3 MLB FanDuel Value Plays to Target on Thursday 6/9/22
With production being highly variable on a night-to-night basis, daily fantasy baseball plays a bit differently than other sports.
As a result of this, the primary method of selecting hitters is to "stack" certain teams in good spots to produce. Most of the top stacks on a given day come with hefty salaries. In addition to that, a vast majority of pitchers with the upside to win tournaments are high-salaried hurlers.
Therefore, crushing your value plays -- whether it be a pitcher unexpectedly piling up strikeouts or a low-salaried batter racking up points -- can be the secret sauce to taking down a tournament.
Which budget options stand out today on FanDuel?
Trevor Rogers, P, Marlins ($7,400)
A year ago, we all would've jumped at the chance to roster Trevor Rogers at a $7,400 salary in a good matchup. While we shouldn't be as giddy to do so this year, Rogers is still pretty easy to like in this spot and at this salary.
Rogers' season-long numbers have plummeted across the board as he's posted a 4.67 SIERA, 19.2% strikeout rate, 10.3% walk rate and 9.7% swinging-strike rate. That's not good. But Rogers' average fastball velocity is exactly the same as it was in 2021, and he is a former first-round pick who had experienced nothing but success in pro ball until this campaign.
He can have a good outing in a matchup with the Washington Nationals. Rogers held them to two hits, two walks and one earned run while fanning four earlier this year. The Nats are a horrible matchup for strikeouts (league-low 16.3% strikeout rate against southpaws), but they don't pack much of a punch (21st-ranked .303 wOBA).
With Shohei Ohtani, Gerrit Cole, and Max Fried on this small slate, Rogers will need to find a way to get some punchouts to keep up with tonight's studs -- and we project him for 5.19 strikeouts -- but if you're targeting high-salary stacks, Rogers projects as the best low-salary arm.
We peg him to score 29.4 FanDuel points and rate him as the best point-per-dollar pitcher.
Joey Gallo, OF, Yankees ($2,300)
Gallo has put up 22.2 and 15.7 FanDuel points in his past two starts, showing signs of life after a rough start to 2022. But even in the midst of his slow start, Gallo has a .332 expected wOBA and 41.8% fly-ball rate. Against righties this season, he's registered a 347 wOBA, 43.7% hard-hit rate and 50.0% fly-ball rate.
Bundy has permitted 1.90 dingers per nine overall since the start of 2021. Lefties have tagged him for a .368 wOBA this season.
Chad Pinder, OF, Athletics ($2,500)
Pinder hit leadoff the last time the A's faced a left-hander, and that alone makes him enticing at this salary. But Pinder really mauled lefties in 2021, mashing his way to a monster .376 wOBA and 44.7% hard-hit rate in the split.
Pilkington has some good numbers early on in his brief MLB career, but righties have gotten to him for a 48.6% fly-ball rate in a small sample.
I like Pinder as a low-salary dart throw who can help you get to one of the slate's aforementioned aces.