MLB

MLB Betting: Home Run, Strikeout, and Run Total Projections for Monday 6/13/22

Betting MLB player props or playing daily fantasy baseball? See who is most likely to homer, rack up the most strikeouts, and score the most runs today.

Just how likely is a homer from a certain player tonight? How many runs will Team X score? And can the pitcher you're eying go over his strikeout prop?

To find out, I leveraged numberFire's batter and pitcher projections plus team implied totals to try to answer those questions.

Here are today's results to help us navigate daily fantasy baseball and MLB betting opportunities at FanDuel Sportsbook.

(Please note that these projections are subject to change throughout the day and as lineups are confirmed. To see the most current projections, check out our projections pages.)

Team Run Total Projections

Team Opp SP O/U Implied
Total
5+ 6+ 7+ 8+ 9+
STL Mitch
Keller
9.5 5.38 45.0% 29.5% 17.6% 9.6% 4.8%
ATL Josiah
Gray
10.0 5.36 44.7% 29.2% 17.4% 9.4% 4.7%
TOR Kyle
Bradish
8.5 5.22 42.3% 27.1% 15.7% 8.3% 4.1%
HOU Taylor
Hearn
9.0 4.94 37.4% 22.9% 12.7% 6.4% 3.0%
SD Justin
Steele
9.0 4.71 33.3% 19.7% 10.5% 5.1% 2.2%
WSH Ian
Anderson
10.0 4.64 32.1% 18.7% 9.9% 4.7% 2.1%
ARI Mike
Minor
8.5 4.60 31.4% 18.2% 9.5% 4.5% 2.0%
SF Brady
Singer
8.0 4.48 29.4% 16.6% 8.5% 3.9% 1.7%
SEA Chris
Archer
8.5 4.32 26.7% 14.7% 7.3% 3.2% 1.3%
CHC Yu
Darvish
9.0 4.29 26.2% 14.3% 7.0% 3.1% 1.3%
MIN Chris
Flexen
8.5 4.18 24.4% 13.0% 6.3% 2.7% 1.1%
CHW Rony
Garcia
8.0 4.17 24.2% 12.9% 6.2% 2.7% 1.1%
PIT Zack
Thompson
9.5 4.12 23.4% 12.4% 5.9% 2.5% 1.0%
TEX Cristian
Javier
9.0 4.06 22.4% 11.7% 5.5% 2.3% 0.9%
PHI Sandy
Alcantara
7.5 3.96 20.9% 10.7% 4.9% 2.0% 0.8%
CIN Merrill
Kelly
8.5 3.90 19.9% 10.1% 4.5% 1.9% 0.7%
DET Lance
Lynn
8.0 3.83 18.9% 9.4% 4.2% 1.7% 0.6%
MIA Aaron
Nola
7.5 3.54 14.8% 6.8% 2.8% 1.1% 0.4%
KC Alex
Wood
8.0 3.52 14.5% 6.7% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
BAL Alek
Manoah
8.5 3.28 11.5% 5.0% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%

