 0.10 | 8.6% | +1056 |
| Nicky Lopez | KC | Yes | Logan Webb | 0.10 | 8.6% | +1056 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | KC | No | Logan Webb | 0.10 | 8.6% | +1056 |
| Abraham Toro | SEA | Yes | Joe Ryan | 0.10 | 8.6% | +1056 |
| Harrison Bader | STL | No | Bryse Wilson | 0.10 | 8.6% | +1056 |
| Javier Baez | DET | No | Dylan Cease | 0.10 | 8.6% | +1056 |
| Christian Yelich | MIL | Yes | Chris Bassitt | 0.10 | 8.6% | +1056 |
| Mark Canha | NYM | No | Adrian Houser | 0.10 | 8.6% | +1056 |
| Francisco Mejia | TB | Yes | Gerrit Cole | 0.10 | 8.6% | +1056 |
| Gleyber Torres | NYY | No | Corey Kluber | 0.10 | 8.6% | +1056 |
| Andrew Velazquez | LAA | Yes | Tony Gonsolin | 0.10 | 8.6% | +1056 |
| Charlie Blackmon | COL | Yes | Shane Bieber | 0.09 | 7.9% | +1173 |
| Jose Iglesias | COL | No | Shane Bieber | 0.09 | 7.9% | +1173 |
| Connor Joe | COL | No | Shane Bieber | 0.09 | 7.9% | +1173 |
| Steven Kwan | CLE | Yes | Antonio Senzatela | 0.09 | 7.9% | +1173 |
| Pavin Smith | ARI | Yes | Tyler Mahle | 0.09 | 7.9% | +1173 |
| Maikel Franco | WSH | Yes | Max Fried | 0.09 | 7.9% | +1173 |
| Orlando Arcia | ATL | No | Jackson Tetreault | 0.09 | 7.9% | +1173 |
| Michael Harris II | ATL | Yes | Jackson Tetreault | 0.09 | 7.9% | +1173 |
| Emmanuel Rivera | KC | No | Logan Webb | 0.09 | 7.9% | +1173 |
| MJ Melendez | KC | Yes | Logan Webb | 0.09 | 7.9% | +1173 |
| Yoan Moncada | CHW | Yes | Drew Hutchison | 0.09 | 7.9% | +1173 |
| Avisail Garcia | MIA | No | Zach Eflin | 0.09 | 7.9% | +1173 |
| Jace Peterson | MIL | Yes | Chris Bassitt | 0.09 | 7.9% | +1173 |
| Omar Narvaez | MIL | Yes | Chris Bassitt | 0.09 | 7.9% | +1173 |
| Manuel Margot | TB | No | Gerrit Cole | 0.09 | 7.9% | +1173 |
| Yandy Diaz | TB | No | Gerrit Cole | 0.09 | 7.9% | +1173 |
| Yulieski Gurriel | HOU | No | Dane Dunning | 0.09 | 7.9% | +1173 |
| Anthony Rendon | LAA | No | Tony Gonsolin | 0.09 | 7.9% | +1173 |
| Juan Lagares | LAA | No | Tony Gonsolin | 0.09 | 7.9% | +1173 |
| Jackie Bradley | BOS | No | Jared Koenig | 0.08 | 7.1% | +1318 |
| Austin Hedges | CLE | No | Antonio Senzatela | 0.08 | 7.1% | +1318 |
| Amed Rosario | CLE | No | Antonio Senzatela | 0.08 | 7.1% | +1318 |
| Nico Hoerner | CHC | Yes | Sean Manaea | 0.08 | 7.1% | +1318 |
| Nick Madrigal | CHC | Yes | Sean Manaea | 0.08 | 7.1% | +1318 |
| Albert Almora Jr. | CIN | No | Zach Davies | 0.08 | 7.1% | +1318 |
| J.P. Crawford | SEA | Yes | Joe Ryan | 0.08 | 7.1% | +1318 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes | PIT | No | Miles Mikolas | 0.08 | 7.1% | +1318 |
| Danny Mendick | CHW | No | Drew Hutchison | 0.08 | 7.1% | +1318 |
| Tyler Nevin | BAL | Yes | Yusei Kikuchi | 0.08 | 7.1% | +1318 |
| Jon Berti | MIA | No | Zach Eflin | 0.08 | 7.1% | +1318 |
| Bryan De La Cruz | MIA | No | Zach Eflin | 0.08 | 7.1% | +1318 |
| Brandon Nimmo | NYM | Yes | Adrian Houser | 0.08 | 7.1% | +1318 |
| Patrick Mazeika | NYM | Yes | Adrian Houser | 0.08 | 7.1% | +1318 |
| Aaron Hicks | NYY | Yes | Corey Kluber | 0.08 | 7.1% | +1318 |
| Nathaniel Lowe | TEX | Yes | Jose Urquidy | 0.08 | 7.1% | +1318 |
| Christian Vazquez | BOS | Yes | Jared Koenig | 0.07 | 6.2% | +1506 |
| Ryan McMahon | COL | Yes | Shane Bieber | 0.07 | 6.2% | +1506 |
| Austin Wynns | SF | Yes | Kris Bubic | 0.07 | 6.2% | +1506 |
| Thairo Estrada | SF | Yes | Kris Bubic | 0.07 | 6.2% | +1506 |
| Yadier Molina | STL | No | Bryse Wilson | 0.07 | 6.2% | +1506 |
| Diego Castillo | PIT | No | Miles Mikolas | 0.07 | 6.2% | +1506 |
| Miguel Cabrera | DET | No | Dylan Cease | 0.07 | 6.2% | +1506 |
| Tucker Barnhart | DET | Yes | Dylan Cease | 0.07 | 6.2% | +1506 |
| Spencer Torkelson | DET | No | Dylan Cease | 0.07 | 6.2% | +1506 |
| Starling Marte | NYM | No | Adrian Houser | 0.07 | 6.2% | +1506 |
| Leody Taveras | TEX | Yes | Jose Urquidy | 0.07 | 6.2% | +1506 |
