MLB

Re-Drafting the 2009 MLB Draft Using Advanced Analytics

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3 Risers

Who makes the biggest leap based on career performance?

Player Position WAR Actual Pick Re-Draft Pick Difference
Garrett Richards RHP 9.1 42 5 37
James Paxton LHP 6.3 37 9 28
Mike Trout OF 48.1 25 1 24


Trout may be the top dog, but Richards had the most sizable rise to the top five. In six-plus seasons, the 29-year-old has a record of 40-32 with an ERA of 3.56 and 535 strikeouts in 645.1 innings pitched.

Paxton was also a compensatory pick for the Toronto Blue Jays, however, he has performed like a top-10 pick, especially of late. He has just 19 wins to 15 losses in 52 starts, but his ERA of 3.28 is very good for a younger starter.

Then there's Trout, his accolades and big numbers. After two full years in the minors, Trout's promotion to the bigs turned into a superstar's premier. Since 2011, the former Rookie of the Year has hit .306 at the dish with at least 27 home runs and 83 RBIs in all but his first partial season.