Pitcher Strikeout Projections

Pitcher Opp K
Proj
3+ 4+ 5+ 6+ 7+ 8+ 9+
Aaron
Nola
MIA 7.1 92.1% 83.2% 70.7% 55.9% 41.0% 27.9% 17.6%
Alek
Manoah
BAL 6.7 89.9% 79.5% 65.5% 50.0% 35.2% 22.9% 13.8%
Sandy
Alcantara
PHI 6.4 88.3% 76.8% 62.1% 46.2% 31.7% 20.0% 11.7%
Yu
Darvish
CHC 5.9 84.0% 70.1% 53.8% 37.8% 24.2% 14.3% 7.7%
Cristian
Javier
TEX 5.8 82.6% 68.2% 51.5% 35.5% 22.4% 12.9% 6.8%
Alex
Wood
KC 5.5 79.7% 64.1% 46.9% 31.2% 18.9% 10.5% 5.3%
Lance
Lynn
DET 5.3 77.7% 61.4% 44.0% 28.6% 16.9% 9.1% 4.5%
Josiah
Gray
ATL 4.9 72.6% 54.9% 37.4% 22.9% 12.7% 6.4% 3.0%
Mike
Minor
ARI 4.7 68.6% 50.0% 32.6% 19.1% 10.1% 4.9% 2.1%
Merrill
Kelly
CIN 4.5 65.8% 46.8% 29.7% 16.9% 8.7% 4.0% 1.7%
Ian
Anderson
WSH 4.5 65.6% 46.6% 29.5% 16.8% 8.6% 4.0% 1.7%
Zack
Thompson
PIT 4.5 64.9% 45.8% 28.9% 16.3% 8.3% 3.8% 1.6%
Chris
Flexen
MIN 4.4 63.5% 44.3% 27.5% 15.3% 7.6% 3.5% 1.4%
Justin
Steele
SD 4.3 62.8% 43.5% 26.8% 14.8% 7.3% 3.3% 1.3%
Taylor
Hearn
HOU 4.3 62.1% 42.8% 26.2% 14.3% 7.0% 3.1% 1.3%
Brady
Singer
SF 3.9 55.3% 35.7% 20.4% 10.4% 4.7% 1.9% 0.7%
Mitch
Keller
STL 3.9 53.7% 34.2% 19.2% 9.6% 4.3% 1.7% 0.6%
Kyle
Bradish
TOR 3.7 51.4% 32.1% 17.6% 8.5% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5%
Chris
Archer
SEA 3.7 50.2% 30.9% 16.7% 8.0% 3.4% 1.3% 0.5%
Rony
Garcia
CHW 3.6 48.3% 29.2% 15.5% 7.2% 3.0% 1.1% 0.4%

