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4 Daily Fantasy Baseball Stacks for 6/30/17

With the winds blowing out at Citi Field, the New York Mets' offense could be in for a big night. Which other teams should we target in MLB DFS?

Stacking can be a controversial topic in many daily fantasy sports, but you can count baseball as a glaring exception. Here, it's universal.

Using multiple players on the same team on a given day presents you with the opportunity to double dip. If one of your players hits an RBI double, there's a good chance he drove in another one of your guys. When you get the points for both the run and the RBI, you'll be climbing the leaderboards fast.

Each day here on numberFire, we'll go through four offenses ripe for the stacking. They could have a great matchup, be in a great park, or just have a lot of quality sticks in the lineup, but these are the offenses primed for big days that you may want a piece of.

Premium members can use our new stacking feature to customize their stacks within their optimal lineups for the day, choosing the team you want to stack and how many players you want to include. You can also check out our hitting heat map, which provides an illustration of which offenses have the best combination of matchup and potency.

Now, let's get to the stacks. Here are the teams you should be targeting in daily fantasy baseball today.

New York Mets

Ben Lively is a weird cat. He seems to have an aversion to strikeouts, yet he still managed to toss at least seven innings in each of his first three starts in the Majors. Even after that string of success, though, his peripherals are not pretty, and his results are starting to skew that direction. That puts the New York Mets in a tasty spot.

We've got five starts of data now on Lively in the Majors, which is a pretty solid sample. His SIERA is still up at 5.93 with an 8.1% strikeout rate and 5.9% walk rate. That strikeout rate will come up simply because it's an extreme outlier, but even when it does, his 6.7% swinging-strike rate says it won't be a true asset. To make matters worse, Lively's batted-ball data is scary with a 41.1% fly-ball rate and 33.9% hard-hit rate. Those are going up against an offense that ranks second in both hard-hit rate and fly-ball rate against righties. With the winds blowing out at 14 miles per hour, the Mets could bring all of Lively's regression in one night.

If you had told someone in mid-April that Curtis Granderson would be more pricey than Yoenis Cespedes at the end of June, they may have blacked out in rage. Granderson got off to a wretched start, and Cespedes was tearing the cover off the ball. Although Granderson's price at $3,500 on FanDuel is reflective of how well he's playing, it doesn't mean this guy should be all the way down at $3,200.

It's fine if you want to use Granderson for his price. But if it means you're not using Cespedes, who has a 39.2% hard-hit rate and 51.0% fly-ball rate since returning from the disabled list, then we may need to reevaluate. Massive taters are on the horizon for Cespedes, and we need to start pounding him into our lineups while the pricing is forgiving.

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