Daily Batter Home Run Projections

You can view all MLB game and prop odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Batter Team Platoon? Opp
Pitcher
Proj
HR
HR
Probability
xHR
Odds
Byron
Buxton
MIN No Chris
Flexen
0.53 30.4% +228
Vladimir
Guerrero
Jr.
TOR No Kyle
Bradish
0.38 25.2% +297
Austin
Riley
ATL No Josiah
Gray
0.37 24.7% +304
Ronald
Acuna
ATL No Josiah
Gray
0.35 23.9% +319
Jordan
Luplow
ARI Yes Mike
Minor
0.32 22.4% +345
Yordan
Alvarez
HOU No Taylor
Hearn
0.32 22.4% +345
Dansby
Swanson
ATL No Josiah
Gray
0.31 22.0% +356
Eugenio
Suarez
SEA No Chris
Archer
0.30 21.4% +366
George
Springer
TOR No Kyle
Bradish
0.30 21.4% +366
Kyle
Schwarber
PHI Yes Sandy
Alcantara
0.30 21.4% +366
Teoscar
Hernandez
TOR No Kyle
Bradish
0.29 20.9% +378
Ryan
Mountcastle
BAL No Alek
Manoah
0.29 20.9% +378
Jose
Altuve
HOU Yes Taylor
Hearn
0.28 20.4% +390
Travis
d'Arnaud
ATL No Josiah
Gray
0.28 20.4% +390
Nolan
Arenado
STL No Mitch
Keller
0.28 20.4% +390
Matt
Olson
ATL Yes Josiah
Gray
0.28 20.4% +390
Bo
Bichette
TOR No Kyle
Bradish
0.27 19.9% +403
A.J.
Pollock
CHW No Rony
Garcia
0.26 19.3% +418
Frank
Schwindel
CHC No Yu
Darvish
0.26 19.3% +418
Manny
Machado
SD Yes Justin
Steele
0.25 18.7% +433
Jazz
Chisholm
MIA Yes Aaron
Nola
0.25 18.7% +433
Salvador
Perez
KC Yes Alex
Wood
0.24 18.2% +450
Rhys
Hoskins
PHI No Sandy
Alcantara
0.24 18.2% +450
Lane
Thomas
WSH No Ian
Anderson
0.24 18.2% +450
Nelson
Cruz
WSH No Ian
Anderson
0.23 17.6% +469
Jorge
Soler
MIA No Aaron
Nola
0.23 17.6% +469
Gary
Sanchez
MIN No Chris
Flexen
0.23 17.6% +469
Josh
Bell
WSH Yes Ian
Anderson
0.23 17.6% +469
Alex
Bregman
HOU Yes Taylor
Hearn
0.23 17.6% +469
Matt
Chapman
TOR No Kyle
Bradish
0.23 17.6% +469
Ozzie
Albies
ATL Yes Josiah
Gray
0.23 17.6% +469
Kyle
Tucker
HOU No Taylor
Hearn
0.23 17.6% +469
Corey
Seager
TEX Yes Cristian
Javier
0.22 17.0% +489
Austin
Meadows
DET Yes Lance
Lynn
0.22 17.0% +489
Luke
Voit
SD Yes Justin
Steele
0.22 17.0% +489
Adolis
Garcia
TEX No Cristian
Javier
0.22 17.0% +489
Jesus
Sanchez
MIA Yes Aaron
Nola
0.22 17.0% +489
Chas
McCormick
HOU Yes Taylor
Hearn
0.22 17.0% +489
Jose
Abreu
CHW No Rony
Garcia
0.21 16.4% +511
Wilmer
Flores
SF No Brady
Singer
0.20 15.7% +536
Jonathan
Schoop
DET No Lance
Lynn
0.20 15.7% +536
Ian
Happ
CHC Yes Yu
Darvish
0.20 15.7% +536
Patrick
Wisdom
CHC No Yu
Darvish
0.20 15.7% +536
Mike
Yastrzemski
SF Yes Brady
Singer
0.20 15.7% +536
Nolan
Gorman
STL Yes Mitch
Keller
0.20 15.7% +536
Bryce
Harper
PHI Yes Sandy
Alcantara
0.19 15.1% +563
Tommy
Pham
CIN No Merrill
Kelly
0.19 15.1% +563
Jake
Cronenworth
SD No Justin
Steele
0.19 15.1% +563
Pavin
Smith
ARI No Mike
Minor
0.19 15.1% +563
Trevor
Larnach
MIN Yes Chris
Flexen
0.19 15.1% +563
Cal
Raleigh
SEA Yes Chris
Archer
0.19 15.1% +563
Jeremy
Pena
HOU Yes Taylor
Hearn
0.19 15.1% +563
Adam
Duvall
ATL No Josiah
Gray
0.18 14.4% +593
Max
Kepler
MIN Yes Chris
Flexen
0.18 14.4% +593
Dan
Vogelbach
PIT No Zack
Thompson
0.18 14.4% +593
Paul
Goldschmidt
STL No Mitch
Keller
0.17 13.8% +627
Jurickson
Profar
SD Yes Justin
Steele
0.17 13.8% +627
Marcus
Semien
TEX No Cristian
Javier
0.17 13.8% +627
Javier
Baez
DET No Lance
Lynn
0.17 13.8% +627
Christian
Walker
ARI Yes Mike
Minor
0.17 13.8% +627
Hunter
Dozier
KC Yes Alex
Wood
0.17 13.8% +627
Anthony
Santander
BAL Yes Alek
Manoah
0.17 13.8% +627
Michael
Chavis
PIT Yes Zack
Thompson
0.17 13.8% +627
Trent
Grisham
SD No Justin
Steele
0.17 13.8% +627
Bobby
Witt
Jr.
KC Yes Alex
Wood
0.17 13.8% +627
Evan
Longoria
SF No Brady
Singer
0.16 13.1% +665
Kole
Calhoun
TEX Yes Cristian
Javier
0.16 13.1% +665
Marcell
Ozuna
ATL No Josiah
Gray
0.16 13.1% +665
Brad
Miller
TEX Yes Cristian
Javier
0.16 13.1% +665
Rougned
Odor
BAL Yes Alek
Manoah
0.16 13.1% +665
Joc
Pederson
SF Yes Brady
Singer
0.16 13.1% +665
Jesse
Winker
SEA Yes Chris
Archer
0.16 13.1% +665
Lourdes
Gurriel
TOR No Kyle
Bradish
0.16 13.1% +665
Luis
Robert
CHW No Rony
Garcia
0.16 13.1% +665
Taylor
Trammell
SEA Yes Chris
Archer
0.16 13.1% +665
Nick
Castellanos
PHI No Sandy
Alcantara
0.15 12.4% +709
Jesus
Aguilar
MIA No Aaron
Nola
0.15 12.4% +709
Jorge
Polanco
MIN Yes Chris
Flexen
0.15 12.4% +709
Carlos
Correa
MIN No Chris
Flexen
0.15 12.4% +709
Trey
Mancini
BAL No Alek
Manoah
0.15 12.4% +709
Kyle
Farmer
CIN No Merrill
Kelly
0.15 12.4% +709
Nathaniel
Lowe
TEX Yes Cristian
Javier
0.15 12.4% +709
Andrew
Vaughn
CHW No Rony
Garcia
0.15 12.4% +709
Julio
Rodriguez
SEA No Chris
Archer
0.15 12.4% +709
Brandon
Crawford
SF Yes Brady
Singer
0.14 11.7% +758
Yasmani
Grandal
CHW Yes Rony
Garcia
0.14 11.7% +758
Tucker
Barnhart
DET Yes Lance
Lynn
0.14 11.7% +758
Ketel
Marte
ARI Yes Mike
Minor
0.14 11.7% +758
Matt
Reynolds
CIN No Merrill
Kelly
0.14 11.7% +758
Yulieski
Gurriel
HOU Yes Taylor
Hearn
0.14 11.7% +758
Juan
Soto
WSH Yes Ian
Anderson
0.14 11.7% +758
Ty
France
SEA No Chris
Archer
0.14 11.7% +758
Santiago
Espinal
TOR No Kyle
Bradish
0.14 11.7% +758
Jonah
Heim
TEX Yes Cristian
Javier
0.14 11.7% +758
Alejandro
Kirk
TOR No Kyle
Bradish
0.14 11.7% +758
TJ
Friedl
CIN Yes Merrill
Kelly
0.14 11.7% +758
Jack
Suwinski
PIT No Zack
Thompson
0.14 11.7% +758
Curt
Casali
SF No Brady
Singer
0.13 10.9% +815
Andrew
Benintendi
KC No Alex
Wood
0.13 10.9% +815
Yoan
Moncada
CHW Yes Rony
Garcia
0.13 10.9% +815
Jorge
Alfaro
SD Yes Justin
Steele
0.13 10.9% +815
Harrison
Bader
STL No Mitch
Keller
0.13 10.9% +815
Tyler
O'Neill
STL No Mitch
Keller
0.13 10.9% +815
Bryan
Reynolds
PIT Yes Zack
Thompson
0.13 10.9% +815
Danny
Mendick
CHW No Rony
Garcia
0.13 10.9% +815
Jake
Hager
ARI Yes Mike
Minor
0.13 10.9% +815
MJ
Melendez
KC No Alex
Wood
0.13 10.9% +815
Alek
Thomas
ARI No Mike
Minor
0.13 10.9% +815
Carlos
Santana
KC Yes Alex
Wood
0.12 10.2% +882
Robbie
Grossman
DET Yes Lance
Lynn
0.12 10.2% +882
Cesar
Hernandez
WSH Yes Ian
Anderson
0.12 10.2% +882
J.P.
Crawford
SEA Yes Chris
Archer
0.12 10.2% +882
Willson
Contreras
CHC No Yu
Darvish
0.12 10.2% +882
Austin
Hays
BAL No Alek
Manoah
0.12 10.2% +882
Tommy
Edman
STL Yes Mitch
Keller
0.12 10.2% +882
Abraham
Toro
SEA Yes Chris
Archer
0.12 10.2% +882
Ha-Seong
Kim
SD Yes Justin
Steele
0.12 10.2% +882
Tucupita
Marcano
PIT No Zack
Thompson
0.12 10.2% +882
Tyler
Nevin
BAL No Alek
Manoah
0.12 10.2% +882
Josh
Harrison
CHW No Rony
Garcia
0.11 9.4% +961
Martin
Maldonado
HOU Yes Taylor
Hearn
0.11 9.4% +961
Michael
Brantley
HOU No Taylor
Hearn
0.11 9.4% +961
Odubel
Herrera
PHI Yes Sandy
Alcantara
0.11 9.4% +961
Gio
Urshela
MIN No Chris
Flexen
0.11 9.4% +961
Brandon
Drury
CIN No Merrill
Kelly
0.11 9.4% +961
Victor
Reyes
DET Yes Lance
Lynn
0.11 9.4% +961
Cedric
Mullins
BAL Yes Alek
Manoah
0.11 9.4% +961
Jake
Burger
CHW No Rony
Garcia
0.11 9.4% +961
Spencer
Torkelson
DET No Lance
Lynn
0.11 9.4% +961
Jose
Herrera
ARI Yes Mike
Minor
0.11 9.4% +961
Christopher
Morel
CHC No Yu
Darvish
0.11 9.4% +961
Joey
Votto
CIN Yes Merrill
Kelly
0.10 8.6% +1056
Garrett
Stubbs
PHI Yes Sandy
Alcantara
0.10 8.6% +1056
Luis
Gonzalez
SF No Brady
Singer
0.10 8.6% +1056
Miguel
Cabrera
DET No Lance
Lynn
0.09 7.9% +1173
Tommy
La
Stella
SF Yes Brady
Singer
0.09 7.9% +1173
Nicky
Lopez
KC No Alex
Wood
0.09 7.9% +1173
Bryan
De
La
Cruz
MIA No Aaron
Nola
0.09 7.9% +1173
Ezequiel
Duran
TEX No Cristian
Javier
0.09 7.9% +1173
Avisail
Garcia
MIA No Aaron
Nola
0.08 7.1% +1318
Didi
Gregorius
PHI Yes Sandy
Alcantara
0.08 7.1% +1318
Harold
Castro
DET Yes Lance
Lynn
0.08 7.1% +1318
Nico
Hoerner
CHC No Yu
Darvish
0.08 7.1% +1318
Nick
Madrigal
CHC No Yu
Darvish
0.08 7.1% +1318
Emmanuel
Rivera
KC Yes Alex
Wood
0.08 7.1% +1318
Jose
Miranda
MIN No Chris
Flexen
0.08 7.1% +1318
Cooper
Hummel
ARI Yes Mike
Minor
0.08 7.1% +1318
Diego
Castillo
PIT Yes Zack
Thompson
0.08 7.1% +1318
Michael
Harris
II
ATL Yes Josiah
Gray
0.08 7.1% +1318
Travis
Swaggerty
PIT No Zack
Thompson
0.08 7.1% +1318
Eric
Hosmer
SD No Justin
Steele
0.07 6.2% +1506
Jason
Heyward
CHC Yes Yu
Darvish
0.07 6.2% +1506
Yadier
Molina
STL No Mitch
Keller
0.07 6.2% +1506
Miguel
Rojas
MIA No Aaron
Nola
0.07 6.2% +1506
Nomar
Mazara
SD No Justin
Steele
0.07 6.2% +1506
Raimel
Tapia
TOR Yes Kyle
Bradish
0.07 6.2% +1506
Eli
White
TEX No Cristian
Javier
0.07 6.2% +1506
Adley
Rutschman
BAL Yes Alek
Manoah
0.07 6.2% +1506